Recent content by djchad

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    ML/Dog Bowl Results - 2003/04

    Following this thread, I am going to keep track of the performance of all underdogs in the bowl games this year. I'll be keeping track of how much you would win/lose playing ATS on the underdogs and by playing the ML on every single game. All plays are based on 1 unit per play. Underdog...
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    Predicted Score vs. Vegas Line - Bowl Season

    Here are all the plays for the bowl games this year. Only a few to play, but for your reference. Favors Line AvgPred Delta StdDev Play North Texas 3.50 1.51 1.99 2.78 - Miami Ohio -13.00 -16.65 3.65 3.83 * Kansas 11.00 10.35 0.65 4.70 - TCU 10.00 5.11 4.89 6.93 * New...
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    Predicted Score vs. Vegas Line - Week 11 (Nov. 8)

    Favors Line AvgPred Delta StdDev Play West Virginia 3.50 0.16 3.34 5.09 * Northwestern 5.00 -3.48 8.48 7.81 ** + Wake Forest -8.50 -14.15 5.65 4.89 * + Georgia Tech -13.00 -18.10 5.10 4.83 * + Oklahoma State 3.50 -0.28 3.78 3.55 * + Northern Ill -23.00 -26.32 3.32 4.64 * Ball State 2.50...
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    Predicted Score vs. Vegas Line - Week 10 (Nov. 1)

    There are not too many plays this week, and very few good plays, which is why I have not posted until now. For the past 4 weeks, this system has been below average, so please be careful with what you play. Plays are updated with current lines. Favors Line AvgPred Delta StdDev Play Baylor...
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    Florida / Georgia

    Carthon will be ready Carthon is ready to run By ROBBIE ANDREU Sun sports writer His left hamstring heavily taped, starting Florida tailback Ran Carthon returned to practice Monday and said he'll be ready to play in Saturday's game against Georgia in Jacksonville. Carthon, who missed the...
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    Predicted Score vs. Vegas Line - Week 9

    Here are the plays for Week 9. I'll try and update these later this week when a couple more numbers are in. Favors Line AvgPred Delta StdDev Play Virginia Tech -13.00 -16.36 3.36 7.09 * Syracuse 7.00 2.80 4.20 4.51 * Rutgers 4.50 -1.59 6.09 6.64 ** Purdue 5.00 1.95 3.05 3.78 * Ohio...
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    Predicted Score vs. Vegas Line - Week 8

    Here are the plays for Week 8: Favors Line AvgPred Delta StdDev Play Clemson 5.00 0.62 4.38 4.37 * + Air Force 5.50 0.11 5.39 6.46 * UL-Lafayette 7.00 2.26 4.74 4.82 * Rutgers 15.50 8.29 7.21 5.57 ** + Army 5.50 0.66 4.84 5.13 * Buffalo 29.50 23.76 5.74 6.28 * Wake Forest -10.00...
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    Predicted Score vs. Vegas Line - Week 7

    Here are the plays for Week 7. These should be the final numbers for the week, as almost all the predictions are in. A note from the guy who compiles the predictions: "I am adding several systems to the predictions this week in both NCAA and NFL. At this point in the season this is likely...
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    Predicted Score vs. Vegas Line - Week 6

    Here are the early plays for Week 6. I'll update these for sure later this week. Only 20 of the 39 services accounted for, so tread a bit lightly. Still missing a few lines for this week too. A few ML picks by the system: Penn State, Fresno State, Iowa, San Jose State, San Diego State, and...
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    Predicted Score vs. Vegas Line - Week 5

    Here are the plays for Week 5. My book does not have a line on the UCF/Kent game, but I see -15 is a popular line. If so, the system shows a big play going Kent's way. Not so sure I back that move though. Favors Line AvgPred Delta StdDev Play Iowa -6.50 -12.27 5.77...
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    Predicted Score vs. Vegas Line - Week 4

    Better late than never, eh ;) Again, no (***) plays this week. Arizona shows up for the third week in a row. Even though they are a (*) play, I would lay off that game. The system shows a few nice money line plays on Texas Tech, Georgia, Boise State, and Houston. Last week, the system...
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    Predicted Score vs. Vegas Line - Week 3

    Here are the plays so far for Week 3. I'll update again either Thursday or Friday evening. No 3 star games again, but the GA Tech game is close to a 3 star. 29 of 39 predictions Favors Line Avg Pred Delta Std Dev Play California 2.00 -3.10 5.10 5.45 * Ball State 31.00 24.96...
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    Predicted Score vs. Vegas Line - Week 2

    Greetings all :) I am back for Year 2 of the Predicted Score vs. Vegas Line thread. Last year, the 3 star games hit for 82%, the 2 stars for 47% and the 1 stars for 54%. Not bad, but plenty of room for improvement. I took off the first week of the season to tweak the numbers a bit. I made a...
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    Underdogs in bowl games - old thread

    I remember last year about this time, someone posted a thread about the underdogs in bowl games hitting 70% of the time the past 5-6 years. I tried searching but the posts didnt go back far enough. Anyone still have this info? Thx chad
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    Predicted Scores vs. Vegas Lines - Nov. 29 - 30

    Here are the plays for this week: 36 of 38 services reporting and an avg. std. dev. of 4.22. <pre> Favors Line Avg Pred Diff Std Dev Play Ball St 13.50 10.01 3.49 3.67 * BC -28.50 -32.22 3.72 5.36 * Colo St -17.00 -24.33 7.33 5.75 ** Colorado 0.00 -5.19 5.19 4.00 * Georgia -9.50 -13.88 4.38...
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