Abu Dhabi Championship
- Thread starter sharky17
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- Jul 6, 2008
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Ian Poulter -120 over Sergio Garcia
I saw this at +100 while at work ( oops.. not looking at gambling sites at work :mj07: ) anyway, wanted to read some articles first.
I saw this at +100 while at work ( oops.. not looking at gambling sites at work :mj07: ) anyway, wanted to read some articles first.
Abu Dhabi....I've got $513 for both tourney matchups and outrights...
Bob Hope....I've got $513 for ourtights and 1st round matchups.....twice that for tourney matchups.
610 GBP (= $1000) ... I'm obviously not a 'sharp' :mj07:
Round 1 play (4pts):
Andrew McLardy to beat Chris Wood -105 @ Five Dimes
Backing McLardy in the first round again. He played well for the opening two rounds last week (67-67) and certainly looked to have maintained the form that earned him a PGA Tour Card via the Q-School; he was certainly in better form than Wood who missed the cut by four shots. In terms of the Middle East Swing, McLardy has been a regular in recent seasons and with some success: he has finished in the top-50 in seven of eight starts in this region in the last three years and has finished in the top-50 in all of his previous four visits to Abu Dhabi. That compares very favourably in comparison to Wood who is making his course debut and in his two starts in this region has missed the cut once and finished 42nd of 58 in Dubai two months ago.
Round 1 play (4pts):
Andrew McLardy to beat Chris Wood -105 @ Five Dimes
Backing McLardy in the first round again. He played well for the opening two rounds last week (67-67) and certainly looked to have maintained the form that earned him a PGA Tour Card via the Q-School; he was certainly in better form than Wood who missed the cut by four shots. In terms of the Middle East Swing, McLardy has been a regular in recent seasons and with some success: he has finished in the top-50 in seven of eight starts in this region in the last three years and has finished in the top-50 in all of his previous four visits to Abu Dhabi. That compares very favourably in comparison to Wood who is making his course debut and in his two starts in this region has missed the cut once and finished 42nd of 58 in Dubai two months ago.
I've got a limit of 305.25 GBP for 1st round matchups and outrights for Abu Dhabi ... it's just for the tournament matchups that I've got the higher limit.
Outrights:
Alexander Noren(40/1) e.w.
Paul Lawrie(200/1) e.w.
Nick Dougherty(150/1) e.w.
- - "(W)ill probably be won by one of the market leaders but its hardly worth backing them all to find out which one." I wish I had said that instead of borrowed it. What I planned on saying was it appears from the prices at both ends of the market as though all the leading suspects are being projected to be in mid-season form . . . The only short priced wager that I could justify was derived from Noren's performance in the Royal Trophy . . . Waiting until the start of 2010 to back Lawrie, and then doing so for a few weeks regardless of results, was "hatched as a plan" months ago after "popping early" last year at Gleneagles shortly after starting to work with Bob Torrance, and I was "right" in capping that the changes were not yet ready to hold up on Sunday . . . And for another soft spot that might be a blind spot, I think that notwithstanding any frigid form, Dougherty should never be classed at 150/1 in a European Tour event in a Ryder Cup year.
GL
Alexander Noren(40/1) e.w.
Paul Lawrie(200/1) e.w.
Nick Dougherty(150/1) e.w.
- - "(W)ill probably be won by one of the market leaders but its hardly worth backing them all to find out which one." I wish I had said that instead of borrowed it. What I planned on saying was it appears from the prices at both ends of the market as though all the leading suspects are being projected to be in mid-season form . . . The only short priced wager that I could justify was derived from Noren's performance in the Royal Trophy . . . Waiting until the start of 2010 to back Lawrie, and then doing so for a few weeks regardless of results, was "hatched as a plan" months ago after "popping early" last year at Gleneagles shortly after starting to work with Bob Torrance, and I was "right" in capping that the changes were not yet ready to hold up on Sunday . . . And for another soft spot that might be a blind spot, I think that notwithstanding any frigid form, Dougherty should never be classed at 150/1 in a European Tour event in a Ryder Cup year.
GL
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Round 2 plays (2pts):
Ian Poulter to beat Soren Hansen -115 @ Extrabet [also available @ Unibet]
Poulter has certainly started this season in the same form as he finished 2009 - including the non-Tour events, he ended last year with five top-10 finishes - and in the same form as in previous years on this course - he has finished in the top-10 in both his previous starts at Abu Dhabi. Now he ends day one in 1st place and that is a very good position in which to back him. In the last five occasions that he has been first round leader, he has gone on to win wire-to-wire on four of those occasions; on the other occasion, he fell only to 2nd place after the second round.
Ian Poulter to beat Soren Hansen -115 @ Extrabet [also available @ Unibet]
Poulter has certainly started this season in the same form as he finished 2009 - including the non-Tour events, he ended last year with five top-10 finishes - and in the same form as in previous years on this course - he has finished in the top-10 in both his previous starts at Abu Dhabi. Now he ends day one in 1st place and that is a very good position in which to back him. In the last five occasions that he has been first round leader, he has gone on to win wire-to-wire on four of those occasions; on the other occasion, he fell only to 2nd place after the second round.
Round 3 play (2pts):
Peter Hanson to beat Chris Wood -128 @ Pinnacle
Opposing Wood for two reasons: he shot 64 today so there would typically be a bounceback the following day and he is not proven in this situation: he has started the weekend in the top-10 only twice on Tour, shooting 73 and 79 on those two occasions.
Peter Hanson to beat Chris Wood -128 @ Pinnacle
Opposing Wood for two reasons: he shot 64 today so there would typically be a bounceback the following day and he is not proven in this situation: he has started the weekend in the top-10 only twice on Tour, shooting 73 and 79 on those two occasions.
Round 4 play (2pts):
Rory McIlroy to beat Martin Kaymer -113 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
Perfect situation for this match. Kaymer holds a one-shot lead over his playing partners, Rory McIlroy and Ian Poulter. with one round to play. Kaymer may have won four of the eight times that he has held the lead with one round to play, but his best round in this situation is 71 and he averages 73.5 ... that won't be good enough to beat either McIlroy or Poulter.
Rory McIlroy to beat Martin Kaymer -113 @ Pinnacle [available generally]
Perfect situation for this match. Kaymer holds a one-shot lead over his playing partners, Rory McIlroy and Ian Poulter. with one round to play. Kaymer may have won four of the eight times that he has held the lead with one round to play, but his best round in this situation is 71 and he averages 73.5 ... that won't be good enough to beat either McIlroy or Poulter.
- Jul 6, 2008
- 3,219
- 3
- 0
- Jul 6, 2008
- 3,219
- 3
- 0
Rory's swing is perfection. Stan i know you are keen on golf swings, thoughts?
Amazing symmetry, speed and balance.
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Amazing symmetry, speed and balance.
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