Indy 500

kegray1

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Love this play as long as he finishes.
Tony Kanaan has been unlucky at Indy but this H2H play is a no brainer if he doesn't have trouble.

Tony Kanaan(-140) over Danica Patrick for 210 wins 150.

Tony has been solid all year finishing 10th,10th,8th,5th,3rd.
Kanaan has had trouble the last 2 years at Indy but before that he ran 12th,5th,8th,2nd, and 3rd under the Andretti flag.

Danica thinks her car is pure crap right now and her results this year have been average at best:
15th,7th,19th,16th,11th
.

Also Danica practice days were usually in the 20's range as for fastest laps of the day.
Tony was mostly top 10 in all the practice days and was even fastest one of the days.
If this comes down to a speed thing then Danica is TOAST.

Also playing one dog:

WILL POWER(+125) over Ryan Briscoe for 50 wins 62.50. - Power has been towards the top of all the practice charts.
Power has had a great start to the year as well.
 
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Lumi

LOKI
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Aug 30, 2002
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In the shadows
After the little princess' tantrum last saturday, I wonder if her crew really wants to give 100%

good play, but TK hit everything but the hot dog stand last weekend.

Good Luck !

I'm always hoping for John Andretti in the Petty Blue :toast:
 

kegray1

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Adding two more plays:

Will Power(-190) over Danica Patrick for 95 wins 50.
Dan Wheldon(-160) over Danica Patrick for 160 wins 100.


Is it obvious that I think Danica is going to have a long day.
 

Looselugs

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May 5, 2005
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tailing ya on this one kegray,:0008

Tony Kanaan over Danica Patrick -155

give a reason to tune in.

gl
lugs
 

kegray1

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It is the play if Tony can keep all 4 wheels on it for 500 miles.
He has been into the wall a few times in practice but he is WAY faster than her.
Danica is afraid to hit the wall and just lets off and will drop back before crashing is the only thing that worries me.
A Tony crash.
 

kegray1

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All 3 drivers I took will beat her on speed so I just need 2 of 3 to finish the thing and I am good.
I expect all 3 to beat her if Tony can just finish. Big problem for him the last 2 years.
 

Looselugs

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I`ll take the faster ride any time and just let circumstances beat me.
 

kegray1

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Danica is just going to circle the track in the back all day.
Watch how everyone crashes out and then she will pass a few late.
Next thing you know she will finish like 14th even though she has a 30th place car.

She is going to WHINE all freaking day.
This team is about to get thrown under the bus again on tv.
 

kegray1

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First bad break for me and it is a huge one.
Will Power pass through penalty.
Good news is he is still on lead lap and the leader is not gaining on him because he is fast.
Just need a YELLOW and he can get back in it.
At least beat Danica.
 

kegray1

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CAUTION OUT!

Welcome back to the race Will Power. :00hour

Able to stay on lead lap and now he catches up to the field.
He is about to pass Danica as it was.
Now go back to the front and get Briscoe.
 

kegray1

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Here comes Will Power.
Back into the top 10 and still over half the race left.

He was 3 seconds away from going a lap down and probably would have been the end of his day.

AMAZING!

All wagers against Danica are safe baring a unexpected event which can happen, but she is slow and can do nothing about it.
 

Looselugs

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Rahal could be black flag for holding up the leader and he`s on the lead lap..:shrug:
 

kegray1

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Damn Penske pit crews STINK!!!!

Will Power screwed by a loose tire after pits.

Gonna have to work to catch Danica, but he should.
 

kegray1

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Danica's 5th may just be the luckiest top 5 finish in Indy history.

Went from 15th to 5th in last 10 laps because of fuel concerns.
It is a part of the game but she had a crap car.

Like I said, she would be safe all day and get rewarded for it.
Not sure why Power didn't catch her. He was on her ass with 5 laps to go.
My only winner vs her was Wheldon. :(

2-2 on the day.
 

kegray1

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Danica just avoided the big one at the end as well.

UNREAL the bad luck for me today.
 

Looselugs

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Kanaan had her cover all day and should have been an easy win. He keep it out of the wall all day and had a 2nd place ride. She was lucky to be a top 10 at best.

It was still a great pick even tho it did`nt pan out.Man you was lookin good with a just a few to go!

Fuel mileage is something you can`t calculate in handicapping these races.

Thanks for the pick, on to Charlotte.
 

kegray1

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Sorry it didn't pan out.

I am frustrated more than angry.
These plays were NEVER in doubt all day until fuel became an issue.
Power's crew made mistake after mistake and I think the vibration he was complaining about got him in the end because he wasn't the same car late.
He should of had no fuel issues because he topped off when he came back in for the tire so not sure why he wasn't fastest on the track towards the end.

Should have been +365 day and in the last 5 laps it swung to -142.50

UNREAL. 500 swing.
 

TouchdownJesus

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Jun 13, 2004
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Tough loss. I tailed on the Power to beat Briscoe and actually went with Danica to beat Kanaan. Felt like I hit a BS flush on the river to beat 3 of a kind.

How she managed to finish 5th is beyond me but I'll take it. Gave me a big day. Got Gordon tonight in a couple matchups, top 3 finish, and winning it. Maybe you can tail my luck today.

Thanks for all the info today.
 
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