ncaaf wk4

[Cie]

13-18 -10.89u ytd


Tight on time this week, so posting my card now to give maximum fade opportunities.

Plays:


Wyo +13 (-110) x4
Cal +7(-115) x2
E Mich +42.5 x2
BYU +5.5 (-110) x3


Other leans:

SMU +17.5
Pitt +3.5
Kentucky +14.5
Zona St +10.5
ND +3.5:scared
UCLA +16
Cin +18
WV +7

GL:weed:

 

[TLankford]

explanation of the BYU pick?

 

[hawkeye]

Liek the Cowboys--gl

 

[Cie]

Nevada, which is now playing for the first time away from home, is off of a huge win over a BCS foe, with rival UNLV on deck. Despite 28-22 overall ATS record over the past 4 years, Nev is only 1-3 ATS in the week before the UNLV game.

BYU is a solid football team with inexperience at some key spots, particularly QB. The Cougs lost to a good AF team on the road, and lost to a more talented FSU team the following week. I hold neither loss against them in terms of their ability to handle Nevada at home given emotional factors.

BYU O looks like hell thus far, but at least they have settled on a QB and Nevada D can be easily exploited in this spot.

GL:weed:

 

[Cie]

BYU up to 5.5 and Wyo up to 13, so I just played both at x3 and x4 as anticipated. Pitt available at +3 +100, Cal now at +7 -115 and EMU remains at 42.5, so going to take those 3 now as well for x2 each.


Still leaning:

SMU
Cin
BC
Kentucky
UCLA:scared
WV


GL:weed:

 

[Corley1011]

You think WV can hang with LSU?? WV is prone to TO's like MSU did last weekend...

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

Son, you better get your shit together. This record is unacceptable!:SIB

 

[Cie]

Son, you better get your shit together. This record is unacceptable!:SIB

No chit, hoss. It's killin' me. Hoping week 4 is the charm.


Corley, I'm not sure what to expect from LSU O, but I know that the HC advantage which most teams enjoy vs Miles is not present in this game.




GL:weed:

 

[Corley1011]

WVU is too inconsistent to back IMO... They have their moments when they look good but they have yet to play an entire game like that... Last game for example they went up 28-0 on MD and let MD come back and cut it 28-17 before they kicked a FG late to hold on... We all saw the Marshall game... LSU on O has to start scoring TD's... I was kinda shocked they only got 2 against MSU with as many mistakes as MSU made

 

[Cie]

Austin Peay +43 I want to fade Wisc, but AP is playing their 3rd in a row on the road. Aside from stats, I have little on them. Stats look bad, though. Poor pass protection, outgained by 80 ypg against Cumberland, MTSU and Tenn St. Roster review revealed skill players are upper classmen aside from soph QB and soph WR. Plus, this is AP's first game outside of Tenn.

I simply don't see anything to back, but may do so anyway:SIB



Will also look at N Col later to see about fading Mich St this week.

 

[#cruncher]

Austin Peay +43 I want to fade Wisc, but AP is playing their 3rd in a row on the road. Aside from stats, I have little on them. Stats look bad, though. Poor pass protection, outgained by 80 ypg against Cumberland, MTSU and Tenn St. Roster review revealed skill players are upper classmen aside from soph QB and soph WR. Plus, this is AP's first game outside of Tenn.

I simply don't see anything to back, but may do so anyway:SIB



Will also look at N Col later to see about fading Mich St this week.

I played against Austin Peay (twice) back when they still had freshman games. Got in at the tail end of the 1st game for mop-up duty. Ended up starting the 2nd game against them and promptly led the team to a TD the first drive. Don't think I ever got back into the game and that was basically the end of my college career...:facepalm: ...We thumped them both times, you might want to reconsider your lean...

 

[Cie]

I played against Austin Peay (twice) back when they still had freshman games. Got in at the tail end of the 1st game for mop-up duty. Ended up starting the 2nd game against them and promptly led the team to a TD the first drive. Don't think I ever got back into the game and that was basically the end of my college career...:facepalm: ...We thumped them both times, you might want to reconsider your lean...

Did you play at Kentucky??

 

[Cie]

Plays:


Pitt +3 (+100) x2
Temple over 43 x2
UCF +7 (+100) x2
Wyo +13 (-110) x2 bought back 2 units with AF -13
Cal +7(-115) x2
E Mich +42.5 x2
BYU +5.5 (-110) x2 bought back a unit with Nev -3.5

Looking to play Fla under50.5, ND+4.5, Minn-4.5, and Hou-19




GL:weed:

 

[#cruncher]

Did you play at Kentucky??

Oh no, would have loved to...just got a feeler from them, not enough size...Tennessee-Martin. Had an offer from Columbia, but they probably hadn't check my transcripts first...:142smilie

 

[Cie]

lol


AF @ Wyo When looking at AF and Wyo, you have to take into account that AF plays Navy next week and that Navy has dominated the series of late. The seniors have not won vs. or @ Navy, and I promise they want to

 

[Cie]

Added:

Fla under48.5 x2 (Played at 50.5, but 48.5 now...)
Minn-4 x2 (Played at 4.5, but 4 now)
Hou-19.5 (Played at 19, but 19.5 now)


Plays:
Pitt +3 (+100) x2
Temple over 43 x2
UCF +7 (+100) x2
Wyo +13 (-110) x2
Cal +7(-115) x2
E Mich +42.5 x2
BYU +5.5 (-110) x2
Fla under48.5 x2
Minn-4 x2
Hou-19.5


GL:weed:

 

[Mr. Poon]

gl this week bud :toast:

 

[Cie]

Thanks, dude


Added:

SC +3 x2
NCSU +8 x2
FLa un49.5 x2 x4 all day:scared

GL:weed:

 

[#cruncher]

Thanks, dude


Added:

SC +3 x2
NCSU +8 x2
FLa un49.5 x2 x4 all day:scared

GL:weed:

The Florida under is interesting, so I've gotta hope the Gators don't score too much..GLuck. We've got some great SEC machups today, besides this one really looking forward to Ala, Aub, & LSU games...don't get no better!!!

 

[Cie]

ND +4.5 x1


GL:weed: