Saturday Leans...

Destructor D

Destructor
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Dec 6, 2005
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Gophers -2 vs. Michigan State - Minnesota is a team where fading them on the road is easy money, but they're 10-0 SU and 7-2 ATS at home this season. Spartans just 3-4 ATS on the road and they're horrid play vs. Iowa might be a fade sign as well.

Villanova -5.5 @ St. John's - Nova continues to be a profitable team having covered 7 of 8 and being 13-4 ATS this season. Nova also 6-0 in conference so surprised this line opened at 5... expect it to hit 7 by tip tomorrow.

Ohio State +6 @ West Vagina - Tough to not consider the Buckeyes as they have covered 4 of 5 since Turner returned to the lineup. West Vagina sliding as well going 3-7 ATS their last 10.

Kansas -11 @ Iowa State - Normally wouldn't even consider backing a double digit favorite on the road, but Cyclones are coming apart right now with injuries and their SG leaving the team. Gilstrap and Brackens are okay, but the rest of the team is really weak. KU could win by 20 if they show up focused.

Drake +5.5 vs. Wichita State - Been taking Drake a lot lately and they have been en feugo going 5-0 ATS their last 5 and winning 4 SU as Underdogs.

Kansas State -10 vs. Oklahoma State - Wildcats are very tough @ home as the country witnessed in their victory vs. Texas last Monday. Figured this line would be a little higher, but I don't believe the Pokes have the frontcourt to compete and their TINY guards will have their hands full @ Bramlage. KSU 6-0 ATS @ home!

Texas -2 @ UConn - Okay, I know Texas is coming off a tough loss where they played like absolute crap, but UConn has their own issues with Calhoun gone. Horns haven't covered 5 in a row so I might have to wait and see where this number lands... line hits 4, tough to not give UConn a serious look.

Michigan +11.5 @ Purdue - Boilermakers looked excellent in the 2nd half @ Illannoy, but Michigan is playing with some confidence right now and should keep this game competitive IMHO.

Northwestern -1.5 vs. Illannoy - I like fading the Illini as Webber is so annoying and Northwestern really needs this victory to keep on pace for an at-large berth. Illini 2-6 ATS away from Champaign and needed OT to beat Northwestern earlier this season.

Duke -1 @ Clemson - I hate Duke with a passion, but they have been decent ATS going 11-6 and already destroyed this Clemson team @ Cameron by 21 points. Not sure Little John is going to make the Tigers winners although they are 6-1 ATS @ home this season. Public squares will be all over Duke so I'm still in limbo.

Houston +8.5 @ Memphis - Going to continue fading this Memphis club when they face decent competition as they have been overvalued most of the season going a woeful 3-10 ATS.:scared

La Tech -7.5 @ Hawaii - Going to continue fading the Warriors as they lost to New Mexico State the other day after being up 12 at half. Hawaii is one of the worst teams in the country ATS going 2-10 on the season:scared . Bulldogs are 17-3 SU and 5-1 in conference along with 10-5 ATS. Late night blowout!:box2:
 

Destructor D

Destructor
Forum Member
Dec 6, 2005
8,632
133
63
Kansas City, MO
3 official plays and going to bed... will try to post more tomorrow, but who knows if I'll have time!

Gophers -2 for 6* - Tough team @ home.

Villanova -6 for 6.5* - Line already went up a 1/2 point since I posted earlier. If it climbs high enough, I might bet St. John's for a middle.

Kansas -11 for 10* - Really like this play with everything going absolutely wrong for Cyclones right now. Looks like a possible woodshed if KU can hold Brackens under 40... they couldn't last year.

GLTA
 

Destructor D

Destructor
Forum Member
Dec 6, 2005
8,632
133
63
Kansas City, MO
Adding Ohio State +6 for 6* - Should have played last night when line jumped to 6.5, but still like it.

Mississippi State Pick for 4* - I know, a public square play, but I really don't like much about this Alabama team.

Bama will be okay next year when Releford arrives. Watched a few minutes of Releford's game last night on TV and the kid is awesome. Ranked top 40 player in next year's class, but has a lot of flash and can really play the PG position.
 
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