tourney trends

[shawn555]

COLONIAL ATHLETIC ASSOCIATION

TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES:

DELAWARE: 1-4-1 ATS off SUATS win, 0-4 ATS off DD win, 0-4 ATS vs #3 or higher seed, 4-1 vs #4 or lower seed…

DREXEL: 1-5 ATS vs opp off BB SU wins, 1-4 ATS as #4 seed or lower…

GEORGE MASON: 8-1 ATS vs opp off DD win, 5-1 vs opp off SU dog win, 6-2-1 ATS vs #1 or #2 seed, 1-4 ATS off DD ATS loss...

GEORGIA ST: 4-0 ATS in this tourney, 3-0 ATS with same-season double revenge…

HOFSTRA: 3-1 SUATS vs #6 or lower seed, 3-0 ATS L3 as favs, 1-4 ATS vs op off DD SU win, 0-3 SUATS vs #1 seed, 0-4 ATS off SU dog win...

JAMES MADISON: 5-0 ATS w/ > 3 days rest vs opp off SUATS loss, 7-1-1 ATS fav 9 < points, 6-2 ATS vs opp off BB wins...

NC WILMINGTON: 10-1 SU & 8-2-1 ATS 1st game, 10-3 ATS vs opp off DD SU win, 4-1 ATS w/ same-season double revenge, 20-7-3 ATS in all conference tourney games S/96...

NORTHEASTERN: 3-1 ATS off DD win, 2-0 ATS w/4+ days of rest…

OLD DOMINION: 5-1-1 ATS vs #5 seed, 8-2 ATS as favs vs opp off DD SU win, 0-4 ATS vs opp off SU favorite loss, 2-7 ATS 1st game...

TOWSON ST: 3-0 ATS DD dog, 3-1 ATS off SU win, 2-0 ATS vs #1 or #2 seed…VCU: 8-2 ATS as favs vs opp off DD SU win, 1-6-1 ATS dog, 2-8 ATS off win 9 > points, 2-7 ATS off SU win vs opp off BB SU wins...

WILLIAM & MARY: 0-10 ATS dog 7 < points, 0-8 SU & 1-6 ATS vs #1-3 seeds, 0-6 ATS vs opp off BB losses, 2-17 SU & 4-15 ATS L19 games, 2-7 ATS with revenge, 3-13 ATS 1st game.

TECH NOTES:
Teams off SU fav loss are 12-4 ATS… DD favs off win 15 > points are 3-9 ATS… #1 seeds are 18-0 SU & 13-4-1 ATS… #3 seeds are 11-3 ATS as dogs or favorites 3 < points… #4 seeds are 2-6 ATS as favorites 4 > points… #6 seeds are 2-9 ATS L11 games… #8 seeds are 1-10 ATS L11 games.

HORIZON CONFERENCE

TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES:

BUTLER: 1-6 ATS dog or favorite < 8 points, 0-4 ATS off BB SU wins, 1-5-1 ATS as #1 or #2 seed, 2-7 ATS vs opp off SU win...

CLEVELAND ST: 0-6 SUATS in this tourney...

DETROIT: 4-0-1 ATS vs opp off SUATS loss, 6-1 ATS favs 2 > pts, 0-2 ATS vs opp off SU dog win...

ILLINOIS CHICAGO: 10-3 ATS in this tourney, including 6-0 ATS as a dog...

4-0 ATS vs opp off SU loss...

LOYOLA CHI: 3-0 ATS vs opp off SUATS loss, 4-1 ATS as #5 or lowers seed, 4-1 ATS off DD SU win, 0-2 ATS as DD dogs...

VALPARAISO: incomplete (joined conference this season)…

WISCONSIN-GREEN BAY: 3-1 ATS L4 as favs, 3-1 ATS vs opp off BB SU wins, 0-3 ATS off BB SU wins, 0-3 ATS vs #3 or higher seed, 1-3 ATS w/ revenge…

WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE: 3-0 ATS vs revenge, 3-0 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 1-3 ATS vs #2 or #3 seed…

WRIGHT ST: 2-0 ATS off DD SU win, 0-2 ATS off BB SU wins, 1-3 ATS L4 as dogs, 1-3 ATS vs opp off DD SU win, 1-5 ATS as #4 or lower seed…

YOUNGSTOWN ST: 0-3 ATS dogs off SU win, 0-3 dogs < 10 pts, 1-3 ATS vs #4 or higher seed.

TECH NOTES:
Teams off win 14 > points are 18-9-1… dogs with revenge are 3-17-1 ATS… #1 seeds are 5-1 ATS L3Y… #2 seeds are 4-1 ATS as dogs or favorites < 3 points… #9 seeds are 1-7 ATS L8 games.

MISSOURI VALLEY CONFERENCE

TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES:

BRADLEY: 2-11 ATS off a win of 8 or more points, 1-6 ATS vs opp off SUATS win, 6-12 ATS off a SUATS win, 3-5 SUATS vs .750 > opp…

CREIGHTON: 7-0 SUATS vs #1 or #2 seed, 11-2 ATS vs > .666 opp, 16-3 ATS off BB wins, 18-3 SU & 16-5 ATS S/99, 11-1 off BB SUATS wins… DRAKE: 6-2 ATS L8 with DD loss revenge, 0-8 SU & 2-6 ATS vs #1-2 seeds, 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS vs > .700 opp, 2-8 SU L10 games...

EVANSVILLE: 2-8-1 ATS off a win, 1-6-1 ATS L9 off BB wins, 1-6-1 ATS L6 w/ same-season double revenge, 1-6 SU & 2-5 ATS vs opp off a loss...

ILLINOIS ST: 7-1-1 ATS off a win with 3+ days of rest, 10-3 SU & 9-4 ATS vs #7-10 seeds, 2-7-2 ATS L11 games, 1-4-1 ATS vs #1 or #2 seed...

INDIANA ST: 6-1 ATS off loss, 5-1 ATS vs opp off SUATS loss, 3-9 ATS off SUATS win...

MISSOURI ST: 5-0 ATS w/ 3 + days rest vs opp off SUATS win, 4-0 SUATS vs #7 or lower seed, 12-1 SU & 8-4 ATS 1st game, 2-5 SU & 1-6 ATS vs #2 seed...

NORTHERN IOWA: 5-2-1 ATS off BB wins, 9-4 (1-3 L4) ATS vs opp off a win, 1-4-1 ATS vs #8 or lower seed, 2-7 vs foe off SU loss...

SOUTHERN ILLINOIS: 13-1 SU & 9-4-1 ATS vs #6 or lower seed, 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS w/ revenge, 1-5 SUATS off SUATS win vs .700 > opp...

WICHITA ST: 6-17 SU & 9-14 ATS L23G games, 0-13 SU & 4-9 ATS vs #1-4 seeds, 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS vs > .660 and < .725 opp, 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS off DD win.

TECH NOTES:
Higher seeded favorites are 57-5 SU & 41-19 ATS in first round games (no Donkey games)… .700 > teams are 29-0 SU & 21-6-2 ATS vs < .555 opponents… teams that are 3-0 SUATS L3 games are 18-9 ATS, including 11-2 ATS as dogs… teams with win percentage .280 < are 10-4 ATS… teams off BB losses are 1-7 ATS with revenge vs opp off BB wins...#2 seeds are 11-1 ATS L12 games and 25-11 ATS as dogs or favorites of < 10 points...#7 seeds are 6-16-1 ATS L23 games...#9 seeds are 7-12-1 ATS L20 games...#9 Seeds 0-6 ATS off a SU win.

SUN BELT CONFERENCE

TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES:

ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK: 0-6 SUATS vs higher seeded teams, 1-8 ATS off a win...

ARKANSAS ST: 3-8 ATS L11 games, 0-4 ATS w/ revenge…

DENVER: 3-1 ATS off SUATS loss, 4-2 ATS dog 5 > points, 4-2 ATS vs #4 or lower seeds…

FLORIDA ATLANTIC: incomplete (joined conference last season)…

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL: 5-2 ATS 7 games, 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS vs foe that was favored last game…

LA LAFAYETTE: 13-5 SU & 9-7 ATS all games, 6-2 ATS dog or favorite < 3 points...

LA MONROE: incomplete (joined conference last season)…

MIDDLE TENN ST: 5-2 ATS vs opp off win, 6-2 ATS vs < 600 opp…

NEW ORLEANS: 0-5 SUATS vs .625 > opp, 3-11 ATS (2-5 ATS as a favorite) all games...

NORTH TEXAS: 8-1 ATS off loss or win 18 < points, 4-2 ATS pick or dog …

SOUTH ALABAMA: 6-0 ATS fav > 6 points, 8-4 ATS vs #2 or lower seed...

TROY: 2-0 ATS dogs, 2-0 ATS off DD win, 2-0 ATS as #6 seed…

WESTERN KENTUCKY: 10-5 ATS vs opp off BB SU wins (4-0 ATS as DD favorite).

TECH NOTES:
.730 > teams are 13-5 ATS (8-1 ATS w/ rest)...DD favorites are 8-2 ATS...#3 seeds are 5-18 ATS (2-10 ATS pick or dog)… #4 seeds are 5-15 ATS… #5 seeds are 11-4 ATS as dogs.

WEST COAST CONFERENCE

TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES:

GONZAGA: 18-1 SU all games, 4-0 SUATS after scoring 72 < points, 4-0 SUATS vs opp scored 61 < points last game…

LOYOLA MARYMOUNT: 3-0 ATS vs opp favored -12 > last game, 1-4 SUATS vs #2-5 seeds…

PEPPERDINE: 0-5 ATS vs opp off ATS loss > 1 point, 1-5 ATS 1st game, 1-4 ATS off BB SUATS wins...

PORTLAND: 3-1 ATS vs a opp off a DD win, 1-8 SU all games, 1-5 ATS vs opp off loss or win 6 < points...

SANTA CLARA: 8-1 ATS vs opp off ATS loss or win < 3 points...

6-1 ATS a favorite, 6-1-1 ATS off BB wins...

SAN DIEGO 5-0 ATS off SUATS loss, 1-5 ATS vs opp off win 16 > points...

SAN FRANCISCO: 0-8 SU & 1-7 ATS vs #5 or higher seed, 1-6 ATS dog, 1-5 SUATS off loss or win < 6 points…

SAINT MARYS: 7-0 SU & 6-0-1 ATS vs #3 or lower seed, 0-8 SUATS vs #1-2 seed, 0-5 ATS DD dog, 0-5 SUATS w/ same-season single revenge 10 > points, 0-4-1 ATS vs opp off BB wins.

TECH NOTES:
Teams off BB SUATS losses are 7-4 ATS...dogs are 8-47 SU & 18-36-1 ATS (6-23-1 ATS +7 <) in this tourney...teams with win percentage of .425 < are 4-20 SU & 8-16 ATS… #8 seeds are 0-8 SU & 1-7 ATS.

 

[shawn555]

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE

TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES:

BOSTON COLLEGE: 6-1 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 8-2 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins, 10-3-1 ATS w/ 3+ days rest, 12-4 ATS vs #5-12 seeds...

CLEMSON: 0-8 SU vs .750 > opp, 0-7 SU 2nd game, 2-8 ATS when allow > 75 points...

DUKE: 0-4 SUATS as a dog or favorite of 3 < points, 1-6 ATS vs #5 or #6 seeds, 1-6 ATS after score < 74 points, 2-7 ATS off ATS win > 4 points, 5-12 ATS off a SUATS win...

FLORIDA ST: 7-3 ATS with a win percentage of .600, 0-5 ATS as a Double Digit dog, 0-10 SU vs #1-3 seeds...

GEORGIA TECH: 7-1 ATS in 2nd game, 0-4 ATS vs opp off SU fav loss, 1-9 SUATS when win percentage < .600, 1-7 ATS off a loss, 3-10 ATS in 1st game...

MARYLAND: 5-1 ATS vs opp off SUATS loss, 7-2 ATS 1st game off win with 3 + days rest, 1-6 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins, 2-10 ATS 2nd game, 1-6 ATS vs foe off BB SUATS wins...

MIAMI FLA: 5-0 ATS off SU dog win, 5-2 ATS vs #2 and #3 seeds, 0-5 SUATS as a #4-6 seed, 2-12 SU as a tourney dog 3 > points...

NC STATE: 11-1 ATS1st game, 5-1 ATS off loss vs opp off win, 8-2 ATS pick-or-favorite, 7-2 ATS off SUATS loss...

NORTH CAROLINA: 11-3 ATS 1st game, 10-0 SU & 7-2-1 ATS vs #7 or lower seed, 6-3 ATS dog, 5-1 ATS off DD SU loss, 6-2 ATS fav off DD SU win...

VIRGINIA: 5-1 ATS favorite, 4-1-1 ATS L6 games, 0-4-1 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins, 3-8 ATS1st game...

VIRGINIA TECH: 5-0-1 w/ same-season single revenge, 4-0-1 ATS DD dog, 1-5 ATS favorite > 3 points, 2-5 ATS vs revenge…

WAKE FOREST: 0-11 SU & 2-9 ATS vs opp fav > 7 points last game, 1-6 ATS favorite > 2 points, 2-5 ATS vs revenge, 1-4 w/ same-season double revenge.

TECH NOTES:
Favorites off 3-0 SU & ATS L3 games are 0-5-1 ATS...the SU winner of games in this tourney is 117-28-2 ATS since 1991...teams who score 90 > points in this tourney are 20-2 SU & 19-3 ATS… #1 seeds are 6-1 ATS as favorites of > 17 points… #5 seeds are 1-6 ATS as favorites...#7 seeds are 3-1 ATS off a loss 13 > points and 1-5 ATS off a win 9 > points...#9 seeds are 1-6 ATS as dogs 10 > pts.

ATLANTIC TEN CONFERENCE

TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES:

CHARLOTTE: 8-2 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins, 1-7 ATS L8 games, 1-6 ATS off a loss, 1-6 ATS with revenge…

DAYTON: 5-0 ATS DD favorite, 7-1-1 ATS 1st game, 1-11 ATS as a dog…

DUQUESNE: 0-6 SU 2nd game, 2-8 ATS w/ revenge, 6-2 ATS L8 as favorite, 1-6 ATS off a SU win...

FORDHAM: 2-10 SU 1st game, 0-6 dog > 3 pts, 1-5 as #5 or higher seed...

GEORGE WASHINGTON: 13-2 ATS off DD win, 5-1 SUATS as a #1 seed, 10-2 ATS as a favorite, 12-3 ATS overall L4Y, 8-3 ATS 1st game...

LA SALLE: 4-1 ATS vs revenge, 1-6-1 ATS as a dog 5 > points, 2-10 SUATS vs #1-4 seeds…

MASSACHUSETTS: 6-1 ATS vs a foe off BB SUATS wins, 6-1 ATS vs Temple in L7 games, 5-1 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 12-6 ATS as a dog...

RHODE ISLAND: 6-2 ATS as a favorite, 3-8 ATS L11 games, 2-8 ATS off a SU dog win, 1-5 ATS off BB SUATS wins...

RICHMOND: 4-2 ATS 1st game, 1-8-1 ATS as a dog 2 > points…

ST. BONAVENTURE: 5-1 ATS off a loss of 8 > points, 0-4 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 1-7 ATS as 2nd Round dog < 10 points, 2-7 ATS as a dog < 7 points...

ST. JOSEPH'S: 5-1 ATS vs opp off BB losses, 17-6-1 ATS vs opp off a loss or win of 13 < points, 3-9-1 ATS as a dog, 2-9-1 ATS 2nd game...

SAINT LOUIS: 7-2 ATS off a loss, 11-5 ATS 1st game...

TEMPLE: 17-2 SU 1st game, 2-9 ATS off BB SUATS wins, 6-12 SUATS as a favorite < 4 points, 2-7 SUATS as a dog, 0-4 w/ same-season double revenge, 6-2 vs opp off SU dog win...

XAVIER: 10-2 ATS L12 games, 2-7 ATS w/ 3 + days rest vs opp off DD win, 1-6 ATS vs opp with revenge off DD SU win.

TECH NOTES:
Dogs off a SU dog win are 3-34 SU & 10-27 ATS...favs of < 13 points are 100-50-3 ATS (48-17-2 ATS vs opp off BB wins, including 24-6 ATS vs opp off a SUATS loss - 13-2 ATS if opp off BB SUATS losses)...#2 seeds are 8-1 ATS L9 as favorite but 0-4 SUATS L4 as dog)...#5 seeds are 5-18 ATS L23 as dog.

BIG EAST CONFERENCE

TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES:

CINCINNATI: 11-2-1 ATS vs #1-4 seed, 10-2 ATS home, 8-2 ATS off a SUATS win...

CONNECTICUT: 19-7 SU L22 games, 4-1 ATS vs #1 or #2 seed, 0-6 ATS w/ 3+ days rest vs opp off BB SUATS wins, 0-5 ATS w/ revenge, 1-4 off SUATS loss...

DEPAUL: 4-0 ATS vs #6-7 seeds, 4-0-1 ATS vs opp w/ revenge off BB SUATS wins, 8-2 ATS off SU loss...

GEORGETOWN: 16-1 SU 1st game, 3-12 ATS w/ revenge (0-6 ATS favorite), 4-12 ATS off BB wins (0-6 ATS w/ revenge)...

LOUISVILLE: 0-5 ATS vs .800 > opp, 1-10-2 ATS off ATS win 5 > points, 1-9 ATS 2nd game, 3-11-1 ATS off SUATS win (1-7 ATS off BB wins)...

MARQUETTE: 1-10 vs opp off loss, 3-13 ATS w/ 3+ days rest, 3-10-1 L14 games, 4-10 ATS 1st game...

NOTRE DAME: 4-12 SU & 5-11 ATS in this tourney, including 1-7 ATS vs #4-9 seed, 1-6 ATS vs revenge, 2-7 ATS as a dog...

PITTSBURGH: 8-1 ATS off ATS win > 9 points, 9-1 SU & 8-2 ATS off DD win...

PROVIDENCE: 3-0 ATS vs .850 > opp, 6-1 ATS as favs, 5-2 ATS vs revenge, 6-1 ATS off DD win...

RUTGERS: 5-0 ATS off loss 12 > points, 0-6 ATS vs opp off loss 12 > points, 0-4 SUATS vs .800 > opp...

SETON HALL: 1-6 ATS L7 games, 1-5 ATS dog > 5 points, 2-7 ATS off SU dog win...

ST JOHN'S: 5-0 SUATS off ATS loss > 9 points, 0-9 ATS 2nd game, 1-7 ATS off ATS win 3 > points, 2-13 ATS off win...

SOUTH FLORIDA: 7-1 ATS as a #10-11 seed, 0-5 ATS vs < .480 opp...

SYRACUSE: 6-0 ATS vs opp off SU loss, 5-0 w/ same-season double revenge, 9-3 off SU dog win, 2-6 off BB SU wins vs opp off BB SUATS wins...

VILLANOVA: 4-0 SUATS off loss 12 > points, 8-1 ATS 1st game, 6-1 w/ same-season revenge, 0-3 SUATS vs opp off win 30 > points...

WEST VIRGINIA: 4-1 ATS vs #1-2 seed, 1-7 ATS vs opp off loss, 1-8 SUATS vs #3-5 seed, 3-11 SU & 4-10 ATS 1st game.

TECH NOTES:
.760 > teams are 12-5 ATS as dogs and 6-1 ATS off a loss...favs w/ revenge went 5-0 ATS last year… #4 seeds are 8-2-1 ATS as favs > 4 points...#5 seeds are 8-2 ATS as dogs of 3 < points… #1 seeds are 1-4 as favs 4 > pts… #3 seeds are 9-3 ATS L12.

BIG 10 CONFERENCE

TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES:

ILLINOIS: 10-0 SU & 7-3 ATS vs < .645 opp, 14-2 SU & 11-5 ATS previous game team score 73 < points, 0-5 SUATS vs > .780 opp, 1-5 SUATS vs #1-2 seed, 2-8 ATS previous game team score 74 > points...

INDIANA: 5-2 ATS 1st game, 1-6 SUATS when win-loss percentage is .655 >, 1-4 ATS fav of 6 > points...

IOWA: 8-0 ATS off ATS win > 9 points, 8-0 ATS off BB SUATS wins, 6-1 ATS vs opp off DD win, 6-0 ATS dog 4 > points, 8-1 ATS as #6-7 seed, 14-4 ATS L18 games...

MICHIGAN: 4-0 ATS off DD win, 4-0 ATS with win percentage .700 >, 6-1 ATS favorite or dog 3 < points...

MICHIGAN ST: 7-2 ATS vs #6 or higher seed, 0-5 ATS previous game team score > 75 points, 0-4 ATS fav 12 > points, 1-8 ATS vs #7 or lowers seed, 2-8 ATS w/ 3+ days rest...

MINNESOTA: 7-1 ATS off ATS loss or ATS win 2 < points, 0-4 ATS vs opp off BB wins, 1-4 SUATS vs #2-4 seed, 0-3 off BB SUATS wins...

NORTHWESTERN: 3-0 ATS vs opp off BB wins, 0-4 ATS vs sub .500 opp, 2-7 ATS as a favorite or dog < 16 points, 4-1 as DD dog w/ revenge...

OHIO STATE: 3-7 ATS L10 games, 0-5 ATS vs .500 < opp, 1-5 ATS off SU win w/ 3+ days of rest, 1-5 ATS vs revenge w/ 3+ days of rest…

PENN STATE: 8-0 ATS w/ same-season revenge 6 > points, 1-4 ATS off DD ATS win, 0-3 ATS off BB wins, 1-5 ATS off SU dog win...

PURDUE: 2-10 SU & 3-9 ATS L12 games, 0-6 SUATS vs opp off win 10 > points, 1-5 ATS vs opp off SUATS win, 1-4 vs opp w/ revenge...

WISCONSIN: 1-6 ATS vs .645 < opp, 2-8 ATS off ATS win, 1-4 vs #3 or higher seed.

TECH NOTES:
Teams off BB losses w /revenge are 11-2 ATS (7-1 ATS off BB SUATS losses)...#10 and #11 seeds are 20-9 ATS (14-2 ATS off a loss, 17-4 ATS w /revenge)...#7 seeds are 1-10 ATS as favs… dogs are 10-3 ATS vs opp off SU dog win… dogs are 5-1 ATS off DD SU loss vs opp off SUATS loss.

BIG 12 CONFERENCE

TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES:

BAYLOR: 0-7 ATS as favs, 0-7 ATS as #7 or higher seed, 2-9 ATS off ATS loss or ATS win < 3 points, 2-8 SUATS vs opp off ATS win > 2 points, 5-0 ATS vs opp off SU loss, 4-1 ATS off SU dog win...

COLORADO: 0-7 ATS vs opp off win 8 > points, 0-8 ATS if win-loss percentage .600 >, 4-12 ATS as a dog (2-10 ATS off win), 6-16 SU in 1st game...

IOWA ST: 6-1 ATS vs .800 > opp, 0-7 SU & 1-6 ATS if win-loss percentage is < .550, 4-1 ATS w/ revenge, 1-4 vs opp w/ revenge off SU win...

KANSAS: 9-0 SUATS vs .535 < opp, 10-0 SU & 9-1 ATS off loss or win 3 < points, 13-0 SU & 10-3 ATS vs #8-12 seed, 10-2 ATS DD favorite, 12-4 ATS 1st game, 1-6 SUATS vs .785 > opp, 1-4 SUATS dog or favorite < 3 points...

KANSAS ST: 9-2-1 ATS 2nd game, 10-2 ATS when win-loss percentage .615 >, 4-1 SUATS vs .500 < opp, 12-4 ATS 1st game...

MISSOURI: 6-2 ATS off SU dog win, 4-1 ATS vs #4 or higher seed, 6-2 ATS if win-loss percentage < .500, 17-7-1 ATS as dogs (12-4-1 ATS +2.5 > points)...

NEBRASKA: 0-4 ATS off DD ATS win, 0-5 ATS off SUATS loss, 1-10 SU & 3-8 ATS when win-loss percentage is < .600...

OKLAHOMA: 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS as a dog of +3 to +10 pts, 0-4 ATS w/ same-season DD loss revenge, 1-4 off BB SUATS wins, 0-5 ATS L5 as favs...

OKLAHOMA ST: 4-0 ATS vs opp off win 20 > points, 4-0 ATS vs opp off SU loss, 12-2 ATS if win-loss percentage is .705 <, 10-1 ATS 2nd game, 12-5 ATS 1st game...

TEXAS: 4-1 ATS vs opp w/ revenge off BB SUATS wins, 1-5 w/ revenge, 1-7 ATS as #1 or #2 seed, 3-10 ATS off SUATS win...

TEXAS A&M: 3-1 ATS w/ revenge, 3-1 ATS as dog vs opp off SU win, 1-5 ATS vs revenge, 4-8-1 ATS dog > 7 points...

TEXAS TECH: 7-2 ATS L9 games, 1-5ATS off BB losses, 3-7 ATS as #7-12 seed, 6-1 ATS vs #5 or higher seed, 5-1 ATS vs opp off BB SU wins, 1-4 ATS w/ > 3 rest vs opp off SU loss.

TECH NOTES:
Teams who are 3-0 SU & ATS L3 games are 1-7 ATS with revenge and 2-8 ATS as dogs… #1 seeds are 2-12 ATS L14 games… #3 seeds are 13-1 SU as favorites… #4 seeds are 7-0 ATS L7 games...#5 seeds are 1-5 ATS L6 games… #6 seeds are 2-8 ATS L10 games… favs off BB SU losses are 2-10 ATS… dogs off a SU dog win are 11-3 ATS.

BIG WEST CONFERENCE

TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES:

CAL DAVIS: incomplete (joined conference this season)…

CAL IRVINE: 4-1 ATS off a DD loss, 4-1 ATS off a SUATS loss, 4-1 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 4-9 SUATS L13 games, 1-4 ATS as favs vs revenge...

CAL POLY SLO: 5-0 ATS dog > 5 points, 6-2 ATS vs opp off win...

CAL RIVERSIDE: 0-2 ATS off win, 2-0 ATS off loss…

CAL SANTA BARBARA: 0-5 SUATS vs foe off DD win, 0-4 ATS dog 4 > points, 6-2 ATS w/ > 3 rest vs opp off SU loss, 1-4 ATS favs off BB SUATS wins…

CS NORTHRIDGE: 6-2 ATS L8 games, 5-1 ATS vs opp off BB wins, 4-1 ATS vs #1-3 seed…

FULLERTON ST: 3-0 ATS L3 as favs, 0-4 SUATS off ATS win 9 > points, 1-6 ATS vs opp off loss, 2-9-1 ATS as #4-9 seed, 2-12 SU & 3-10-1 ATS if win-loss percentage < .666…

LONG BEACH ST: 4-1 ATS vs .750 > opp, 6-1-1 ATS if win-loss percentage is .650 >, 4-1 ATS L5 games, 1-4 ATS w/ > 3 days rest vs opp off SU loss...

PACIFIC: 4-13 ATS L17 games, 0-4 ATS dog 5 > points, 1-5 SUATS vs .760 > opp, 0-4 w/ revenge off SU Loss, 0-4 ATS w/ > 3 days rest off SU win.

TECH NOTES:
Teams off BB wins are 2-11-1 ATS vs foe off DD loss… favorites > 10 points are 3-11-1 ATS...teams with one-only same season loss revenge are 2-10-2 ATS...#4 seeds are 11-2 ATS L13 games… #6 seeds are 11-5 ATS L16 games… #7 seeds are 2-10 ATS L12 games… #8 seeds are 1-5 ATS L6 games...#9 and #10 seeds are 7-0-1 ATS.

CONFERENCE USA

TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES:

EAST CAROLINA: 0-3 ATS vs opp off SU win, 1-3 ATS L4 as dogs, 1-3 ATS w/ 3+ days rest…

CENTRAL FLORIDA: incomplete (joined conference 2005-2006 season)…

HOUSTON: 3-1 ATS vs opp off SU loss, 3-1-1 ATS L5 as favs, 5-2 ATS as #6 or lower seed, 2-5 ATS vs opp off win > 10 points…

MARSHALL: 2-0 ATS as dogs, 0-1 ATS as favs...

MEMPHIS: 6-1 ATS vs #4 or higher seed, 0-4-1 ATS off ATS win 18 > points, 1-5 ATS off SU win, 2-6 ATS vs opp off SUATS win, 3-8 ATS w/ > 3 days rest...

RICE: 2-0 ATS as dogs 6 < pts...

SMU: 0-2 ATS as dogs, 0-2 ATS w/ revenge, 0-2 ATS vs opp off BB SU wins...

SOUTHERN MISS: 3-0 ATS as favs, 4-1 ATS vs .600 < opp, 3-1 ATS off DD SU win, 0-4 ATS off SU dog win…

TEXAS EL PASO: 2-0 ATS w/ revenge, 2-0 ATS vs opp off SU win, 2-0 ATS as #3 or higher seed...

TULANE: 5-0 ATS as dogs 11 < pts, 6-1 ATS as #8 or lower seed, 1-5 ATS off BB SU wins, 1-4 ATS vs opp off DD SU win...

TULSA: 4-0 ATS as a dog, 5-1 ATS off ATS win > 10 points, 8-3 ATS dog or favorite < 3 points, 0-2 ATS vs opp off SU win...

UAB: 13-3 ATS L16 as dogs, 9-3 ATS w/ > 3 rest, 5-1 ATS off DD ATS win vs opp off BB SU wins, 4-1 ATS w/ revenge, 1-5 ATS as favs < 9 pts.

TECH NOTES:
Teams off SUATS loss are 12-4 ATS L16… 'Home' teams are 10-3 ATS… teams off BB SU wins are 1-6 ATS vs opp off SUATS loss… #2 seeds are 2-7-1 ATS L10 games… #3 seeds are 12-4 SU L16 games… #4 seeds are 1-4 ATS as DD dogs...#5 seeds are 3-10 ATS L13 games… #9 seed dogs are 8-2 ATS L10 games.

MID AMERICAN CONFERENCE

TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES:

AKRON: 0-4 SUATS vs opp off loss 9 > points, 4-8 SUATS if seeded #9 or higher (0-5 vs foe off SUATS loss), 4-7 SUATS if a winning team, 3-7 SUATS off win or loss 4 < points, 5-10 SU in this tourney, 4-6 SUATS as a favorite...

BALL ST: 4-0-1 ATS w/ 3+ days rest, 6-1-1 ATS off BB wins vs opp off ATS win 4 > points, 5-1-1 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 5-1-1 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins, 18-12-3 ATS S/ 91 (11-4-1 ATS as a favorite of 2 or more points)…

BOWLING GREEN: 0-7 SU vs #1 seed, 0-6 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 0-5 ATS off ATS win 13 > points, 1-11 ATS as # 6 or lower seed, 0-9 SU & 1-8 ATS vs .700 > opp, 1-8 SUATS dog 6 > points, 1-6 ATS off SUATS loss, 0-7 L7 / 2-12 L14 games, 3-14 ATS when win percentage < .650, 2-8 ATS vs #1-2 seed, 4-13 ATS vs opp off win...

BUFFALO: 1-7-1 ATS w/ revenge, 1-4 ATS as dog > 7 points, 2-7-1 ATS vs #4-12 seeds…

CENTRAL MICHIGAN: 3-0 ATS favorites, 4-1 ATS if win-loss percentage < .333, 4-1 ATS as #12-13 seed, 1-4 ATS dog < 9 points…

EASTERN MICHIGAN: 4-0 ATS vs .730 > opp, 4-0 ATS off win 14 > points, 4-0 ATS vs #1 seed, 6-1 ATS vs foe off DD win, 13-2 SU & 11-4 ATS if #1-4 seed, 1-5 ATS vs opp off loss 4 > points, 1-8 SU & 2-7 ATS L9 games, 1-11 SU & 3-9 ATS if #6-13 seed, 2-7 ATS dog 6 > points, 2-7 ATS vs < .570 opp, 2-6 ATS with revenge, 2-13 SU & 4-11 ATS if win-loss percentage > .600...

KENT ST: 14-0 SU & 12-2 ATS favorites 5 > points, 9-1 ATS vs < .600 opp, 8-2 ATS w/ revenge vs opp off BB wins, 13-4 ATS off a win, 16-2 SU & 14-4 ATS as a #1 or #2 seed, 15-4 SUATS vs #3 or lower seed...

MIAMI OHIO: 4-0 SUATS off ATS loss 8 > points, 6-1 ATS home, 0-6 ATS off win 20 > points, 3-8 ATS vs #1-2 seed…

NORTHERN ILLINOIS: 5-0-1 ATS off win or loss 6 < points, 4-0-1 ATS vs #7 or lower seeds, 6-1-1 ATS favorite or dog < 10 points, 5-1-1 ATS if win-loss percentage .400 >, 5-1 ATS as #10 or higher seed…

OHIO: 5-1 ATS DD favs, 10-3 ATS dogs (5-1 ATS off SU dog win), 4-0 ATS with same-season revenge, 1-4 ATS with same-season double revenge…

TOLEDO: 1-8 SU & 1-7-1 ATS vs #1 seed, 1-6 ATS away, 3-14 SU & 4-11-2 ATS vs .640 > opp, 3-14-2 ATS if win-loss percentage .570 >...

WESTERN MICHIGAN: 1-4 ATS home, 1-4 ATS DD dog, 1-5 ATS vs opp off loss, 2-9 ATS vs revenge (1-7 ATS as favorite, 0-4 ATS HF), 3-10 ATS off loss or win 6 < points.

TECH NOTES (MAC IS NO LONGER PLAYING AT CONFERENCE HOME SITES - ALL GAMES IN CLEVELAND):
DD HF's are 20-9 ATS (11-2 ATS vs .370 > opp)...teams with same-season double revenge are 17-37 ATS (8-24 ATS off win; 4-17 ATS off BB wins)… teams with same-season single revenge are 26-16 ATS (14-6 ATS vs opp off BB wins)… #1 seed favorites are 14-1 SU & 13-2 ATS L15 games and 26-1 SU & 20-6-1 ATS -5 > points… #2 seeds are 13-6-2 ATS L21 games… #3 seeds are 6-13 ATS L19 games… #6 seeds are 2-9 ATS L11 games… #7 seeds are 9-13-2 ATS L24 games… #8 seeds are 3-8-1 ATS L12 games… #11 seeds are 8-1 ATS L9 games.

MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE

TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES:

AIR FORCE: 0-13 SU L13 games, 0-7 ATS favorite or dog 8 < points, 0-5 ATS vs opp off loss, 1-9 ATS vs < .740 opp, 1-9 ATS vs opp off loss or win 10 < points, 1-6 ATS when win-loss percentage < .333, 1-6 ATS as #6-8 seed, 1-6 ATS off win, 4-12 ATS 1st game…

BYU: 7-1 ATS as favorites, 4-0 SUATS off loss 7 > points, 5-1 ATS at home, 2-6 ATS L8 games, 0-5 ATS vs opp off DD win, 2-9 ATS as dogs…

COLORADO ST: 4-1 ATS vs opp off SUATS win, 7-2 ATS off ATS win 4 > points, 7-2 ATS off SUATS win, 9-3 ATS vs > .666 opp, 9-3 ATS as #6-7 seed, 7-3 ATS dogs > 6 points, 3-10 ATS vs .666 < opp...

NEW MEXICO: 7-1 SUATS vs < .520 opp, 6-0 ATS favorite > 7 points, 4-1 ATS vs foe off SUATS loss, 5-1-1 ATS off BB SUATS wins, 5-2-1 ATS vs foe off ATS win 7 > points, 10-3 ATS off ATS loss > 3 points, 9-2-1 ATS L12 as dog, 12-3 SUATS when win-loss percentage > .777, 16-7 ATS 1st game...

SAN DIEGO ST: 5-0 ATS off ATS win 7 > points, 4-0 ATS off DD ATS loss, 7-1 ATS off loss, 6-1 ATS when win-loss percentage .425 <, 10-3 ATS w/ 3+ days rest, 10-4 ATS 1st game, 8-3 ATS favorite or dog < 5 points, 7-4 ATS vs #4-10 seed, 1-8 ATS 2nd game...

TCU: 0-5 ATS favorite 6 > points, 0-5 SUATS vs .785 > foe, 1-7 ATS when win-loss percentage .650 >, 1-7 ATS off SU dog win, 1-7 ATS off win w/ revenge, 4-14 ATS off win, 2-7 ATS dog 7 > points...

UNLV: 18-1 SU 1st game, 4-0 ATS vs #2 seed, 8-1-1 ATS dog, 5-1 ATS vs opp off ATS win 14 > points, 9-2 ATS vs #1-2 seeds...

UTAH: 2-10 ATS 2nd game, 3-16-1 ATS vs opp off ATS win > 2 points, 3-11 ATS 1st game, 3-11 ATS vs .666 > opp, 3-11 ATS vs opp off win 8 > points, 4-16-1 ATS when win-loss percentage < .830, 5-15-1 ATS off SUATS win (3-13-1 ATS favorites)...

WYOMING: 1-8 ATS vs foe off loss, 0-7 ATS vs opp off win 6 > points, 0-5 ATS off DD win, 0-6 ATS vs opp off DD win, 1-5 ATS vs opp off SUATS loss, 2-17 ATS as a favorite, 5-16 ATS 1st game, 4-11 ATS off win.

TECH NOTES:
Dogs who are 0-3 SUATS L3 games are 6-1 ATS...teams w /revenge are 26-13-2 ATS...dogs are 28-14-1 ATS L6Y...#1 seeds are 5-13 ATS L18 (2-7 ATS off ATS win)… #5 seeds are 9-4-1 ATS L14… #6 seeds are 8-3 ATS L11.

PAC 10 CONFERENCE

TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES:

ARIZONA: 4-2 ATS vs opp w/ revenge, 3-2 SUATS vs opp off ATS win 7 > points, 0-3 SUATS vs #1-2 seed…

ARIZONA ST: 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in this tourney...

CALIFORNIA: 0-6-1 ATS vs opp off win, 1-5 SU & ATS dog > 1 point, 2-5-1 ATS off win…

OREGON: 5-0 ATS w/ 3+ days rest, 4-0 SUATS vs opp off ATS loss, 8-1-1 ATS as dog or fav < 5 points, 10-3 SU & 10-2-1 ATS in this tourney...

OREGON ST: 0-3 ATS as dog > 6 points, 0-3 ATS vs .700 > opp, 0-3 ATS vs #1-3 seed, 1-4 ATS w/ revenge...

SOUTHERN CAL: 4-1 ATS w/ 3+ days rest, 4-1 ATS w/ revenge, 4-1 ATS with same-season double revenge, 6-3 ATS vs opp off SU& ATS win, 7-3 ATS when win-loss percentage < .700…

STANFORD: 0-4 ATS off SUATS win, 1-5 ATS vs #4-8 seeds, 1-5 ATS w/ 3+ days rest… UCLA: 5-1 ATS off win, 5-2 ATS vs opp off win, 4-1 ATS vs .630 > opp…

WASHINGTON: 0-3 ATS fav > 7 points, 2-6 ATS vs opp off ATS loss or win < 5 points… WASHINGTON ST: 1-4 SU & 2-3 ATS in this tourney.

TECH NOTES:
Teams off ATS win 21 > points are 5-0 ATS...teams w/ revenge vs opp off SUATS loss are 2-6 ATS...#1 seeds are 6-2 ATS L8 games and 5-2 ATS as favs > 10 points.

SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE

TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES:

ALABAMA: 6-0 ATS fav off DD win, 4-0 SUATS vs opp off ATS win 21 > points, 8-1 ATS fav vs opp off win (5-0 ATS opp off SU dog win), 6-1 ATS when win-loss percentage .560 <, 12-4 ATS favorite 2 > points, 14-4 SU & 13-5 ATS vs #4-8 seeds, 11-4 ATS vs opp off win 7 > points, 15-7-1 ATS vs < .700 opp, 1-10 SU & 2-9 ATS vs > .700 opp, 3-10 ATS dog vs opp off win, 3-9-1 ATS vs #1-2 seed...

ARKANSAS: 8-2 ATS off ATS win > 7 points, 18-5 ATS L23 as favorite, 9-3 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins, 0-4 SUATS as #4 or lower seed, 3-8-1 ATS L12 games...

AUBURN: 6-0 SUATS off loss 8 > points, 6-1 SUATS when win-loss percentage < .555, 5-0 ATS vs opp off DD ATS win, 4-0 ATS off DD loss, 7-1 ATS off SUATS loss, 0-4 ATS off BB wins, 0-8 SU & 2-6 ATS vs #1-2 seeds 2-10 ATS off SUATS win, 3-9 ATS when win-loss percentage .730 >, 4-9 ATS as dog…

FLORIDA: 6-0-1 ATS off ATS loss > 3 points, 4-12 ATS off a SUATS Conference Tournament win, 3-7-1 ATS off DD ATS win, 4-6 ATS 2nd game…

GEORGIA: 5-0 ATS favorites > 7 points, 6-1 ATS vs opp off loss 2 > points, 1-6 SUATS off ATS loss > 2 points, 1-6 SUATS off ATS win 11 > points, 3-10 ATS L13 games, 2-9 ATS vs .700 > opp…

KENTUCKY: 37-6 SU & 30-11-2 ATS L43 games, 6-0 ATS as favs of > 16 points, 11-1-1 ATS when win-loss percentage .870 >, 9-0 SU & 8-1 ATS vs .760 > opp, 9-0 SU & 8-1 ATS vs .535 < opp, 10-1 ATS off ATS loss, 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS vs opp off win 19 > points, 7-1 ATS vs #3 seed, 8-2 ATS vs #5-6 seeds, had been #1 or #2 seed each year from 1991-2005… LSU: 9-3-1 ATS off win 5 > points, 10-5 ATS L15 games, 0-6 SUATS off SUATS loss, 1-7 SUATS off loss, 1-6 SUATS when win-loss percentage < .500, 7-13-1 ATS as a dog (0-4 ATS +9.5 > points)…

MISSISSIPPI: 1-5 ATS vs #5-8 seeds, 2-11 ATS vs opp off ATS win > 4 points, 2-7 ATS vs opp off win 9 > points, 4-12 ATS 'pick' or dog < 10 points, 2-10 SUATS vs .678 > opp, 4-8 ATS 1st game…

MISSISSIPPI ST: 7-0-1 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins, 9-3-1 ATS off win 7 > points, 8-3-1 ATS when win-loss percentage > .700, 0-5 ATS vs opp off loss, 5-11 ATS when win-loss percentage < .700…

SOUTH CAROLINA: 4-0 SUATS vs opp off ATS loss 7 > points, 9-3 ATS 1st game, 8-3 ATS vs opp w/ revenge, 1-5 SUATS when win-loss percentage .800 >…

TENNESSEE: 0-8 SUATS off a Conference Tournament win, 0-5 ATS dog 9 > points, 0-4 ATS when win-loss percentage < .666, 0-5 SUATS vs .630 < opp, 1-10 SUATS vs .655 > opp, 1-8 SUATS vs #1-2 seeds, 1-8 ATS vs opp off win 9 > points, 1-5 ATS off win 10 > points, 4-12 ATS L16 games…

VANDERBILT: 0-4 ATS off BB SUATS wins, 0-4 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 1-4 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins, 1-6-1 ATS off BB wins, 1-12 SU & 2-11 ATS off ATS win > 3 points, 2-8 ATS off win 7 > points, 5-14-1 ATS L20 games, 5-13-1 ATS as a dog or favorite < 3 points.

TECH NOTES:
Favs are 103-69-5 ATS, including 66-41-3 ATS 2nd round out, 33-13-1 ATS off loss, 13-4-1 ATS off a DD loss, 14-9-2 off SU dog win, and 10-2 ATS -16 > points...#2 seeds are 8-1 ATS as favorites 9 > points… #3 seeds are 16-10-1 ATS L27 games… #4 seeds are 2-14-1 ATS as dogs < 8 points and 2-8-1 ATS vs foe off SU dog win...#5 seeds are 6-2 ATS L8 and are 4-19 ATS with same-season revenge of 8 > points… #6 seeds are 3-10 ATS L13 games and 5-11 ATS off a win… the SU winner in a FLORIDA post season game is 68-6-1 ATS since 1992 (14-3-1 ATS L2Y).

WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE

TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES:

BOISE ST: 7-1 SUATS vs #3-10 seeds, 6-1 SUATS vs < .550 opp, 1-7 SUATS vs .700 > opp, 1-7 ATS as dogs > 4 points, 2-9 SUATS vs #1-2 seeds…

FRESNO ST: 6-0 SUATS off loss, 4-0 ATS vs .850 > opp, 4-0 SUATS off ATS loss > 6 points, 4-0 ATS as #7 seed, 0-4 SUATS off win 19 > points, 0-3 ATS as #1 seed, 1-6 ATS vs opp off ATS win > 14 points, 1-6 ATS when win-loss percentage .700 >, 1-6 ATS off a Conference Tournament win, 3-8 ATS as a favorite > 2 points, 3-9 ATS L12 games…

HAWAII: 6-0 ATS as dog off SU dog win, 5-0 ATS as dog off BB SUATS wins, 3-0 SUATS as #1 seed, 10-5 ATS L15 games...

IDAHO: 2-9 SU in Conference Tournament games, 2-5-2 ATS vs > .450 opp…

LA TECH: 2-8 SU & 3-5-2 ATS L10 games, 1-7 SU & 2-5-1 ATS vs opp off win or loss < 10 points…

NEVADA: 4-0 ATS vs opp off ATS win > 14 points, 5-1-1 ATS when win-loss percentage < .575…

NEW MEXICO ST: 5-1 ATS when win-loss percentage .700 <, 7-3-1 ATS off ATS loss, 0-6 ATS off ATS win 12 > points, 1-5 ATS off win 17 > points…

SAN JOSE ST: 3-0 ATS vs opp off DD ATS win, 6-1 ATS as #6-7 seed...

UTAH ST: 17-4 SU L21 games, 6-11 ATS w/ 3+ days rest (2-7 ATS vs opp off win).

TECH NOTES:
Teams off SU fav losses are 19-10-1 ATS (12-4 ATS as dogs)… favs vs opp off loss are 11-28-2...favs w/ revenge are 2-7 ATS… #1 seeds are 13-2 SU & 10-4-1 ATS L6Y… #4 seeds are 6-10 ATS L16 games… #8-9 seeds favorites 1-8 ATS… #10 seeds are 0-5-1 ATS.

 

[shawn555]

Favorites who won both meetings during the regular season against its opponent and his opponent is off two consecutive wins cover at a 60% ATS clip.

Underdogs of 9 or more points in any round except a Conference Championship game, playing with in-season double revenge, and its opponent is off a SU win, cover at a 67.1% ATS clip.

Favorites in single revenge situations cover 70.6% of the time.

Conference tournament favorites that are off exactly one straight up loss and have not lost two straight against the spread cover at a 59% clip. If the opponent is off a double digit loss, the favorite covers at a 61% clip. And if the underdog enters off a double digit win, the favorite covers at a 62% ATS clip.

Conference tournament favorites off a SU loss in which they lost by double digits vs. an opponent that has a sub-.500 record and is off a win, cover 76.5% of the time.

Favorites of more than 2 points that are off a straight-up loss as a favorite in its final regular season game, provided it has revenge against its opponent, are 67% ATS over the past 16 years.

Favorites that are off back to back SU and ATS losses, and are matched up against the same foe that they played against in their last game of the regular season, cover at a 75% ATS clip.

Conference tournament favorites that are off a straight up loss have proved profitable in the past. If the favorite is off a single loss and has not lost two straight against the spread, they cover just over 60% of the time.

(a) Place this same favorite up against an opponent who is off a double digit loss, the favorite covers the number 63.4% of the games played.
(b) If the underdog opponent is off a double digit win, the number climbs again to 63.6%.

Favorites off a SU win as a Double digit favorite, but lost ATS, cover at a 59.8% clip.

(a) If opponents are off a SU win, the favorite improves to 63.3%.
(b) If favorite is lined at -6.5 or less points for this encounter, the numbers become quite juicy at 71.2%.
(c) If the -6.5 or less point favorite is playing an opponent that has a winning percentage of less than .620, our favorite hits a tasty 32-1 SU and 26-6-2 ATS (81.2%).

Underdogs of +7 points or less in Conference Tournament games, off a SU home dog win in their previous game and have a win percentage of .290 or better cover just 29% ATS of the time, including 20% ATS vs. a foe off a win.

Underdogs of more than +6 points off an upset win as a dog of +9 or more in Conference tourney games before the final round are just 28% ATS, including 18% ATS vs. a foe off a win.

Underdogs off a SU win and with in-season double revenge, fail to cover more than 56% of the time. If this same underdog has won its last two games, the number jumps to 62% failure rate.

College teams playing at home in the finals of a Conference tournament and are off BB SU and ATS wins vs. a foe that's not off BB SU and ATS wins cover 80%+.

Conference Specific Trends

The SU winner of games in the ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE are 87-22-1 ATS.

ATLANTIC TEN CONFERENCE #5 seeds are 3-13 ATS as dogs.

BIG EAST CONFERENCE favs playing with revenge are 3-11 ATS vs. opponent off back to back wins.

BIG 10 CONFERENCE #10 and #11 Seeds are 9-1 ATS off a loss.

BIG 12 CONFERENCE teams who are 3-0 SU+ATS L3 games are 1-7 ATS as dogs, 1-8 ATS off a DD ATS win and 1-6 ATS with revenge.

BIG WEST CONFERENCE #9 and #10 seeds are 7-0-1 ATS.

COLONIAL ATHLETIC ASSOCIATION #1 Seeds are 10-4 ATS L14 games.

CONFERENCE USA teams playing with revenge off SU+ATS loss are 13-4-1 ATS.

HORIZON CONFERENCE teams off win by 10 points or less are 5-11 SU and 4-11-1 ATS.

MID AMERICAN CONFERENCE #3 Seeds are 3-10 ATS L13 games.

MISSOURI VALLEY CONFERENCE teams off 3-0 SU+ATS L3 games are 12-5 ATS (7-1 ATS as dogs).

MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE #5 Seeds are 7-2-1 ATS L10 games.

PAC 10 CONFERENCE teams off BB wins are 6-1 ATS vs. .714 > opponents.

SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE #2 Seeds are 8-1 ATS as favs 9 or less points.

SUN BELT CONFERENCE #1 Seeds are 6-1 ATS L7 games.

WEST COAST CONFERENCE home favorites are 9-1 ATS.

WESTERN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE #1 Seeds are 9-0 SU + ATS L3 years.

 

[shawn555]

Where the hell did I find this information?

Can anyone help me find an updated version?

 

[shawn555]

I do have this for this year.

Betting notes- Favorites of less than 10 points have been a highly profitable bet in the CAA tournament since 2002, sporting 40-19 ATS record?. Underdogs of 10 or more points are an unbelievable of late, showing mediocre 2-15 SU record but astonishing 15-2 ATS (88.2 percent) mark since 2003?.Total players can cash with bankroll building 37-17 UNDER record in the last six years. ? In the championship game, the favored team has won nine straight games while going 6-2-1 ATS (75 percent).



Betting Notes -Favorites of seven or more are 27-0 SU and 19-8 ATS in the WCC tournament since 1998?.Favorites own the edge in every round of the West Coast Conference Tournament over the last 12 seasons, highlighted by a 10-3 ATS (76.9 percent) record in Round One?.Neutral floor chalk of seven points or more are 27-0 SU & 19-8 ATS (70.4 percent) in the WCC tournament since 1998?.Oddsmakers have hinted which games in the WCC tournament have been high scoring, as on those with totals of 146 or higher since 2001, are 10-1 OVER the number.


The Missouri Valley Conference has seen some significant trends develop by round. In the Opening Round games, UNDERDOGS are 11-11 SU and profitable 14-8 ATS (63.6%) since 1998. In the Quarterfinals, FAVORITES turn the tables, 14-6 ATS (70%) over the last five seasons.
There have been 11 instances since 2004 where a LOWER SEEDED MVC tourney team was FAVORED. They are just 3-8 SU & ATS (27.3%) in that span.
Large FAVORITES or those laying seven-points or more have been very successful in the MVC tourney of late, 16-0 SU & 10-6 ATS (62.5%) since 2002.
Since the MVC Tournament games started having totals on every contest (?05), the UNDER the total has dominated at a 30-15 (66.7%) rate.

 

[luvmy$$$]

Glad I had my coffee when I started reading this thread, lots of info....:dizzy: Can I ask where the last post came from?

 

[ppabart]

Glad I had my coffee when I started reading this thread, lots of info....:dizzy: Can I ask where the last post came from?

all the info (except for the last post) is from 2008.....just be careful and make sure you know that

 

[Master Capper]

A plus into thanks for sharing

 

[el JB]

Where the hell did I find this information?

Can anyone help me find an updated version?

MAN... I GOT A STOMACH UPSET JUST BY LOOKING AT THAT MUCH ...SEEN THAT LOAD IN VEGAS INSIDER GOLD SHEET A FEW TIMES BACK BUT HARD TO DIGEST AS TOO MUCH TO THINK IF I HAVE PRECONCEIVED PREFERENCES
THANKS ANYWAY ...MAY TAKE IN CONSIDERATION ON SOME CASES (USUALLY I PLAY A FEW ...NOT MANY)

 

[shawn555]

MAN... I GOT A STOMACH UPSET JUST BY LOOKING AT THAT MUCH ...SEEN THAT LOAD IN VEGAS INSIDER GOLD SHEET A FEW TIMES BACK BUT HARD TO DIGEST AS TOO MUCH TO THINK IF I HAVE PRECONCEIVED PREFERENCES
THANKS ANYWAY ...MAY TAKE IN CONSIDERATION ON SOME CASES (USUALLY I PLAY A FEW ...NOT MANY)

Thanks thats probably where I grabbed it from.

There is a lot of useless stuff in there but a few things are worth a look.

 

[shawn555]

Some more stuff for this year.

Big East Conference

# In Tuesday/Wednesday Big East Conference Tournament action, or the early rounds, FAVORITES are on a run of 17-5 SU & 14-8 ATS (63.5%) since ?05. When broken down among line ranges, you?ll find FAVORITES of less than 7-points are on a 9-2 SU & ATS run.
# The quarterfinal round of the Big East tournament has been very high scoring over the last four years, with 11 of 16 games (68.8%) going OVER the total.
# On average, one of every four Big East quarterfinal games is an upset, with 12 underdogs winning outright over the L12 years. Underdogs of 7-points or more during that span hold a 10-6 ATS edge (62.5%).
# Underdogs have held the edge in the Big East semifinal round over the last five years, going 6-4 SU & 7-3 ATS (70%). Those getting more than 3-points have covered five of the L6 (83.3%). Fatigue tends to set in this round as well, as defense rules the day. Since ?99, UNDER the total is 15-7 (68.2%).
# A strange pattern has developed in the Big East tournament title game, with underdogs and favorites alternating ATS wins EVERY YEAR since ?98. Accordingly, the UNDERDOG is scheduled to cover in ?10 after Louisville?s chalk win over Syracuse last spring.

Atlantic 10 Conference

# UNDERDOGS have managed to split the eight first round Atlantic 10 tournament games of the last two years after FAVORITES had been on an incredible 24-2 SU & 21-5 ATS (80.8%) run.
# FAVORITES of 7-points or less are on a run of 18-4 SU & 17-5 ATS (77.3%) in first round Atlantic 10 tournament action since ?01.
# Including 3-1 ATS a year ago, FAVORITES in the quarterfinal round of the A-10 tourney, going 20-7 SU & 18-9 ATS (66.7%) since ?03. During that stretch, DOUBLE-DIGIT FAVORITES are 9-0 SU & 7-2 ATS (77.8%).
# The semifinal round of the A-10 tournament has proven quite competitive, with UNDERDOGS of 4.5-points or more having gone 5-3 SU & 7-1 ATS over the last dozen years.
# The A-10 title game has been anything but competitive, with underdogs having won just once in the last 10 years (1-8 ATS 11.1%).

Big 12 Conference

# There might be no other major conference tournament that has seen more UNDERDOGS cover with regularity than the Big 12. In fact, since 2000, dogs are 61-44 ATS, a solid 58.1%. UNDERDOGS of 6-points or more are 37-21 ATS (63.8%) during that stretch.
# The last three Big 12 tournaments have been particularly defensive-oriented, with UNDER the total converting in 22 of 33 games (66.7%), and the losing team being held to 60 points or less in 17 of those contests.
# On Big 12 tournament games with totals set at 147-points or higher, the UNDER is 13-3 (81.3%).
# The last 12 Big 12 tournament quarterfinal games have gone UNDER the total (100%). UNDERDOGS are 7-3-2 ATS (70%) in that span.
# Like clockwork, the last seven years of Big 12 semifinal games have seen one favorite cover, one underdog. Of the games with lines set at 6-points or higher, UNDERDOGS are 5-1 ATS (83.3%).

Conference-USA

# The millennium also saw a shift from favorites to underdogs holding the edge in Conference USA, as dogs are a healthy 60-45 ATS (57.1%) since ?00.
# Double-digit lines are a regular occurrence in the C-USA tourney, and teams laying 10-points or more are 19-0 SU & 11-8 ATS (57.9%) since ?06.
# The best value on C-USA tourney UNDERDOGS comes with those getting 6.5-points or less, as they are 20-17 SU & 26-10-1 ATS (72.2%) dating back to ?03.
# C-USA UNDERDOGS in the FIRST ROUND own a 24-13-2 ATS (64.9%) record since ?00.
# Of the 16 C-USA round one matchups since ?06, the UNDER is 13-3 (81.3%).
# The C-USA quarterfinal round also ?goes to the dogs?, as UNDERDOGS are 9-3 ATS (75%) over the last three seasons.
# With Memphis dominating the proceedings, the FAVORITES turn the tables in the semifinal round, having gone 17-3 SU & 12-8 ATS (60%) over the L10 years. The Tigers have won four straight title games as favorites as well, going 3-1 ATS (75%).
# Since 2006, UNDER the total is 10-2 (83.3%) in the C-USA semifinal & final games.

Mountain West Conference

# Having held the yearly edge in every one of the last eight Mountain West tournaments except 2005, UNDERDOGS are 40-18 ATS (68.9%) overall during that span.
# There is a sizeable break at one particular line point in past Mountain West Tournament games. FAVORITES of 9-points or more are 8-7 ATS (53.3%) since ?02. UNDERDOGS of 8.5-points or less are an incredible 33-10 ATS (76.7%).
# UNDERDOGS hold a particularly strong edge in the early Mountain West Tournament action, going 16-4 ATS (80%) in the round one and quarterfinals games since ?06.
# FAVORITES have done well late in the last three MWC tourney?s, going 7-1 SU & ATS (87.5%) over the last three years in the semi?s and title games. Note: last year?s championship game was a pick em? pointspread.

Pac 10 Conference

# The Pac 10 is one of the few conferences whose tournaments have been ruled by FAVORITES in recent years, as those teams laying the points are 23-10 ATS (69.7%) over the last four years, including the first six games of the ?09 proceedings.
# The Pac 10 tourney games have also been high scoring over the L4 years, 23-12-1 OVER (65.7%) since ?06.
# FAVORITES of -3 to -6 points are on a run of 12-0 SU & 9-2-1 ATS in the Pac 10 Tournament.
# Don?t even bother considering underdogs in the first round or quarterfinals of the Pac 10 tourney if basing it on recent years, as FAVORITES are on an incredible surge of 20-4 SU & 19-5 ATS (79.2%) in those rounds since ?06.
# UNDERDOGS stand a much better chance of covering late in the Pac 10 Tournament, 11-7-1 ATS (61.1%) since ?03 in the semi?s and title games.
# The key benchmark on wagering totals in the Pac 10 tourney is 156. In games with posted numbers less than that, the OVER is 34-19 (64.2%) since inception. In those higher than 156, the UNDER is 7-2 (77.8%).

Big West Conference

# The Big West Conference has seen a fairly even distribution of favorites and underdog covers over the last seven seasons, with FAVORITES owning a slight 25-22 ATS (53.2%) edge.
# More on the competitiveness of the Big West tourney?since ?03, there have been only 10 games with lines of 7.5-points or more, with UNDERDOGS going just 1-9 SU, but 8-2 ATS (80%) in those contests.
# The last five years of the Big West Tournament have been a goldmine for UNDER bettors, as those playing that side of the total have gone 25-9, for 73.5%. During that span, on totals averaging 137.6 PPG, the games have produced just 133.5 PPG.

Big Sky Conference

# The Big Sky Conference has shown a shift to FAVORITES in the last three seasons, as those teams laying points have converted 10 of the 15 (66.7%) games during that stretch.
# There have only been two upsets in the Big Sky Conference tournament semifinals over the last seven years, and FAVORITES are 10-4 ATS (71.4%) in that span.
# The Big Sky Conference is one of few where LARGE UNDERDOGS, or those getting 7-points or more, have a good shot at an upset, owning a 4-8 SU & 8-4 ATS record since ?98, including 2-2 SU & 4-0 ATS over the L2 years.
# FAVORITES in the -4 to -6.5-point line range have been nearly automatic in Big Sky Conference tournament action, 16-1 SU & 15-2 ATS (88.2%).

Big Ten Conference

# For being a dog-dominated event for most of its early years, there has been a shift to FAVORITES in the last three Big Ten Tournaments, 18-12 ATS (60%) since ?07.
# There has also been a huge shift in oddsmakers? perception on totals. Between ?99 & ?06, the average posted total in Big Ten tourney games was 130.5. Since then, it has dropped nine points to 121.5. Still, UNDER has been the correct choice in 18 of 30 games during that span (60%).
# FAVORITES swept all three opening round games of the Big Ten tourney last year, both SU & ATS, slowing a run of 14-4 ATS by dogs.
# Similarly, FAVORITES own a 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS mark in the semifinals of the L3 Big Ten tourney?s after going just 1-11 ATS prior.
# DOUBLE-DIGIT Big Ten tourney UNDERDOGS are 7-1 ATS (87.5%) since ?05.
# LOWER SEEDED FAVORITES boast an 11-5 SU & 9-6-1 ATS (60%) record since ?98 in the Big Ten Tournament.

Atlantic Coast Conference

# ACC UNDERDOGS swept the quarterfinal & semifinal games of 2009 against the spread and boast an overall mark of 44-23-3 ATS (65.7%) since ?03.
# UNDERDOGS of 9-points or more are 18-6-1 ATS (75%) in the ACC Tournament since ?03, including five straight covers.
# How about giving some thought to UNDERDOGS on the pointspread and money line in the opening round of this year?s ACC tourney, as they are 13-6 SU & ATS (68.4%) since ?05.
# Quarterfinal UNDERDOGS are effective against the spread, but that?s it, boasting a record of 7-21 SU & 18-9-1 ATS (66.7%) since ?03.
# Semifinal UNDERDOGS are even better than previous rounds, 15-6-1 ATS (71.4%) since ?99.
# It?s not until the ACC title game where FAVORITES take over, 10-1 SU & 6-3-2 ATS (66.7%) since ?99.
# The only recognizable trend I could uncover on totals in the ACC tourney came on games with posted numbers 150 points or higher, 10-5 OVER (66.7%) in the L15.

Mid-American Conference

# FAVORITES are the preferred betting choice in MAC tournament games in recent years, with a record of 40-26 ATS (60.6%) over the L6 seasons.
# The MAC title game has seen the FAVORITE go 9-3 SU & ATS (75%) since its inception. The straight up winner is 12-0 ATS.
# Semifinal FAVORITES in the MAC tournament have swept the last three years of action and are 5-1 ATS (83%) in that span.
# The best spot for playing UNDERDOGS in the MAC tournament has proven to be in games when the lines are 3-points or less. In such cases, they are 23-16 ATS (59%) since ?98.
# OVER the total has been the preferred choice on that wagering option since ?04, with a 37-24 (60.7%) record since ?04.

Southeastern Conference

# The 2008 SEC Tournament was dominated by dogs, 7-4 SU & 9-2 ATS, but split down the middle last year, 5-5-1. Overall, since ?05, dogs own a 29-25-1 ATS (53.7%) edge.
# Georgia became the first SEC tourney DOUBLE-DIGIT dog to pull an upset since prior to ?98 when it beat Mississippi State in ?08. Overall, those teams are 1-15 SU & 5-11 ATS (31.3%) in that span.
# In past SEC games with pointspreads less than 3-points, UNDERDOGS are 15-13 SU & 16-11-1 ATS (59.3%) since ?98.
# Although it?s fluctuated back-and-forth in the last few seasons, FAVORITES own a 22-11 ATS edge in opening round SEC tourney action since ?00. Lower-seeded chalk is 5-1 SU & ATS of those games.
# UNDERDOGS have been the preferred choice of bettors in SEC quarterfinals over the L3 seasons, 8-3 ATS (72.7%).
# In the last nine SEC Tournament championship games, the UNDER is 8-1 (88.9%), and the UNDERDOGS are 4-5 SU & 5-3-1 ATS (62.5%).

Western Athletic Conference

# UNDERDOGS covered all but one game in the 2009 WAC Tournament, increasing their four-year record to 20-9 ATS (69%). That span has also seen OVER the total go 21-10 (67.7%).
# Lines of less than 3-points should raise an immediate red-flag for WAC tourney bettors, as UNDERDOGS of 2.5-points or less are a profit-making 13-5 SU & 13-4-1 ATS (76.5%) since ?00.
# Although there is no first round in this year?s WAC tourney, since ?06, UNDERDOGS in the first round and quarterfinals combined have gone 14-5 ATS (73.7%) over the L4 seasons.
# The WAC quarterfinals have produced 14 OVER?s, 6 UNDER?s (70%) over the last five seasons. Similarly, eight of the L10 (80%) WAC semifinal contests have gone OVER the posted total. Amazingly, in that same stretch, all five WAC title games exceeded the total as well. If you?re combining those numbers, it?s 27-8 (77.1%) OVER for the last five years.

 

[shawn555]

Mid-American Conference

# FAVORITES are the preferred betting choice in MAC tournament games in recent years, with a record of 40-26 ATS (60.6%) over the L6 seasons.
# The MAC title game has seen the FAVORITE go 9-3 SU & ATS (75%) since its inception. The straight up winner is 12-0 ATS.
# Semifinal FAVORITES in the MAC tournament have swept the last three years of action and are 5-1 ATS (83%) in that span.
# The best spot for playing UNDERDOGS in the MAC tournament has proven to be in games when the lines are 3-points or less. In such cases, they are 23-16 ATS (59%) since ?98.
# OVER the total has been the preferred choice on that wagering option since ?04, with a 37-24 (60.7%) record since ?04.

Big Sky Conference

# The Big Sky Conference has shown a shift to FAVORITES in the last three seasons, as those teams laying points have converted 10 of the 15 (66.7%) games during that stretch.
# There have only been two upsets in the Big Sky Conference tournament semifinals over the last seven years, and FAVORITES are 10-4 ATS (71.4%) in that span.
# The Big Sky Conference is one of few where LARGE UNDERDOGS, or those getting 7-points or more, have a good shot at an upset, owning a 4-8 SU & 8-4 ATS record since ?98, including 2-2 SU & 4-0 ATS over the L2 years.
# FAVORITES in the -4 to -6.5-point line range have been nearly automatic in Big Sky Conference tournament action, 16-1 SU & 15-2 ATS (88.2%).

 

[Lumi]

Good grief ! My head is hurting !

If there was flashing light in my office I would have had a seizure !

Are those SF Shawn ?

 

[shawn555]

Good grief ! My head is hurting !

If there was flashing light in my office I would have had a seizure !

Are those SF Shawn ?

Yeah

 

[Lumi]

ok,

I posted some stuff, updated :shrug: I have so much stuff to do today, I would email you my LIST, meaning big list of places I go to help, but I am almost out the door. Check with Hardtimes