Wild Card Plays & Info....

AR182

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went 2-0 last week which brought my regular season record to....35-27....

i haven't decided yet who i am playing for this round, but found some general info that some might find interesting....

in recent years is that home teams and road teams have split the last 20 games since 2005 straight up....home teams are 9-10-1 ats....

there has been no specific edge in regards to the seed of the home team in winning or losing....in fact, since 2005,# 4 seeds are 5-4-1 ats while #3 seeds are 4-6 ats....

the extra day of rest has proven a hindrance for home teams when it comes to wc performance, as sat. home teams are 6-4 su & 6-3-1 ats since 2005, while sun. home teams have gone 4-6 su & 3-7 ats....

in general, the wc round has been a low-scoring round, with 14 of 20 games over the last five years going UNDER the total, producing 42.1 points per game on totals averaging 45.0....over the last 11 years, when the road team has won outright in the wc round,UNDER the total is 13-2 (87%)....on the other hand home-team wins have been accompanied by an OVER the total in 11of 19 (58%) wc games since 2002....

home favorites laying 3.5-to-6.5 points are 8-11-1 ats (42%) since 1994, including 2-4 su & 1-5 ats since 2003....7 straight games in this group have gone UNDER the total....

home favorite of 3 pts. or fewer are 15-5 su & 11- 6-3 ats (65 %) since 1993....

when betting action ha smoved the line 1 way or the other since 2003 in the wc round,this ?smart money? is 13-5-1 ats (72 %)....iow, if the line moves towards the home team over the course of the week, that home team has been successful, & the same goes for the road clubs....interestingly,in the last 17 seasons of wc round betting, only 9 games have seen the opening linemove by 1.5 pts or more throughout theweek....in those games, home teams have gone 7-1-1 ats (88%)regardless of the direction of the line move....

since 1999, in games with totals posted in the 37-44.5 range,UNDER the total is 19-7 (73 %)....in games outside that range, the OVER is 8-10(44%)....

since 1993,when incoming action has moved the total higher,OVER is 13-9 (59%)....when the total has been pushed lower throughout the week, UNDER bettors have gone 21-12 (64%)....


good luck....
 
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AR182

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1st play for the weekend....

over 45 phil / dallas....

this is some of the phil. players reaction after being shutout for the 1st time in 4 years...."It?s kind of embarrassing,"...."I can?t wait to play these guys again. After what they did to us, I want to come back here. I wouldn?t want to go anywhere else."....& prior to last weeks shutout,phil was averaging 31 ppg in their last 6 games & is ranked 5th in the nfl in scoring for the season averaging 26.8 ppg....on the other side of the ball the phil. defense has been very inconsistent this year as it has allowed 24 or more points in 5 of their last 8 games....dallas scored 24 points last week & if the game had been closer & dallas needed it, they could have scored more as it did not score in the final 20 minutes of the game....

phil is 6-1 to the over in their last 7 games following a su loss & 20-6 to the over in their last 26 games as a dog....


good luck....
 

AR182

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thanks guys....appreciate it....

1-0 so far in the playoffs....

gb....ml....

stat wise gb has the better offense, the better defense, & the better running game....in addition superbowl losing teams are 10-18-2 ats (35.7%) in playoff games the next season, including 6-13-2 ats (31.5%) vs. an opponent off a win....

good luck....
 

KGB JAY

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under

thanks guys....appreciate it....

1-0 so far in the playoffs....

gb....ml....

stat wise gb has the better offense, the better defense, & the better running game....in addition superbowl losing teams are 10-18-2 ats (35.7%) in playoff games the next season, including 6-13-2 ats (31.5%) vs. an opponent off a win....

good luck....

Like it & also will be on the under gl & nice Ass :hitit: :00x1 :00x15 :142hump: :s6:
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Thanks for this Play

over 45 phil / dallas....

Wasn't sure what to do. I thought the Boys would lay an Egg. Once I saw you go Over I went with you, you hardly ever take an Over...Thanks
 

AR182

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thanks guys....

in next weeks jets / chargers game....

the greek has sd -9 & bookmaker has it -7.5.... haven't decided who i am taking yet but couldn't resist going for a middle....so i have....

sd-6(140)....
jets+10(140)....

risking $80 to win $400....


good luck....
 
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