Recent content by WillyBoy

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 16

    Another dog nightmare for the model, with 9 dogs covering, including 6 straight upsets. FWIW I tweaked algorithm to run a test with full season stats, but it came out the same; so, if past performance numbers suddenly don’t matter, the model’s up a tree without a paddle. I routinely monitor the...
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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 15

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 15

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 15

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 15

    Late player scratches (especially among starters), and out-of-the-blue “discovered” injuries, are not only a bane to bettors, but to reliable statistical projection. Forthwith, I’ll be posting Pre-Final Projections to Sunday’s games on Fridays, and Final Projections on Saturdays. The NFL really...
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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 15

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 15

    A very lethargic week for the model, with 8 dogs covering and 5 upsets being the new normal. A clear, predictable projection flop was the algorithm using J.J. Mcarthy’s past performance numbers as a guide, without the context of Washington’s truly pathetic defense; likewise, the Commander’s...
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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 14

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 14

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 14

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 14

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 14

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 14

    With 9 dogs covering and 7 straight upsets, that was some week; and the model took full advantage going 12-4 ATS and 9-7 SU. The best week since last season. Worrying a bit over its straight-up performance, but at 67% for the season, not complaining. Also worrying is how Vegas will handle the...
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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 13

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