Recent content by WillyBoy

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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 17

    Thanks for the heads-up. Xmas Eve eggnog sneaked up on me last night. GL
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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 17

    Another semi-solid performance by the model, despite dogs covering 9 games with 6 upsets (the model went 4-2 on the upsets). I know the betting market plays a huge role in Vegas line setting, but these days it’s almost a sure thing to pick a dog (any dog) to back-end cover a double-digit line...
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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 16

    Another dog nightmare for the model, with 9 dogs covering, including 6 straight upsets. FWIW I tweaked algorithm to run a test with full season stats, but it came out the same; so, if past performance numbers suddenly don’t matter, the model’s up a tree without a paddle. I routinely monitor the...
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    The Limper NFL 2025-26 – Week 15

    Late player scratches (especially among starters), and out-of-the-blue “discovered” injuries, are not only a bane to bettors, but to reliable statistical projection. Forthwith, I’ll be posting Pre-Final Projections to Sunday’s games on Fridays, and Final Projections on Saturdays. The NFL really...
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