Northern Trust Open - Riviera

lostinamerica

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Outrights:


Charles Howell(50/1) e.w.
- - I've been waiting 2 days . . . During the telecast of the first round at Torrey Pines (SC), the commentator (maybe Billy Andrade?) mentioned that CHIII was feeling very good about his game and what he was working on in the off season, "but the putting just hasn't come around" . . . I much prefer the story that gets told by following a player on PGA Shot Tracker than looking at some stat compilations at the end of each round and each tournament, and what I tracked for CHIII the next three days was some obviously excellent sharpness in his short game and scrambling, making most of the putts any potential contender should have no business missing, but not being able to make much of anything more than this very modest quota. While his driving appeared spotty on Shot Tracker, he must have been in some decent spots because his approaches appeared to be very much as they should be . . . Simply put, since about Saturday to me, Charles has looked fairly primed to ease himself into a run that is fueled by his putter rather than doused by his putter.


Fred Couples(80/1) e.w.
- - I've been waiting over 2 weeks . . . In his Champions Tour debut, Couples putted beautifully from start to finish, and oh-by-the-way, did so while engaged in a duel with Tom Watson that I am sure at the end of the year will rank as one of the season's best on any Tour. Simply put, down the stretch they came, and the twitchy stroke never made a single appearance. If there's a "next venue" where something comparable might be tapped into, it magically appears next on the calendar.


Rich Beem(250/1) e.w.
and
Rich Beem(200/1) e.w. 1st Round Leader
- - I've been waiting almost 2 weeks . . . Simply put, there are a few plays that for a variety of different reasons I am duty bound to make every season: Appleby at Firestone, Mediate at Arnie's place, Garrido at Open de Espana, Dougherty at Wentworth, and Beem at Riviera immediately come to mind (Mediate, Garrido and Appleby have already paid for a slew of those past and future wagers with their very memorable runner-up finishes). This year, I caught Beem on television for just a single hole while he was chasing the cut on Sunday at the Bob Hope, and I believed I could palpably sense he had percolating within him a sweet week at his favorite venue.


I'll likely have one or two more plays, too.

damn, where did u get beem 250-1
Like 75-100 of my plays every year, only through the assistance of someone with accounts not available to criminals residing from Alabama to Wyoming. Possibly BetFred on this one.


GL
 
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DerrickTulips

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Outrights:

Charles Howell(50/1) e.w.
- - I've been waiting 2 days.

Fred Couples(80/1) e.w.
- - I've been waiting over 2 weeks.

Rich Beem(250/1) e.w.
- - I've been waiting almost 2 weeks.

Will add thoughts on each later, and will likely have one or two more plays, too.

GL

Yup on Couples, at least for a top 10.
 

scrub

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I never thought i would have something in common with Phil Mickelson.We are both going for 3 in a row. So who has a better shot Phil winning 3 in a row or me picking 3 in a row.They have both been 80-1!!!!!!I am waiting until tuesday for odds so i will be back......
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Missed again by one shot with Sneds

ODDS TO WIN NORTHERN TRUST OPEN RORY SABBATINI +3000

ODDS TO WIN NORTHERN TRUST OPEN DUSTIN JOHNSON +6000
 

DerrickTulips

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I really like KJ Choi.. just started looking at stats,
but second last week in driving accuracy, 3rd in GIR's.. sick record here.


First bet is Wi +105 over Kelly (72).. too much value here to pass up.

Also Wi +100 over Kelly (18)
 
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DerrickTulips

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Baird -120 over Piercy (72 holes)
Baird -120 over Piercy (18 holes)

Really like Baird in any first round, he is a lot better ball striker. Should come back refreshed
 
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DerrickTulips

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Merrick -115 over 3 putt Matteson (72)
Merrick -110 over matteson (18)
 
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DerrickTulips

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Parlayed the 3 above plays
$28.65 $167.75 Pending 3 Team Parlay
Pending 2/4/10 10:00am PGA Golf 123 John Merrick (Tourn) -115* vs Troy Matteson (Tourn)
Pending 2/4/10 10:00am PGA Golf 182 Charlie Wi (Tourn) +100* vs Jerry Kelly (Tourn)
Pending 2/4/10 10:00am PGA Golf 187 Briny Baird (Tourn) -120* vs Scott Piercy (Tourn)


No idea with the random numbers :mj07: Was trying to use the parlay as a portion of my tourney plays..

BOL to me.
 
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DerrickTulips

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Ok last post til thursday.. plays that i liked that just missed the cut.

Els over Paddy
Couples over Bubba
Bradley over Wagner


BOL to all ..
 

Tommyjay

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Outright to win-
J B Holmes 101.00 sia

J B was not my first choice. Sabbatini was my first choice, but his odds slid dramatically downward to no value land. As did Choi, my second choice.

Holmes is an interesting character. A 2- time winner who gets virtually no respect from cappers and fans. He always looks a little frazzled to me, and can get that "deer in the headlights" look occasionally. Reminds me of Adam Scott in a way, plays professional golf yet looks like his mind is doing something else.

He was a member of the '08 Ryder Cup, and if he wants to do that again, he needs a big run first half of this year. This is the guy who was on his high school golf team while in the 3rd grade. Won medalist honors at Q-school '05.

100 to 1. Thank you for that gift.
 

Tommyjay

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Couples over Love -110

This is a match of a guy who could withdraw at any second, versus a guy who could withdraw at any second. That seems like a joke, but it's true. I took Fred in this case because he is really fit right now and pumped up to play golf, which is not allways the case. Love, who was on my permanent fade list, then off it for awhile last year, is back on it again. Why? I just feel he is losing it faster than the oddsmakers realize. More value to fade Love than to back Love. It's just that simple.

Couples is a weird cat. I have always really liked him as a golfer and as a personality. He is going to have a strange window of time, one or two years, where he can play the tour and the senior tour at the same time. I think he is going to really try to do well at both. Nothing complicated, just make a quiet statement.

glaa to everyone.
 

AK2009Masters

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one play

one play

just played jb holmes -130 over j leonard ... more anti leonard than anything and not laying -180 with k suth ... gl
 

Tommyjay

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I forgot one thing.

Congratulations to Scrub for his 2nd in a row, big win. Unreal. I'm really happy for you. Two 80-1 shots in 2 weeks, damnation.

You do realize that a parlay there would have paid a staggering 6400-1.

Keep it up. Get greedy.
 

Dallasbetgolf

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Sabbatini 25-1 Win, 12 1/2 Place, 6-1 Show

Rollins 50-1 Win, 25-1 Place, 12 1/2 Show

Dustin Johnson 50-1 Win, 25-1 Place, 12 1/2 Show

Couples 60-1 Win, 30-1 Place, 15-1 Show

Good luck to all, and congrats to Scrub for an incredible start!
 
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c20916

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Need to get back in positive territory here:

To win:
Choi 30-1
Howell 25-1

72 holes

Singh -105 ov Love
Weir -115 ov Clark
Paddy +135 ov Els - price seems a bit steep for Els

1st Round
Ames -.5 +105 ov Love III W
Furyk -115 ov Harrington W
Moore -110 ov Snedeker L

Rd 2 plays
Cabrera -110 ov Cink
Janzen ev ov Pavin
Sutherland -115 ov Holmes
 
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scrub

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Ok first i would like to thank all for the kind words.and tommyjay now you tell me about a parlay lol. ok well i go for 3 peat so i am throwing 3 extra players i like to pick 5 total but i have won this tournamet before and some guys i cant throw out.


Allenby 20-1 100 units ok you all know how much i have lost on him before he did get me two wins over seas this winter)

Furyk 20-1 40 units
Howell 40-1 30 units
Love 60-1 30 units
Ames 60-1 30 units
Senden 80-1 20 units
Romero 100-1 20 units
Weir 30-1 50 units

3 match-ups i love so here we go

Allenby +105 over Stricker 1,000 units
Weir -110 over Scott 1,000 units
Baddeley -110 over Baddeley 550 units

glta i threw out sutherland,leonard,donald,campbell and moore
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Going to try some Match Ups

1st Round
D JOHNSON -105 (A CABRERA vrs D JOHNSON)

4 Round
D JOHNSON -130 (D JOHNSON vrs C CAMPBELL)
 
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