NBA Mon 031610- Tues Early Thoughts & Value Hunting

[darkchild]

Monday Results
Win: GS +8.5, Knicks +3.5, Rockets +2.5, Celtics -9.5
Loss: GS/LAL U 224.5


Early Leans for Tuesday
Charlotte -2 vs Indiana
Cleveland -9.5 vs Pistons
Lakers -6 vs Kings
and maybe even Wizards +13.5 vs Denver


can't seem to edit the thread title... only my post...
this thread is for Tuesday's plays

-- adding Den vs Wizards U 210
SAS +1.5 vs Miami

 

[BillyBatts]

Leans

Leans

2-2 for me last night, but won my POD, so turned a small profit....on to today

Early leans

Heat -1.5
Nets +6.5
Bulls +10.5 and over
Kings +6


:0corn

 

[40seven]

Hey Guys

Hey Guys

3-2 last night little disappointed in my choices.

Back later with leans.

CBB UNC and Creighton, looking at UAB!!!

 

[frogster]

Hello. One pick last night and one win...if it were only that simple everyday. Tonight I like NJ + 6.5 vs ATL. That WAS game is up to + 14, that is alot of points but DEN can light it up and they love to run run run, the over may be a play. MLB is coming.....are you ready???

GL to all.

 

[JBrilman]

Hello. One pick last night and one win...if it were only that simple everyday. Tonight I like NJ + 6.5 vs ATL. That WAS game is up to + 14, that is alot of points but DEN can light it up and they love to run run run, the over may be a play. MLB is coming.....are you ready???

GL to all.

Denver rolls them today. Win by 25+

 

[JBrilman]

CHALKY TUESDAY

CHALKY TUESDAY

Guys I could be way off but it looks like a chalky day.

1) MEM -10.5
How in the world is Chicago going to hang around with Memphis without any of there scorers? No Henrich, Rose, Deng or Noah, and probably Miller

2)DEN -14
Denver is not happy about losing a close game to an overachieving team lead by Louis Scola, I look for them to pounce early and put the game away by the half. 65-42ish at the half.

3) CLE -10
Cleavland is playing another shorthanded team in the Pistons and they have to be feeling pretty shitty right now because they were just shaping into a decent ball club over the last couple weeks, then stuckey & prince go down.

4) PHO -12.5
Phoenix is playing good basketball right now and as much as people don't like to think it happened the TWolves are tanking right now. Who doesn't want a shot at John Wall?

I fucking hate betting all favorites especially big ones but lets hear some discussion for these games. I see some serious blowouts.

 

[BillyBatts]

My 2 cents

My 2 cents

Guys I could be way off but it looks like a chalky day.

1) MEM -10.5
How in the world is Chicago going to hang around with Memphis without any of there scorers? No Henrich, Rose, Deng or Noah, and probably Miller

2)DEN -14
Denver is not happy about losing a close game to an overachieving team lead by Louis Scola, I look for them to pounce early and put the game away by the half. 65-42ish at the half.

3) CLE -10
Cleavland is playing another shorthanded team in the Pistons and they have to be feeling pretty shitty right now because they were just shaping into a decent ball club over the last couple weeks, then stuckey & prince go down.

4) PHO -12.5
Phoenix is playing good basketball right now and as much as people don't like to think it happened the TWolves are tanking right now. Who doesn't want a shot at John Wall?

I fucking hate betting all favorites especially big ones but lets hear some discussion for these games. I see some serious blowouts.

Me personally, I RARELY lay double difits, so probably won't play any of these, and I never lay DD's on the road. But I like Denver and Phoenix tonight, just because of how much they score, and how quick a game with them can get out of hand. BOL whatever you decide, I will be back in a bit with maybe a play or two. Not liking this card very much :violin:

 

[eeeerock]

Guys I could be way off but it looks like a chalky day.

1) MEM -10.5
How in the world is Chicago going to hang around with Memphis without any of there scorers? No Henrich, Rose, Deng or Noah, and probably Miller

2)DEN -14
Denver is not happy about losing a close game to an overachieving team lead by Louis Scola, I look for them to pounce early and put the game away by the half. 65-42ish at the half.

3) CLE -10
Cleavland is playing another shorthanded team in the Pistons and they have to be feeling pretty shitty right now because they were just shaping into a decent ball club over the last couple weeks, then stuckey & prince go down.

4) PHO -12.5
Phoenix is playing good basketball right now and as much as people don't like to think it happened the TWolves are tanking right now. Who doesn't want a shot at John Wall?

I fucking hate betting all favorites especially big ones but lets hear some discussion for these games. I see some serious blowouts.

Just my thought and it doesn't hold near as much value as many others in this forum,but ,I'm playing the sorry ass Pistons.Yes they look terrible and Prince is out but everyone just watched as Clev beat up Boston on Sunday then Boston whoops on the Pistons.Well what does everyone do,JUMP on Clev because they destroy Detroit.I doubt it will be that easy as a back door cover should be had by Detroit.Cavs on first of back to back w/Detroit & Indy.Just believe when it looks to easy it is.However they have to be realistic and make it a 10 point game. I'm guessing Gordon goes nuts.Lebron sits the 4th and they allow Detroit back into the game.GL

 

[JBrilman]

Me personally, I RARELY lay double difits, so probably won't play any of these, and I never lay DD's on the road. But I like Denver and Phoenix tonight, just because of how much they score, and how quick a game with them can get out of hand.:

No huge fan of DD faves either. Just cant see the Denver or Phoenix game not being a disaster by halftime, and up 25-30 in the 3rd.

Cleavland was a little iffy for me due to past meetings and Detroit gets up to play Cleavland, and I am still looking into Memphis.

 

[grindstone]

2-1 last night

3 plays again tonight

Det +10

Sac + 6

Minn/Phx U225.5

GLTA

 

[BillyBatts]

Info

Info

Suns stats

The Suns are 5-0 ATS (9.8 ppg) since January 31, 2010 and when facing a team they beat in their previous two match-ups of the season.

versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+
points/game - 2nd half of the season 11-2

when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season 6-2

 

[BillyBatts]

more info

more info

Lakers at Kings ? The Lakers are 0-9-1 ATS (-7.6 ppg) since April 21, 2009 and when facing a team they beat in their previous two match-ups of the season.
The Kings are 8-0 ATS (7.9 ppg) since February 19, 2008 as a dog when seeking revenge for a loss as a dog in which they led by double digits :scared


The Wizards are 0-8 ATS (-9.6 ppg) since January 22, 2009 when playing the second of back-to-back road games.
The Nuggets are 7-0 ATS (10.8 ppg) since March 16, 2009 when facing a team that covered by double digits against them in their previous same-season meeting on the road.

 

[BillyBatts]

Locked in

Locked in

1st Play locked in :director:

Heat -1.5 POD
Revenge for 30 pt beatdown last game



kurby

 

[BillyBatts]

Info

Info

Don't think Nugs will be a play for me. Someone please query how they are 1st game back of a road trip like tonight, please?? Thanks

Nuggets are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.
Nuggets are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Nuggets are 3-10-2 ATS in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.
Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Nuggets are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.
Nuggets are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

 

[BillyBatts]

Added play

Added play

1st Play locked in :director:

Heat -1.5 POD
Revenge for 30 pt beatdown last game



kurby

Adding



Suns -11.5


Best of luck fellas, let's kill The Books!!:bigun:

 

[40seven]

Tonight

Tonight

You know you can make a good case for:

The Pacers +3, they showed great character Sunday and they are back at home.

The Stones +10 at home

The Griz read BB he nailed it

The Hawks -6, playing the Nets

The Nuggets mad and now 4 in 5 days for the wiz

The Suns are on Fire

The Kings are doing much better.

Got to narrow it down cus I got CBB to play

 

[40seven]

Two plays

Two plays

Nuggets and Stones


BOLTA

 

[Gibson7]

2-2 last night. Started out shitty and ended good.

I'm not touching the Cavs/Pistons game. Looks like a trap on an easy play??
Laying chalk tonight boys!

Hawks-6.5

Nugs-14

Suns -12

Heat/Sperms Over 186.5

 

[Gibson7]

Edit. Oops

 

[Slicer]

College Plays:

UNC/W&M Over 134 1/2 unit
Fairfield +1.5 action
VCU -3 action
Texas Tech +9 action

NBA:

Charlotte -3 action
Char/Indy Under 197 action
Atlanta -7 action
LAL -6 action
LAL/Kings Over 207 1/2 unit

BOL Fellas