well, finished july on a down note thanks to bobby trusting JJ a few hitters too many and brad f'n lidge. not to mention dallas braden bringing his mother's day version of the lefty to the south side. :shrug:
oh well. all in all it was a good month. doubled the season's profits in july banking 8 large.
but it sure wasn't thanks to the underdogs.
i posted on saturday asking if anyone else was as meticulous and/or OCD as i am with my betting. i wanted to ask about underdog plays this year.
the other day i went back and counted my underdog plays and tallied them by moneyline. 100-109, 110-119, etc, after nailing cincy and pittsburgh on back to back days at +143 and +188, respectively.
here's what i got (it doesn't all add up in my posted record cause some plays didn't get posted/tallied cause i was in vegas for some, at the in-laws for some, etc. whatever)... not gettin' it. consistent for 3 months, and consistently bad on small-Medium dogs.
julydogs
+120-139...4-10 (25% for yr)
+140-159...2-4 (first sub-.500 month)
+160-179...1-5 (first sub-.500 month)
through july
100-119......28-23
120-139......10-30
140-159......12-11
160-179......10-13
180-199......5-5
200+..........1-7
110-139......25-42
140-169......17-17
170-199......10-12
we all know that a nice 51-52% clip on underdogs is a pretty profitable rate if you're including some big ones and hittin em enough. BUT WHAT THE FUCK? i know i probably play too many road dogs. i do it with series, too, but i think that too much is given to home field. the small dogs have kept me probably from being close to 200 units for the season 4 months in, which would be over 9% ROI. that'd be admirable. in july the dogs did nothing but hold my average bet down in the low $130s... irrelevant though, this deep into the season, that # won't move much unless i double my standard play overnight.
JULY
srs 20-17 (54.05) +$8.37
fav 34-14 70.83%
5in 26-21-8
und 20-9-1 68.97%
dog 24-31 -$0.72
par 18-55 +$5.58
rLs 30-27
ovr 23-13-2
prp 7-3
atl 21-9 +$11.93
cws 28-14 +$18.85
just thought i'd share this peculiarity in my stats and see if anyone had any thoughts, comments, observations, hopefully no smart ass comments. don't really have time for that right now.
gonna be playin' pretty light this week with the cousin's wedding on friday and the whole family coming to town wednesday.
good luck to all.
oh well. all in all it was a good month. doubled the season's profits in july banking 8 large.
but it sure wasn't thanks to the underdogs.
i posted on saturday asking if anyone else was as meticulous and/or OCD as i am with my betting. i wanted to ask about underdog plays this year.
the other day i went back and counted my underdog plays and tallied them by moneyline. 100-109, 110-119, etc, after nailing cincy and pittsburgh on back to back days at +143 and +188, respectively.
here's what i got (it doesn't all add up in my posted record cause some plays didn't get posted/tallied cause i was in vegas for some, at the in-laws for some, etc. whatever)... not gettin' it. consistent for 3 months, and consistently bad on small-Medium dogs.
julydogs
+120-139...4-10 (25% for yr)
+140-159...2-4 (first sub-.500 month)
+160-179...1-5 (first sub-.500 month)
through july
100-119......28-23
120-139......10-30
140-159......12-11
160-179......10-13
180-199......5-5
200+..........1-7
110-139......25-42
140-169......17-17
170-199......10-12
we all know that a nice 51-52% clip on underdogs is a pretty profitable rate if you're including some big ones and hittin em enough. BUT WHAT THE FUCK? i know i probably play too many road dogs. i do it with series, too, but i think that too much is given to home field. the small dogs have kept me probably from being close to 200 units for the season 4 months in, which would be over 9% ROI. that'd be admirable. in july the dogs did nothing but hold my average bet down in the low $130s... irrelevant though, this deep into the season, that # won't move much unless i double my standard play overnight.
JULY
srs 20-17 (54.05) +$8.37
fav 34-14 70.83%
5in 26-21-8
und 20-9-1 68.97%
dog 24-31 -$0.72
par 18-55 +$5.58
rLs 30-27
ovr 23-13-2
prp 7-3
atl 21-9 +$11.93
cws 28-14 +$18.85
just thought i'd share this peculiarity in my stats and see if anyone had any thoughts, comments, observations, hopefully no smart ass comments. don't really have time for that right now.
gonna be playin' pretty light this week with the cousin's wedding on friday and the whole family coming to town wednesday.
good luck to all.
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