need site for record in 1-run games, with splits for home & away

[EXTRAPOLATER]

I had a link in my faves on some former, stolen property. Memory fails.

ESPN, etc, has expanded stats including 1-run game records, but I'm having trouble finding that split between home and away.

cheers

 

[WildBillPicks7]

You can try covers or mlb.com, google MLB team wins, www.teamrankings.com

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Thanks. I've used both of those in the past, for certain things (still do). Can't quite find what I'm looking for.

Looking for an adjustment for a system that returns a % probability to win. What subtraction to make to cover a runlne. Obviously, it will be higher for home teams than on the road (no bottom 9th maybes), and the splits can be insightful.

ESPN has useful advanced splits, for overall 1-run games

MLB Standings - 2025 Expanded Standings - ESPN

Visit ESPN for the complete 2025 MLB Regular Season Expanded Division standings. Includes winning percentage, home and away record, and current streak.

www.espn.com

To show what I need, I've got the Blue Jays at 72-51, and in 1-runners 21-14. I can play around with that 21/72 wins for 29% of them being by 1-run, but I suspect that's higher on the road. I've seen those full-team listing splits and there were always some anomalies (e.g. a year the Rangers never won 1-run games, making their runline solid if you liked the side).