College Plays From 10/21-10/23....

[AR182]

Under 48 Wisc. / Iowa....

Think this will be a "grind 'em" type of game....

Play Under - All teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (Iowa) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, in October games....

Over the last 5 seasons the record for this system is....34-10....77.3%....

The average total posted in these games was....46....The average total points scored in these games was....39.8....

Good luck....

 

[Full court press]

Under 48 Wisc. / Iowa....

Think this will be a "grind 'em" type of game...

Good luck....

Agree, think this is a keeper. GL Al

 

[AR182]

Thanks Fcp....

NW+7 (120)....

This is MSU's first trip outside of Michigan this year....They are off a stretch of games where they played Wisc., Michigan, & Illinois & have a game next week vs. Iowa....NW is coming off a bye & the week before lost SU to Purdue as a favorite....So far this year, Big 10 teams are 4-0 SU the next game off of a bye....

In the last 20 NW games, dogs are 17-3 ATS & under this coach, NW is 6-2 ATS the game after a SU loss & 7-1 ATS the next game after a bye.... On the other hand MSU is 1-4 ATS as conference road dog of more than 4 points....

Play On - Home underdogs (NW) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games where they forced 3 or more turnovers....

The system's record this season is....1-0....100%....

Over the last 3 seasons the system's record is....12-1....92.3%....

Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NW) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins....

The system's record this season is....7-0....100%....

Good luck....

 

[jrush2525]

LSU has not faced a potent offense.

As for the LSU opponent offensive rankings:

UNC #63
vandy #102
Miss St #55
WV #64
Tenn #97
Fla #91
McNeese #78

Auburn # 9 :00hour

 

[Tiny]

Thanks Fcp....

NW+7 (120)....

This is MSU's first trip outside of Michigan this year....They are off a stretch of games where they played Wisc., Michigan, & Illinois & have a game next week vs. Iowa....NW is coming off a bye & the week before lost SU to Purdue as a favorite....So far this year, Big 10 teams are 4-0 SU the next game off of a bye....

In the last 20 NW games, dogs are 17-3 ATS & under this coach, NW is 6-2 ATS the game after a SU loss & 7-1 ATS the next game after a bye.... On the other hand MSU is 1-4 ATS as conference road dog of more than 4 points....

Play On - Home underdogs (NW) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games where they forced 3 or more turnovers....

The system's record this season is....1-0....100%....

Over the last 3 seasons the system's record is....12-1....92.3%....

Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (NW) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins....

The system's record this season is....7-0....100%....

Good luck....

I think NW will win SU this week....BOL!

 

[AR182]

Thanks guys....

Adding....

Georgia-3(120)....
C.Fla-21(120)....
W. Virg.-14....
Under 54 Wash / Az....

Should have some writeups later in the day....

Good luck....

 

[AR182]

5* Georgia-3(120)....

I think Georgia is starting to hit its stride now since their very talented widereceiver, Green is back from suspension....& since he has been back, Geo. has averaged 22 ppg more than the 1st 3 games vs. BCS opponents while he was suspended.... Meanwhile UK is coming off a huge come from behind win vs.#10 So. Carolina....Teams who beat Spurrier coached So.Car. teams are 2-10-1 ATS at home the following game, including 0-7-1 ATS when hosting a team seeking revenge (last season UK beat 9.5 favorite Geo. 34-27 despite being outgained 487-260)....In addition, when game 8 matchups involve a 3-4 team visiting a 4-3 conference host, the visitor is 17-4 ATS when they are allowing less than 31 ppg for the season....

Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (Georgia) - off a win against a conference rival against opponent off an extremely close home win by 3 points or less.....

Since 1992 the record for this system is....46-19....70.8%....

The average line posted in these games was.... Team favored by 6.4....The average score in these games was....Team 30.4, Opponent 18.7....

Over the last 5 seasons the system's record is....14-4....77.7%....

Also are adding E. Carolina-12....

Good luck....

 

[Cie]

5* Georgia-3(120)....

I think Georgia is starting to hit its stride now since their very talented widereceiver, Green is back from suspension....& since he has been back, Geo. has averaged 22 ppg more than the 1st 3 games vs. BCS opponents while he was suspended.... Meanwhile UK is coming off a huge come from behind win vs.#10 So. Carolina....Teams who beat Spurrier coached So.Car. teams are 2-10-1 ATS at home the following game, including 0-7-1 ATS when hosting a team seeking revenge (last season UK beat 9.5 favorite Geo. 34-27 despite being outgained 487-260)....In addition, when game 8 matchups involve a 3-4 team visiting a 4-3 conference host, the visitor is 17-4 ATS when they are allowing less than 31 ppg for the season....

Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (Georgia) - off a win against a conference rival against opponent off an extremely close home win by 3 points or less.....

Since 1992 the record for this system is....46-19....70.8%....

The average line posted in these games was.... Team favored by 6.4....The average score in these games was....Team 30.4, Opponent 18.7....

Over the last 5 seasons the system's record is....14-4....77.7%....

Also are adding E. Carolina-12....

Good luck....

UGA qulaified as a system play for me, but I left them off b/c system favs have killed me the past 2 years...

I still like them to cover, though......

 

[kcwolf]

Looking like a good card Al. :0074

 

[Irish]

AR
GL this weekend but I heard some trend and you might know it alread but it is about a undefeated conference team of an underdog straight up win is 13-1-1 over the past few years.

I think Okie st falls into that.


Cheers
Irish

 

[AR182]

Thanks guys....

Irish....Yeah i saw that but I like the number that i got on it, however I may middle it if it goes to 7....

C. Fla-21(120)....

C.Fla is coming off a mid-week win over Marshall, while Rice is coming off a home upset of Houston, which is one of the reasons why i like C. Fla....UCF ranks 8th in the nation in total defense, allowing an average of 265 ypg, while Rice allows an average of 37.5 ppg & 441 ypg on the road....

Play On - Home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (UCF) - average offensive team (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) against a team with a terrible defense (>=6.2 YPP), in conference games....

Since 1992 the record for this system is....26-4....
86.7%....

The average line posted in these games was.... Team favored by 24.6....The average score in these games was....Team 45.4, Opponent 10.6....

Over the last 5 seasons the systems\'s record is....11-1....91.6%....

Good luck....

 

[Betone]

GL AR, you are a hell of a capper and I have read hundreds of your threads over the years. We are not on all of the same teams this week, yet, I respect your capping and insights. Wishing you the best this weekend :toast:

 

[AR182]

Thanks Betone, I appreciate your comment....

Good luck also....

Adding....

Fresno St-18(120)....
Baylor-6....
Utah St+4(120)....

Good luck....

 

[the addict]

GL AR....UTAH ST and Northwestern are both plays for me lets cash em:toast:

for what its worth, i listen to espn radio all the time at work, and Scott Van Pelt has been doing extremly well in college foots this year ATS. He has been I beleive 4-1 almost everyweek to this point. He is on Utah state and northwestern as well, so lets hope he stays hot.

Anyways AR, just wanted too stop in and say good luck and once again thanks for all the work and input you contribute all the time. Lets have a big week buddy!:0074

 

[AR182]

Thanks very much addict....Appreciate your post....

Adding....

Under 48 Temple / Buffalo....

Good luck....