LA Dodgers/Toronto Game 1

yanno

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Thoughts...the Dodgers will have their hands full. Blue Jays are the best team to make a real World Series out of this. I have a bet on the Dodgers to win from earlier. Don't care anymore. Will look at in game maybe.

The best two teams are left standing. For different reasons.
 
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canuckfan77

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Excuse me? Nonsense?? Blue Jays are a fraud of a team! They don’t stand a chance!!!

Dodgers should be -250 minimum to win the series!
Trying to figure out if you are for real. So you'd bet a Mariners team that is can be argued is an equal or lesser team than the jays to win the series but the jays have no chance. Fuck me, why don't they just hand them the trophy on opening day?
 

Junior44

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Trying to figure out if you are for real. So you'd bet a Mariners team that is can be argued is an equal or lesser team than the jays to win the series but the jays have no chance. Fuck me, why don't they just hand them the trophy on op
this guy absolutely ruined this thread. I was hoping for some meaningful thoughts and input like yourself and yanno
 

EXTRAPOLATER

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Snell is hot as fuck and the best pitcher left in these playoffs. If he's not named game #1 starter then this life is just a dream. I think Scherzer might have found himself and I'd like to see him get game #1 but who knows what with Schneider's decider. Let Gausman go game #3, and let the rookie Yesavage toss game #2.

I say Jays can hit the rest, even Yamamoto, who might be the next scariest. I'd take Jays and whoever vs Kershaw. Jays can hit Ohtani as well

If the line reflects Snell starting game #1 then I get it, but I'm seeing dodgers -150! Little steep. +135 on Jays is impossible vs Snell, imo.

extra: is blake snell starting game #1 of world series?

Here's how Dodgers could align rotation behind Snell, Yamamoto. MILWAUKEE -- The Dodgers' rotation alignment for the NL Championship Series is beginning to take form. Blake Snell will take the ball for Game 1, followed by Yoshinobu Yamamoto in Game 2, manager Dave Roberts said on Sunday night.

===

Jays should have Bo Bichette back. Huge. vs righties Jays should be fine and opposing righties favors Jays. Snell is bad news. Pitcher's duel pre-bullpen if Scherzer gets the ball. Risky. I think he wants it.

I can't find decent word on Jays plans. Too early.

two cents
 
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Smitty

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it's an interesting matchup. much like you, junior, i hate the dodgers. so i'm a little biased. but they're terrible defensively and now they're playing a team that puts the ball in play.

both bullpens (usually a huge factor in the postseason these days) were terrible all year. but sasaki came out of nowhere to look like a serviceable closer. and jeff hoffman (aka The Human Gas Can) was unhittable over 3 innings the last 2 games. hard to imagine that can last.

before that ridiculous game 4, ohtani was hitting .158 in the playoffs. at least recently, he's been a much worse hitter when he's pitching. and i don't just mean the game he's pitching.

i'm very curious to see how the blue jays handle snell. he misses a lot of bats, and will walk some guys. the blue jays don't strike out much (the same formula that was critical to the astros' success a few years ago), but they also don't take a lot of walks. obviously if they can get snell out after 5 innings (for most of his career, that was usually his limit in the playoffs), huge advantage to toronto.

the blue jays don't have a lot of ABs against snell. 75 PA total, and that includes 2 by kevin gausman. george springer has nearly 1/3 of those PA (24 of the 75). i don't want to dig too deep right now, but a few worth mentioning... springer and guerrero have both hit snell a little better than it appears. springer is hitting .227 and guerrero is hitting .182 against snell. BUT... their xBAs are .294 and .330, respectively. and professional hitter alejandro kirk is 3-for-5 against snell.

toronto is a very live dog for the series BUT... that fucking bullpen.

and, of course, the big X factor... allegedly bo bichette will play.

ok, two pitching notes, then i'm calling it quits for the day.

snell pitched against toronto back in august. he did rack up 10 Ks, but only lasted 5 innings (90 pitches).

hoffman made an appearance in that series. even picked up a Win. he threw a scoreless 2/3 of an inning... while walking 5 guys.

in fact, in that 3-game series in LA... blue jays pitchers issued... wait for it... 24 walks. including 13 in the one game they won. go figure.
 

Junior44

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thanks for the input and your time smitty. To add to your info about Snell: although Snell has been outstanding during the post-season, he WAS 0-3 on the road during the regular season with a pretty high ERA of 4.30 allowing 31 baserunners in 24 innings and an opp BA of .298 In addition, his start against toronto was at home. I understand that the post-season is a whole different ball of wax but its food for thought. I'll have more on this series when i have the time, but I believe that the WS winner is either the Jays or Pass...........I can't lay -225+ on a team that is awful on the road and has serious bullpen questions and a bad defense.
 

canuckfan77

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Jays are very much a live dog. I think the starting pitching matchup favours the Dodgers, and for the most part the bullpens are a wash. Jays can hit and are a team in every sense of the word. The clubhouse is tight, and this team has had to do whatever it takes, playing to the situation all year round. There's something special about this team and I would be incredibly surprised if they are an easy out ie: dodgers in 4/5
 

EXTRAPOLATER

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I'm just fan'ning, but I don't mind Yesavage game 1. Was thinking to sacrifice Gausman as I wouldn't be shocked if Dodgers tee off on him. Trey's had the unscoutability advantage, at least, or so it seems.

Very recent article, from these parts, on the suspected Blue Jays rotation:

Jays are going to need to hit. They've been feast or famine and I don't like them against a lefty stud, aka Snell. Dodgers bullpen mostly sucked, regular season, didn't it? Any team left standing--this late--has had good bullpen performance or they'd be gone, so these 2 overachieving is either lackluster competition or excellent managing.
 
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