FANTASY BASEBALL: Slim pickings at catcher in early rounds of draft

Lumi · Mar 12, 2010

FANTASY BASEBALL: Slim pickings at catcher in early rounds of draft

GMs can find value beyond top receivers, starting pitchers

Baseball's season opener is less than a month away, and fantasy players are dutifully doing their homework.

But that homework doesn't end on draft day, making baseball easily the most difficult and time-consuming of the fantasy sports.

What separates baseball from other sports is its minor league program. Players are called up daily, and a fantasy general manager must make quick decisions on which of them are worth picking up.

But all the work can be rewarding, with bragging rights for a year at stake, not to mention money in some leagues.

For the next three weeks, we'll offer advice that will help turn your fantasy into reality this season. We'll discuss catchers and pitchers today, followed by infielders, then outfielders.

We'll go beyond the star players -- those early picks are hard to screw up -- and offer some players projected as late-round picks who could surprise.

We'll also target top-ranked players who could decline this season, whether because of change of scenery -- such as Jason Bay with the New York Mets -- or because of a history of injuries -- such as the Atlanta Braves' Chipper Jones.

CATCHERS

Only three catchers -- Minnesota's Joe Mauer, Atlanta's Brian McCann and Boston's Victor Martinez -- warrant being drafted in the first four rounds. One strategy is to wait until the later rounds, when a young prospect might be available.

Top five value catchers and projections:

Geovany Soto, Cubs: .278 average, 20 home runs, 72 RBIs. Nagging injuries prevented a repeat of his great 2008 numbers, but he has the best upside of any catcher.

Jorge Posada, Yankees: .280, 22, 84. He's 38, but his bat in middle of the Yankees' order can't be ignored. He will get more at-bats this season as the designated hitter.

Mike Napoli, Angels: .263, 23, 68. He has had two 20-homer seasons in a row, but shares time with Jeff Mathis. He's getting better defensively, so he should get more at-bats.

Chris Iannetta, Rockies: .268, 19, 62. He's sharing the job with Miguel Olivo, but has more power than Olivo, which will force manager Jim Tracy to play him more.

Carlos Ruiz, Phillies: .270, 10, 59. He had a great second half last season, including an amazing postseason. He has a big upside.

RISKY PICK: Ryan Doumit, Pirates: He could be a top-five catcher if he could ever play a full season, but he has been on the disabled list six times in the last four seasons.

PITCHERS

San Francisco's Tim Lincecum and Philadelphia's Roy Halladay are decent picks late in the first round. They are proven power pitchers who will throw a lot of innings.

Don't draft a closer too early. Let others take the higher-projected ones while you stockpile quality hitters or starting pitchers. Every year there seems to be four or five quality relievers who aren't drafted but eventually become their team's closer and post quality numbers.

Top five value pitchers and projections:

Clay Buchholz, starter, Red Sox: 205 innings, 15 victories, 172 strikeouts, 3.35 ERA. Boston should be able to maximize his ground balls into wins with lots of support. He went 4-1 last season in September. He has a huge upside.

J.A. Happ, starter, Phillies: 210, 15, 178, 3.70. No more bullpen appearances for Happ, who is a tough pressure pitcher.

Jorge De La Rosa, starter, Rockies: 200, 17, 200, 4.05. He had great stuff in the second half of last season and should get a lot of strikeouts and more victories this season.

Rick Porcello, starter, Tigers: 190, 15, 139, 3.75 ERA. He won't get a lot of strikeouts, but has good command of his pitches.

Mat Latos, starter, Padres: 180, 13, 137, 3.85. We're always looking for the next young San Diego pitcher to make a splash in monstrous Petco Park. He is battling for the fifth spot in the rotation and is worth a late-round pick.

RISKY PICK: Chad Billingsley, starter, Dodgers: Billingsley is projected to be the 40th pitcher drafted. Last season was a tale of two halves for him -- good first half, bad second half. I think he'll be more of that second-half pitcher this season, the guy the Dodgers were afraid to start down the stretch.

Lumi · Mar 12, 2010

FANTASY BASEBALL: PITCHER AND CATCHER RANKINGS

FANTASY BASEBALL: PITCHER AND CATCHER RANKINGS

FANTASY BASEBALL: PITCHER AND CATCHER RANKINGS

Baseball fantasy ranking and projections:

Catcher Rankings/Projections

1. Joe Mauer, Twins: .341 average, 24 HRs, 100 RBIs. One of most complete players in MLB. Hit for power last season and could see more in 2010. He's worth a late first-round pick.

2. Brian McCann, Braves: .290 average, 26 HRs, 95 RBIs. Consistent anchor in Braves lineup who is in the prime of career. He's a good second-round pick because there are so few at position.

3. Victor Martinez, Red Sox: .305 average, 23 HRs, 105 RBIs. He could have a huge upside just by playing at Fenway Park for an entire season. Sox will try to keep him healthy by playing him at DH and 1B regularly. Worth a second-round pick.

4. Jorge Posada, Yankees: 280 average, 22 HRs, 84 RBIs Despite his age (38), his bat in middle of Yanks order can't be ignored. More DH this year keeping him in lineup more.

5. Geovany Soto, Cubs: 278 average, 20 HRs, 72 RBIs. Nagging injuries prevented a repeat of his great '08 offensive numbers. Has best upside of any catcher for 2010.

6. Matt Wieters, Orioles: .290 average, 15 HRs, 71 RBIs. Much is expected after great second half of 2009 rookie season. Could be Joe Mauer type in the making.

7. Kurt Suzuki, Athletics: .270 average, 14 HRs, 74 RBIs. Best asset is that he plays just about every game making him a rock of stability for any fantasy team.

8. Mike Napoli, Angels: 263 average, 23 HRs, 68 RBIs. Back-to-back 20-HR years but shares time with Jeff Mathis. Getting better defensively so should get more at-bats.

9. Yadier Molina, Cardinals: .310 average, 7 HRs, 59 RBIs. He's just hitting his prime and could be ready for his best season. Consistent play every day.

10. Bengie Molina, Giants: .260 average, 17 HRs, 74 RBIs. Career high in HRs last year with 20 and will be in middle of Giants lineup, but he's 35 with no DH spot to help.

11. Miguel Montero, Diamondbacks: .270 average, 18 HRs, 61 RBIs: Made most of chances in 2009, making a great impression from July on. He'll be given every chance to duplicate that effort.

12. Ryan Doumit, Pirates: .272 average, 13 HRs, 64 RBIs. Lots of talent with big hitting potential but can't stay on the field long enough to come to fruition.

13. Chris Ianetta, Rockies: 268 average, 19 HRs, 62 RBIs. Sharing role with Miguel Oliva but has more pop of the two, which will force Jim Tracy to put him in lineup more.

14. Russell Martin, Dodgers: .270 average, 9 HRs, 60 RBIs. Expect improvements from 2009, but that doesn't say much. What happened?

15. A.J. Pierzynski, White Sox: .287 average, 13 HRs, 56 RBIs. Every year he puts up the same type of numbers, which is promising for those not wanting merely to hope someone has a great year.

16. Ramon Hernandez, Reds: .265 average, 16 HRs, 63 RBIs. Good upside for somewhat of a forgotten man after injuries of 2009. Should have productive power year in Reds' park.

17. Carlos Ruiz, Phillies: 270 average, 10 HRs 59 RBIs. Great second half last season, including amazing postseason. Big upside if he can build off that coming into 2010.

18. Kelly Shoppach, Rays: .230 average, 18 HRs, 59 RBIs. Shares duties with Navarro. Eats up lefties

19. Jeff Clement, Pirates: .259 average, 12 HRs, 50 RBIs. First year as starter. Has some pop in bat

20. Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Rangers: .255 average, 10 HRs, 52 RBIs. Rangers giving him every chance to be the player he should be through April and May. Risky pick but has upside.

21. John Baker, Marlins: .278 average, 10 HRs, 58 RBIs. If he could hit lefties, he would be a fantasy monster playing every day, but right now he's platooning and will mostly start vs. righties.

22. John Buck, Blue Jays: .230 average, 16 HRs, 49 RBIs. Huge upside if willing to sacrifice power for average. Jays don't have anyone ready to take over. Job is his if he stays healthy.

23. Rod Barajas, Mets: .242 average, 12 HRs, 56 RBIs. His big power numbers from 2009 can't be expected because of playing at Citi Field. Late draft pick who should play every day.

24. Ivan Rodriguez, Nationals: .270 average, 8 HRs, 42 RBIs. He could provide an early boost to a fantasy team while he gets bulk of playing time until Jesus Flores (DL) takes over.

25. J.R. Towles, Astros: .260 average, 6 HRs, 35 RBIs. Astros still waiting for Towles to be top prospect they thought he was. Will get full chance in 2010.

Pitcher Rankings/Projections

1. Tim Lincecum, Giants: 20 wins, 278 strikeouts, 2.34 ERA. Barring injury, he should be on his way to third Cy Young award.

2. Roy Halladay, Phillies: 18 wins, 215 strikeouts, 2.95 ERA. Shouldn't have a tough transition as hard thrower moving to National League.

3. CC Sabathia, Yankees: 20 wins, 200 strikeouts, 3,76 ERA. Traditionally slow starter but will pile up wins with strong lineup supporting him.

4. Zack Greinke, Royals: 17 wins, 235 strikeouts, 2.65 ERA. Always strong starter and closer to seasons with huge lull in between. Cy Young contention again.

5. Felix Hernandez, Mariners: 19 wins, 215 strikeouts, 3.05 ERA. Closed out 2009 strong, has better supporting lineup to help in close decisions.

6. Dan Haren, Diamondbacks: 17 wins, 220 strikeouts, 3.00 ERA. He kind of gets forgotten among NL's heavyweights but is one of the most consistent pitchers.

7. Justin Verlander, Tigers: 17 wins, 230 strikeouts, 3.55 ERA. After great 2007, slumped in '08 and then was terrific last year. Could be a risk early, but it's hard to pass up his strikeouts.

8. Cliff Lee, Mariners: 17 wins, 180 strikeouts, 3.40 ERA. Move to pitcher-friendly Safeco Field should benefit Lee's style and enable him to look like the dominant pitcher he was in October, September.

9. Jon Lester, Red Sox: 18 wins, 210 strikeouts, 3.20 ERA. He is the real ace of the Sox staff now and is just hitting his prime. This should be his best year yet, with Cy Young consideration.

10. Adam Wainwright, Cardinals: 17 wins, 180 strikeouts, 3.40 ERA. He'll have a tough time matching his 2009 performance but is a proven battler.

11. Chris Carpenter, Cardinals: 16 wins, 150 strikeouts, 2.91 ERA. One of the biggest risks in the early rounds, but the reward might outweigh the risk.

12. Josh Beckett, Red Sox: 18 wins, 200 strikeouts, 3.60 ERA. It's a contract year for Beckett, maybe his last big contract possibility, so look for a big year.

13. Johan Santana, Mets: 14 wins, 175 strikeouts, 3.30 ERA. Coming off elbow surgery and has thrown without pain in spring. Risky pick, but he can still get batters out with consistency.

14. Jake Peavy, White Sox: 16 wins, 190 strikeouts, 3.55 ERA. He won all three starts late for Chicago last season after injury and has huge upside for 2010.

15. Josh Johnson, Marlins: 15 wins, 190 strikeouts, 3.50 ERA. He's proven that Tommy John surgery can have no lingering affects with two strong seasons. 2010 should be better.

16. Javier Vazquez, Yankees: 15 wins, 200 strikeouts, 3.80 ERA. He dazzled everyone in the NL with his stuff, but memories of his stuff getting shelled in the AL for four years still exist. Risky pick early.

17. Yovani Gallardo, Brewers: 15 wins, 200 strikeouts, 3.40 ERA. Could be on the verge of a major breakthrough in 2010 after great year last season.

18. Matt Cain, Giants: 15 wins, 180 strikeouts, 3.20 ERA. Hard to imagine him duplicating his 2.89 ERA from last season, but he should have better luck in decisions.

19. Ubaldo Jimenez, Rockies: 15 wins, 200 strikeouts, 3.70 ERA. Tough park to pitch in at home, but he manages well with strikeouts and groundballs. Looks to get only better.

20. John Lackey, Red Sox: 15 wins, 160 strikeouts, 3.65 ERA. No longer the ace, but that could be good thing for fantasy purposes as he'll be matched up against most teams No. 3 starters.

21. Tommy Hanson, Braves: 14 wins, 190 strikeouts, 3.30 ERA. He came in with lots of hype and proved it was all worth it. Great upside as he looks to improve.

22. Jonathan Broxton, Dodgers: 40 saves, 124 strikeouts, 2.65 ERA. Coming into second full season as closer and might be NL's best. His strikeouts set him apart from all other closers.

23. Ricky Nolasco, Marlins: 15 wins, 200 strikeouts, 3.95 ERA. Had a strong second half of 2009 season. Hopes are that it carries over to 2010, especially lowering his high final ERA of 5.06.

24. Wandy Rodriguez, Astros: 15 wins, 190 strikeouts, 3.50 ERA. He went through a stretch last season when he was one of the most dominant in baseball. Has improved each of the last three seasons.

25. Jair Jurrjens, Braves: 14 wins, 155 strikeouts, 3.30 ERA. Had the third best ERA in NL last season and works in a pitcher-friendly park.

26. Jered Weaver, Angels: 16 wins, 170 strikeouts, 3.90 ERA. Had his best career year in 2009 and is heading into his prime. He wore down in July, which is a concern.

27. Mariano Rivera, Yankees: 39 saves, 72 strikeouts, 2.30 ERA. Not sure how he does it, but year after year he never falters or slides like other relievers. One of his best seasons at age 40 in 2009.

28. Joakim Soria, Royals: 37 saves, 78 strikeouts, 2.35 ERA. 72 saves in two seasons is top shelf, and when factoring in he plays for K.C., it gives him big upside. What if they actually won?

29. Brandon Webb, Diamondbacks: 14 wins, 160 strikeouts, 3.60 ERA. It's always risky taking a pitcher coming off season-ending surgery, but all should be well. His slide could benefit those taking the risk.

30. Scott Baker, Twins: 14 wins, 170 strikeouts, 3.75 ERA. After a terrible start to 2009, he rebounded well, carrying the Twins down the stretch. Great command of all pitches.

31. Brett Anderson, Athletics: 13 wins, 187 strikeouts, 3.50 ERA. Hard thrower with great command who has tremendous upside because he hasn't scratched the surface yet after a great rookie year.

32. Matt Garza, Rays: 13 wins, 190 strikeouts, 3.50 ERA. Don't let his eight wins last season stop you. He still dazzled with key stats such as WHIP (1.26), K/9 ratio (8.4) and opponents average (.233).

33. Roy Oswalt, Astros: 14 wins, 155 strikeouts, 3.60 ERA. Definitely on the decline but still battles for wins and can get the tough outs.

34. Clay Buchholz, Red Sox: 15 wins, 172 strikeouts, 3.35 ERA. Sox should be able to maximize his ground balls into wins with lots of support. Was 4-1 in September 2009. Big upside.

35. Jorge De La Rosa, Rockies: 17 wins, 200 strikeouts, 4.05 ERA Great stuff in second half of 2009. Should get a lot of strikeouts and add to win total.

36. Andrew Bailey, Athletics: 37 saves, 84 strikeouts, 2.65 ERA. One of best closers in the game who is still rising. Has one of the best upsides of all relievers.

37. Francisco Rodriguez, Mets: 35 saves, 75 strikeouts, 3.20 ERA. Clearly on the decline but still gets the chances that will put up solid numbers to rival top relievers.

38. Jonathan Papelbon, Red Sox: 34 saves, 67 strikeouts, 2.40 ERA. Doesn't pitch with the same velocity and has fire-balling Daniel Bard lurking in the pen. Somewhat risky.

39. Heath Bell, Padres: 38 saves, 75 strikeouts, 2.70 ERA. Would be rated higher if not for possibility of being shipped by trade deadline, which could land him in a setup role elsewhere.

40. Clayton Kershaw, Dodgers: 13 wins, 185 strikeouts, 3.35 ERA. Strong 2009 season shows there could be a big upside for 2010.

41. Cole Hamels, Phillies: 13 wins, 190 strikeouts. 3.80 ERA. Big dilemma here. His value is as low as ever and could provide a big year, but last season's 4.32 ERA lingers in many minds.

42. A.J. Burnett, Yankees: 15 wins, 200 strikeouts, 3.78 ERA. Allows too many walks and gets into trouble but still has one of best arms in league. Should he fix his control, look out.

43. James Shields, Rays: 13 wins, 160 strikeouts, 4.05 ERA. Look for him to bounce back closer to his 2007-2008 form than last year and be good value in the middle rounds.

44. David Price, Rays: 13 wins, 150 strikeouts, 4.00 ERA. Clearly has the talent to do better than projected and is still learning how to be an MLB starter. This could his year to flourish.

45. Huston Street, Rockies: 38 saves, 69 strikeouts, 3.00 ERA. Upon winning the closer role, he locked things up and went on a roll. Look for him to continue upswing in 2010.

46. Brian Wilson, Giants: 38 saves 72 strikeouts, 3.05 ERA. 79 saves the last two seasons as closer and dropped his ERA last year almost two full runs from 2008.

47. Chad Qualls, Diamondbacks. 37 saves, 64 strikeouts, 3.15 ERA. Coming back from dislocated kneecap. Did well as closer through August until injury.

48. Max Scherzer, Tigers 11 wins, 185 strikeouts, 3.90 ERA. Lots of potential for a breakout year as the hard thrower goes into his second year as a starter. Decent upside here.

49. Tim Hudson, Braves: 13 wins, 120 strikeouts, 3.35 ERA. Despite Tommy John surgery and his age, Braves felt good enough about him after a couple of late starts in 2009 that they gave him a three-year deal. Good enough for me.

50. Jose Valverde, Tigers: 37 saves, 68 strikeouts, 3.20 ERA. One of the best closers the last three seasons. Takes over for Fernando Rodney, who had 37 saves in 2009.

51. Francisco Cordero, Reds: 36 saves, 60 strikeouts, 3.10 ERA. Five straight great closer seasons with at least 34 saves. Had sharp decline in strikeouts in 2009.

52. Rafael Soriano, Rays: 31 saves, 89 strikeouts, 3.20 ERA. Finished off 2009 nicely as closer for Braves, but downside is that he is very injury prone.

53. Ryan Franklin, Cardinals: 34 saves, 48 strikeouts, 2.30 ERA. Throw out September and October and he moves up a few notches, but it's hard to forget those shaky outings.

54. Scott Kazmir, Angels: 12 wins, 180 strikeouts, 3.70 ERA. Doesn't throw as hard as he did coming up but could still be serviceable in Anaheim collecting wins from a good team.

55. David Aardsma, Mariners: 35 saves, 87 strikeouts, 3.27 ERA. One of the big surprises in 2009. No previous saves in career and converted 38 of 42 chances. Can he do it again?

56. Trevor Hoffman, Brewers: 34 saves, 55 strikeouts, 2.27 ERA. At 42, he's still got it. Still one of the best closers, but lingering injuries make picking him a risk.

57. Ervin Santana, Angels: 15 wins, 180 strikeouts, 3.90 ERA. Has to step up this year after loss of ace Lackey. Elbow problems early last year, but he closed strong with two shutouts. Lots of upside.

58. John Danks, White Sox: 12 wins, 155 strikeouts, 3.95 ERA. Steady and eats up innings. Seems like he's been around longer, but he's only 24 with his best to come.

59. J.A. Happ, Phillies: 15 wins, 178 strikeouts, 3.70 ERA. Bullpen no more, tough under pressure.

60. Rich Harden, Rangers: 12 wins, 185 strikeouts, 3.95 ERA. Showed the last two seasons that he can stay somewhat healthy. Will get lots of strikeouts but also serve up long ball (23 in 26 starts in 2009).

61. Rick Porcello, Tigers: 15 wins, 139 strikeouts, 3.75 ERA. Won't get lots of strikeouts but has good command, limiting walks, which should lead to good sophomore year.

62. Ryan Dempster, Cubs: 13 wins, 177 strikeouts, 3.65 ERA. Workhorse who pitches more than 200 innings, giving owners a chance at wins. Could reach 17 wins again like 2009.

63. Carlos Marmol, Cubs: 33 saves, 87 strikeouts, 2.89 ERA. Should thrive in closer role, job he handled well to close out 2009. Has good stuff, capable of exceeding expectations.

64. Wade Davis, Rays: 11 wins, 158 strikeouts, 3.90 ERA. Strong stuff gives him potentially big upside.

65. Chad Billingsley, Dodgers: 11 wins, 179 strikeouts, 3.78 ERA. His great 2008 season seems long ago after a grueling final few months last season.

66. Kerry Wood, 32 saves, 70 strikeouts, 3.95 ERA. Finished 2009 second half strong despite not having many chances. Can still bring it.

67. Daisuke Matsuzaka, Red Sox: 13 wins, 180 strikeouts, 3.80 ERA. No World Baseball Classic games this year to tire out Dice-K, and he can be found at bargain prices late.

68. Ben Sheets, Athletics: 13 wins, 135 strikeouts, 3.40 ERA. After taking year off for elbow surgery, Sheets gets to pitch in Oakland, a pitcher's best friend. Injury prone, but lots of reward if healthy.

69. Andy Pettitte, Yankees: 13 wins, 150 strikeouts, 3.95 ERA. Model of consistency forever. Big offense behind him and one-year contract keeping 37-year-old motivated.

70. Jonathan Sanchez, Giants: 11 wins, 180 strikeouts, 3.90 ERA. Part of best staff in NL and throws lots of heat. If he can limit walks, he'll be better than ever in 2010.

71. Gavin Floyd, White Sox: 12 wins, 155 strikeouts, 4.00 ERA. 17 wins in 2008 and then pitched poorly early in 2009. Finished strong and looks to springboard into 2010 with momentum.

72. Mike Gonzalez, Orioles: 32 saves, 82 strikeouts, 3.25 ERA. First year as full-time closer after pitching well in Atlanta as both closer and setup man.

73. Bobby Jenks, White Sox: 28 saves, 47 strikeouts, 3.75 ERA. Still the closer despite not overpowering batters anymore. J.J. Putz brought in just in case Jenks serves up nine HRs again.

74. Derrick Lowe, Braves: 13 wins, 125 strikeouts, 4.20 ERA. Got hit a lot in 2009 and had large ERA but always finds ways to win.

75. John Maine, Mets: 12 wins, 165 strikeouts, 4.00 ERA. Hasn't been healthy for last two seasons but is expected to be 100 percent for 2010. Worth a shot in later rounds.

76. Billy Wagner, Braves: 28 saves, 64 strikeouts, 2.92 ERA. Upon returning from Tommy John surgery last year, he didn't miss a beat and almost looked better. Still, he's 38 with DL history.

77. Mark Buerhle, White Sox: 12 wins, 140 strikeouts, 3.95 ERA. Nine seasons of 10 wins and 200 innings pitched. Not much more consistent than that.

78. Hiroki Kuroda, Dodgers: 11 wins, 120 strikeouts, 3.85 ERA. Lots of injuries but still capable of having an upside by just staying healthy. Worth a shot late in mixed leagues.

79. Joe Saunders, Angels. 13 wins, 105 strikeouts, 4.25 ERA. Never expected to do much yet always seems to, with 33 wins the last two years. Closed strong in 2009 with 7-0 record in last eight starts.

80. Edwin Jackson, Diamondbacks: 12 wins, 148 strikeouts, 4.05 ERA. Two good seasons in a row with meltdown in second half of 2009. Could be great out of gate again.

81. Octavio Dotel, Pirates: 28 saves, 71 strikeouts, 3.40 ERA. Hasn't been full-time closer since 2004 but pitched well for the White Sox as setup man. Still throws hard. Battle still for closer role.

82. Randy Wolf, Brewers: 12 wins, 160 strikeouts, 4.10 ERA. Big difference in leaving smoggy night games of L.A. for hitter-friendly Miller Park, but he can still pitch and is worth late pick.

83. Carlos Zambrano, Cubs: 12 wins, 176 strikeouts, 3.75 ERA. Only 28, but his injuries have increased the last two years like someone who is much older. Good upside but risky.

84. Barry Zito, Giants: 12 wins, 157 strikeouts, 4.10 ERA. He's made a lot of fantasy owners angry the last few seasons with terrible off nights but made many happy last year.

85. Mat Latos, Padres: 13 wins, 137 strikeouts, 3.85 ERA Always looking for the next young Padres pitcher to make a splash in monstrous Petco Park. Currently in spring battle to win fifth slot in rotation.

86. Brian Fuentes, Angels: 28 saves, 53 strikeouts, 4.10 ERA. It's surprising that he will be featured as closer after having such a rough time in 2009. Fernando Rodney is waiting. Draft both.

87. Frank Francisco, Rangers: 26 saves, 74 strikeouts, 3.95 ERA. Will be given chance to close but has C.J. Wilson waiting. Draft both if drafting one.

88. Chris Young, Padres: 12 wins, 160 strikeouts, 3.40 ERA. Coming off shoulder surgery but could be nice late pickup. If healthy, he should be in lots of low scoring games helping team ERA.

89. Leo Nunez, Marlins: 28 saves, 60 strikeouts, 4.20 ERA. Showed signs by converting 24 of 28 chances but imploded in September with three of the blown saves. Still his job to lose.

90. Joba Chamberlain, Yankees: 10 wins, 145 strikeouts, 3.80 ERA. Who knows what the club will do with him in 2010. Begins as a starter, but trend in N.Y. is to change it up on Joba.

91. Johnny Cueto, Reds: 11 wins, 160 strikeouts, 4.05 ERA. Burst onto the scene with nasty stuff in 2009 and then his shoulder started bothering him. Closed out well, good returns possible late in draft.

92. Joel Pinero, Angels: 12 wins, 110 strikeouts, 4.20 ERA. Great 2009 in NL but will be tougher in 2010 in the AL. He should continue to get lots of ground balls and outs.

93. Brad Lidge, Phillies: 25 saves, 60 strikeouts, 3.95 ERA. Will be given every chance to close games when he comes back.

94. Ryan Madson, Phillies: 20 saves, 77 strikeouts, 2.45 ERA. Presents good upside because no one knows how Lidge will be when he does return.

95. Brandon Lyon, Astros: 26 saves, 60 strikeouts, 3.90 ERA. Given closer role despite proving he's better as setup man than closer when previously given the chance. Throws real hard. Maybe it's his time.

96. Matt Capps, Nationals: 27 saves, 47 strikeouts, 4.20 ERA. Will start out as Nats' closer, but he'll have quick competition should he falter.

97. Jon Rauch, Twins: 27 saves, 60 strikeouts, 3.25 ERA. Looks to be the main closer among a few ready to take over for Joe Nathan. Position still mystery because of Nathan's uncertainty.

98. Bronson Arroyo, Reds. 13 wins, 135 strikeouts, 4.20 ERA. Gives you lots of innings pitched mixed in a with a couple of gems a year.

99. Justin Duchscherer, Athletics: 10 wins, 127 strikeouts, 3.80 ERA. Risky pick because of his elbow injury and mental state but could be worth a chance late just because he could recapture 2008 form.

100. Stephen Strasburg, Nationals: 8 wins, 140 strikeouts, 3.85 ERA. He'll eventually play with the Nats this year, but when is the question. Looked great in first spring game. Well worth a pick.

Lumi · Mar 12, 2010

2010 Catcher Rankings

2010 Catcher Rankings

2010 Catcher Rankings

There is the top-three, and then there is everyone else. If you don't get Victor Martinez, Joe Mauer or Brian McCann, it's a "crapshoot" and you might as well wait until later to select your catcher because No.4 through No.8 are almost interchangeable.
Top-10
1) Victor Martinez, BOS (ADP 31.8) - Almost every other prognosticator will have Joe Mauer at the top of the list, but for me, Martinez is the surer bet. Except for his injury-plagued 2008 season (elbow), Martinez has shown you that he will hit .302 with 21.4 HR and 100.6 RBI. Mauer can't match those numbers and you will have to use an early second-round pick on the Minnesota catcher versus a late-third or early fourth-round selection for Martinez. You choose.

2) Joe Mauer, MIN (ADP 13.5) - Yes, Mauer had an amazing 2009, but unless you think he suddenly developed into a 28+ HR guy last year you are likely to see him return to his base production which over the past five years is batting .328 with 13.2 HR and 76.4 RBI. Even assuming some improvement with age, that still leaves him behind Martinez's production and for a steeper price.

3) Brian McCann, ATL (ADP 38.4) - McCann had vision problems in 2009 and still put up a .281 batting average with 21 HR and 94 RBI. It's easy to imagine him improving on those numbers since he'll actually be able to see the pitches he's swinging at in 2010.

4) Matt Wieters, BAL (ADP 91.8) - The much-heralded rookie came up in mid- season and did a serviceable job (9 HR, 43 RBI .288 in 354 AB). Based on his past he'll improve on those numbers in his second year and we're predicting a 15-20 HR, 75 RBI, .295 batting average for 2010.

5) Jorge Posada, NYY (ADP 100.7) - Posada will be 39 this August and can't catch everyday anymore, but that's the advantage of playing in the American League with the DH. Batting sixth in the potent Yankees lineup will allow him to put up top-five numbers despite only getting around 400 at-bats.

6) Russell Martin, LAD (ADP 142.5) - He will likely miss a couple of weeks at the beginning of the season, but Mauer proved that you can still be valuable even missing the entire month of April. More importantly, Martin has to return to his 2007 batting form when he hit 19 HR, knocked in 87 and hit .293. He brings the ability to steal double-digit bases from a position where that is rare.

7) Kurt Suzuki, OAK (ADP 138.4) - Suzuki didn't get much publicity last year, but he had a very good season on a weak-hitting A's ball club so no one noticed (.274, 15 HR, 88 RBI). It will be interesting to see if he can repeat that performance.

8) Miguel Montero, AZ (ADP 138.5) - This could be a breakout season for Montero. He already posted a .294 batting average with 16 HR and 59 RBI last year to win the job from Chris Snyder, now we need to see him progress to the next level. If he does, that could be a 20+ HR year and a giant move up the charts. Fourth-best fantasy catcher (behind only Martinez, Mauer and McCann) is possible at the top end.

9) Geovany Soto, CHC (ADP 167.3) - After a monster rookie year (.286, 23 HR, 86 RBI) Soto was selected in the third round last year. He proved to be one of the biggest disappointments of 2009 batting just .218 with 11 HR and 47 RBI. Was this just a sophomore jinx or did the league find a hole in his swing? Likely he'll be somewhere between the two and be a bottom-end fantasy starter.

10) Mike Napoli, ANA (ADP 167.1) - Napoli only got 372 at-bats, yet managed to knock 20 balls out of the park. It's too bad he can't win the job outright from Jeff Mathis, because his numbers could be very good with 500+ at-bats.

Just Missed - Bengie Molina (ADP 155.6), Ryan Doumit (ADP 185.8), A.J. Pierzynski (ADP 273.8).

Late Round Bargain - Miguel Olivo (ADP 329.3).

you want this info, you know how to reach me

TON · Mar 12, 2010

so wait on drafting a Catcher

Lumi · Mar 15, 2010

TON said:
so wait on drafting a Catcher

Depends on when and where you are drafting according to the article.

Lumi · Mar 15, 2010

Who to draft and who to drop in your MLB fantasy league

Who to draft and who to drop in your MLB fantasy league

Who to draft and who to drop in your MLB fantasy league

Getting the edge over opponents is what it?s all about in the world of fantasy sports, especially in a money league where wins are precious on your journey toward qualifying for the playoffs.

At no time is it more important to secure that edge than during the draft phase of a league. Your drafted roster lays the foundation of whatever competitive edge you will have during the season.

While research and a bit of luck are needed, getting that edge comes down to this: your own personal analysis, gut feelings and hunches to make the best possible selection in each round of the draft.

With baseball leagues in the midst of preseason drafts, the key to a successful beginning is to determine what players to jump on and the ones to stay away from in the early rounds.

I?ve been playing fantasy sports, including baseball, for over 25 years. One of the first things I do is put together my own personal list of stud players and players to avoid.

My green light players, the top five I would key on early in my drafts, include players who are making most other top-five projected lists. My twist is the order that I would select them.

My red light players, players I would avoid, aren?t necessarily bad players. But they are players who I would prefer to draft in the later rounds or maybe not at all.

Green light

Alex Rodriguez (New York Yankees, third base)

The guy to key on if you have that first pick in your draft, a guy I will definitely select if available, is Rodriguez. I am not a huge Yankees fan but I think Rodriguez is going to have a monster season. Missing the first month of last season, he had to deal with hip surgery and an admission of sterioid use and still ended up with 30 homers and 100 RBIs.

Rodriguez will turn 34 this year. But, with a full season ahead of him in the home-run launching pad known as Yankee Stadium, I see him blowing away other fantasy players and getting around 50 homers, 140-plus RBIs, 20-plus steals and a .300 batting average

Albert Pujols (St. Louis Cardinals, first base)

Fantasy Web sites are touting Pujols as the can?t-miss No. 1 pick of the baseball draft. Sure, he?s an offensive standout. But can he play a full season? For the second straight year he enters a season coming off surgery to clean out his right elbow. I just don?t believe the typical numbers will be there.

Pujols scares me because I think injuries could haunt him. I would still keep him at around No. 2 or No. 3 in your draft with the potential for solid numbers - 30 homers and 100 RBIs ? but would draft a solid backup first baseman in case Pujols falters.

Hanley Ramirez (Florida Marlins, shortstop)

Ramirez is going to be the stud this season at shortstop with the potential for 30 homers, 100-plus RBIs and .300-plus batting average.

Chase Utley (Philadelphia Phillies, second base)

Utley always has the potential to hit around 30 homers and post a .300-plus average.

Roy Halladay (Philadelphia Phillies, starting pitcher)

Halladay will be a fantasy stud with the benefit of being on a World Series contender with a great offense to give him early and often run support. And he has the benefit of being in the National League where there is no designated hitter. Expect 20-plus wins and a sub- 3.00 ERA.

Red light

Curtis Granderson (New York Yankees, outfield)

While Yankees fans are pumped up with the addition of Granderson on their team, it might take awhile for him to get used to the New York atmosphere and pressure. Outside of a career-high 30 home runs last season, his production has been on an incline.

He has trouble with left-handed pitchers and he could put added pressure on himself trying to hit homers with that short fence in right field staring at him. A .260 batting average, 20-25 homers and 70-80 RBIs might be too generous a projection for him.

Carlos Beltran (New York Mets, outfield)

Beltran is going to miss the first month of the season with an injury and will likely struggle trying to get back into rhythm when he returns.

Javier Vazquez (New York Yankees, starting pitcher)

Vasquez had a career-year last season and was a fantasy stud for the Atlanta Braves. But the move to New York could hurt his stat line. His ERA will likely rise as will the homers allowed.

A.J. Burnett (New York Yankees, starting pitcher)

When it comes to Burnett, I don?t think it?s wise to risk a high pick on him because you don?t always know what you?re going to get with him ? a guy who wins 18 games with Toronto in 2008 or 13 games with the World Series-winning Yankees in 2009. And he has a history of being wild and injured.

Joel Pineiro (Los Angeles Angels, starting pitcher)

Pineiro has a tendancy to be inconsistent. He won 15 games with the Cardinals last year, the first time he had double-digit wins since he won 16 with Seattle in 2003. There were back-to-back weeks where he would get you 40 fantasy points and the next week get you only 4-8 points. Don?t expect another 15-win season and a low ERA. Wait on this guy for the later rounds when drafting your team.

Lumi · Mar 19, 2010

FANTASY BASEBALL: Middle infielders prove pivotal

FANTASY BASEBALL: Middle infielders prove pivotal

FANTASY BASEBALL: Middle infielders prove pivotal

The biggest decision of your fantasy baseball draft will be which infielders to take.

First basemen and third basemen are always at the top of the infield lineup because they have the most gaudy numbers. But if you look at some of the other infield positions and probabilities involved, there might be a lot more to consider.

First of all, you need to think about the position and how deep it is. If you have an early pick, you can't ignore the statistics of Albert Pujols or Prince Fielder. Those first basemen are the elite of the first round.

The players who are sweet commodities in the first round are shortstop Hanley Ramirez and second baseman Chase Utley. Think about it: If you can get a great player from a weak pool going against players who match up decently against Fielder and Pujols, then you have a real statement to make. Would you rather have Ramirez and first baseman Adam Dunn, for example, or Pujols and shortstop Rafael Furcal?

Where you draft is key. If selecting early, you're almost forced to take a Pujols or Fielder, but before doing so, think about each position and where they rank.

First base is loaded, with not much difference between No. 5-rated Miguel Cabrera and No. 13 Lance Berkman. But at second base or shortstop, the difference is much larger in talent and projected numbers from No. 5 to No. 13.

The drop-off from Ramirez and Troy Tulowitzki, who are rated first and second at shortstop, is massive. And the drop-off after that is even bigger.

At second base, Utley reigns supreme and is worth consideration for a top draft pick just because of the shortage of talent behind him. Once you get past the multitalented Utley, you're left with the likes of Ian Kinsler or Dustin Pedroia in the second or third round.

Second base, shortstop and catcher are the most elite positions, meaning there are fewer players who put up big numbers at those positions when compared with the massive pools at first base and third base.

Here's a look at a few players who could provide a boost to your lineup and aren't among the top players listed for infield positions:

2B -- Martin Prado, Braves: He's being projected as the No. 20 second baseman drafted, but he's much more valuable because of his versatility and hitting. Prado found his niche with Atlanta last year by mashing the ball, getting big hits and playing anywhere that was needed.

SS -- Marco Scutaro, Red Sox: The Red Sox have treated this position as a rental with no mainstay since Nomar Garciaparra. They've gone through Orlando Cabrera, Edgar Renteria and Julio Lugo, among others, with no pronounced stability. But they might have found it in Scutaro. His situational hitting and the Green Monster should help him become a fan favorite in the same manner as Marty Barrett, a second baseman who used the monster to amass great numbers. Scutaro takes a ton of pitches, draws plenty of walks and will score a lot of runs.

2B-OF -- Ben Zobrist, Rays: It's unlikely that he'll fall under the radar again the way he did last season while totaling 27 home runs and 91 RBIs, but his versatility within a powerful lineup makes him a solid choice. Zobrist played every infield position last season. He'll be in the lineup every day and sneak in more than 20 stolen bases.

3B -- Michael Young, Rangers: Most mock drafts have him going in the eighth or ninth round, but if you find yourself needing a reliable third baseman, he's your guy. All this guy does is mash and remain underappreciated, and he's surrounded by a potent lineup, meaning plenty of RBI and run opportunities.

SS -- Elvis Andrus, Rangers: He's being projected as the eighth shortstop taken but had a solid rookie campaign. You can expect around 40 stolen bases and an on-base percentage near .360, which will equate to a lot of runs scored.

A player to watch is shortstop Jose Reyes. Once a top-five pick, he could be underrated this year because of injuries. He's expected to miss the first month of the season but could be a huge bonus for someone willing to take the risk because of his steals and propensity for getting on base.

Lumi · Mar 26, 2010

FANTASY BASEBALL: Risk makes few outfielders worthy of first round

FANTASY BASEBALL: Risk makes few outfielders worthy of first round

FANTASY BASEBALL: Risk makes few outfielders worthy of first round

Diamondbacks' Upton, Dodgers' trio stir questions

A couple of outfielders are worth considering as first-round picks in your fantasy baseball draft. After them, you'll be gambling.

Because so many outfielders are available, you might think there isn't a shortage of talent. But after analyzing the risk versus reward for each, plenty of concerns surface, beginning with the consensus No. 3-rated outfielder.

After getting past the Milwaukee Brewers' Ryan Braun and the Tampa Bay Rays' Carl Crawford in the first two rounds, a few high-risk candidates could warrant selections in the second and third rounds. But opting for one of the top three catchers or a valued middle infielder looks like the more conservative and logical approach.

The Arizona Diamondbacks' Justin Upton has many fantasy owners drooling, thinking he'll materialize into a superstar, after hitting .300 with 26 home runs and 20 stolen bases last season. It is possible he could take the next step, but is the risk worth a pick in the first two rounds, or even the third?

Most fantasy baseball publications have Upton listed as the second- or third-best outfielder in the draft, but until he consistently posts elite numbers, he's a risky pick.

Not so risky a pick is the Boston Red Sox's Jacoby Ellsbury. It's not hard to project what Ellsbury will do this season because he has thrived for two straight seasons and is getting better.

We know he jump-starts one of the American League's best offenses, he's going to be near the league lead in stolen bases, and he has proven he can sustain consistency hitting against the pitchers in his division. The big question with Ellsbury is whether his power numbers will increase -- and there's a good chance they will.

Maybe we're wary of Upton simply because of what happened to his brother, B.J. Upton, in the 2008 season.

After his 2007 season, when he hit .300 with 24 home runs and 82 RBIs, B.J. Upton was being touted as someone worthy of an early-round draft choice. But his numbers fell off precipitously the next two seasons.

Another mystery on draft day will be the Los Angeles Dodgers' outfield. Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier busted out with career years for the second straight season, and Manny Ramirez slumped to numbers fantasy owners had never seen from him.

Kemp has the potential to hit 30 homers and steal 30 bases. Ethier has established himself as the Dodgers' game breaker who struggles early in the season before getting hot.

Ramirez finished last season with his worst numbers since his rookie year of 1994. In fairness to him, he was suspended for 50 games last season.

It's possible Ramirez could return to form and is a top-15 outfielder, but a safer pick would be someone such as the Houston Astros' Carlos Lee. You can pretty much count on a 26-homer, 100-RBI season from him.

You're always looking for late-round bargains, so keep an eye on the Oakland Athletics' Rajai Davis, the San Diego Padres' Kyle Blanks and the Chicago White Sox's Juan Pierre.

Davis, ranked 48th among outfielders, could hit for a high average, steal bases and play every day. Blanks, 74th among outfielders, has tremendous power.

Pierre, 40th among outfielders, will be starting every day and hitting leadoff. When he has gotten 600 at-bats in a season, he has been good for around 190 hits and 45 stolen bases.

Lumi · Mar 26, 2010

FANTASY BASEBALL RANKINGS, PROJECTIONS

Outfielder Rankings: 2010 Projections
1) Ryan Braun, Brewers: .310 average, 35 home runs, 115 RBIs. Class of all outfielders and worthy of an early first-round pick. He set career highs in hits (203), RBIs (114) and steals (20) last season in a steady upward progression as one of baseball?s best.

2) Carl Crawford, Rays: .300 average, 100 runs, 55 stolen bases. Set career highs in walks (51) and stolen bases (60) last season. Early second-round pick easily is justified with his expected total bases numbers enhanced by his triples and home runs.

3) Matt Holliday, Cardinals: .315 average, 30 home runs, 115 RBIs. Things got better for him after the trade from the American League to the National League last year and should continue in 2010.

4) Matt Kemp, Dodgers: .295 average, 100 RBIs, 36 stolen bases. Multi-talented player who can beat you with slugging or speed. He is the catalyst of the Dodgers.

5) Jacoby Ellsbury, Red Sox: .305 average, 100 runs, 75 stolen bases. Everything is set for him to duplicate or better his past two seasons as one of the AL?s best.

6) Grady Sizemore, Indians: .270 average, 110 runs, 35 stolen bases. Slowed by multiple injuries, many might forget what a fantasy force he is. Risky pick, but worth it if he can play 150 games.

7) Justin Upton, Diamondbacks: .285 average, 28 home runs, 92 RBIs. A lot riding on him to become the next superstar. It?s all speculation until it happens. Buyer beware, but he is hard to pass up.

8) Andre Ethier, Dodgers: .280 average, 32 home runs, 105 RBIs. Career year each of the past two seasons. He?s sure to get better as he evolves into the Dodgers? new crunch-time player.

9) Ichiro Suzuki, Mariners: .340 average, 105 runs, 28 stolen bases. He has topped 200 hits a season for nine straight years. He might have lost a step at age 36, but we?re talking 200 hits every year. He has a much better supporting cast in the lineup this season.

10) Adam Lind, Blue Jays: .285 average, 30 home runs, 100 RBIs. Will he repeat 2009 with monster power numbers, or will he be figured out? Risky pick at this stage, but still should perform.

11) Jason Bay, Mets: .270 average, 25 home runs, 100 RBIs. He goes from the hitter parks of PNC and Fenway to the cavernous Citi Field this year, and he might regret it. Risky pick, if looking for him to produce numbers similar to last season?s. Bonus could be having Jose Reyes in lineup.

12) Carlos Lee, Astros: .300 average, 26 home runs, 100 RBIs. Never gets any attention and doesn?t ask for it. He?s a machine every year, and his typical numbers can be expected.

13) Curtis Granderson, Yankees: .270 average, 105 runs, 32 home runs. He could benefit huge at Yankee Stadium with the short right-field fence. His numbers realistically could become greater than expected in steals and RBIs.

14) Nelson Cruz, Rangers: .265 average, 32 home runs, 95 RBIs. Should be able to put up numbers similar to last year?s, with about 33 home runs. Great park to mash in.

15) Josh Hamilton, Rangers: .275 average, 27 home runs, 90 RBIs. He was injury riddled in 2009, but who can forget the 130 RBIs from 2008? Could have a huge upside if picking this late in need of an outfielder.

16) Jayson Werth, Phillies: .270 average, 28 home runs, 95 RBIs. His upward progression shows that he might be only scratching the surface and could top last year?s numbers, a season in which he hit 36 home runs.

17) Hunter Pence, Astros: .278 average, 24 home runs, 80 RBIs. His power numbers look to be the same as his first three seasons, but his steals and walks could increase significantly.

18) Ben Zobrist, Rays: .285 average, 28 home runs, 95 RBIs. With the way Sean Rodriguez is hitting this spring, look for Zobrist to play less infield and more outfield. Huge utility player for any fantasy team because he eventually will play every infield position, helping when others get injured.

19) Andrew McCutchen, Pirates: .285 average, 20 home runs, 40 stolen bases. He might have one of the best upsides of all outfielders based on where he?s projected. He could put up Carl Crawford-type numbers, except with a little more power.

20) Manny Ramirez, Dodgers: .285 average, 26 home runs, 92 RBIs. How he performs rests entirely with his attitude. If he?s having fun, he?ll want to play every day. If things go south early, he has been known to create problems that detract from his play. Risky, but so tempting because of his past.

21) Nick Markakis, Orioles: .295 average, 25 home runs, 95 RBIs. He?s a strong No. 2 outfielder for any team. Three straight consistent seasons, though his average dropped to .293 last season.

22) Bobby Abreu, Angels: .295 average, 105 RBIs, 30 stolen bases. Seven straight seasons of 100 RBIs and a player who will hit near or above .300 and steal bases. Rare stat producer and a safe pick.

23) Alfonso Soriano, Cubs: .265 average, 26 home runs, 90 RBIs. His total bases have decreased rapidly each of the past four seasons, and the Cubs have gotten the short end of the stick each time. He should have one or two more good seasons left. Nevertheless, he?s still a risky pick. Think of him only as a bonus with low expectations and not the savior of your team.

24) Raul Ibanez, Phillies: .275 average, 30 home runs, 90 RBIs. He?ll be hard-pressed to duplicate 2009 numbers, especially the torrid first-half numbers. Great park to hit in and stacked lineup give him all the capabilities to match the numbers despite being 37 years old (38 on June 2).

25) Carlos Quentin, White Sox: .270 average, 28 home runs, 85 RBIs. Worth a gamble late because of what he?s capable of if playing every day for an entire season, which he never has.

26) Shin-Soo Choo, Indians: .300 average, 20 home runs, 85 RBIs. Has rapidly progressed the past two seasons. He could be a 30 home run guy.

27) Torii Hunter, Angels: .290 average, 26 home runs, 90 RBIs. Always underrated, but a force in the Angels? lineup. Not a lot of risk.

28) Adam Jones, Orioles: .270 average, 20 home runs, 80 RBIs. Burst onto the scene on fire last season and then slumped. Has potential to be much better than projected.

29) Rajai Davis, Athletics: .290 average, 105 runs, 72 stolen bases. He?ll contend for the AL stolen base crown this year while getting in more than 600 at-bats as an everyday player.

30) Nyjer Morgan, Nationals: .285 average, 100 runs, 60 stolen bases. Made the most of his chance in D.C. and looks like a younger Juan Pierre. Plenty of boppers to bring him home.

31) Johnny Damon, Tigers: .285 average, 95 runs, 20 home runs. He?ll have a tough time trying to match his numbers from New York last year, but his steals should go up considerably.

32) Brad Hawpe, Rockies: .280 average, 24 home runs, 88 RBIs. No lofty expectations, you know exactly what you?ll get, which is solid numbers at the end of the year, mixed in with a slump or two.

33) Jay Bruce, Reds: .265 average, 26 home runs, 80 RBIs. Finished 2009 strong after a poor start with a wrist injury. Risky, but could have huge numbers if able to play entire season.

34) Shane Victorino, Phillies: .290 average, 105 runs, 30 stolen bases. Steady performer who plays in a great lineup and ballpark. He does it all.

35) B.J. Upton, Rays: .270 average, 18 home runs, 45 stolen bases. His average dropped to .241 last year, but he still has the tools to rebound close to his 2007 performance.

36) Jason Heyward, Braves: .285 average, 20 home runs, 78 RBIs. 2009 minor league player of the year. It doesn?t guarantee him anything, but he?ll get to play every day and show how good he is. He?s worth a shot.

37) Kyle Blanks, Padres: .265 average, 25 home runs, 80 RBIs. Just because he looks like a younger Ryan Howard with tape-measure homers, he?s worth a shot in later rounds.

38) Michael Bourn, Astros: .280 average, 95 runs, 70 stolen bases. Led NL in steals last season and played with patience at the plate, earning walks.

39) Ryan Ludwick, Cardinals: .270 average, 25 home runs, 100 RBIs. Though he had a down year in 2009 with injuries, he still drove in 97 runs with only 486 at-bats.

40) Juan Pierre, White Sox: .290 average, 100 runs, 48 stolen bases. He?ll be setting the table for the Sox every day, which means he?ll get more than 600 at-bats if healthy. In every year in which he has had that many at bats, he has had at least 190 hits and 45 steals, great numbers for someone drafted this late.

First Base Rankings: 2010 Projections
1. Albert Pujols, Cardinals: .330 average, 40 home runs, 130 RBIs ? He?s about as sure a lock as there comes to expecting great numbers. The three-time Most Valuable Player is only 30 years old and is a candidate to win the triple crown.

2. Prince Fielder, Brewers: .295 average, 45 home runs, 135 RBIs ? He played in all 162 games last year, had his best batting average (.299) and is just hitting his prime at 25 (26 on May 9). Even though he?s already projected high, he could be the steal of the draft if you're lucky enough to pick within the first four selections.

3. Ryan Howard, Phillies: .280 average, 45 home runs, 135 RBIs ? Many mock drafts have Howard going with the 14th pick, with several uncertainties going before him. This is one player you know exactly what you're getting and doesn?t disappoint.

4. Mark Teixeira, Yankees: .290 average, 40 home runs, 120 RBIs ? Hard to believe he?s only 29 years old (30 on April 11) because it seems like he?s been putting up solid numbers for at least 10 years. He struggled early on in the metropolis last year, but he should be fine with the short porch early on this year.

5. Miguel Cabrera, Tigers: .310 average, 35 home runs, 105 RBIs ? This guy is only 26 years old (27 on April 18) and hitting his prime, but it seems like he?s been around forever. His supporting cast makes him less likely to beat his totals from last year.

6. Justin Morneau, Twins: .275 average, 35 home runs, 110 RBIs ? He presents great value at a loaded position in later rounds because he?ll put up similar numbers to the top players.

7. Adrian Gonzalez, Padres: .275 average, 38 home runs, 100 RBIs ? It?s not likely he?ll be with the Padres after July, which should help his numbers because he plays in the pitcher-friendly Petco Park.

8. Kevin Youkilis, Red Sox: .310 average, 28 home runs, 110 RBIs ? He earned his roster spot for the Sox by being the Greek god of walks and has parlayed that into first-rate production. Consistency is his main asset.

9. Kendry Morales, Angels: .296 average, 30 home runs, 100 RBIs ? He burst onto the scene last season with spectacular numbers. It could be risky expecting him to do it again, especially with fewer table-setters in the lineup.

10. Adam Dunn, Nationals: .260 average, 39 home runs, 100 RBIs ? You have to love him because you know exactly what you?re getting. He has the same numbers every year. For the team opting to go shortstop, second base or catcher early, he is a nice play for first base.

11. Carlos Pena, Rays: .240 average, 36 home runs, 100 RBIs ? He strikes out a lot, but he?s also proven to be a steady power source in a strong lineup.

12. Joey Votto, Reds: .305 average, 22 home runs, 92 RBIs ? This could be a breakout year for him. He could be one of the best low-risk high-reward players of the draft.

13. Lance Berkman, Astros: .280 average, 28 home runs, 95 RBIs ? He?s another player who could have a huge return on investment. He had his worst season last year, but the guy still can mash if healthy. If available as the 10th first baseman in the draft, take him.

14. Billy Butler, Royals: .290 average, 27 home runs, 95 RBIs ? He has a tremendous upside. His 51 doubles last season suggest his home run total could increase dramatically this year.

15. Derrek Lee, Cubs: .295 average, 29 home runs, 100 RBIs ? After two sub-par power seasons, he came on strong last year with 35 home runs. Rated lower than what he could become again.

Second Base Rankings: 2010 Projections
1. Chase Utley, Phillies: .295 average, 32 home runs, 110 RBIs ? This guy is simply the best; a modern-day Rogers Hornsby. Year after year he gives the best numbers of any second sacker.

2. Aaron Hill, Blue Jays: .280 average, 24 home runs, 90 RBIs ? It?s hard to see him duplicating 2009 with 36 home runs, but it?s hard not to make him the second-best choice at his position.

3. Ian Kinsler, Rangers: .280 average, 24 home runs, 35 stolen bases ? After a great start to 2009, he tried to pull everything he saw, which shrunk his average to a career-low .253. Look for a return to normalcy this season.

4. Dustin Pedroia, Red Sox: .310 average, 120 runs, 20 stolen bases ? His numbers fell from his MVP year of 2008 but not by much. He is a main cog in one of the majors' best lineups and can be expected to put up consistent numbers.

5. Brian Roberts, Orioles: .280 average, 110 runs, 30 stolen bases ? He declined for the third straight season in stolen bases but made up for it by leading the league in doubles (56). He also had his second-best homer season with 16 while sacrificing some in average.

6. Robinson Cano, Yankees: .300 average, 20 home runs, 110 runs ? He had his best year last season and is hitting his prime at 27. Look for his best season ever in 2010.

7. Brandon Phillips, Reds: .280 average, 22 home runs, 92 RBIs ? In the National League, only Utley is better than Phillips and maybe just barely when considering the stolen base numbers.

8. Jose Lopez, Mariners: .275 average, 22 home runs, 90 RBIs ? No one talks about Lopez in consideration for draft day, but his numbers shouldn?t be ignored. Two straight seasons with 89 RBIs or more is something to notice.

9. Dan Uggla, Marlins: .260 average, 30 home runs, 95 RBIs ? He has hit 30 homers for three straight seasons while topping 88 RBIs for each. Strikes out a lot but remains consistent.

10. Howie Kendrick, Angels: .300 average, 95 runs, 85 RBIs ? The last months of 2009 indicate that he?s ready to be a prime-time player, and the Angels will need him to be in that lineup. He has a great upside to do better than expected.

11. Martin Prado, Braves: .300 average, 90 runs, 90 RBIs ? This guy has huge value because he?ll play every infield position, providing versatility throughout the season when, not if, one of your players goes down.

12. Clint Barmes, Rockies: .255 average, 18 home runs, 70 RBIs ? He finally lived up to his promise last year, but he?s got Eric Young breathing down his neck for the job. Risky pick.

13. Asdrubal Cabrera, Indians: .300 average, 85 runs, 20 stolen bases ? Impressed the organization with his versatile play last year and should improve in 2010.

14. Felipe Lopez, Cardinals: .290 average, 90 runs, 65 RBIs ? He plays all infield positions and could help a team with his versatility. He should get close to 600 at-bats, so he?s worth a shot late.

15. Alberto Callaspo, Royals: .290 average, 80 runs, 80 RBIs ? Burst onto the scene last year with great numbers. His only downside is Chris Getz could challenge for playing time.

Shortstop Rankings: 2010 Projections
1. Hanley Ramirez, Marlins: .325 average, 30 home runs, 110 RBIs ? Should be the top pick of any draft because of what he does at the plate and bases along with the position he plays. Power and speed combo while hitting for average is reminiscent of Barry Bonds early stages.

2. Troy Tulowitzki, Rockies: .280 average, 27 home runs, 95 RBIs ? He had a great second half last season after destroying most his fantasy teams in the first half.

3. Derek Jeter, Yankees: .315 average, 105 runs, 25 stolen bases ? Players at 35 aren?t supposed to be having career years, but that?s exactly what Jeter did in 2009. He is about as consistent as they come in fantasy play.

4. Jimmy Rollins, Phillies: .265 average, 110 runs, 35 stolen bases ? He could be hugely undervalued this season after being a first- or second-round pick last year. He was miserable in 2009 and cost many owners their season by sticking with him, but he finished strong.

5. Elvis Andrus, Rangers: .275 average, 95 runs, 45 stolen bases ? He could become what we all expect out of a healthy Jose Reyes with lots of triples and stolen bases. Big upside in the beefy Rangers lineup.

6. Jose Reyes, Mets: . 285 average, 90 runs, 35 stolen bases ? He?s a risky pick because of a long list of injuries and won?t be available for the first month but could be a late-round steal.

7. Jason Bartlett, Rays: .300 average, 95 runs, 25 stolen bases ? No more mystery about when he?ll provide. The shortstop position is his, and he could improve upon his great 2009.

8. Marco Scutaro, Red Sox: .285 average, 110 runs, 65 RBIs ? Should be his best season after a breakthrough 2009 just because of the lineup that surrounds him. The Green Monster should be friendly to him. He'll be a Fenway favorite.

9. Yunel Escobar, Braves: .295 average, 95 runs, 80 RBIs ? Huge upside because he?s hitting his prime and has improved each year in all facets of his game.

10. Alexei Ramirez, White Sox: .285 average, 80 runs, 70 RBIs ? He showed more plate discipline last year but didn?t whack the ball as much as his rookie year. Good potential for better year.

11. Stephen Drew, Diamondbacks: .270 average, 18 home runs, 85 runs ? He was disappointing in 2009 compared to his breakout year of 2008. He could be undervalued this year because of his struggles.

12. Ryan Theriot, Cubs: .280 average, 80 runs, 20 stolen bases ? He plays every day and puts up consistent numbers. Could be a good find for those picking a shortstop late.

13. Rafael Furcal, Dodgers: .270 average, 90 runs, 18 stolen bases ? He had a great September, which could carry over to this season.

14. Orlando Cabrera, Reds: .285 average, 90 runs, 75 RBIs ? It doesn?t matter where he?s at, he?ll put up the same numbers every year. Not many accolades but a consistent performer.

15. Jack Wilson, Mariners: .290 average, 70 runs, 65 RBIs ? No one is talking about Wilson, but he?ll be the everyday guy for Seattle in a much-improved lineup. He?s worth a shot in that you know he will be staring.

Third base Rankings: 2010 Projections
1. Alex Rodriguez, Yankees: .285 average, 39 home runs, 115 RBIs ? After watching his postseason from last year, it looks like he fully has recovered from hip surgery and will be a force again this year. No more 50 home run seasons on tap, but he could reach 40.

2. Evan Longoria, Rays: .280 average, 37 home runs, 110 RBIs ? He looks to be a solid keeper in all league formats. He?s only 24 and hasn?t even tapped into what could be.

3. Mark Reynolds, Diamondbacks: .265 average, 45 home runs, 110 RBIs ? His strikeouts are league leading, but his power numbers can win weeks single handedly. He?s looking like a younger Adam Dunn.

4. David Wright, Mets: .310 average, 18 home runs, 95 RBIs ? His contact didn?t suffer from the new park, but his power dipped dramatically. If Reyes is healthy this year, his RBIs should increase, but don?t expect 30 home run seasons again.

5. Pablo Sandoval, Giants: .325 average, 22 home runs, 100 RBIs ? The guy has hit everywhere he?s ever been. The game appears too easy for him.

6. Ryan Zimmerman, Nationals: .290 average, 32 home runs, 105 RBIs ? He?s just hitting his prime and could best his career year of 2009 because he?s taking more pitches.

7. Michael Young, Rangers: .310 average, 20 home runs, 85 RBIs ? His age (33) is a drawback, but he?s a gamer and produces every year. He?s got a great supporting cast around him, which could increase his totals more than expected.

8. Aramis Ramirez, Cubs: .290 average, 25 home runs, 100 RBIs ? There is doubt about his ability, but he ranks low because of his consistent injuries.

9. Adrian Beltre, Red Sox: .270 average, 28 home runs, 90 RBIs ? Fenway should make him better than ever, perhaps not including his 2004 breakout. He?s got his best supporting cast ever to make his numbers look good.

10. Gordon Beckham, White Sox: .280 average, 25 home runs, 90 RBIs ? He is slated to play second base but figures to qualify at third, where he played as a rookie last season, for fantasy purposes. He has huge upside and could be in store for a monster year.

11. Chipper Jones, Braves: .280 average, 20 home runs, 80 RBIs ? You know exactly what you?re getting when drafting him, which means about 130 games. He surprised everyone with 143 games last year, but his average suffered a .100-point drop from 2008.

12. Jorge Cantu, Marlins: . 290 average, 20 home runs, 95 RBIs ? He was the savior of many teams in the past two seasons as a fill-in. He plays multiple positions and bats in the meat of the order, providing great RBI opportunities.

13. Chone Figgins, Mariners: .300 average, 110 runs, 40 stolen bases ? It will be interesting to see how he and Ichiro Suzuki team up together in the order. It could improve his numbers over the long haul.

14. Ian Stewart, Rockies: .250 average, 26 home runs, 86 RBIs ? The power he provided and the lack of Garrett Atkins producing opened the door for him, but his low average gives concern for a team that has several serviceable infielders.

Lumi · Mar 26, 2010

15. Casey McGehee, Brewers: .290 average, 29 home runs, 80 RBIs ? Being slated as the starter in the Brewers lineup every day while being able to hit for close to .300 will benefit anyone who picks him. He has great potential to exceed expectations in his second year.

Catcher Rankings: 2010 Projections
1. Joe Mauer, Twins: .341 average, 24 HRs, 100 RBIs. One of most complete players in MLB. Hit for power last season and could see more in 2010. He's worth a late first-round pick.

2. Brian McCann, Braves: .290 average, 26 HRs, 95 RBIs. Consistent anchor in Braves lineup who is in the prime of career. He's a good second-round pick because there are so few at position.

3. Victor Martinez, Red Sox: .305 average, 23 HRs, 105 RBIs. He could have a huge upside just by playing at Fenway Park for an entire season. Sox will try to keep him healthy by playing him at DH and 1B regularly. Worth a second-round pick.

4. Jorge Posada, Yankees: 280 average, 22 HRs, 84 RBIs Despite his age (38), his bat in middle of Yanks order can't be ignored. More DH this year keeping him in lineup more.

5. Geovany Soto, Cubs: 278 average, 20 HRs, 72 RBIs. Nagging injuries prevented a repeat of his great '08 offensive numbers. Has best upside of any catcher for 2010.

6. Matt Wieters, Orioles: .290 average, 15 HRs, 71 RBIs. Much is expected after great second half of 2009 rookie season. Could be Joe Mauer type in the making.

7. Kurt Suzuki, Athletics: .270 average, 14 HRs, 74 RBIs. Best asset is that he plays just about every game making him a rock of stability for any fantasy team.

8. Mike Napoli, Angels: 263 average, 23 HRs, 68 RBIs. Back-to-back 20-HR years but shares time with Jeff Mathis. Getting better defensively so should get more at-bats.

9. Yadier Molina, Cardinals: .310 average, 7 HRs, 59 RBIs. He's just hitting his prime and could be ready for his best season. Consistent play every day.

10. Bengie Molina, Giants: .260 average, 17 HRs, 74 RBIs. Career high in HRs last year with 20 and will be in middle of Giants lineup, but he's 35 with no DH spot to help.

11. Miguel Montero, Diamondbacks: .270 average, 18 HRs, 61 RBIs: Made most of chances in 2009, making a great impression from July on. He'll be given every chance to duplicate that effort.

12. Ryan Doumit, Pirates: .272 average, 13 HRs, 64 RBIs. Lots of talent with big hitting potential but can't stay on the field long enough to come to fruition.

13. Chris Ianetta, Rockies: 268 average, 19 HRs, 62 RBIs. Sharing role with Miguel Oliva but has more pop of the two, which will force Jim Tracy to put him in lineup more.

14. Russell Martin, Dodgers: .270 average, 9 HRs, 60 RBIs. Expect improvements from 2009, but that doesn't say much. What happened?

15. A.J. Pierzynski, White Sox: .287 average, 13 HRs, 56 RBIs. Every year he puts up the same type of numbers, which is promising for those not wanting merely to hope someone has a great year.

16. Ramon Hernandez, Reds: .265 average, 16 HRs, 63 RBIs. Good upside for somewhat of a forgotten man after injuries of 2009. Should have productive power year in Reds' park.

17. Carlos Ruiz, Phillies: 270 average, 10 HRs 59 RBIs. Great second half last season, including amazing postseason. Big upside if he can build off that coming into 2010.

18. Kelly Shoppach, Rays: .230 average, 18 HRs, 59 RBIs. Shares duties with Navarro. Eats up lefties

19. Jeff Clement, Pirates: .259 average, 12 HRs, 50 RBIs. First year as starter. Has some pop in bat

20. Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Rangers: .255 average, 10 HRs, 52 RBIs. Rangers giving him every chance to be the player he should be through April and May. Risky pick but has upside.

21. John Baker, Marlins: .278 average, 10 HRs, 58 RBIs. If he could hit lefties, he would be a fantasy monster playing every day, but right now he's platooning and will mostly start vs. righties.

22. John Buck, Blue Jays: .230 average, 16 HRs, 49 RBIs. Huge upside if willing to sacrifice power for average. Jays don't have anyone ready to take over. Job is his if he stays healthy.

23. Rod Barajas, Mets: .242 average, 12 HRs, 56 RBIs. His big power numbers from 2009 can't be expected because of playing at Citi Field. Late draft pick who should play every day.

24. Ivan Rodriguez, Nationals: .270 average, 8 HRs, 42 RBIs. He could provide an early boost to a fantasy team while he gets bulk of playing time until Jesus Flores (DL) takes over.

25. J.R. Towles, Astros: .260 average, 6 HRs, 35 RBIs. Astros still waiting for Towles to be top prospect they thought he was. Will get full chance in 2010.

Pitcher Rankings: 2010 Projections
1. Tim Lincecum, Giants: 20 wins, 278 strikeouts, 2.34 ERA. Barring injury, he should be on his way to third Cy Young award.

2. Roy Halladay, Phillies: 18 wins, 215 strikeouts, 2.95 ERA. Shouldn't have a tough transition as hard thrower moving to National League.

3. CC Sabathia, Yankees: 20 wins, 200 strikeouts, 3,76 ERA. Traditionally slow starter but will pile up wins with strong lineup supporting him.

4. Zack Greinke, Royals: 17 wins, 235 strikeouts, 2.65 ERA. Always strong starter and closer to seasons with huge lull in between. Cy Young contention again.

5. Felix Hernandez, Mariners: 19 wins, 215 strikeouts, 3.05 ERA. Closed out 2009 strong, has better supporting lineup to help in close decisions.

6. Dan Haren, Diamondbacks: 17 wins, 220 strikeouts, 3.00 ERA. He kind of gets forgotten among NL's heavyweights but is one of the most consistent pitchers.

7. Justin Verlander, Tigers: 17 wins, 230 strikeouts, 3.55 ERA. After great 2007, slumped in '08 and then was terrific last year. Could be a risk early, but it's hard to pass up his strikeouts.

8. Cliff Lee, Mariners: 17 wins, 180 strikeouts, 3.40 ERA. Move to pitcher-friendly Safeco Field should benefit Lee's style and enable him to look like the dominant pitcher he was in October, September.

9. Jon Lester, Red Sox: 18 wins, 210 strikeouts, 3.20 ERA. He is the real ace of the Sox staff now and is just hitting his prime. This should be his best year yet, with Cy Young consideration.

10. Adam Wainwright, Cardinals: 17 wins, 180 strikeouts, 3.40 ERA. He'll have a tough time matching his 2009 performance but is a proven battler.

11. Chris Carpenter, Cardinals: 16 wins, 150 strikeouts, 2.91 ERA. One of the biggest risks in the early rounds, but the reward might outweigh the risk.

12. Josh Beckett, Red Sox: 18 wins, 200 strikeouts, 3.60 ERA. It's a contract year for Beckett, maybe his last big contract possibility, so look for a big year.

13. Johan Santana, Mets: 14 wins, 175 strikeouts, 3.30 ERA. Coming off elbow surgery and has thrown without pain in spring. Risky pick, but he can still get batters out with consistency.

14. Jake Peavy, White Sox: 16 wins, 190 strikeouts, 3.55 ERA. He won all three starts late for Chicago last season after injury and has huge upside for 2010.

15. Josh Johnson, Marlins: 15 wins, 190 strikeouts, 3.50 ERA. He's proven that Tommy John surgery can have no lingering affects with two strong seasons. 2010 should be better.

16. Javier Vazquez, Yankees: 15 wins, 200 strikeouts, 3.80 ERA. He dazzled everyone in the NL with his stuff, but memories of his stuff getting shelled in the AL for four years still exist. Risky pick early.

17. Yovani Gallardo, Brewers: 15 wins, 200 strikeouts, 3.40 ERA. Could be on the verge of a major breakthrough in 2010 after great year last season.

18. Matt Cain, Giants: 15 wins, 180 strikeouts, 3.20 ERA. Hard to imagine him duplicating his 2.89 ERA from last season, but he should have better luck in decisions.

19. Ubaldo Jimenez, Rockies: 15 wins, 200 strikeouts, 3.70 ERA. Tough park to pitch in at home, but he manages well with strikeouts and groundballs. Looks to get only better.

20. John Lackey, Red Sox: 15 wins, 160 strikeouts, 3.65 ERA. No longer the ace, but that could be good thing for fantasy purposes as he'll be matched up against most teams No. 3 starters.

21. Tommy Hanson, Braves: 14 wins, 190 strikeouts, 3.30 ERA. He came in with lots of hype and proved it was all worth it. Great upside as he looks to improve.

22. Jonathan Broxton, Dodgers: 40 saves, 124 strikeouts, 2.65 ERA. Coming into second full season as closer and might be NL's best. His strikeouts set him apart from all other closers.

23. Ricky Nolasco, Marlins: 15 wins, 200 strikeouts, 3.95 ERA. Had a strong second half of 2009 season. Hopes are that it carries over to 2010, especially lowering his high final ERA of 5.06.

24. Wandy Rodriguez, Astros: 15 wins, 190 strikeouts, 3.50 ERA. He went through a stretch last season when he was one of the most dominant in baseball. Has improved each of the last three seasons.

25. Jair Jurrjens, Braves: 14 wins, 155 strikeouts, 3.30 ERA. Had the third best ERA in NL last season and works in a pitcher-friendly park.

26. Jered Weaver, Angels: 16 wins, 170 strikeouts, 3.90 ERA. Had his best career year in 2009 and is heading into his prime. He wore down in July, which is a concern.

27. Mariano Rivera, Yankees: 39 saves, 72 strikeouts, 2.30 ERA. Not sure how he does it, but year after year he never falters or slides like other relievers. One of his best seasons at age 40 in 2009.

28. Joakim Soria, Royals: 37 saves, 78 strikeouts, 2.35 ERA. 72 saves in two seasons is top shelf, and when factoring in he plays for K.C., it gives him big upside. What if they actually won?

29. Brandon Webb, Diamondbacks: 14 wins, 160 strikeouts, 3.60 ERA. It's always risky taking a pitcher coming off season-ending surgery, but all should be well. His slide could benefit those taking the risk.

30. Scott Baker, Twins: 14 wins, 170 strikeouts, 3.75 ERA. After a terrible start to 2009, he rebounded well, carrying the Twins down the stretch. Great command of all pitches.

31. Brett Anderson, Athletics: 13 wins, 187 strikeouts, 3.50 ERA. Hard thrower with great command who has tremendous upside because he hasn't scratched the surface yet after a great rookie year.

32. Matt Garza, Rays: 13 wins, 190 strikeouts, 3.50 ERA. Don't let his eight wins last season stop you. He still dazzled with key stats such as WHIP (1.26), K/9 ratio (8.4) and opponents average (.233).

33. Roy Oswalt, Astros: 14 wins, 155 strikeouts, 3.60 ERA. Definitely on the decline but still battles for wins and can get the tough outs.

34. Clay Buchholz, Red Sox: 15 wins, 172 strikeouts, 3.35 ERA. Sox should be able to maximize his ground balls into wins with lots of support. Was 4-1 in September 2009. Big upside.

35. Jorge De La Rosa, Rockies: 17 wins, 200 strikeouts, 4.05 ERA Great stuff in second half of 2009. Should get a lot of strikeouts and add to win total.

36. Andrew Bailey, Athletics: 37 saves, 84 strikeouts, 2.65 ERA. One of best closers in the game who is still rising. Has one of the best upsides of all relievers.

37. Francisco Rodriguez, Mets: 35 saves, 75 strikeouts, 3.20 ERA. Clearly on the decline but still gets the chances that will put up solid numbers to rival top relievers.

38. Jonathan Papelbon, Red Sox: 34 saves, 67 strikeouts, 2.40 ERA. Doesn't pitch with the same velocity and has fire-balling Daniel Bard lurking in the pen. Somewhat risky.

39. Heath Bell, Padres: 38 saves, 75 strikeouts, 2.70 ERA. Would be rated higher if not for possibility of being shipped by trade deadline, which could land him in a setup role elsewhere.

40. Clayton Kershaw, Dodgers: 13 wins, 185 strikeouts, 3.35 ERA. Strong 2009 season shows there could be a big upside for 2010.

41. Cole Hamels, Phillies: 13 wins, 190 strikeouts. 3.80 ERA. Big dilemma here. His value is as low as ever and could provide a big year, but last season's 4.32 ERA lingers in many minds.

42. A.J. Burnett, Yankees: 15 wins, 200 strikeouts, 3.78 ERA. Allows too many walks and gets into trouble but still has one of best arms in league. Should he fix his control, look out.

43. James Shields, Rays: 13 wins, 160 strikeouts, 4.05 ERA. Look for him to bounce back closer to his 2007-2008 form than last year and be good value in the middle rounds.

44. David Price, Rays: 13 wins, 150 strikeouts, 4.00 ERA. Clearly has the talent to do better than projected and is still learning how to be an MLB starter. This could his year to flourish.

45. Huston Street, Rockies: 38 saves, 69 strikeouts, 3.00 ERA. Upon winning the closer role, he locked things up and went on a roll. Look for him to continue upswing in 2010.

46. Brian Wilson, Giants: 38 saves 72 strikeouts, 3.05 ERA. 79 saves the last two seasons as closer and dropped his ERA last year almost two full runs from 2008.

47. Chad Qualls, Diamondbacks. 37 saves, 64 strikeouts, 3.15 ERA. Coming back from dislocated kneecap. Did well as closer through August until injury.

48. Max Scherzer, Tigers 11 wins, 185 strikeouts, 3.90 ERA. Lots of potential for a breakout year as the hard thrower goes into his second year as a starter. Decent upside here.

49. Tim Hudson, Braves: 13 wins, 120 strikeouts, 3.35 ERA. Despite Tommy John surgery and his age, Braves felt good enough about him after a couple of late starts in 2009 that they gave him a three-year deal. Good enough for me.

50. Jose Valverde, Tigers: 37 saves, 68 strikeouts, 3.20 ERA. One of the best closers the last three seasons. Takes over for Fernando Rodney, who had 37 saves in 2009.

51. Francisco Cordero, Reds: 36 saves, 60 strikeouts, 3.10 ERA. Five straight great closer seasons with at least 34 saves. Had sharp decline in strikeouts in 2009.

52. Rafael Soriano, Rays: 31 saves, 89 strikeouts, 3.20 ERA. Finished off 2009 nicely as closer for Braves, but downside is that he is very injury prone.

53. Ryan Franklin, Cardinals: 34 saves, 48 strikeouts, 2.30 ERA. Throw out September and October and he moves up a few notches, but it's hard to forget those shaky outings.

54. Scott Kazmir, Angels: 12 wins, 180 strikeouts, 3.70 ERA. Doesn't throw as hard as he did coming up but could still be serviceable in Anaheim collecting wins from a good team.

55. David Aardsma, Mariners: 35 saves, 87 strikeouts, 3.27 ERA. One of the big surprises in 2009. No previous saves in career and converted 38 of 42 chances. Can he do it again?

56. Trevor Hoffman, Brewers: 34 saves, 55 strikeouts, 2.27 ERA. At 42, he's still got it. Still one of the best closers, but lingering injuries make picking him a risk.

57. Ervin Santana, Angels: 15 wins, 180 strikeouts, 3.90 ERA. Has to step up this year after loss of ace Lackey. Elbow problems early last year, but he closed strong with two shutouts. Lots of upside.

58. John Danks, White Sox: 12 wins, 155 strikeouts, 3.95 ERA. Steady and eats up innings. Seems like he's been around longer, but he's only 24 with his best to come.

59. J.A. Happ, Phillies: 15 wins, 178 strikeouts, 3.70 ERA. Bullpen no more, tough under pressure.

60. Rich Harden, Rangers: 12 wins, 185 strikeouts, 3.95 ERA. Showed the last two seasons that he can stay somewhat healthy. Will get lots of strikeouts but also serve up long ball (23 in 26 starts in 2009).

61. Rick Porcello, Tigers: 15 wins, 139 strikeouts, 3.75 ERA. Won't get lots of strikeouts but has good command, limiting walks, which should lead to good sophomore year.

62. Ryan Dempster, Cubs: 13 wins, 177 strikeouts, 3.65 ERA. Workhorse who pitches more than 200 innings, giving owners a chance at wins. Could reach 17 wins again like 2009.

63. Carlos Marmol, Cubs: 33 saves, 87 strikeouts, 2.89 ERA. Should thrive in closer role, job he handled well to close out 2009. Has good stuff, capable of exceeding expectations.

64. Wade Davis, Rays: 11 wins, 158 strikeouts, 3.90 ERA. Strong stuff gives him potentially big upside.

65. Chad Billingsley, Dodgers: 11 wins, 179 strikeouts, 3.78 ERA. His great 2008 season seems long ago after a grueling final few months last season.

66. Kerry Wood, 32 saves, 70 strikeouts, 3.95 ERA. Finished 2009 second half strong despite not having many chances. Can still bring it.

67. Daisuke Matsuzaka, Red Sox: 13 wins, 180 strikeouts, 3.80 ERA. No World Baseball Classic games this year to tire out Dice-K, and he can be found at bargain prices late.

68. Ben Sheets, Athletics: 13 wins, 135 strikeouts, 3.40 ERA. After taking year off for elbow surgery, Sheets gets to pitch in Oakland, a pitcher's best friend. Injury prone, but lots of reward if healthy.

69. Andy Pettitte, Yankees: 13 wins, 150 strikeouts, 3.95 ERA. Model of consistency forever. Big offense behind him and one-year contract keeping 37-year-old motivated.

70. Jonathan Sanchez, Giants: 11 wins, 180 strikeouts, 3.90 ERA. Part of best staff in NL and throws lots of heat. If he can limit walks, he'll be better than ever in 2010.

71. Gavin Floyd, White Sox: 12 wins, 155 strikeouts, 4.00 ERA. 17 wins in 2008 and then pitched poorly early in 2009. Finished strong and looks to springboard into 2010 with momentum.

72. Mike Gonzalez, Orioles: 32 saves, 82 strikeouts, 3.25 ERA. First year as full-time closer after pitching well in Atlanta as both closer and setup man.

73. Bobby Jenks, White Sox: 28 saves, 47 strikeouts, 3.75 ERA. Still the closer despite not overpowering batters anymore. J.J. Putz brought in just in case Jenks serves up nine HRs again.

74. Derrick Lowe, Braves: 13 wins, 125 strikeouts, 4.20 ERA. Got hit a lot in 2009 and had large ERA but always finds ways to win.

75. John Maine, Mets: 12 wins, 165 strikeouts, 4.00 ERA. Hasn't been healthy for last two seasons but is expected to be 100 percent for 2010. Worth a shot in later rounds.

76. Billy Wagner, Braves: 28 saves, 64 strikeouts, 2.92 ERA. Upon returning from Tommy John surgery last year, he didn't miss a beat and almost looked better. Still, he's 38 with DL history.

77. Mark Buerhle, White Sox: 12 wins, 140 strikeouts, 3.95 ERA. Nine seasons of 10 wins and 200 innings pitched. Not much more consistent than that.

78. Hiroki Kuroda, Dodgers: 11 wins, 120 strikeouts, 3.85 ERA. Lots of injuries but still capable of having an upside by just staying healthy. Worth a shot late in mixed leagues.

79. Joe Saunders, Angels. 13 wins, 105 strikeouts, 4.25 ERA. Never expected to do much yet always seems to, with 33 wins the last two years. Closed strong in 2009 with 7-0 record in last eight starts.

80. Edwin Jackson, Diamondbacks: 12 wins, 148 strikeouts, 4.05 ERA. Two good seasons in a row with meltdown in second half of 2009. Could be great out of gate again.

81. Octavio Dotel, Pirates: 28 saves, 71 strikeouts, 3.40 ERA. Hasn't been full-time closer since 2004 but pitched well for the White Sox as setup man. Still throws hard. Battle still for closer role.

82. Randy Wolf, Brewers: 12 wins, 160 strikeouts, 4.10 ERA. Big difference in leaving smoggy night games of L.A. for hitter-friendly Miller Park, but he can still pitch and is worth late pick.

83. Carlos Zambrano, Cubs: 12 wins, 176 strikeouts, 3.75 ERA. Only 28, but his injuries have increased the last two years like someone who is much older. Good upside but risky.

84. Barry Zito, Giants: 12 wins, 157 strikeouts, 4.10 ERA. He's made a lot of fantasy owners angry the last few seasons with terrible off nights but made many happy last year.

85. Mat Latos, Padres: 13 wins, 137 strikeouts, 3.85 ERA Always looking for the next young Padres pitcher to make a splash in monstrous Petco Park. Currently in spring battle to win fifth slot in rotation.

86. Brian Fuentes, Angels: 28 saves, 53 strikeouts, 4.10 ERA. It's surprising that he will be featured as closer after having such a rough time in 2009. Fernando Rodney is waiting. Draft both.

87. Frank Francisco, Rangers: 26 saves, 74 strikeouts, 3.95 ERA. Will be given chance to close but has C.J. Wilson waiting. Draft both if drafting one.

88. Chris Young, Padres: 12 wins, 160 strikeouts, 3.40 ERA. Coming off shoulder surgery but could be nice late pickup. If healthy, he should be in lots of low scoring games helping team ERA.

89. Leo Nunez, Marlins: 28 saves, 60 strikeouts, 4.20 ERA. Showed signs by converting 24 of 28 chances but imploded in September with three of the blown saves. Still his job to lose.

90. Joba Chamberlain, Yankees: 10 wins, 145 strikeouts, 3.80 ERA. Who knows what the club will do with him in 2010. Begins as a starter, but trend in N.Y. is to change it up on Joba.

91. Johnny Cueto, Reds: 11 wins, 160 strikeouts, 4.05 ERA. Burst onto the scene with nasty stuff in 2009 and then his shoulder started bothering him. Closed out well, good returns possible late in draft.

92. Joel Pinero, Angels: 12 wins, 110 strikeouts, 4.20 ERA. Great 2009 in NL but will be tougher in 2010 in the AL. He should continue to get lots of ground balls and outs.

93. Brad Lidge, Phillies: 25 saves, 60 strikeouts, 3.95 ERA. Will be given every chance to close games when he comes back.

94. Ryan Madson, Phillies: 20 saves, 77 strikeouts, 2.45 ERA. Presents good upside because no one knows how Lidge will be when he does return.

95. Brandon Lyon, Astros: 26 saves, 60 strikeouts, 3.90 ERA. Given closer role despite proving he's better as setup man than closer when previously given the chance. Throws real hard. Maybe it's his time.

96. Matt Capps, Nationals: 27 saves, 47 strikeouts, 4.20 ERA. Will start out as Nats' closer, but he'll have quick competition should he falter.

97. Jon Rauch, Twins: 27 saves, 60 strikeouts, 3.25 ERA. Looks to be the main closer among a few ready to take over for Joe Nathan. Position still mystery because of Nathan's uncertainty.

98. Bronson Arroyo, Reds. 13 wins, 135 strikeouts, 4.20 ERA. Gives you lots of innings pitched mixed in a with a couple of gems a year.

99. Justin Duchscherer, Athletics: 10 wins, 127 strikeouts, 3.80 ERA. Risky pick because of his elbow injury and mental state but could be worth a chance late just because he could recapture 2008 form.

100. Stephen Strasburg, Nationals: 8 wins, 140 strikeouts, 3.85 ERA. He'll eventually play with the Nats this year, but when is the question. Looked great in first spring game. Well worth a pick.

rusty · Mar 29, 2010

Unless you are a Mauer or a McCann or Martinez drafting a catcher is not a priority.In fact I would rather draft a lower tier catcher than a McCann regardless of draft position.

I got Soto in late rounds a low risk pick in fact it has upside IMO as last years bad year still produced average numbers for the position.And he still could produce like 2 years ago thats the upside.

Drafting a catcher should be low on the priority list.

jasonvin · Aug 6, 2010

spam banned:admin

Lumi · Aug 6, 2010

Damn,

Never got a chance to get to know Jason :0corn :facepalm: :mj07:

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