All CFB picks will be posted here, starting with prop bets for wins, did ok on these last year and had a losing unit year overall in '24-'25, but finished decent in the bowl season
Stanford over 3.5 wins -120 (5 units) - New HC Frank Reich brings in a scheme which fits Stanford's style of offense, they did manage 3 wins last year and this schedule has a possibility of at least 5 wins.
Purdue over 2.5 wins -175 (1 unit) - Boilermakers new HC Odom moves up in the ranks after a good job at a lesser level conference and had time at Missouri, the portal was kind to him and the team did manage 1 win last year, with 8 total starters back on offense/defense, new players will have to get those non-conference wins
Northwestern over 3.5 wins +120 (5 units) - Wildcats did manage 4 wins last year and do have 15 starters back, 5 or 6 wins for the Wildcats
Utah St over 4.5 wins +120 (1 unit) - Mendenhall returns to his home grounds, Aggies did have 4 wins last year with a lot of injuries, schedule favors at least 5 wins minimum
Kentucky over 4.5 wins -115 (5 units) - Wild cats only had 4 wins last year and that's not Stoops' M-O so look for a return to a bowl game and revenge vs L'ville to get 6 wins minimum
Nebraska over 7.5 wins -165 (1 unit) - Raoila has to be quicker on his feet and utilize his receiving corps but the running game returns some gift running backs and 10 starters back on offense, also the kicking game better be improved because the kicking game for past 5+ years has costs the Huskers many wins/covers
Minnesota over 6.5 wins -190 (1 unit) - Just like how team plays for their HC and their QB should keep them in the Big10 race in close games, Gophers managed 8 wins last year, should get at least 7 maybe 9
USC Over 7.5/8 wins +110 (5 units) - Lincoln Riley's star is dimming, he's got some decent transfers in with 16 returning starters, so this is the Trojans' year to put up or fire the mofo running this program, USC had 7 wins last year, 9 this year minimum?
Texas A&M Over 8.5 wins (1 unit) - Aggies had 8 wins last year and QB has some confidence along with 16 starters back after all, could be a sleeper team in SEC so long as ELKO doesn't melt down and piss his players off
LSU over 8.5 wins -155 (1 unit) - love their QB and the athletes that dickhead Kelly brings in, tough conference so BK better have his troops in Bayou country ready for this season, Nussmeier is being watched closely, team has 15 starters back from a 9 win year last year. 10 wins? Opener vs Clemson will be highly watched!
Boise State under 9.5 wins +170 (1 unit) - Missing Jeanty big this year, Boise has their transfer guys as they usually do and 14 starters returning, but they'll have a target on their back from teams in larger conferences, going to be tough to duplicate 12 wins for sure, 9 win max is what I feel here if their QB stays inconsistent like he did in the post-season.
Miami-Fla over 9 wins +110 (5 units) - Cristobal lost the Heisman QB but brought in Georgia transfer Beck and Canes have 15 starters back, ACC is not as strong as it once was so Canes will need to get road wins and their "D" is their strength, so matching 10 wins is a good shot here and Canes has some nice receiver corps that Beck can utilize.
Notre Dame under 10.5 +110 (1 unit) - Thinking QB bunch Irish have in camp are weaker than Riley Leonard, running backs are strong and HC knows his personnel, but Irish will have a tough time on the road and did manage to let down vs NIU early last year, duplicating 14 wins will be very tough, getting to 11? I don't see it!
Penn State over 10.5 wins +100 (5 units) - Nittany Lions did manage 13 wins even with the same corp back on offense, which should be formidable in my opinion, depth on D will need to prove themselves but the team does have 15 starters back, 10 on offense, so outscoring opponents will be the key.
Marshall under 5.5 wins +110 (5 units) - Former HC raped the program of players to take with him to Southern Miss and new HC has 4 starters back from a 10 win team, don't see them getting 6 wins with a new system and regime in town. Herd has troubles on the horizon.
North Texas over 6.5 wins -160 (1 unit) - NT does have 14 starters back, 9 on "D" and a portal QB, they had 6 wins last year, getting to 7 in their conference and non-conference schedule, should get them 8 wins
Vandy over 4.5 wins -185, 5.5 +130 (5 units) - Vandy has their staff back plus 19 starters and a QB that drives defenses nuts, Vandy should get to 7 wins again so long as they get a couple road wins which they are capable of.
That's all!
Week 1 starts Thursday, 8/23/25.
Stanford over 3.5 wins -120 (5 units) - New HC Frank Reich brings in a scheme which fits Stanford's style of offense, they did manage 3 wins last year and this schedule has a possibility of at least 5 wins.
Purdue over 2.5 wins -175 (1 unit) - Boilermakers new HC Odom moves up in the ranks after a good job at a lesser level conference and had time at Missouri, the portal was kind to him and the team did manage 1 win last year, with 8 total starters back on offense/defense, new players will have to get those non-conference wins
Northwestern over 3.5 wins +120 (5 units) - Wildcats did manage 4 wins last year and do have 15 starters back, 5 or 6 wins for the Wildcats
Utah St over 4.5 wins +120 (1 unit) - Mendenhall returns to his home grounds, Aggies did have 4 wins last year with a lot of injuries, schedule favors at least 5 wins minimum
Kentucky over 4.5 wins -115 (5 units) - Wild cats only had 4 wins last year and that's not Stoops' M-O so look for a return to a bowl game and revenge vs L'ville to get 6 wins minimum
Nebraska over 7.5 wins -165 (1 unit) - Raoila has to be quicker on his feet and utilize his receiving corps but the running game returns some gift running backs and 10 starters back on offense, also the kicking game better be improved because the kicking game for past 5+ years has costs the Huskers many wins/covers
Minnesota over 6.5 wins -190 (1 unit) - Just like how team plays for their HC and their QB should keep them in the Big10 race in close games, Gophers managed 8 wins last year, should get at least 7 maybe 9
USC Over 7.5/8 wins +110 (5 units) - Lincoln Riley's star is dimming, he's got some decent transfers in with 16 returning starters, so this is the Trojans' year to put up or fire the mofo running this program, USC had 7 wins last year, 9 this year minimum?
Texas A&M Over 8.5 wins (1 unit) - Aggies had 8 wins last year and QB has some confidence along with 16 starters back after all, could be a sleeper team in SEC so long as ELKO doesn't melt down and piss his players off
LSU over 8.5 wins -155 (1 unit) - love their QB and the athletes that dickhead Kelly brings in, tough conference so BK better have his troops in Bayou country ready for this season, Nussmeier is being watched closely, team has 15 starters back from a 9 win year last year. 10 wins? Opener vs Clemson will be highly watched!
Boise State under 9.5 wins +170 (1 unit) - Missing Jeanty big this year, Boise has their transfer guys as they usually do and 14 starters returning, but they'll have a target on their back from teams in larger conferences, going to be tough to duplicate 12 wins for sure, 9 win max is what I feel here if their QB stays inconsistent like he did in the post-season.
Miami-Fla over 9 wins +110 (5 units) - Cristobal lost the Heisman QB but brought in Georgia transfer Beck and Canes have 15 starters back, ACC is not as strong as it once was so Canes will need to get road wins and their "D" is their strength, so matching 10 wins is a good shot here and Canes has some nice receiver corps that Beck can utilize.
Notre Dame under 10.5 +110 (1 unit) - Thinking QB bunch Irish have in camp are weaker than Riley Leonard, running backs are strong and HC knows his personnel, but Irish will have a tough time on the road and did manage to let down vs NIU early last year, duplicating 14 wins will be very tough, getting to 11? I don't see it!
Penn State over 10.5 wins +100 (5 units) - Nittany Lions did manage 13 wins even with the same corp back on offense, which should be formidable in my opinion, depth on D will need to prove themselves but the team does have 15 starters back, 10 on offense, so outscoring opponents will be the key.
Marshall under 5.5 wins +110 (5 units) - Former HC raped the program of players to take with him to Southern Miss and new HC has 4 starters back from a 10 win team, don't see them getting 6 wins with a new system and regime in town. Herd has troubles on the horizon.
North Texas over 6.5 wins -160 (1 unit) - NT does have 14 starters back, 9 on "D" and a portal QB, they had 6 wins last year, getting to 7 in their conference and non-conference schedule, should get them 8 wins
Vandy over 4.5 wins -185, 5.5 +130 (5 units) - Vandy has their staff back plus 19 starters and a QB that drives defenses nuts, Vandy should get to 7 wins again so long as they get a couple road wins which they are capable of.
That's all!
Week 1 starts Thursday, 8/23/25.
