NFL Week 14 with possible Underdog GOY!

FirstnGoal

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Oct 15, 2004
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The money train continues to roll as I hit my lone play last week!



:00hour



For this week, I see the possibility of a few good plays with one that I hit already because I believe the wrong team is favored in this one



Medium Size 2 Unit Dog Play


Cleveland Browns +1
over Bills
The Browns have won two in a row and 4 out of their last 6 games with their two losses being 24-20 to Jacksonville and a 26-20 OT loss to the Jets...3 out of their 4 wins have been against Miami, New England and New Orleans...on the flip side...the Bills are coming off of an embarrasing 38-14 rout at the hands of the Vikings and are a banged up unit playing with a Mash unit on their O-Line...backup OG Kraig Urbik thrust into a starting roll because of injuries is likely done for the season after suffering ligament damage in his right knee against the Vikings and C Geoff Hangartner (knee) is also likely done for theseason and will surely miss the Browns game...The Browns defensive front sevenwill likely have a field day on Sunday...on the flip side the Bills are one of the worst teams defending the run and face a Browns team that will pound the rock early and often with Peyton Hillis...the weather forecast also favors the Browns since freezing rain turning to snow could be in the mix for the game which would hamper the Bills passing attack...the Browns have won three straightgames versus the Bills over the last 3 seasons and are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in December,4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf, 15-2 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a losing home record,5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record,8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win and 13-5 ATS in their last 18 vs. AFC...On the other hand the Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, but just 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 home games,2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game and just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in December... I expect the line to move in the other direction because the wrong team is favored in this one!
Cleveland 24 Buffalo 16

If coattailing hit it ASAP before the line moves!

LOSS!

I guess I was overdue to drop one.

:shrug:

I went against my own saying that if you bet on bad football teams you usually get bad results!
:00x25
 
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FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
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2010 Regular Season Plays Record:
11-5


(+16.16 Units)

Breakdown:

Big 3 Unit Plays:
3-0

Medium 2 Unit Plays:
7-3


Small 1 Unit Plays:
1-2

Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
0-0

Leans:
11-8-2

Preseason Plays Record:
2-1

(+0.96 Units)
 

Hooks

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VEGAS
Will add that as far as the head coaches are concerned,
I read from week 13 - 16 that in this particular match-up of Head Coaches,
Buffalos Chan Gailley is 0 - 4 ATS vs Non- Division teams.
Clevs. Eric Mangini is 5 - 0 ATS as a Rd. Dog. :SIB
 

FirstnGoal

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Oct 15, 2004
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Will add that as far as the head coaches are concerned,
I read from week 13 - 16 that in this particular match-up of Head Coaches,
Buffalos Chan Gailley is 0 - 4 ATS vs Non- Division teams.
Clevs. Eric Mangini is 5 - 0 ATS as a Rd. Dog. :SIB

Nice find Hooks! :0074

:toast:
 

FirstnGoal

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Oct 15, 2004
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Leans:

Denver Broncos -4
over Cardinals LOSS

Rookie QB John Skelton is headed for his first start in the NFL and will be facing a Broncos team playing for a new head coach this week...The Broncos have lost 3 in a row since their 49-29 dismantling of the Chiefs but have been competitve each week and underachieved under since fired head coach Josh McDaniels...on the flip side, the Cards have lost 7 in a row and 8 out of their last 9 and have managed to score just 12 points in the last 2 games and have been outscored 113-43 in their last four...the bottom line is the Cards can't put points on the board and are facing a Broncos team that has scored 33 points or more in 2 of it's last 4 games...The Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Cards and the Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4meetings.
Denver 27 Arizona 14


Cincinnati Bengals +9.5 over Steelers LOSS
The Steelers are banged up and are coming off of an emotional road win over the Ravens?This is the Bengals Super Bowl!
Pittsburgh 24 Cincinnati 23
 
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FirstnGoal

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 15, 2004
1,803
2
0
2010 Regular Season Plays Record:
11-6

(+13.95 Units)

Breakdown:

Big 3 Unit Plays:
3-0

Medium 2 Unit Plays:
7-4


Small 1 Unit Plays:
1-2

Very Small 1/2 Unit Plays:
0-0

Leans:
11-10-2

Preseason Plays Record:
2-1

(+0.96 Units)
 
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