Week 1 Plays

airportis

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Time to get this started.




Oklahoma State -13.5

This is the only play I already made. When the lines were posted for week 1, I immediately jumped on this one. Its now up to 15 most places, if not 16. OK State lost quite a bit of talent, but Kendall Hunter is one of the best backs in the country and will big his name nationally known this season. The Pokes are pretty high on their QB Brandon Weeden, and while I don't think hell be as good as Zac Robinson, he should be able to run the offense and manage the game.

Washington State is absolutely terrible and may be one of the worst teams, if not the worst, in the entire FBS. I can not see any scenario where this team comes in to Okla St. and competes. While they MAY improve slightly on defense, it won't be a dramatic change from the 512 yards per game they let up last season, ranking them 120th in total defense. In rushing defense, they ranked 117th, giving up 236.5 yards per game. This is bad news for them and great news for Kendall Hunter, who must be licking his chops knowing his season will get off to a fast start going up against the Cougars D.

Bottom line is Washington State just does not have the talent to keep up with Oklahoma State who will run them ragged all day. The Pokes should be able to move the ball and score at will. Only question is when, if any time, will Gundy call off the dogs? I think the Pokes will certainly put up 40+ points.




Missouri -12

The suspension of Mizzou top rusher Washington may be a blessing in disguise. The line should drop, like it already has, even though I believe Mizzou would have covered the original number of -13 or -14.

Gabbert is one of the best passers in the country, not just the Big 12, and he torched the Illini last season. With experience under his belt and a healed gimpy ankle he had last season, I think hes only going to be better. The Mizzou receivers are solid and this team loves to throw the ball. 14th in the county last season in passing offense, and I think they improve on that rank this year. They have 8 players back on each side of the ball, so this team will be better. Better than the team they were when they smoked Illinois 37-9 in last years opener.

Zook has yet to beat Missouri and I highly doubt this is the year it happens. Hes going to need a dramatic improvement from his 100th ranked pass defense to stay in this one. Juice Williams is gone so Illinois may take a while to get into a groove offensively, and by that time the damage should already be done by Gabbert and company.

I will wait to see if the line gets lower but at -12, I still like the Tigers.




Minnesota -3

With Dwight Dasher being ruled ineligible, Middle Tenn is in a world of hurt. They will have huge problems at QB which should lead to huge problems for the offense. This was a very winnable game for Middle Tenn before Dasher got into trouble, but now it really looks bleak for them.

Minnesota only returns 2 on defense, but the D shouldn't take too much of a beating. I don't think either of the QB Middle Tenn may put out there has experience in FBS.

The Gophers return 9 on offense, including senior QB Adam Weber. The experience of the offense should carry Minnesota. The Gophers have a veteran offensive line and the last 2 seasons when exceeding 100 yards on the ground, the team is 11-2, compared to 2-11 when rushing for below 100.

The Middle Tenn D-Line is probably their biggest worry, especially after losing the Sun Belts co-defensive player of the year, Chris McCoy. They also had some injuries in spring practice to some of their top guys on the D-Line who weren't cleared to play until August.

I certainly see the Gophers veteran offensive line getting the better of this match up and that should be the key to the game. The Gophers should be able to move the ball on the ground and that should open up some play action for Weber.









Still looking at a couple more and will have specific team total plays when those lines are put up.

Best of luck to everyone this season.
 

turksure

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good luck this season, going to the Ok St game, looking forward to a easy cover: See several good cappers on OSU and also the Minn game. again good luck this season
 

PocketAces

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Good luck this season. Thank you for taking the time to post your picks.
 

airportis

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Notre Dame/Purdue over 54


Will be interesting to see how Notre Dame comes out with Brian Kellys new offense, but they should not struggle too much. Kelly likes to run a lot of plays and put up points. Purdue was pretty good through the air last season and they were up near the top of the list in offensive plays run per game. The transfer from Miami, Marve, certainly wont hurt the pass game. I think this one could develop into a shootout and should be able to get over the number.
 

Full court press

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Notre Dame/Purdue over 54


Will be interesting to see how Notre Dame comes out with Brian Kellys new offense, but they should not struggle too much. Kelly likes to run a lot of plays and put up points. Purdue was pretty good through the air last season and they were up near the top of the list in offensive plays run per game. The transfer from Miami, Marve, certainly wont hurt the pass game. I think this one could develop into a shootout and should be able to get over the number.

I like this one in particular. it will be very interesting to see Kelly's spread in action. Obviously, he is a terrific coach and he has the ability and the play makers to make this happen fairly fast. Regardless of their results the Irish will again be fun to watch. I can't wait to see them play.

Purdue's passing attack has the ability to make quick strikes down the field as Marve is solid and he has a nice group of receivers to go to.

Have a great season Dan.
 

airportis

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Waiting pays off.

Got my play in on Minnesota at -1


:shrug:

A little worried about the move back but Without Dasher I think Minnesota is clearly the better team here, regardless of location.
 

airportis

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Wow, went to make the play and it moved to a PK.


Minnesota PK


:mj08:
 

airportis

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Kansas State ML -121

While K-State might not be very good this year, they should be competitive and definitely play better at home.

Daniel Thomas is a truck, and he has a good veteran line to run behind. The line he ran for a Big 12 leading 1,265 yards last year returns 4 of those 5 starters.

K-State will definitely pound the ball with Thomas against UCLA, who are going to be in for a long day as the defensive line isnt the Bruins strong point.

I also love the fact that Kai Forbath is doubtful for UCLA. Yes you might say hes just a kicker, but this guy is pretty automatic from inside 50 yards. He has made 37 consecutive field goals from inside 50 yards, including all 25 last year. With an offense that may have trouble, him being doubtful with a groin injury is a huge plus.

Also questionable is the QB Kevin Prince, who has a back injury.

UCLA also may be shaky along the offensive line. Starters from last year, Jeff Baca, Mike Harris, and Kai Maiava will be out.

I think K-State should be able to control the game at home and give UCLA a heavy dose of Daniel Thomas. I also think K-State has won like 20 straight home openers, but dont quote me on that.

I will probably wait till closer to game time to play this to make sure Forbath and Prince will be out. If they are, this is a definite play for me.
 

airportis

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yep looks like Prince will play and Forbath will be a game time decision.

I still am leaning towards K-State....UCLA will be running their new "revolver" offense, who knows how well it will work. :shrug:
 

airportis

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still looking at Purdue/Notre Dame over. Its down to 52 now and is expected to be pretty windy in South Bend.

anyone know how much of a factor the wind is inside that stadium?
 

airportis

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Missouri loses the starting RB who gets dismissed from the team and the line goes back up. Makes me think Mizzou rolls today. :0corn
 

Cie

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Ok St line opening line under 2 TDs screamed for action on Ok St over lowly Wazzou. What does that say about oddmakers opinion of Ok St? I get the feeling the lack of experience will present some issues for Pokes today. This has been bet all the way up to 17.5, and I think I may take a shot with Wazzou.

GL on rest:toast:
 

airportis

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at 17.5 you may get a back door or something, but Wazzou is just a very bad team.



adding.... Clemson over 41.5
 

Cie

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at 17.5 you may get a back door or something, but Wazzou is just a very bad team.

I hear ya, but that is my point. Wazzou blows, so why set the opening line at 13.5? With the opener at 14.5, I wouldn't even have this game on my radar.

Keep up the good work.....
 

airportis

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I hear ya, well lets hope Okla state only wins by 16 so we both hit. :00hour


Have made all my listed plays thus far with the exception of Notre Dame/Purdue over. Waiting till close to game time on that one to try and get as much info on the wind as possible.
 
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