Inside the Paint - Sunday

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LOKI
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Inside the Paint - Sunday


Gamblers looking to build their bankrolls for the pair of NFL Championships can do so with some early NBA afternoon matinees and then chase or press their bets with an evening showdown in Canada.

Let?s fill you in on all the details for each tilt and break ?em down!

1:00 p.m. EST - L.A. Clippers (19-23 SU, 20-21 ATS) at Washington (14-28 SU, 15-24 ATS)

It?s not the prettiest matchup but gamblers still have the opportunity to make some cash when the Clippers and Wizards go head-to-head at the Verizon Center. The Clippers and Lakers were both kicked out of the Staples Center due to ?Grammy Week? which ends on Sunday, Jan. 31.

Mike Dunleavy?s team started their eight-game road trip on Thursday with a 20-point (105-85) loss at Denver. The Clippers have struggled all year on the road (5-14 SU, 8-11 ATS) but they do have a chance to win here against Washington, who hasn?t been great at home (8-13 SU, 8-13 ATS).

Bettors looking at the total should note how the Clippers have watched the ?under? go 16-6 at Staples Center, but the ?over? has produced a 12-7 mark on the road. Prior to Thursday?s ?under? ticket in Denver, the Clips had watched the ?over? cash in six straight games. Make a note that the Wizards have seen the ?under? go 5-2 in their last seven.

Los Angeles defeated Washington 97-95 on Dec. 14 as a two-point home favorite in their first regular season meeting. The home team has won four straight in this series and the last two wins by the Wizards at home were by double digits. The ?over? is on a 3-1 run during this stretch.

1:05 p.m. EST ? Dallas (28-15 SU, 19-24 ATS) at New York (17-25 SU, 20-21 ATS)

The Mavericks wrap up their five-game road trip on Sunday with an afternoon matinee at Madison Square Garden against the Knicks. Dallas has started the trip by going 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS, and the two losses were by double digits. The offense has been missing for Rick Carlisle?s team (90 PPG) during this strech, and that?s helped the ?under? go 4-0. Despite the recent run, Dallas has proven to be a legit team on the road (15-8 SU, 14-9 ATS) this season.


New York has picked things up after a slow start but it still can?t find the right tune at home (10-12 SU, 11-10 ATS). The days of running and gunning under head coach Mike D?Antonio have gone away in his second season, which can be evidenced by a 25-17 ?under? record.

Even though Dallas is 2-8 ATS in its last 10, the oddsmakers still made the Mavs short favorites (-3) against New York and deservingly so. They?ve dominated New York recently, winning seven straight overall and three consecutive meetings at MSG. The Mavs have covered five of the games during this stretch, and all three road victories were by double digits. The ?under? has gone 5-2 in the last seven.

The Knicks are 5-6 ATS as home underdogs this year.

6:05 p.m. EST - L.A. Lakers (33-10 SU, 19-22 ATS) at Toronto (22-22 SU, 21-23 ATS)

Sunday?s three-game slate ends in Canada when the Lakers and Raptors battle from Air Canada Centre. Not surprisingly, Los Angeles opened as a road favorite and even though Toronto has been a tough out at home (14-6 SU, 11-9 ATS) this season, the team has gone just 3-5 ATS as home ?dogs. And if you look at the six losses that Toronto sustained at home, five of them came against quality opponents in the Magic (twice), Hawks, Celtics and Suns.

It?s more than fair to say that Los Angeles is on the same level with those clubs if not a step above. Phil Jackson?s team hasn?t played many games on the road (10-7 SU, 6-11 ATS) and they haven?t been kind to gamblers backing them outside the Staples Center. After losing at Cleveland (87-93) on Thursday, the Lakers bounced back on Friday with a win and cover at New York (115-105). Sunday?s game will be the third of an eight-game trip for the Purple and Gold and third game in four days, so fatigue could be a factor.

Toronto appeared to be turning the corner and finally got itself back to .500 but the team is 3-4 both SU and ATS in its last seven. The Raptors did rally past Milwaukee (101-96) on Friday but failed to cover as 6 ?-point home favorites.

The Lakers have captured four straight and seven of the previous eight meetings against the Raptors and that includes three of four in Toronto. Total players should make a note that the ?over? has cashed in four straight and the last two contests played in Canada saw a combined 222 points posted in each game.

Los Angeles has gone 13-2 against the Eastern Conference this year with both losses coming against the Cavs. Toronto owns a 7-7 ledger against the West.
 

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LOKI
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Trend Report - Sunday

Trend Report - Sunday

Trend Report - Sunday


Mavericks at Knicks ? The Mavericks are 9-0-1 ATS (13.2 ppg) since December 25, 2003 on the road after a road loss in which their DPA was negative. The Mavericks are 9-0 ATS (11.6 ppg) since January 28, 2008 on the road when their DPS was minus 15 points or less in their previous game. The Knicks are 5-0 ATS (4.8 ppg) since April 02, 1998 at home after a game at home in which they committed at least ten fewer turnovers than in the game before.

Lakers at Raptors ? The Lakers are 0-8 ATS (-13.1 ppg) since December 01, 2004 on the road after a road win in which they scored more than 30% of their points from the three-point line. The Raptors are 0-7 ATS (-11.7 ppg) since April 17, 2006 at home off a home win in which they trailed by 10+ points. The Raptors are 0-6 ATS (-5.5 ppg) since March 22, 1996 at home with at least one day of rest after a win in which their opponent shot at least twenty three-pointers and made less than 25% of them.

Clippers at Wizards ? The Clippers are 8-0 ATS (8.6 ppg) since December 23, 2005 on the road after a road loss in which their DPS was minus 15 points or less. The Wizards are 0-7-2 ATS (-9.1 ppg) since January 16, 1998 at home with at most one day of rest after a double digit home loss in which their opponent shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them.
 

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LOKI
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Sunday's best NBA bets

Sunday's best NBA bets

Sunday's best NBA bets


Los Angeles Clippers at Washington Wizards (N/A)

This is the second leg of an eight-game road trip for the Clippers. The team has been awful away from the Hollywood spotlight this season (5-14 SU, 8-11 ATS) and the road woes won?t get much easier for L.A. without the services of Eric Gordon.

Gordon missed Thursday?s game versus the Nuggets with a toe injury and is listed as day to day. The Clips are 3-7 overall and 2-8 ATS without Gordon in the lineup this season.

"That's another scorer, another threat, another person that stretches the defense," Baron Davis said of Gordon. "It's just like every time we gear up to get ready to make a push, two or three people get hurt.?

Los Angeles' management called up JamesOn Curry from the D-League to fill the void in the team?s backcourt as reserve guard Sebastian Telfair is also dealing with an injury.

The Clip-Joint held a one-point lead over Denver at the half Thursday, but the lack of depth on the bench proved to be too much as they were outscored 58-37 in the second half.

L.A. is 0-12 on the road this season when failing to reach the century mark and Washington has held four of its last six opponents to fewer than 100 points.

Pick: Wizards

Los Angeles Lakers at Toronto Raptors (N/A)

Toronto utilized a different lineup and defense to rally from as many as 15 down and earn a 101-96 win over the Bucks Friday.

The zone defense installed by coach Jay Triano helped slow down center Andrew Bogut who has having his way in the paint while the offensively-potent lineup of Chris Bosh, Jarrett Jack, Jose Calderon, Marco Belinelli and Hedo Turkoglu dumped in 33 fourth-quarter points.

"I didn't imagine it going in," Triano said of the lineup change. "We just had to find a way to create some energy. We just seemed very flat in the first half, lethargic.?

"We just threw them off a little bit. We wanted to give them a different look because their offense was really working,? said Bosh of the zone defense. ?But we did throw them off and we stuck with it."

With the Lakers daunting inside presence of Pau Gasol and Andrew Bynum, the Raptors will likely need to break out the 2-3 zone defense again Sunday.

Toronto has won eight of its last nine home games, going 6-3 ATS during that span.

Pick: Raptors
 

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LOKI
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Aug 30, 2002
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Today's NBA Picks

Today's NBA Picks

Today's NBA Picks
Dallas at New York
The Knicks look to take advantage of a Dallas team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games as a favorite between 1 and 4 1/2 points. New York is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: New York (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JANUARY 24
Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST
Game 801-802: LA Clippers at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 118.329; Washington 116.293
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+2 1/2); Under
Game 803-804: Dallas at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 117.841; New York 117.586
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 3 1/2; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+3 1/2); Over
Game 805-806: LA Lakers at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 122.194; Toronto 121.251
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1; 206
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 4 1/2; 208
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+4 1/2); Under
 
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