NBA WED 02102010 - Early Thoughts and Value Hunting

[JBrilman]

New day guys! Lets crush the books today!

Early Leans

ORL -4.5
CHA -2
PHO -9 (this could be a big time BLOWOUT)
LAC -1.5 (I can see BD getting motivated for this game)

edit - after the queries I ran below Charlotte may no longer be a play. The over might be a better look.

 

[BillyBatts]

Need a winner

Need a winner

Going to try the ONE best bet on the board today, to get back to winning.

Early Leans
Heat +7
Nets +5 :scared
Bulls-Magic under 196.5
Hornets +4.5 (possible POD)
Suns -9 and over (I agree JB, could get ugly. Can we get a query playing at Pho on 2nd of a b2b this year? Thanks in advance)


Gonna need some help fellas, just not seeing it the last few days. Crazy how that works. :shrug:
Let's find us some winners!!:toast:

 

[JBrilman]

Minny playing b2b away then home

Minny playing b2b away then home

team=Timberwolves and p:site=away and site=home and rest=0 and 20091030<=date

SU: 2-2 (2.2)
ATS: 4-0-0 (7.5) avg line: 5.2
O/U: 3-1-0 (4.9) avg total: 200.9

 

[JBrilman]

CHARLOTTE b2b home then away

CHARLOTTE b2b home then away

team=Bobcats and p:site=home and site=away and rest=0 and 20091030<=date

SU: 1-5 (-4.7)
ATS: 3-1-2 (1.4) avg line: 6.1
O/U: 3-3-0 (-4.1) avg total: 184.8

 

[40seven]

Fellas

Fellas

What a card.


Not sure how many to play, but not many...

I Love Under in Atlanta and the Suns -9.

Get the Suns early if you are going to play cus it is going to go up....

I cannot see the Suns game going Over.

I agree with BB the Hornets are my early POD lean and maybe the Nets, even the Bulls...

more later

47

 

[40seven]

Question of the day

Question of the day

The big unknowns are

will the Heat play 2 in a row well?

Can the Bucks bounce back or....alot of support last night is it gone?

Twolves like the Bucks????

 

[JBrilman]

40

40

Careful with the Bulls, Orlando has had a resurgence and Bulls front line will have all it can handle with Howard which lets Carter and Lewis do there thing. Also a revenge game for Orlando.

 

[BillyBatts]

No way

No way

Going to try the ONE best bet on the board today, to get back to winning.

Early Leans
Heat +7
Nets +5 :scared
Bulls-Magic under 196.5
Hornets +4.5 (possible POD)
Suns -9 and over (I agree JB, could get ugly. Can we get a query playing at Pho on 2nd of a b2b this year? Thanks in advance)


Gonna need some help fellas, just not seeing it the last few days. Crazy how that works. :shrug:
Let's find us some winners!!:toast:

EDIT-- info on Suns:director:
Phoenix is on a 1-6 ATS run against teams playing with no rest, while Portland is 9-3 ATS on the second of a back-to-back.



Take the Heat off my leans.
The Heat playing with no rest has been a disaster for Miami backers, as Dwyane Wade's team is 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS on the second of a back-to-back. On the flip side, the Hawks have thrived against tired clubs, going 11-3 SU/ATS against teams on no rest. At home, Atlanta is 7-2 ATS in this situation.

:scared

 

[JBrilman]

EDIT-- info on Suns:director:
Phoenix is on a 1-6 ATS run against teams playing with no rest, while Portland is 9-3 ATS on the second of a back-to-back.

I don't think either of those stats tells the whole story. How many of those 7 games phoenix went 1-6 were at home? How many of the Blazers games were without ROY.

I think Portland just wants to get to the Allstar break ASAP, they looked just beat up last night.

 

[BillyBatts]

Very true

Very true

I don't think either of those stats tells the whole story. How many of those 7 games phoenix went 1-6 were at home? How many of the Blazers games were without ROY.

I think Portland just wants to get to the Allstar break ASAP, they looked just beat up last night.

Nice points, but scary to say the least. I think I like the over more there. Any opinion on the over in the Raps game guys??:sadwave:

 

[JBrilman]

I think I like the over more there. Any opinion on the over in the Raps game guys??:sadwave:

You took the words outta my mouth. I like both overs and I like the FH overs EVEN MORE!!! :00hour

 

[BillyBatts]

Plays

Plays

Updated Recent record

37-19 W/L
11-6 POD's

Locked in :director:

Bobs-Wolves OVER 198.5 POD
Over is 4-0 in Bobcats last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
Over is 8-0 in Timberwolves last 8 games playing on 0 days rest
Over is 5-1 in Bobcats last 6 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Over is 9-2 in Bobcats last 11 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Over is 8-2 in Bobcats last 10 overall.
Over is 7-1 in Timberwolves last 8 overall
Over is 5-0 in Timberwolves last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points
Over is 4-1 in Bobcats last 5 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Over is 6-2 in Bobcats last 8 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.


May add one more later.Still looking at 76ers +6 and over 210
and Suns -9 and over 209.5
Still like the Hornets, but probably not ebough to play.

Best of luck fellas, let's get back to winning. :toast:

 

[kenman]

Suns -9 and over (I agree JB, could get ugly. Can we get a query playing at Pho on 2nd of a b2b this year? Thanks in advance)

POR on a b2b... away vs PHO since 2000 season are:

SU: 0-6 (-11.3)
ATS: 1-5-0 (-2.1) avg line: 9.2
O/U: 4-2-0 (5.6) avg total: 200.1

team=Trailblazers and p:site=home and site=away and rest=0 and season>=2000 and o:team=Suns

don't know if this is what you looking for??:shrug: :shrug:


here one that fit your ORL/CHI UN...

ORL are 2-14 O/U when allowed opponent scored more than 100pts previous game.

SU: 9-7 (3.1)
ATS: 5-8-3 (-3.7) avg line: -6.8
O/U: 2-14-0 (-8.8) avg total: 199.6

season=2009 and pooints>100 and team=Magic



BOL

 

[jim844]

BOL BB!
bounce back from yest no worries

FWIW I like the sixers, hornets, kings, phx all ATS and the sixers/raps over loooks tempting

 

[40seven]

Did you watch the PTB

Did you watch the PTB

You took the words outta my mouth. I like both overs and I like the FH overs EVEN MORE!!! :00hour

Last Night? The only thing they could get over is a toilet be careful, maybe no play, i do not know.:mj07:

 

[40seven]

OM Is a

OM Is a

Under machine, and Vegas knows it but the fans keep betting over

 

[JBrilman]

Charlotte has a chance to go into the break above .500

Charlotte has a chance to go into the break above .500

Anyone think they come motivated tonight?

 

[Joe_Vienna]

Lets bounce back!!!


Final card

Clippers @ Warriors U214.5 (POD)
Heat @ Hawks O191

BOLTA :sadwave:
Joe

 

[grindstone]

Took it in the teeth last night

One play

Phil + 7 got this early , but still has value at Phil + 6

 

[barts185]

Took it in the teeth last night

One play

Phil + 7 got this early , but still has value at Phil + 6

Defeinitely lean PHI, just concerned how much players are going to try the last game before the break.

They are not making the playoffs, there are likely to be trades before the deadline next week (don't have anything specific, but if I were a gambling man, I'd bet that way )


Good Luck,
Bart