Wednesday April 14th- Race 6 Santa Anita

Mully

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A good friend of mine John Carver owns MANY horses. He has the 5 horse Lions Story in the 6th this coming Wed at Santa Anita. Ive been told this horse CAN NOT lose in these conditions. Take if for what it's worth, but this guy is in the know. He actually has the hottest filly around right now in Blind Luck. She just broke Rachelle A's track record at Oaklawn and is the favorite to win the Oaks. He suggested I play some pick 3's,4's or the pick 6 keying Lions Story in the 6th on Wed and to Key Blind Luck on Derby Saturday in the Derby Oaks double.

GL
 
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gjn23

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looks like that horse is the 2-1 ml fav tomm in a field of 7

still like it to win at that price????
 

gjn23

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I think that's why he is saying single it in the Pick 3's and 4.

Thanks for the info.

got it

not a big fan of pick 3-4....like parylays..... generally wont pay alot with a 2-1 winner in there unless there are other longshots that win. plus betting those wagers kind of defeats the purpose of having a good tip as you still can lose everything even if the"tip" horse wins...was just curious if the OP was thinking the odds were going to be higher or if this was about as expected and would his source still wager at 2-1.

will be looking into it more, but was thinking and hoping this would be 5-1 or better....who knows, maybe it will be by post???
 

Mully

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looks like that horse is the 2-1 ml fav tomm in a field of 7

still like it to win at that price????

Yes I just saw that. The good news is that Baffert has a horse in there ML 5/2, so Im hoping the public will jump on this one.

Again, take it for what it's worth. There's always someone out there who has a "sure thing", However, this is directly from the owner. As a matter of fact, He called Hollendorfer while I was sitting on his couch, to verify the horse and the race. He said to him, " this is the winner we have for Wed right?" Ok, thanks . I'm going to take a chance no matter what the odds. Will play win and show to cover my ass incase somethng funky happends. Heading out to the local OTB around 2pm to cap the pick 3s'4s' ect. Will be back home by 4 pm to post what I played.
 

gjn23

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looks like the 7 horse got scratched so it's now a 6 horse field and the drf consensus has lions king as their top pick of the day.

2-1 might be as good as it gets
 

Mully

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looks like the 7 horse got scratched so it's now a 6 horse field and the drf consensus has lions king as their top pick of the day.

2-1 might be as good as it gets

You might be correct. By guess is 7/5....

anyway, just got back from the parlor and heres what I did..


Race 4 pk 3 all/1 2 3 6 7 /5 $40
Race 5 pk 3 1 2 3 6 7 /5/ 2 3 4 5 7 8 11 $35
Race 6 pk 3 5/2 3 4 5 7 8 11 /all $56

$200 win
$200 show

on Lions Story


After looking at the PP's , there is some MAJOR competion in this race. I HOPE Bafferts horse gets hammered. I normally don't bet this much, not even in the derby, but If I ever had any "inside info", this is it.

GL everyone.
 

gjn23

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good luck

at those odds, i may just play him in that race or find a few decent long shots in race 5/7/8 in pick 3's (the horse in race 5 looks too goot at 3/5 to waste money on a pick 3, wont win much money)
 

sharky17

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I'm gonna try this.....

$1 P4 - 1,3,6,7 with 5 with 2,5,8,11 with 1,3,4
$1 P4 - 3,6 with 5 with 5,8,9 with 1
$1 P4 - 1,7 with 5 with 2,11 with 1
$1 P4 - 1,7 with 5 with 5,8 with 3,4
$5 P4 - 3 with 5 with 2 with 1

TOTAL = $71

$100 WIN LIONS STORY

Let's get one!
 

gjn23

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You might be correct. By guess is 7/5....

anyway, just got back from the parlor and heres what I did..


Race 4 pk 3 all/1 2 3 6 7 /5 $40
Race 5 pk 3 1 2 3 6 7 /5/ 2 3 4 5 7 8 11 $35
Race 6 pk 3 5/2 3 4 5 7 8 11 /all $56

$200 win
$200 show

on Lions Story


After looking at the PP's , there is some MAJOR competion in this race. I HOPE Bafferts horse gets hammered. I normally don't bet this much, not even in the derby, but If I ever had any "inside info", this is it.

GL everyone.

hey, you hit the first leg of your first pick 3!

:mj07:

now you need to hit the next two legs and hope you break even on that $40 ticket, which at this point looks doubtful.
 

gjn23

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second leg in the barn

unfortunately the last leg wins and it only pays 30.80....a $10 loss

kind of why i hate pick 3's + 4's

had 1+ 6/5/11-2-8 pick 3 for $15 ($90 totall)......because of that bob, i'll be lucky to break even as well if i hit the next 2 races
 

Mully

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2-1 co- favorite with 16 min until post, I knew Baffert would get play. Gotta hope this one runs with all these fuckin favorites comming in, I need the win money.

14min...

GL my peeps!
 

Mully

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Mother Fucker.

6 wide, no chance. Great.

That's why I hate giving out advise..


Feel free to kick my in the balls if you ever meet me.:nutkick

I feel like a douche bag. Sorry fellas
 

gjn23

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Mother Fucker.

6 wide, no chance. Great.

That's why I hate giving out advise..


Feel free to kick my in the balls if you ever meet me.:nutkick

I feel like a douche bag. Sorry fellas

no worries

love how the jock pulled on the reins about 20 yards from the gate and took him to 6 lengths back right off the bat.
 

Mully

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no worries

love how the jock pulled on the reins about 20 yards from the gate and took him to 6 lengths back right off the bat.

NO SHIT.


Never had a chance with that start. Just watched the race replay. No clue what Rasario was doing.

FUCK!!!
 
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