Happy Thanksgiving Day to the rest of the forum!
:toast:
Two Small Plays for this week:
2 game 6 point teaser
(Thanksgiving Day)
New England Patriots-0.5 EZ WINNER!
Over Lions
&
Green Bay Packers +8 WINNER!
Over Falcons
Patriots -0.5?The Patriots are fresh off of a home win over the Colts and have a short week to play on the road in Detroit?but the Patriots have been focused winning 2 straight games after their road loss in Cleveland and have won 7 out of their last 8 games overall?on the flip side?the Lions start Shaun Hill once again at QB, have lost three straight games and have no running game to fall back on since they must start Maurice Morris because Kevin Smith is out and Jahvid Best (toe) is very questionable...The Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 6-0 ATS vs a team with a winning record? but just 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games?.on the flip side the Patriots are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0?Bottom Line ? The battered Lions will likely play hard in front of the home crowd, but the matchups and game will be won by the Patriots.
New England 31 Detroit 20
Packers +8?The Packers are on a roll having won 4 straight games and have outscored their last 2 opponents 76-10!...on the flip side the Falcons have won 4 straight games but their last 3 home game wins (Baltimore 26-21, Tampa Bay 27-21 and Cincinnati 39-32) have all been nail biters?this game will likely also fall into that category?the one matchup that stands out in this game and the reason why I think the Packers will win this one outright is the Packers passing attack (which is hitting on all cylinders) going up against the Falcons 24th ranked pass defense allowing 244 yards per game?Trends - The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 14 points, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games?on the flip side the Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0?Also the Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Green Bay 27 Atlanta 24
Philadelphia Eagles -3 (-120)
Over Bears
The Bears had 3 extra days to prepare for this game coming off of a 16-0 whitewash over a banged up Dolphins team but face a red hot Eagles squad this week with Michael Vick under center?The Eagles have won 3 straight games and 5 out of their last 6 overall and beat the Bears 24-20 in Chicago last season with Donovan McNabb at QB?On the flip side the Bears have won 3 straight contests but are just 4-3 over their last 7 games?Trends ? The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win, but just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and 4-10-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record?.The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0., 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record?The Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings between the two...Riding the Hot Hand here!
Philadelphia 27 Chicago 22
:toast:
Two Small Plays for this week:
2 game 6 point teaser
(Thanksgiving Day)
New England Patriots-0.5 EZ WINNER!
Over Lions
&
Green Bay Packers +8 WINNER!
Over Falcons
Patriots -0.5?The Patriots are fresh off of a home win over the Colts and have a short week to play on the road in Detroit?but the Patriots have been focused winning 2 straight games after their road loss in Cleveland and have won 7 out of their last 8 games overall?on the flip side?the Lions start Shaun Hill once again at QB, have lost three straight games and have no running game to fall back on since they must start Maurice Morris because Kevin Smith is out and Jahvid Best (toe) is very questionable...The Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 6-0 ATS vs a team with a winning record? but just 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games?.on the flip side the Patriots are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0?Bottom Line ? The battered Lions will likely play hard in front of the home crowd, but the matchups and game will be won by the Patriots.
New England 31 Detroit 20
Packers +8?The Packers are on a roll having won 4 straight games and have outscored their last 2 opponents 76-10!...on the flip side the Falcons have won 4 straight games but their last 3 home game wins (Baltimore 26-21, Tampa Bay 27-21 and Cincinnati 39-32) have all been nail biters?this game will likely also fall into that category?the one matchup that stands out in this game and the reason why I think the Packers will win this one outright is the Packers passing attack (which is hitting on all cylinders) going up against the Falcons 24th ranked pass defense allowing 244 yards per game?Trends - The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 14 points, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games?on the flip side the Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0?Also the Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Green Bay 27 Atlanta 24
Philadelphia Eagles -3 (-120)
Over Bears
The Bears had 3 extra days to prepare for this game coming off of a 16-0 whitewash over a banged up Dolphins team but face a red hot Eagles squad this week with Michael Vick under center?The Eagles have won 3 straight games and 5 out of their last 6 overall and beat the Bears 24-20 in Chicago last season with Donovan McNabb at QB?On the flip side the Bears have won 3 straight contests but are just 4-3 over their last 7 games?Trends ? The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win, but just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and 4-10-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record?.The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0., 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record?The Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings between the two...Riding the Hot Hand here!
Philadelphia 27 Chicago 22
Last edited:
