YTD Record: 57-40 for +34.45 units
Today?s plays:
Texas -185 (@ K-State) for 4 units ? quite a bit of chalk on this play but worth it in my mind. Wildcats are a potent offensive club (average 8.4 runs per game) but Texas pitching staff is again arguably the best in the nation (2.13 team ERA). Texas? pitching is a big reason they are the #2 team in the country and on a 21 game winning streak! Pitching is the issue for K-State and should come into play tonight. Kyle Hunter (3.97 ERA; 1.34 WHP; .265 OBA) gets bumped up from the Saturday spot to the opening slot in the rotation, but due to injury not performance. I went against him last Saturday against Oklahoma, and though he was hit hard, K-State won a slugfest 14-9. Texas pitching is far superior and shouldn?t have an issue keeping their bats in check. Texas? starter tonight is Taylor Jungmann (2.30 ERA; 1.07 WHIP; .213 OBA) who has been lights out recently. He started off conference with two rough outings but in his last five starts has given up only 4 ER total in 36 2/3 IP. Hunter on the other hand has given up 4 ER in both of his last two outings despite not getting past 4 IP in each.
Florida -150 (@ Bama) for 2 units ? two teams that are pretty similar in terms of offense, defense and bullpens. Decent edge to Florida in starting pitching though. Frosh Hudson Randall goes for the Gators (3.30 ERA; 1.27 WHIP and .259 OBA), and he has done well his last couple outings. Bama sends out Soph Adam Morgan (5.79 ERA; 1.63 WHIP; .322 OBA). Morgan has been hammered in conference play as those #?s are even worse than the season long ones listed there.
Vandy +130 (@ LSU) for 2 units ? LSU is the better offensive club, but Florida showed last week in their sweep of LSU that decent pitching can keep LSU in check. Vandy has a better staff than Florida, especially their starter tonight Soph Sonny Gray (2.22 ERA; 1.19 WHIP; .205 OBA). And then there is LSU?s pitching problems which is a major wart for them. Anthony Ranaudo starts tonight, and it is evident he has lost a ton of velocity and isn?t the same pitcher he was a year ago.
GL guys
Today?s plays:
Texas -185 (@ K-State) for 4 units ? quite a bit of chalk on this play but worth it in my mind. Wildcats are a potent offensive club (average 8.4 runs per game) but Texas pitching staff is again arguably the best in the nation (2.13 team ERA). Texas? pitching is a big reason they are the #2 team in the country and on a 21 game winning streak! Pitching is the issue for K-State and should come into play tonight. Kyle Hunter (3.97 ERA; 1.34 WHP; .265 OBA) gets bumped up from the Saturday spot to the opening slot in the rotation, but due to injury not performance. I went against him last Saturday against Oklahoma, and though he was hit hard, K-State won a slugfest 14-9. Texas pitching is far superior and shouldn?t have an issue keeping their bats in check. Texas? starter tonight is Taylor Jungmann (2.30 ERA; 1.07 WHIP; .213 OBA) who has been lights out recently. He started off conference with two rough outings but in his last five starts has given up only 4 ER total in 36 2/3 IP. Hunter on the other hand has given up 4 ER in both of his last two outings despite not getting past 4 IP in each.
Florida -150 (@ Bama) for 2 units ? two teams that are pretty similar in terms of offense, defense and bullpens. Decent edge to Florida in starting pitching though. Frosh Hudson Randall goes for the Gators (3.30 ERA; 1.27 WHIP and .259 OBA), and he has done well his last couple outings. Bama sends out Soph Adam Morgan (5.79 ERA; 1.63 WHIP; .322 OBA). Morgan has been hammered in conference play as those #?s are even worse than the season long ones listed there.
Vandy +130 (@ LSU) for 2 units ? LSU is the better offensive club, but Florida showed last week in their sweep of LSU that decent pitching can keep LSU in check. Vandy has a better staff than Florida, especially their starter tonight Soph Sonny Gray (2.22 ERA; 1.19 WHIP; .205 OBA). And then there is LSU?s pitching problems which is a major wart for them. Anthony Ranaudo starts tonight, and it is evident he has lost a ton of velocity and isn?t the same pitcher he was a year ago.
GL guys
