YTD Record: 71-61 for +17.45 units
Conference tournament time, here is what I?m going with today trying to take advantage of some pitching mismatches:
Baylor +150 (vs. K-State) for 4 units ? Wildcats are a slightly better offensive club, but a big pitching edge for the starters goes to Baylor. Baylor goes with their ace Logan Verrett (2.98 ERA; 1.18 WHIP; .248 OBA and 89 K?s in 81 2/3 IP). Verrett has been very strong all year and especially down the stretch for an average Baylor club. K-State counters with Kayvon Bahramzadeh (6.64 ERA; 1.70 WHIP; .300 OBA and 36 K?s in 40 2/3 IP). Bahramzadeh was a midweek starter at the beginning of the year but was thrust into the weekend rotation towards the end of the year and was hit hard by conference opponents. Baylor only has an average pen, but it is better than the Wildcats, so I think the offensive advantage K-State has will be overcome and Baylor wins.
Ole Miss +105 (vs. S. Carolina) for 4 units ? I?m going to tout Drew Pomeranz in this game again, despite the fact I?ve lost betting on him specifically 3 times in the last 6 weeks. His numbers were good enough to earn him SEC pitcher of the year honors (2.39 ERA; 1.19 WHIP; .186 OBA and 127 K?s in 86 2/3 IP). Earlier in the year when he faced USC, he held them scoreless in 7 IP with 10 K?s, too bad his pen blew it for him. USC is the better offensive club, but some of their power is negated due to the big park they are playing in today. Gamecocks will start Nolan Belcher (2.03 ERA; 1.20 WHIP; .184 OBA and 29 K?s in 26 2/3 IP). Belcher was a weekend starter last year for USC, but started out the season as their midweek starter and fell into bad graces with the coaching staff and was left off of their travel roster. He?s only pitched in 10 games, 5 being midweek starts. The competition he?s faced in those starts has been very meager. Part of his issue with not getting to pitch as much has been his command. In that limited work he has walked 16 batters, has 5 Wild Pitches (leads the team) and 2 HBP. USC has a great pen, but Ole Miss should be able to stake an early lead due to the starting pitching edge.
Vandy -120 (vs. Arkansas) for 4 units ? the two clubs are pretty even offensively, but considering some of Arkansas? injuries Vandy gets the edge. The Razorbacks best hitter Zach Cox (.432 avg) is doubtful to play in the SEC tournament due to a bad back. Arkansas best power hitter Brett Eibner (18HR, 61 RBI) is day-to-day with a hand injury. Also a big advantage pitching wise to the Commodores. They will start their ace Sonny Gray (3.44 ERA; 1.32 WHIP; .231 OBA and 92 K?s in 86 1/3 IP). These two teams just played last weekend and Gray earned the W going 8 innings giving up 3 ER with 9 K?s. Arkansas is having pitcher Jeremy Heatly make his first collegiate start. Heatly has average numbers on the year in 21 relief appearances (4.76 ERA; 1.12 WHIP and 37 K?s in 34 IP). However, if you look at his performance in just SEC play he has 12.54 ERA giving up 13 ER, 15 Hits, 6 BB?s and 8 K?s in 9 1/3 IP. Get this one at betus as thegreek already has it up over -200
GL guys
Conference tournament time, here is what I?m going with today trying to take advantage of some pitching mismatches:
Baylor +150 (vs. K-State) for 4 units ? Wildcats are a slightly better offensive club, but a big pitching edge for the starters goes to Baylor. Baylor goes with their ace Logan Verrett (2.98 ERA; 1.18 WHIP; .248 OBA and 89 K?s in 81 2/3 IP). Verrett has been very strong all year and especially down the stretch for an average Baylor club. K-State counters with Kayvon Bahramzadeh (6.64 ERA; 1.70 WHIP; .300 OBA and 36 K?s in 40 2/3 IP). Bahramzadeh was a midweek starter at the beginning of the year but was thrust into the weekend rotation towards the end of the year and was hit hard by conference opponents. Baylor only has an average pen, but it is better than the Wildcats, so I think the offensive advantage K-State has will be overcome and Baylor wins.
Ole Miss +105 (vs. S. Carolina) for 4 units ? I?m going to tout Drew Pomeranz in this game again, despite the fact I?ve lost betting on him specifically 3 times in the last 6 weeks. His numbers were good enough to earn him SEC pitcher of the year honors (2.39 ERA; 1.19 WHIP; .186 OBA and 127 K?s in 86 2/3 IP). Earlier in the year when he faced USC, he held them scoreless in 7 IP with 10 K?s, too bad his pen blew it for him. USC is the better offensive club, but some of their power is negated due to the big park they are playing in today. Gamecocks will start Nolan Belcher (2.03 ERA; 1.20 WHIP; .184 OBA and 29 K?s in 26 2/3 IP). Belcher was a weekend starter last year for USC, but started out the season as their midweek starter and fell into bad graces with the coaching staff and was left off of their travel roster. He?s only pitched in 10 games, 5 being midweek starts. The competition he?s faced in those starts has been very meager. Part of his issue with not getting to pitch as much has been his command. In that limited work he has walked 16 batters, has 5 Wild Pitches (leads the team) and 2 HBP. USC has a great pen, but Ole Miss should be able to stake an early lead due to the starting pitching edge.
Vandy -120 (vs. Arkansas) for 4 units ? the two clubs are pretty even offensively, but considering some of Arkansas? injuries Vandy gets the edge. The Razorbacks best hitter Zach Cox (.432 avg) is doubtful to play in the SEC tournament due to a bad back. Arkansas best power hitter Brett Eibner (18HR, 61 RBI) is day-to-day with a hand injury. Also a big advantage pitching wise to the Commodores. They will start their ace Sonny Gray (3.44 ERA; 1.32 WHIP; .231 OBA and 92 K?s in 86 1/3 IP). These two teams just played last weekend and Gray earned the W going 8 innings giving up 3 ER with 9 K?s. Arkansas is having pitcher Jeremy Heatly make his first collegiate start. Heatly has average numbers on the year in 21 relief appearances (4.76 ERA; 1.12 WHIP and 37 K?s in 34 IP). However, if you look at his performance in just SEC play he has 12.54 ERA giving up 13 ER, 15 Hits, 6 BB?s and 8 K?s in 9 1/3 IP. Get this one at betus as thegreek already has it up over -200
GL guys
