Auburn +6 at Alabama
I know it will be called a homer play.
But 6 points in the Iron Bowl is a gift. Nothing is going to change in the Newton situation in the next 10 days. But other than being an Auburn fan, I do have actual reasons why I like this game:
- Auburn's run defense has been great this year. We were able to shut down Ingram and TR last year when Bama's OL was head and shoulders above what it is this year.
- Bama's defense is not anywhere near as good as they were last year. Plenty of talent on that side of the ball as expected, but too young and inexperienced. They have excelled in the red zone, but teams have been driving down the field all year on this team
Newton/Ontario/Dyer will be able to run on Bama's defense just like every other good SEC defense we have faced this year. LSU defense is more talented and experienced that Bamas. 440 rushing yards there. Teams that can run the football score touchdowns in the redzone. Also, Blake and Lutz have become great WR targets inside the 15.
The only real matchup that I am worried about (for the ML win, not the +6) is Julio vs. Desmond Washington. We tried to play man on AJ Green saturday with Washington in the 1st half with very little safety help. He got burnt play after play until we were basically doubling Green.
If we can contain Julio and Maze the majority of the game we can get a lead and keep it. McElroy is in the lower-tier of QBs in the SEC, IMO. He holds the ball too long. He doesn't like to scramble like he will need to next week.
Lastly the home field factor - when AU is on offense - really doesn't effect us that much because we call our plays in / audible on the little flip cards. A noisy stadium isn't going to effect that
Auburn +6 easily the biggest play of the year so far. Probably gonna put a sizable bet down on the ML whenever it comes out just because I just don't see how you can turn down the value you're going to get if it stays at +6, the ML should be somewhere around +200.
I know it will be called a homer play.
But 6 points in the Iron Bowl is a gift. Nothing is going to change in the Newton situation in the next 10 days. But other than being an Auburn fan, I do have actual reasons why I like this game:
- Auburn's run defense has been great this year. We were able to shut down Ingram and TR last year when Bama's OL was head and shoulders above what it is this year.
- Bama's defense is not anywhere near as good as they were last year. Plenty of talent on that side of the ball as expected, but too young and inexperienced. They have excelled in the red zone, but teams have been driving down the field all year on this team
Newton/Ontario/Dyer will be able to run on Bama's defense just like every other good SEC defense we have faced this year. LSU defense is more talented and experienced that Bamas. 440 rushing yards there. Teams that can run the football score touchdowns in the redzone. Also, Blake and Lutz have become great WR targets inside the 15.
The only real matchup that I am worried about (for the ML win, not the +6) is Julio vs. Desmond Washington. We tried to play man on AJ Green saturday with Washington in the 1st half with very little safety help. He got burnt play after play until we were basically doubling Green.
If we can contain Julio and Maze the majority of the game we can get a lead and keep it. McElroy is in the lower-tier of QBs in the SEC, IMO. He holds the ball too long. He doesn't like to scramble like he will need to next week.
Lastly the home field factor - when AU is on offense - really doesn't effect us that much because we call our plays in / audible on the little flip cards. A noisy stadium isn't going to effect that
Auburn +6 easily the biggest play of the year so far. Probably gonna put a sizable bet down on the ML whenever it comes out just because I just don't see how you can turn down the value you're going to get if it stays at +6, the ML should be somewhere around +200.
