ORLANDO MAGIC Vs CELTICS - KOD

THE KOD

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I have not made a bet yet in the playoffs but have been watching a bunch of games. Concentrating on these two teams, so I have a good feel for this wager.

I really like Boston to have a good chance to win this series.

But in this first game in Orlando , it may be too much to ask.

Emotionally drained from their series with Cleveland and playing on short days will be too much to handle. Orlando well rested, at home with fan support, and ready to show their best.
 

THE KOD

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talktous.jpg

KOD says he smells money and it smells green !!
 

Gibson7

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Scotty, I just have to ask here. I'm not being a dick, just curious.

If you bought 3 points to get Magic -3 then that tells me you don't think the Magic will cover the original line of -6. So my question is this... Why would you not just take Boston +6 and save yourself some value or buy 3 points with Boston to +9?

Good luck with the play
 

THE KOD

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Scotty, I just have to ask here. I'm not being a dick, just curious.

If you bought 3 points to get Magic -3 then that tells me you don't think the Magic will cover the original line of -6. So my question is this... Why would you not just take Boston +6 and save yourself some value or buy 3 points with Boston to +9?

Good luck with the play

................................................................

I think Orlando wins the game and I hope they win by 20

its part of my reduce the risk theory that works well for me. I want to win 500 dollars anyway that I can do it.

I love the Orlando home team that can really shoot the ball and plays tough defense also.

I am counting on Boston not showing up with their best game.

I like my chances
 

THE KOD

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WHY ORLANDO WINS

Howard doesn?t have to concentrate on defending Perkins so he can zone the lane and block beaucoup shots. Furthermore, with Carter on board, Howard doesn?t need to score big-time points for Orlando to win. He?s also quicker off his feet and much more athletic than Perkins and should dominate both boards.
The Celtics may have trouble defending Vince Carter.

Carter is too big and too creative for Ray Allen to stifle. VC has also learned the virtues of passing when his drives attract hostile crowds. If he can restrict himself to taking only good shots, Carter could be the difference.

Lewis?s shooting range is greater than Garnett?s defensive range. But he must stay focused and stay involved to put maximum pressure on KG.

Matt Barnes is a scrappy player who will constantly be in PP?s grill. The energetic Barnes should also be easily able to outdistance Pierce when Orlando can get out and go.

Pietrus and Barnes will play relentless defense against Pierce, and could eventually wear him down. Also, both of these guys are streaky 3-point shooters and could make Pierce pay dearly whenever he loses touch with them.

Redick is Ray Allen lite. Given solid screens, he can routinely knock down long-balls, and if he?s played too tightly, Redick can also find his way to the rim.

Marcin Gortat is best when setting screens and rolling hoopwards. He?s also a determined rebounder, and a defender who can cover a lot of ground.

For the Magic to prevail in this series, they must take care of the ball. That means making only short, crisp passes and avoiding risky cross-court and skip passes. Still, swift and sure ball- and player-movement must be executed to prevent the Celtics? defense from cutting their attack zone in half.

Hitting their treys is another must, as is rescuing more loose balls than Boston does. By assaulting their offensive glass Orlando can create desperately needed extra shots, and they can deny Boston the same bonus opportunities by also capturing the lion?s share of missed shots at the other end of the game.

Finally, Orlando?s vaunted defense will be sorely tested. Their rotations must be precise and mistake free. Howard has to be extremely judicious in his overriding eagerness to block every shot that he thinks he can reach.

............................................................

:00hour

It seems simple enough
 

King69

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Sucker bet -220 at -3 why not pay -80 for 3 points more on the moneyline. Last time I checked 3 points cost around -150 not just -80. :mj07:
 

THE KOD

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Hey King

I have been following some of your threads and almost everytime you are on a team to win

you lose

so I guess I can understand where you are coming from.
 

King69

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Hey King

I have been following some of your threads and almost everytime you are on a team to win

you lose

so I guess I can understand where you are coming from.

Last few games have been losers. If I could win them all I could retire from working. Wonder why you would not play the moneyline for -80 more ? :0corn
 

Destructor D

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Scott, I have to agree with the masses, you're getting a horrid deal. My book charges -170 to buy 3 points. So instead of laying 11 for 5*, you could lay 8.5 for 5*... now that is a huge difference in case of a loss. Also, why not the ML @ -300 instead of -3 @ -220 odds?:shrug:
 

ppabart

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Just an observation from the sidelines.....

But Scott does pretty damn well with his plays. He always buys a few points (as insurance). To come into his thread and criticize just doesnt make sense. If you wanna lay -300 yourself, then go ahead and do it....but criticizing someone who makes consistant money....... :nono:
 

THE KOD

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1. Get on the right side

2. Reduce your risk

3. Don't be a homer

4. Reduce the plays you make

5. Cash the ticket

6. No woman, No children

7. I smell money and it smells green


THE KOD
 

jimbo069

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Loaded up on : Date placed:
May 16, 2010 2:11p 2 Team Teaser # (Placed by Web)
Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Point Spread
NBA PLAYOFFS - CONFERENCE FINALS - Game 1 -
Best of Seven (2-2-1-1-1)
(503) Boston Celtics +12 Sun@3:30p
Competitor:(504) Orlando Magic
Teased 5.0 points
Basketball - NBA Lines (Game) Total
NBA PLAYOFFS - CONFERENCE FINALS - Game 1 -
Best of Seven (2-2-1-1-1)
(503) Boston Celtics vs. (504) Orlando Magic Under 194 Sun@3:30p
Teased 5.0 points
 

King69

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KOD,
I was still interested to learn why risking 1100 to 500 was a better bet than 1500 to 500 with a chance to win by 1 or 2 instead of 4. What if Orlando finished up that comeback and won by 1 ? :shrug:
 

Destructor D

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It's better because he lost 400 less...

Obviously the smartest play would have been to lay the traditional -110 odds and he would have lost just 550.
 
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