ANOTHER CRAZY LOW LINE... Another MNF Setup?

[Cie]

the reason i was considering the skins as a home dog was because i`m in b`more and we get the "skinny" on the skins....theres a vibe about the team with shanahan and mcnabb in d.c....

ithe colts lost bob sanders last week in the first quarter...that`s akin to the steelers losing polamalu....he`s that important to that defense....

it`ll be interesting to see if free agent foster cracks the redskin defense like he did the sanders-less colts...

laron landry made 17 tackles last week vs dallas and deangelo hall looks like the deangelo hall we all remember from va tech....

very much looking forward to watching this game.....should be interesting...

I would not play Houston this week off of the largest win in team history with the Cowboys on deck. Skins or nuttin' on the side.....

I see the Skins are in a letdown spot, and have a good D with questionable O, while Houston is in a 'sandwich' spot off of an ultra- high scoring affair.

This screams under 43.5 to me Under will be a likely Hippo play for me this week, but not sure if I will put $$ on it as of yet.....

 

[CartersCubs]

Denver outgained Jax, converted more first downs, matched Jax on 3rd D efficiency and held the ball longer. A fumble and an INT did them in last week on the road.

This week, they face Seattle team with injury concerns that drummed SF at home. A closer look into that boxscore reveals the Seahags rolled up a paltry 240yds of offense. Alex Smith converting on 1/15 3rd downs and throwing 2 INTs(including a pick-6) had plenty to do with that blowout, as did horrible red-zone efficiency.

Seahags are overrated overall and thin up front. Denver returns home coming off of a loss, with a solid, yet underrated QB, better offensive talent, and imo a better coaching staff. Denver can be exploited by the run, but Seattle does not have the personnel to do so. I like Den by a TD


BTW, the Saints line is accurate imo. Saints are a roughly 7 point fav over SF on a nuetral field in my book, so a line of 4-5 @ SF makes perfect sense to me.

Good thread.....

I'm all over Denver this week! :0053

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

Denver outgained Jax, converted more first downs, matched Jax on 3rd D efficiency and held the ball longer. A fumble and an INT did them in last week on the road.

This week, they face Seattle team with injury concerns that drummed SF at home. A closer look into that boxscore reveals the Seahags rolled up a paltry 240yds of offense. Alex Smith converting on 1/15 3rd downs and throwing 2 INTs(including a pick-6) had plenty to do with that blowout, as did horrible red-zone efficiency.

Seahags are overrated overall and thin up front. Denver returns home coming off of a loss, with a solid, yet underrated QB, better offensive talent, and imo a better coaching staff. Denver can be exploited by the run, but Seattle does not have the personnel to do so. I like Den by a TD


BTW, the Saints line is accurate imo. Saints are a roughly 7 point fav over SF on a nuetral field in my book, so a line of 4-5 @ SF makes perfect sense to me.

Good thread.....

I didn't realize Denver outgained JAX. I only saw bits and pieces of the game, and Denver didn't look too hot in the parts I saw.

We agree on the Denver game. Seattle isn't nearly as good as they looked last week, and they are historically (at least the last few years) a very poor road team. And like you said, Denver will get a chance to regroup now that they're back at home. I would agree with Denver by at least a TD, and I wouldn't be surprised to see them win by more.

That's one of the reasons I really like SF this week. They were embarrassed on Sunday against an inferior team, but now they get to come home and play the SB champs on MNF. If they can't get up for that, then they can't get up for anything. I'm expecting a very intense, focused effort from them.

 

[Cie]

That's one of the reasons I really like SF this week. They were embarrassed on Sunday against an inferior team, but now they get to come home and play the SB champs on MNF. If they can't get up for that, then they can't get up for anything. I'm expecting a very intense, focused effort from them.

Plus, Saints are off of a win over Minny and have their main rival (ATL) on deck. Not as much of an issue in the NFL as in college, but I figure it's worth mentioning nonetheless

GL this week:toast:

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

Plus, Saints are off of a win over Minny and have their main rival (ATL) on deck. Not as much of an issue in the NFL as in college, but I figure it's worth mentioning nonetheless

GL this week:toast:

Good points about the Saints schedule. I hadn't even thought of that.

GL to you as well. :0008

 

[kenman]

Since 1989 SF played on MNF at Home are:

SU: 14-3-0 (11.1)
ATS: 12-4-1 (4.6) avg line: -6.4
O/U: 8-8-1 (1.6) avg total: 42.8

BOL :scared :shrug: :0008


NO against SF as a FAV since 1991

SU: 8-0-0 (12.0)
ATS: 7-1-0 (7.6) avg line: -4.4
O/U: 3-4-1 (-0.6) avg total: 43.1

:shrug: :facepalm: :0008

 

[Old School]

Saints are 10-2 ATS vs 49ERS last 12

last 6 meeting between these clubs in SF have gone over the total.


source> BETUS

 

[NBA_Kid]

I`m posting the line movements.

All these lines are from Pinnacle.

I will post the opening line and current.

And i do have the exact opening lines from Sunday:0074

Before i post them....I will say...I have never seen this much movement during the week.

Patriots opened up at -1....Currently -2.5

Ravens opened up at -1....Currently -2.5

Packers opened up a -13.5....Currently -13

Titans opened up at -5.5....Currently -5

Falcons opened up at -7...Currently -6.5

Raiders opened up at -4.....Currently -3.5

Chargers opened up at -9...Currently -7

Colts opened up at -5.5...Currently -5

Texans opened up at -3.....Currently -2.5

Eagles opened up at -3...Currently -6

Saints opened up at -4.....Currently -5.5

There are 4 huge public plays

Patriots 79%
Packers 75%
Eagles 71%
Vikings 70%

Some other pretty big public plays

Carolina 68%
Falcons 66%
Titans 64%
Chiefs 63%
Texans 61%
Ravens 60%

I was looking at the Texans to have a letdown....After that huge win against the Colts....You also have to look at the Skins having a letdown after beating the Cowboys....That was a huge win for the Skins also.

Chargers might not be that good this season....Jacksonville might be a play in that game....That line dropped 2 points.

 

[Betone]

Saints are 10-2 ATS vs 49ERS last 12

last 6 meeting between these clubs in SF have gone over the total.


source> BETUS

Great Stats, and I am betting against Alex Smith whom is one of the bottom three qb's in the league.....Just my opinion.

 

[Cie]

Right now, you dont know what SF team will show up on Monday night.. Can Alex Smith gain any type of confidence? .....

:shrug:

And, how will he react to aggressive blitzing scheme?

 

[LDB]

And, how will he react to aggressive blitzing scheme?

Im going to have to say not very good from what I have seen of him so far..