Alabama in a walk.....

[ppabart]

Tide is gonna ROLL. Just sayin. The first half will be nip and tuck.....average scoring. Maybe 14-13 or so at halftime. Then Alabama will blow War Eagles' doors off in the 2nd half and win by more than 1 score.

Bama 34 - Auburn 23



(And I have no dog in this fight...as I am a Tarheel through and through.)

 

[Betone]

Tide is gonna ROLL. Just sayin. The first half will be nip and tuck.....average scoring. Maybe 14-13 or so at halftime. Then Alabama will blow War Eagles' doors off in the 2nd half and win by more than 1 score.

Bama 34 - Auburn 23



(And I have no dog in this fight...as I am a Tarheel through and through.)

Obviously you have not researched Auburn's 2nd half box scores this year.........I am just saying....GL

 

[ppabart]

Obviously you have not researched Auburn's 2nd half box scores this year.........I am just saying....GL

Obviously you live in the past....or at least give heavy weight to it. No worries. It'll be a good game to watch.............for me

 

[ppabart]

And Happy Thanksgiving to everyone as well. Will be a fun Iron Bowl to watch.

:0074

 

[s.e.c guru]

Tide is gonna ROLL. Just sayin. The first half will be nip and tuck.....average scoring. Maybe 14-13 or so at halftime. Then Alabama will blow War Eagles' doors off in the 2nd half and win by more than 1 score.

Bama 34 - Auburn 23



how mny s,e,c teams has alabama blown the doors off of.

 

[jrush2525]

Tide is gonna ROLL. Just sayin. The first half will be nip and tuck.....average scoring. Maybe 14-13 or so at halftime. Then Alabama will blow War Eagles' doors off in the 2nd half and win by more than 1 score.

Bama 34 - Auburn 23



(And I have no dog in this fight...as I am a Tarheel through and through.)

Funniest post this season.... :mj07:

 

[bryanz]

Funniest post this season.... :mj07:

whats so funny ???:SIB

 

[bryanz]

Tide is gonna ROLL. Just sayin. The first half will be nip and tuck.....average scoring. Maybe 14-13 or so at halftime. Then Alabama will blow War Eagles' doors off in the 2nd half and win by more than 1 score.

Bama 34 - Auburn 23



how mny s,e,c teams has alabama blown the doors off of.

how many teams has au stopped ??? where is the au (D) ???

 

[Cie]

Funniest post this season.... :mj07:

:facepalm:

 

[jrush2525]

how many teams has au stopped ??? where is the au (D) ???

last check they stopped all 11 they have played.

Bama on the other hand.... has not.

 

[ppabart]

Everyone has an asshole and an opinion. In this case....my opinion is correct.

Tide will roll. People just love to base the future on the past.

I am man enough to eat crow if I don't win. God knows I have lost before.....but so have all of you. So if you wanna talk some shit....come on back and eat some crow later on too. k?

Alabama.....at home.....Iron Bowl.....chance to ruin a perfect season of your most hated rival.....and a line that screams for the public to take Auburn? It all adds up to me.

Tide rolls :0074

 

[jrush2525]

All kidding and my usual BS aside.....

I think this will be a great game as usual. Bama is tough at home, until I see a team stop Cam passing and running and a OL stop Fairley from getting pressure, I will take Auburn and the points all day.

 

[jer-z jock]

All kidding and my usual BS aside.....

I think this will be a great game as usual. Bama is tough at home, until I see a team stop Cam passing and running and a OL stop Fairley from getting pressure, I will take Auburn and the points all day.

More important part may be keeping CAM Off field...Look for Richardson and crew to handle that....lots of running and chewing the clock...smash mouth football today and Auburn better have mouth pieces in!:00hour

 

[Woodson]

In a walk...

In a walk...

That's not saying Bama fights to win, you're basically saying Alabama by 10 in an easy win.

In a walk...

Those three words change the perception of your play or opinion.

I don't see how this game could be a walk for either team ...

Maybe it will come to me in a walk... kurby

 

[ppabart]

"In a walk" was my way of stirring the pot a little bit. And the fact that i predicted a final score that i did, indicates I don't think it's going to be a blowout....or walk. Will be an entertaining game to watch for sure. That being said.....I stand behind what I said. Bama wins......and wins by 11.

:0008

 

[TheGeek]

AU Walks in this one. My model has them winning 38-28. I'm going to hammer AU. Here is why:

Versus 5 common opponents this year

Auburn D ? allowing 5.5 yppl, 369 yds, 26 ppg,

Bama D ? allowing 5.4 yppl, 341 ypg, 20 ppg

Entire Season Bama D is allowing 4.7yppl to teams averaging 5.5 (+0.8)?.AU D allowing 5.2 yppl to teams that average 5.7 yppl (+0.5)?average Offense has 65-70 total plays/game which makes Bama D 21 yards better than Bama (+0.8-+0.5=+0.3 * 70 plays =21yards).

Vs 5 common opponents this year

AU O- 6.9 yppl, 482 ypg, 38 ppg

Bama O- 6.0yppl, 373 ypg, 24 ppg

Entire season

AU O is +1.8yppl (using same approach as D above)?Bama O is +1.2yppl, giving AU O vs Bama O a 42 yards edge.

O vs O and D vs D while interesting doesn?t really matter given the O plays D?AU O has +1.0 yppl edge on Bama D whereas Bama O has +0.6 yppl edge on AU D.

Bama had +3 TO margin when compared to Auburn (largely random and skews the yards per point ratio which explains the 5.4-5.5 yppl, similar total yardage, yet TD differential in ppg.

Bama O projects -0.1 ypr disadvantage rushing compared to a +1.8 ypr edge for the AU O?.Bama Pass O has +1.2 ypa edge compared to AU +1.0ypa.

For those of you who see the above as Sanskrit this equals very good match ups for AU.

That is all.

 

[bryanz]

AU Walks in this one. My model has them winning 38-28. I'm going to hammer AU. Here is why:

Versus 5 common opponents this year

Auburn D ? allowing 5.5 yppl, 369 yds, 26 ppg,

Bama D ? allowing 5.4 yppl, 341 ypg, 20 ppg

Entire Season Bama D is allowing 4.7yppl to teams averaging 5.5 (+0.8)?.AU D allowing 5.2 yppl to teams that average 5.7 yppl (+0.5)?average Offense has 65-70 total plays/game which makes Bama D 21 yards better than Bama (+0.8-+0.5=+0.3 * 70 plays =21yards).

Vs 5 common opponents this year

AU O- 6.9 yppl, 482 ypg, 38 ppg

Bama O- 6.0yppl, 373 ypg, 24 ppg

Entire season

AU O is +1.8yppl (using same approach as D above)?Bama O is +1.2yppl, giving AU O vs Bama O a 42 yards edge.

O vs O and D vs D while interesting doesn?t really matter given the O plays D?AU O has +1.0 yppl edge on Bama D whereas Bama O has +0.6 yppl edge on AU D.

Bama had +3 TO margin when compared to Auburn (largely random and skews the yards per point ratio which explains the 5.4-5.5 yppl, similar total yardage, yet TD differential in ppg.

Bama O projects -0.1 ypr disadvantage rushing compared to a +1.8 ypr edge for the AU O?.Bama Pass O has +1.2 ypa edge compared to AU +1.0ypa.

For those of you who see the above as Sanskrit this equals very good match ups for AU.

That is all.

every computer model has au ... thats what i love about this game... the computer knows more than the line maker ....and the money follows !!! people that never bet a dog, will bet this one... if you have been around you must bet ala... how could you live with yourself on the other side??? IF THERE WAS EVER A CHUMP BET, AU IS IT ....

 

[ppabart]

I love the "common opponent" angle :mj07: :mj07: :mj07:


That matters so freaking little

 

[Woodson]

And Happy Thanksgiving to everyone as well. Will be a fun Iron Bowl to watch.

:0074

Happy Thanksgiving. Have over 2400 tied into the game with bet a rebuy... Im thinking of buying back another 300 as it stands... Knee jerk is auburn but being a tiger my homer side is going to cost me some coin....

Will watch the line movement tomorrow and decide accordingly.

Happy thanksgiving to you and Sam.

​

 

[ppabart]

Have over 2400 tied into the game with bet a rebuy... Im thinking of buying back another 300 as it stands... Knee jerk is auburn but being a tiger my homer side is going to cost me some coin....

Best of luck Woody. All I'm doing here is giving an unbiased opinion on the game. I know how hard it is for me to completely put my love for the Tarheels aside to see the game for what it is. In this case, since I really dislike both teams, it makes it a little easier to see things.

I woke up this morning and thought......roll tide!!!!