Week 10 card ( Nov 4-6)

[Irish]

Well it looks like 6-6 last week considering Org was a 5X play. I think that puts me at 66-66-3. Or 62-66-3 if we just count posts as plays not the size.

VT/GT under 56
In the past three years these two teams have not gone over this number. Both teams have the break away play but both rely on the run.

VT (-14) over GT
This a play based on the trap thought. Last year VT owned GT by DD all game until the last few mins where GT took the lead and won. The last two games have been close so why so many. There is a Thursday night game urban legend about VT but that's not worth two TD's. Revenge? Well GT did rally to win against the then 4th ranked team in NCAA. Home field? Yeah they do have that but they also lost to JMU at home. This is a very hard offense to defend at VT has a young defense? VT has not been overly impressive this season period. But GT has looked just flat out bad on the road. Well this has a tin of baring on VT in the division. I think Ball will struggle to pass... Surprise and the LB for VT can fill holes. Bud given the extra time should have his guys playing lanes and I am hoping they can win field position and turnovers. I also think the GT CB can not cover Boykin. So I am kinda surprise this line is so high so my brain screamed oh wow that's going to be a dog fight run battle grab the points but I thought if it is that easy why? So I'll grab the hokies and hope that Thursday night urban legand smacks the jackets down. Hey tyrod.... Don't he afraid to run in a pass play. GT will be stoping and you can stay ahead of the chains.

Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

Rehit the under 56.5

Family in the area said it is raining and no signs of getting better.

Cheers
Irish

 

[joefrog91]

Rehit the under 56.5

Family in the area said it is raining and no signs of getting better.

Cheers
Irish

Good luck. Was thinking of doing the same.

 

[Irish]

Houston (+2.5) over UCF
Houston has won four of their three home games. You are starting to see signs of the old Houston team offense. They have started to put points on the board and in comes a UCF team that brings a pretty good defense. Question in my mind is can the 9th Ranked defense control the houston offense enough to allow the 61st offense to keep pace. Now the UFL offense puts 199.9 ypg. UCF, which is producing 32.9 ppg, has scored 24 of its 31 offensive touchdowns via the run. So this team can score and they like to run to do so, and we all know Houston is not going to bring a defense to the table tonight so I see some points. The Cougars are putting 169.4 ypg on the ground but they average 299 through the air. I think this balance will really test a UCF defense to see if they are as good as the ranking. I mean pick your poison... 21 passing TD and 20 rushing TDs. Piland has gotten Sumlins system and I expect him to be the next better Keenum or Kolb. Now here are the brass tacts, Houston has given up 17 rushing TDs, UCF is a strong running team. Can the cougars slow them down? Well I am leaning on the home field and getting ahead. Doing to them what UCF did to ECU, get ahead and force the pass and watch as a QB completing 63% cannot carry the team. I expect points but I think the cougars pull ahead and stay ahead.

Houston/UCF OVER (64)
Houston will keep the knights off balance on offense and Houston will not stop the running game of UCF. Both team can score and run their offense at will against each other.

WMich (+3) over C.Mich
I think this is tough but C.Mich has just been playing poorly in the turnover department. That speaks to poor focus and practice. They will play well and they have great players for that team but W.Mich is a good team and played well in a lot of games. Sould be a competitive game so I like getting the points.

Cheers
Irish

 

[Irish]

UVA (-1) over duke
The wahoos are playing solid on both offense and defense. They have a big fast running back. The question as always with them is at QB. They showed last week that they have the ability. This team gave USC all they could handle and beat Miami. Looking at edge in the game I see the biggest being the UVA offensive line. They are much stronger than the duke front. Duke is a decent team and UVA should have a bit of a hangover but they should still walk away with the win because they have their way on offense and get some stops on defense.

Bama (6.5) over LSU
I have looked at this game from a lot of angles but I can't see LSU staying with Bama on the scoreboard. They have questions at QB and even though the defense is very good they can be beat deep. Jones vs petterson will be a great matchup but I like jones their. Saban off a bye with the better running attack. As we saw against auburn the LSU can be pushed on the line and holes can be opened. Dyer had a good game between the tackles and I think Robinson and Ingram are going to move the chains. Look at WVU, UNC, and auburn all three moved the ball well on the ground and looked deep on a few plays. Two of three don't have the players to overcome holes they dug. Bama is coming in knowing this is a big game and also know miles will throw a bunch of trickeration at them. Yes LSU has the home field but all in all LSU is IMO all defense and a big play from Jefferson or special teams. They are not a consistent team and if you have a consistent team against them they will get behind. I am sorry if a team that struggled against UNC WVU and Tennessee does not get my vote. This game will be won by the better coached and mire talented team and that is Bama. The given points make it a bit harder becausethe LSU defense will be tough but they will be on the field too much and eventually get worn down and run over. I do not think LSU can take advantage of the inexperience in the Nama secondary because of the poor QB play so Bama can take control of the game.

Baylor (+7.5) over okie state
No one is giving the bears their right dues after beating Texas and playing very well this season. Griffin is the best player on the field. Okie state has a BAD offensive line and I think Baylor can limit hunter. I like Blackman as okie st best weapon but being off last week and doubled Baylor can match up. This will be an offensive game and looking at it Baylor is better suited to win in that style. Funny that you get to see Texas techs offensive co against the Houston offensive mind. I think Baylor has more speed at WR and they have mobility at QB. Yes hangover after Texas but Kst gave okie state a game for a while last week. Both teams should come in looking to get first place in the division and Baylor getting over a td is tremendous value with what they bring on offense. Remember they have seen the okie st offense once this reason when they beat Texas tech.

Org (-28.5) over Washington
Got this when it opened as I though locker looked a little too banged up last week. I thought he would at least play but now I like this even more. I think it is up to 35 but playing at home the ducks are going to be too much.

Texas (-4) over Kansas st
This won't be easy but I can't see texas losing a game in a row. They are up against a good running attack and it will teat them since the running game has just gashed them but I have to think they come in with a bit if a chip. Play with a little more meanness and push k st around. Stack the box and shut down the run.

Couple of others with no time to write up.
Hawaii (+21.5) over Boise
Too many points against a team that did not look impressive against la tech.

S.Carolina (-3) over Arkansas
Like home field and lattimore playing makes this a different team. If lattimore finished the Kentucky game that ends in the cock favor. Lots of points but I think so Carolina is more productive with less risky plays. Mallets good for a pick or two and south Carolina contrils the clock with the run.

Utah (+6) over TCU
Just a play for the points and home field. TCU is the better team on a neutral field but I'll take the points in Utah.

Arizona (+8.5) over Stanford
Stanford is the better team they should win but zona has a lot of talent on offense and defense. Both teams play to each other and match ups are limited so I'll go with more than a Yd with two solid teams playing for standings in the PAC ten.

Miami (-7.5) over Maryland
Oh no Jacory Harris is out.... That means less dangerous plays, more running plays and taking what the defense give them. That's GOoD for Miami. Remember this is the offensive co kid he will be up to the offense. Forget last week, I would think when he came in on the road already losing getting no practice snaps he was not sharp. Given the week he will be fine and I am not sold on the terps even after the wins.

UNC (+10) over FSU
Points, just the points. FSU is better they have home field and the UNC defense will Tucker out but I'll take ten because both teams are not great.

Iowa st (+19.5) over Neb
No ficus on the road giving this much means value. Iowa st will play hard.

Florida Atlantic (-2.5)
Just think they are firing right now.

GL to all

F the Houston defense and what the hell w.Mich you had the win. That's the way it bounces sometime.

Cheers
Irish

 

[Betone]

Thank you for the write ups, GL this week Irish:toast:

 

[Irish]

Forgive the spelling. I am not drunk... Well not yet give me a couple hours Doing this in the car... Damn phone auto spell

Cheers
Irish

 

[RAYMOND]

gl:toast: