CNOTES 2025-2026 FOOTBALL SCHEDULE + NEWS, NOTES BEST BETS !

[Cnotes53]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Bulls 121, Wizards 120- Washington lost its 14th game in a row.
— Clippers 131, Hornets 116- James Harden scored 27…..in the 1st quarter!!!
— Magic 133, Knicks 121- Franz Wagner scored 37 points, had 7 assists.
— Kings 128, Nuggets 123- Kings were +20 in the 18:00 Schroder played.
— Hawks 115, Pelicans 98- Kristaps Porzingis scored 29 points.
— Pistons 129, Bucks 116- Detroit has won its last 12 games, is now 14-2.

Quote of the Day
“I’ve heard I’ve cashed it in, the players have cashed it in, we need to get new leadership here, new players, new coaches. I gotta be honest with you, I’m tired of it. I’ve given my friggin’ ass life for this place for 7 years. I’ve given everything for 7 years. And I think I deserve a little bit of respect.”
Kansas State football coach Chris Klieman

Sunday’s quiz
Last time the Chicago Bears played in a Super Bowl, who was their QB?

Saturday’s quiz
Green Bay Packers won the first two Super Bowls; Jets won Super Bowl III.

Friday’s quiz
Jared Goff was the first pick in the 2016 NFL Draft; Carson Wentz was the second pick.

**********************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….​

— These football games were played Saturday:
Texas A&M 48, Samford 0
Auburn 62, Mercer 17
Alabama 56, Eastern Illinois 0
Clemson 45, Furman 10

Why the BLEEP are these schools playing I-AA opponents???? Do fans care that they have to pay to watch these beatings? At least play a MAC team or a Sun Belt team, a I-A opponent.

— Oregon 42, USC 27
QB Moore threw ball for 257 yards, two TD’s.
Ducks grabbed 21-14 lead on a 85-yard punt return in 2nd quarter.
10-1 Oregon ran ball 41 times for 179 yards (4.4 yards/carry)

— Pittsburgh 42, Georgia Tech 28
Pitt led 28-0 early, 28-14 at halftime.
LB Lovelace had a 100-yard pick-6 to make it 35-13 in third quarter.
Pitt is 8-3, has won six of its last seven games.

— Utah 51, Kansas State 47
Utes drove 70 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:56 left.
K-State led 47-35 with 7:00 left in the game.
K-State ran ball 42 times for 472 yards and still lost; very unusual.

— Vanderbilt 45, Kentucky 17
QB Pavia threw for 484 yards, 5 TD’s. Does he have a shot at the Heisman?
Last time Vanderbilt won nine regular season games? 1915.
How does Vandy keep coach Lea? Someone will poach him, right?

— Tennessee 31, Florida 11
Vols had lost their previous ten visits to the Swamp.
Tennessee led this game 31-0 at halftime.
Vols converted 9-13 third down plays, Florida 2-9.

— College Football Upsets of the Week:
Tulsa (+10.5) 26, Army 25
Wisconsin (+7.5) 27, Illinois 10
Nevada (+7.5) 13, Wyoming 7
NC State (+5.5) 21, Florida State 11
Appalachian State (+5.5) 26, Marshall 24

— Iona 91, Oregon State 84 2OTs
Beavers led by 9 points with 2:18 left in regulation.
Oregon State was only 21-36 on the foul line.
Toby Harris was 5-12 from floor; all 12 shots were 3-pointers.

— Northern Iowa 70, Cal-Irvine 69 OT
Trey Campbell hit a foul shot with 0:00.8 left for the win.
MVC’s Panthers led 35-25 at halftime.
UNI was 11-32 on the arc, Irvine 3-11

— Cal-Fullerton 88, St Thomas 80
Titans were an 11-point underdog on a neutral floor in Portland.
St Thomas led by nine with 8:08 left in the game.
Teams combined to shoot 39-42 on the foul line.

— San Francisco 77, Minnesota 65
WCC’s Dons made 11-22 shots on the arc.
Gophers were only 15-30 on the foul line.
USF is shooting 41.6% on the arc (#17 in country.

— Famous birthdays, November 23rd:
Brook Jacoby, 66
Dale Sveum, 62
Steve Alford, 61
Vin Baker, 54
Jonathan Papelbon, 45
Justin Turner, 41
Casper Wells, 41
Ross Stripling, 36
Johnny Mundt, 31
Gavin Lux, 28

— New Mexico 20, Air Force 3
New Mexico has won five games in a row, is 8-3 this year.
Lobos had lost their previous 10 visits to Colorado Springs.
Lobos held Air Force to 161 yards on 59 plays.

— UConn 48, Florida Atlantic 45
Huskies drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:26 left.
UConn, coached by Jim Mora Jr, finishes regular season 9-3.
UConn QB Fagnano threw for 446 yards, three TD’s.

— North Texas 56, Rice 24
QB Mestemaker threw for 469 yards, three TD’s.
WR Young caught eight passes for 295 yards, two TD’s.
North Texas is 10-1; their only loss was 63-36 to South Florida.

— Tulsa 26, Army 25
Tulsa drove 52 yards, kicked 27-yard FG with 0:12 left.
Army led 25-14 after the third quarter.
Tulsa QB Hayes threw for 267 yards and a TD.

— TCU 17, Houston 14
TCU QB Hoover passed for 293 yards, two TD’s.
Horned Frogs won despite committing four turnovers (minus-3)
Houston missed a 38-yard FG in the last minute.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Sunday, November 23

 

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 12

Sunday’s games
Colts vs Chiefs (-3.5)
Colts (8-2)
Colts are 8-0 scoring 29+ points (20-20 in losses)
Indy is minus-7 in turnovers in losses, +9 in wins.
Colts’ team total: over 8-2
QB Jones is 33-47-1 is as an NFL starter.
Steichen is 25-19 SU as a head coach


Colts won five of their last six games SU.
Under Steichen, Colts are 12-11 ATS as an underdog.
Colts allowed 24+ points in four of last five games.
Colts are 3-2 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Last 20 years, Colts are 15-5 SU/15-4-1 ATS in post-bye games.
AFC South underdogs are 5-12 ATS in non-divisional games.


Chiefs (5-5)
Chiefs won/covered their last four home games.
Chiefs are 5-1 giving up 20 or less points, 0-4 giving up 21+.
Chiefs are 0-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
QB Mahomes is 111-31 as an NFL starter.
Andy Reid is 306-168-1 as an NFL head coach


Chiefs are 5-5 for first time since 2015.
Chiefs are 3-0 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Chiefs are 9-5 ATS last 14 games coming off a loss.
Last two games, Chiefs ran ball for only 70-62 yards.
Under is 5-0 in last five Kansas City games.
AFC West home underdogs are 7-4 ATS in non-divisional games.


Colts won seven of last ten series games.
Indy won five of last seven visits to Arrowhead.
Under is 6-0 in last six meetings.


Steelers @ Bears (-2.5)
Steelers (6-4)
Pittsburgh lost three of its last five games.
Steelers are 5-0 when they allow less than 25 points.
Pittsburgh is +14 in turnovers in its wins, minus-6 in losses.
Rodgers (left wrist) is ???; backup Rudolph is 9-9-1 as an NFL QB
QB Rodgers is 170-101-1 as an NFL QB
Tomlin is 197-122-2 as an NFL head coach.


Steelers are 18-13 ATS last 31 games as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh is 17-12-1 ATS last 30 games coming off a win.
Steelers allowed 32-31-35-25 points in their four losses.
Steelers went over their team total six of last seven games.
Pittsburgh is 23-16-1 ATS in last 40 games with spread of 3 or less points.
AFC North underdogs are 5-11 ATS in non-divisional games.


Bears (6-3)
Bears won three in row, seven of last eight games.
Bears are 5-0 scoring 25+ points, 2-3 otherwise.
In wins, Chicago was +19 in turnovers; minus-3 in losses.
Ben Johnson is 7-3 as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams is 12-15 as an NFL starter.


Chicago is 9-5-1 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
Chicago is 9-15-1 ATS in last 25 games coming off a win.
Bears are 6-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
Bears are 5-0 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
Chicago is 7-9-1 last 17 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC North favorites are 10-8 ATS in non-divisional games.


Home team won four of last five series games.
Steelers lost 23-17/17-14 in last two visits to Chicago.
Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.


Patriots (-7) @ Bengals
Patriots (9-2)
Patriots won their last eight games (7-1 ATS).
Patriots were held to 13-14 points in their losses.
Opponents’ team total: under 8-1 last nine
QB Maye is 12-11 as an NFL starter.
Vrabel is 65-50 as an NFL head coach.


Patriots are 8-3-1 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
NE is 11-9-2 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
Patriots held five of six foes under 300 total yards.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
NFC East favorites are 7-4 ATS in non-divisional games.


Bengals (3-7)
Bengals lost three in row, seven of last eight games.
Last four games, Bengals allowed 37.8 ppg.
Over is 7-3 in Cincinnati games this season.
Flacco is 117-99 as an NFL starter.
Taylor is 54-61-1 as a head coach.


Cincinnati is 1-3 ATS last four games as home underdogs.
Bengals are 24-16-1 ATS last 41 games coming off a loss.
Bengals converted 29-63 3rd down plays with Flacco at QB.
Last two games, Bengals are minus-5 in turnovers.
NFC North underdogs are 5-11 ATS in non-divisional games.


New England won eight of last ten series games.
Patriots won/covered four of last five visits to Cincinnati.
Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.


Jets @ Ravens (-13.5)
Jets (2-8)
Jets are 0-6 when they score less than 27 points.
Five of Jets’ eight losses were by 7 or fewer points.
Four of last five games, Jets gained less than 250 total yards.
Taylor is 28-30-1 as an NFL starter.
Aaron Glenn is 2-8 as a head coach.


Jets are 4-9-1 ATS last 14 games as a road underdog
Jets are 10-17-1 ATS last 28 games coming off a loss.
Last two games, Jets threw for 42/105 yards.
Jets are minus-11 in turnovers this season.
AFC East underdogs are 10-6 ATS in non-divisional games.


Ravens (5-5)
Baltimore won its last four games, scoring 27 ppg
Baltimore gave up 14.3 ppg in those games
Last four games, Ravens were +5 in turnovers.
QB Jackson is 77-32 as an NFL starter
John Harbaugh is 190-120 as an NFL head coach.


Ravens are 12-8 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
Ravens are 16-12 ATS last 28 games coming off a win.
Baltimore is 0-4 when they allow more than 19 points.
Last three weeks, opponents converted 7-40 third down plays.
AFC North favorites are 6-8 ATS in non-divisional games.


Ravens won nine of last ten series games.
Jets are 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS last six visits to Baltimore.
Under is 5-2-1 in last eight meetings.


Seahawks (-13.5) @ Titans
Seahawks (7-3)
Seahawks are 7-2 SU/8-1 ATS in last nine games.
Seattle’s three losses were by 3-4-2 points.
Seahawks held 7 of last 9 opponents under 300 TY.
Darnold is 42-42 as an NFL starter.
MacDonald is 17-10 as a head coach.


Seattle has four wins by 14+ points.
In losses, Seahawks are minus-5 in turnovers; in wins, +2.
Seattle is 5-4-2 ATS in last 11 games as a road favorite.
Seattle is 10-7 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
Seahawks are 12-8-2 last 22 games vs AFC teams.
Opponents’ team total: under 7-2-1


Titans (1-9)
Tennessee is 0-5 SU/2-3 ATS in last five games.
Titans are 2-3 ATS as a home underdog this year.
Interim coach McCoy was 28-38 coaching Chargers from 2013-16.
Rookie QB Ward is 1-9 as an NFL starter.
Titans have five losses by 14+ points.


Titans were held under 300 TY in eight of ten games.
Titans are 1-6 ATS in last seven games vs NFC teams.
Tennessee is 4-15-1 ATS last 20 games coming off a loss.
Titans are 6-15 ATS in last 21 games as an underdog.
Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.
AFC South underdogs are 9-7 ATS in non-divisional games.


Teams split last six series games.
Underdogs are 4-1-1 ATS in those games.
Seattle won two of last three visits to Nashville.
Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.


Vikings @ Packers (-6)
Vikings (4-6)
Vikings lost four of their last five games.
Last six games, Minnesota is minus-11 in turnovers.
3 of last 4 games, Minnesota gained less than 270 yards.
McCarthy is 2-3 as an NFL starter.
O’Connell is 38-24 as an NFL head coach.


Vikings are 5-3 ATS last eight games as a road underdog.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 6-4-1 ATS in NFC North road games.
Vikings are 8-10-1 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
Six of last eight Minnesota games went over the total.
Last four games, Vikings converted only 13 of 48 third down plays.


Packers (6-3-1)
Green Bay is 6-0-1 when it scores 27+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
Green Bay scored 10-13-7 points in its losses.
Packers held seven of ten opponents under 300 TY.
QB Love is 25-20-1 as an NFL starter
LaFleur is 76-41-1 as an NFL head coach.


Packers are 11-12-1 ATS last 24 games as a home favorite.
Packers are 25-19-1 ATS last 45 games coming off a win.
Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in last seven NFC North home games.
Opponents’ team total: over 5-2 last seven games.
NFL-wide, home favorites are 15-10 ATS in divisional games.


Minnesota won four of last five series games.
Vikings won 31-29/24-10 in last two visits to Lambeau.
Over is 7-2-1 in last ten meetings.


Giants @ Lions (-10)
Giants (2-9)
Giants lost last five games, fired their coach last week.
Giants allowed 18-17 points in wins, 21+ points in losses.
Giants are 1-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Winston is 36-52 as an NFL starter; rookie Dart is 2-5.
Dart (concussion) missed LW’s game; check status.
OC Kafka is the interim coach, is calling plays.


Giants are 9-12 ATS last 21 games as a road underdog
Giants are 20-18 ATS in last 38 games coming off a loss.
Giants went over team total in five of Dart’s seven starts.
Five of Giants’ last six games went over the total.
Giants are +4 in turnovers in wins, minus-10 in losses.
NFC East underdogs are 5-10 ATS in non-divisional games.


Lions (6-4)
Detroit lost three of last five games, after a 4-1 start.
Lions are 1-4 when they score less than 34 points.
Detroit was held to 13-17-24-9 points in its losses.
QB Goff is 91-61-1 as an NFL starter, 49-34-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 53-41-1 as an NFL head coach.
.
Lions are 17-9 ATS last 26 games as a home favorite.
Lions held last three foes to 251/258/288/272 total yards.
Detroit is 10-0 ATS last 10 games coming off a loss
Detroit has five wins this year by 13+ points.
Last nine games, Lions are +6 in turnovers.
NFC North favorites are 11-9 ATS in non-divisional games.


Lions won last three series games, by 13-5-14 points.
Giants lost 31-26/35-14 in last two visits to Ford Field.
Over is 3-2 in last five meetings.


Jaguars (-3) @ Cardinals
Jaguars (6-4)
Jacksonville lost three of last five games, after a 4-1 start.
Last three weeks, Jaguars scored 30-29-35 points.
Jacksonville is 4-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
QB Lawrence is 29-43 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 6-4 as an NFL head coach.


Jaguars were +9 in turnovers first four games, minus-1 since then
Since 2020, Jaguars are 5-6 ATS as a road favorite.
Jaguars are 15-14 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
Jaguars held 7 of last 9 opponents under 100 yards rushing.
Jaguars are 6-0 when they run for 100 yards, 0-4 when they don’t.
AFC South favorites are 4-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Cardinals (3-7)
Cardinals lost seven of their last eight games.
Last two games, Arizona gave up 44-41 points.
Cardinals lost last four home games, by 3-1-4-19 points.
Brissett is 20-38 as an NFL starter.
Gannon is 15-29 as an NFL head coach.


Seven of ten Arizona games were decided by 7 or fewer points,
Cardinals are 8-5 ATS last 13 games as a home underdog.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 20-12 ATS as an underdog.
Arizona is 23-16 ATS in last 39 games coming off a loss.
Cardinals are 9-3 ATS in last 12 games vs AFC teams.


Cardinals won/covered last four series games.
Teams split last four meetings in Arizona.
Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.


Browns @ Raiders (-4)
Browns (2-8)
Rookie QB Sanders makes first NFL start here.
Home teams are 9-0 ATS in Cleveland games this year.
Browns are 0-8 when they allow more than 10 points.
Sanders was 4-16/47 passing off the bench last week.
Stefanski is 43-56 as a head coach.


Browns are 1-6 SU/2-5 ATS in last seven games.
Browns are 0-6 SU/ATS on the road this year.
Cleveland is 8-20-1 ATS last 29 games as a road underdog.
Browns are 7-13 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Cleveland gained less than 280 yards in seven of last eight games.
Last six games, Browns are 1-5, despite being +9 in turnovers.


Raiders (2-7)
How are the Raiders favored over anyone?
Raiders lost four games in a row, seven of last eight.
Raiders allowed 13-10 points in their wins
Last four games, Raiders ran the ball for only 49.2 yards/game.
QB Geno Smith is 42-52 as an NFL starter.
Carroll is 183-139-1 as an NFL head coach.


Raiders are 1-4 SU at home TY, with two one-point losses.
Raiders are 8-3 ATS last 11 games as a favorite.
Las Vegas is 11-4 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
Raiders are 12-15-1 ATS in last 28 games coming off a loss.
Las Vegas is 1-3 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.


Raiders are 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in last five series games.
Cleveland lost four of last five road series games.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.


Falcons @ Saints (-1.5)
Falcons (3-7)
Atlanta lost its last five games, last three by 1-6-3 points.
Last four games, Falcons allowed 29.8 points/game.
Last two games, Atlanta gave up 519/486 yards.
QB Cousins is 84-78-2 as an NFL starter.
Morris is 32-54 as a head coach.


Atlanta is 4-8 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
Falcons are 9-13-1 ATS last 23 games coming off a loss.
Atlanta is 7-6 ATS in last 13 NFC South road games.
Four of last five games, Falcons were held under 300 total yards.
Over is 3-0 in last three Atlanta games.


Saints (2-8)
Saints lost four of their last five games.
Saints are +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-9 in losses.
Saints allowed 14-7 points in their two wins
26-year old rookie QB Shough is 1-1 as an NFL starter.
Kellen Moore is 2-8 as a head coach.


Saints are 7-8 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
Saints are 10-17-2 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
In five of last six games, Saints ran ball for less than 90 yards.
Saints are 0-3 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Saints are 3-3 SU/0-6 ATS in last six post-bye games.

Saints won 10 of last 14 series games.
Falcons are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS in last five visits to Bourbon Street.
Under is 5-3 in last eight meetings.


Eagles (–3.5) @ Cowboys
Eagles (8-2)
Eagles are 6-0 when they score 20+ points.
Eagles held last three opponents to 278 yards/game.
Eagles were held to 17 points in both their losses.
QB Hurts is 59-25 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 61-25 as an NFL coach.


Eagles are 7-3 ATS last 10 games as a road favorite.
Philly is 14-6 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Last two weeks, opponents scored only two TD’s on 22 drives.
Last two weeks, Eagles gained only 294/272 yards.
Eagles are 4-11-1 ATS in last 16 NFC East road games.


Cowboys (4-5-1)
Short week for Cowboys after Monday’s win in Las Vegas.
Dallas is minus-9 in turnovers in losses, +4 in wins.
Dallas is 0-5 scoring less than 33 points.
QB Prescott is 82-56-1 as an NFL starter.
Brian Schottenheimer is 4-5-1 as a head coach.


Cowboys are 11-6 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
Cowboys are 3-7 ATS last 10 games coming off a win.
Dallas is 11-3 ATS in last 14 NFC East home games.
Over is 6-1 in their last seven games.
NFL-wide, home underdogs are 8-7 ATS in divisional games.


Eagles (-6.5) beat Dallas 24-20 at home in season opener.
Philly won five of last six series games.
Last year, Eagles snapped a six-game losing skid at Dallas.
Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.


Buccaneers @ Rams (-5.5)
Buccaneers (6-4)
Tampa Bay lost three of its last four games.
Bucs are 4-0 giving up less than 24 points, 2-4 giving up 24+.
Last nine games, Tampa Bay is +9 in turnovers.
Mayfield is 58-60 as an NFL starter, 26-21 with the Bucs.
Mayfield started four games for the Rams in 2022.
Bowles is 60-72 as a head coach, 34-31 with Tampa Bay.


Tampa Bay is 13-4 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
Bucs are 12-4-1 ATS in last 17 games coming off a loss.
Last two games, Bucs gave up 435/414 total yards.
Bucs are 4-2 in games decided by six or fewer points.
Under is 4-2 in Tampa Bay’s road games.


Rams (8-2)
Rams won last five games, allowing 3-7-10-26-19 points.
Rams are 7-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
Last five games, Rams are +9 in turnovers.
QB Stafford is 47-27 as the Rams’ starter (121-120-1 overall).
McVay is 96-59 as an NFL head coach.


Last six games, Rams outscored opponents 95-35 in first half.
In their losses, Rams allowed 33-26 points.
Rams are 16-8 ATS in last 24 games as a favorite.
Rams went over team total in six of last nine games.
Rams are 16-9-1 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.


Rams won eight of last ten series games.
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU/ATS in last five visits to LA
Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday, November 23​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
MIN at GB	01:00 PM	MIN +6.5*****	+500
NE at CIN	01:00 PM	CIN +7.5***** O 50.5*****	+500 +500
SEA at TEN	01:00 PM	U 40.5	+500
NYJ at BAL	01:00 PM	O 44.5*****	+500
NYG at DET	01:00 PM	NYG +13.5*****	+500
PIT at CHI	01:00 PM	CHI -2.5	+500
IND at KC	01:00 PM	IND +3.0*****	+500
CLE at LV	04:05 PM	LV -3.5***** U 35.5*****	+500 +500
JAC at ARI	04:05 PM	ARI +2.5*****	+500
PHI at DAL	04:25 PM	DAL +3.0***** O 47.5*****	+500 +500
ATL at NO	04:25 PM	ATL +2.0	+500
TB at LA	08:20 PM	TB +7.0***** O 49.5*****	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

CNOTES NFL BEST BETS !

11/21/2025.................4 - 8 - 0............33.33%............- 24.00
11/20/2025.................2 - 0 - 0...........100.00%............+ 10.00
11/16/2025...............10 - 6 - 0............62.50%.............+ 17.00
11/10/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%.............- 0.50
11/09/2025.................3 - 9 - 0............25.00%.............-34.50
11/06/2025.................1 - 1 - 0............50.00%.............- 0.50
11/02/2025.................4 - 8 - 0............33.33%.............- 24.00

TOTALS.....................25 -33 - 0............43.10%.............- 56.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday’s 6-pack:
College football spreads for Rivalry Week:
— Ohio State (-11) @ Michigan
— North Carolina @ NC State (-8)
— Vanderbilt @ Tennessee (-3.5)
— Clemson @ South Carolina (-1)
— Arizona @ Arizona State (pick ‘em)
— UCLA @ USC (-20)

Quote of the Day
“We make decisions in 10, 15, 20 seconds. You don’t have five minutes to talk about it. When you sign up to sit in this chair and be the playcaller, you have to make those calls. And again, you know, did the defense bail me out? Yeah. And sometimes that’s a good thing for a coach.”
Dallas Cowboys’ coach Brian Schottenheimer

Monday’s quiz
Bull Durham is a great movie about minor league baseball; in real life, which major league team has the Durham Bulls as a minor league affiliate?

Sunday’s quiz
Last time the Chicago Bears played in a Super Bowl, Rex Grossman was their QB.

Saturday’s quiz
Green Bay Packers won the first two Super Bowls; Jets won Super Bowl III.

********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday​

Cowboys 24, Eagles 21
Eagles first three drives: 25 plays, 192 yards, 21 points.
Eagles rest of game: 33 plays, 147 yards, no points.
Cowboys’ first four drives: 25 plays, 120 yards, no points.
Cowboys rest of game: 43 plays, 353 yards, 24 points.

Last time the Eagles lost after leading by 21+ points? 1999.
Dallas is 12-3 ATS in last 15 NFC East home games.
Cowboys outgained Philadelphia, 473-339.
Eagles ran the ball 18 times for only 63 yards.

Chiefs 23, Colts 20 OT
Mahomes threw an INT on the Chiefs’ second play of the game.
Chiefs’ next three drives: 40 plays, 185 yards, three FG’s.
Colts led 14-9 at halftime.
Chiefs ran 91 plays for 494 yards; Indy 50 plays, 255 yards.

Mahomes threw for 352 yards, but no TD’s.
WR Rice caught eight passes for 141 yards.
Chiefs are 6-1 giving up 20 or less points, 0-4 giving up 21+.
Under is 6-0 in last six Kansas City games.

Lions 31, Giants 24 OT
RB Gibbs ran 69 yards for a TD on first play of overtime.
Gibbs ran ball 15 times for 219 yards, two TD’s.
Detroit made a 59-yard FG with 0:28 left to force OT.
Goff threw for 279 yards, two TD’s.

Giants led 27-17 early in the 4th quarter.
Winston threw for 366 yards, two TD’s, also caught a 33-yard TD pass.
Giants are 1-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Giants outgained Detroit, 517-494.

Bears 31, Steelers 28
Chicago’s first four drives: 18 plays, 70 yards, 7 points.
Chicago’s next three drives: 25 plays, 180 yards, 21 points.
Bears won four in row, eight of last nine games.
Bears are 6-0 scoring 25+ points, 2-3 otherwise.

Backup QB Rudolph threw for 171 yards and a TD.
Steelers in second half: 42 plays, 134 yards, 7 points.
Pittsburgh lost four of its last six games.
Steelers are 1-5 when they allow more than 21 points.

Patriots 26, Bengals 20
Bengals led 10-0 early in second quarter.
Patriots won their last nine games (7-2 ATS).
QB Maye passed for 294 yards and a TD.
TE Henry caught seven passes for 115 yards and a TD.
Both teams scored a defensive TD in the first half.

Last five games, Bengals allowed 33.4 ppg.
Bengals in second half: 31 plays, 152 yards, 7 points.
Bengals lost four in row, eight of last nine games.

Packers 23, Vikings 6
Green Bay outgained the Vikings, 288-145.
RB Wilson ran for 107 yards and two TD’s.
Vikings are 8-11-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Last five games, Vikings converted only 15 of 57 third down plays.

Minnesota in 2nd half: 16 plays, 4 yards, no points, 2 INT
Vikings lost five of their last six games.
Last seven games, Minnesota is minus-14 in turnovers.
4 of last 5 games, Minnesota gained less than 270 yards.

Famous birthdays, November 24th:
Oscar Robertson, 87
Steve Yeager, 77
Henry Bibby, 76
Randy Velarde, 63
Ben McDonald, 58
Katherine Heigl, 47
Ryan Fitzpatrick, 43
Jeimer Candelario, 32
Ben DiMucci, 29
Tyler Soderstrom, 24

Movie of the Day: Number One (1969)- Charlton Heston plays a washed-up NFL quarterback who struggles in the transition from being an athlete to the next chapter in his life.

Jessica Walter, Diana Muldaur, Bruce Dern are in this movie. Lot of the real-life New Orleans Saints are also in the movie (one of them is Cooper Kupp’s grandfather)

If I said this was a good movie, I’d be lying; read once that when he was president of the Screen Actors’ Guild, Charlton Heston had the movie taken out of circulation- he didn’t like it much, but it does tell the story of how tough it can be for a pro athlete to move on in his life.

Ravens 23, Jets 10
Jets are 0-7 when they score less than 27 points.
Baltimore won its last five games, giving up 13.4 ppg
Last five games, Ravens are +7 in turnovers.
Last four weeks, opponents converted 11-51 third down plays.

Jets led this game 7-3 at halftime.
Ravens’ 1st three drives of 2nd half: 27 plays, 127 yards, 17 points.
Jets in 2nd half: 24 plays, 132 yards, 3 points, 2 turnovers.
Ravens won despite going 2-11 on 3rd down, and being outgained 282-241.

Seahawks 30, Titans 24
Seattle’s first five drives: 31 plays, 247 yards, 23 points.
Seattle led 30-10 midway thru third quarter and held on.
QB Darnold threw for 244 yards, two TD’s.

WR Smith-Njigba caught 8 passes for 167 yards.
Seattle led 30-10 midway thru third quarter and held on.
Tennessee is 0-6 SU/3-3 ATS in last six games.
Titans were held under 300 TY in nine of 11 games.
Titans ran ball 22 times for only 64 yards.

Jaguars 27, Cardinals 24 OT
Cardinals drove 64 yards, kicked FG to force OT with 0:06 left.
Cardinals lost eight of their last nine games.
Arizona is 2-6 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.

Jaguars won despite being minus-4 in turnovers.
QB Lawrence threw for 256 yards, with 3 TD’s, 3 INTs.
Jaguars held 8 of last 10 opponents under 100 yards rushing.
Jaguars are 7-0 when they run for 100 yards, 0-4 when they don’t.
Jacksonville K Little had a pair of 52-yard field goals.

Browns 24, Raiders 10
Browns’ first four drives: 13 plays, 88 yards, two TD’s.
Cleveland led 14-0 after the first quarter.
In their three wins, Browns gave up 10-6-10 points.
Sanders is 42nd QB to start for Cleveland since 1999.

Las Vegas ran the ball 21 times for only 60 yards.
Raiders lost five games in a row, eight of last nine.
Las Vegas OL has allowed 20 sacks in their last three games.
Raiders had 13 penalties for 109 yards.

Falcons 24, Saints 10
Cousins threw for 199 yards, 2 TD’s; Falcons snapped a 5-game skid.
Atlanta is 8-6 ATS in last 14 NFC South road games.
Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.
Falcons are 3-0 when they allow less than 20 points, 1-8 otherwise.

Only New Orleans TD was a pick-6 that cut Falcons’ lead to 10-7
Saints lost five of their last six games.
Saints missed field goals of 38-47 yards, in a dome.
New Orleans was 5-16 on third down, 2-5 on fourth down.

Rams 34, Buccaneers 7
LA’s first drives: 16 plays, 217 yards, 21 points.
Rams won last six games, allowing 3-7-10-26-19-7 points.
Rams are 8-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
Last six games, Rams are +11 in turnovers.

Last seven games, Rams outscored foes 126-42 in first half.
Rams are 17-8 ATS in last 25 games as a favorite.
Buccaneers lost four of their last five games.
QB Mayfield hurt left shoulder; was in street clothes for 2nd half.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Monday, November 24

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 12

Monday’s game
Panthers @ 49ers (-7)
Panthers (6-5)
Carolina won five of its last seven games.
Panthers are 5-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Carolina is +3 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses
QB Young is 12-26 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 11-17 as a head coach.


Panthers are 8-14-1 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
Carolina is 9-11 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Carolina is 2-4 when it allows more than 24 points.
Panthers are 4-0 when they score more than 22 points.
Three of last four games, Carolina was held under 270 total yards.


49ers (7-4)
49ers allowed 26-30-26-42 points in losses, 24 or less in wins.
SF is 1-11 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
In their four losses, 49ers were minus-8 in turnovers.
Purdy is 29-16 as an NFL starter.
Shanahan is 85-70 as an NFL head coach


Last four games, 49ers allowed 26-24-42-22 points.
49ers are 8-11 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.
49ers ran for less than 100 yards in eight of last 10 games.
49ers gave up 400+ total yards in three of last four games.
49ers are 4-1 in games decided by 5 or less points.


RB McCaffrey played for Carolina from 2017-22.
49ers won last two series games, 37-15/51-13.
This is Carolina’s first visit here since 2019.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 9 NFL spreads:
— Ravens (-7.5) @ Miami
— Falcons @ New England (-5.5)
— Chargers (-9.5) @ Tennessee
— Bears (-2.5) @ Cincinnati
— Colts (-3.5) @ Pittsburgh
— 49ers (-2.5) @ NJ Giants

Quote of the Day
“We cannot, for whatever reason, we cannot get rid of the inconsistent ones that break your back. I have to break through there and give them a path to success there — that’s on me — and just eliminate those plays because there’s really great things on the other side of that.”
Bengals defensive coordinator Al Golden

Tuesday’s quiz
Which former NFL kicker was the host of Wheel of Fortune for six months, in 1989?

Monday’s quiz
Ed Orgeron was the football coach at LSU before Brian Kelly.

Sunday’s quiz
In the baseball movie For Love of the Game, JK Simmons plays the Tigers’ manager.


*********************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……​

— Chiefs 28, Commanders 7
Mahomes threw for 299 yards, three TD’s.
For first time in his career, he threw INT’s on KC’s first two drives.
Chiefs’ next five drives: 43 plays, 336 yards, four TD’s.
Chiefs won/covered four of their last five games.
Washington lost four of its last five games.
Commanders in 2nd half: 20 plays, 81 yards, no points.
Under Quinn, Commanders are 2-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Commanders allowed 354+ yards in six of last seven games.

— In Week 8, AFC teams were 7-1 SU against NFC teams, but for the season, NFC teams still lead, 26-18.

— Vikings’ QB Carson Wentz had a shoulder operation, is out for the year; he had been playing through a dislocated shoulder that included a torn labrum and fractured socket, all of which apparently happened October 5th.

— NFL divisional trends:

AFC East
Home teams 2-4 ATS divisional games
13-9 ATS non-divisional games

AFC North
Home teams 4-0 ATS divisional games
7-15 ATS non-divisional games

AFC South
4-2 ATS non-divisional favorite
7-8 ATS non-divisional underdog.

AFC West
8-5 ATS non-divisional home games
3-7 ATS non-divisional road games

NFC East
6-5 ATS non-divisional favorite
4-5 ATS non-divisional underdog

NFC North
5-2 ATS non-divisional home favorite
2-4 ATS non-divisional road favorite

NFC South
12-14 ATS non-divisional games

NFC West
13-7 non-divisional games

— College football trends, conference games:

American
Favorites 19-11 ATS

ACC
Road teams 22-17 ATS
Home favorites 10-12 ATS

Big 18
Underdogs 24-19 ATS

Big X
Home teams 23-15 ATS
Favorites 24-15 ATS

Conference USA
Home teams 12-7 ATS

Mid-American
Home teams 21-6 ATS

Mountain West
Home teams 11-10 ATS

SEC
Home teams 20-16 ATS
Home favorites 13-10 ATS

Sun Belt
Home teams 18-10 ATS

Famous birthdays, October 28th:
Lenny Wilkens, 88
Dennis Franz, 81
Annie Potts, 73
Randy Wittman, 66
Bob Melvin, 64
Jami Gertz, 60
Steve Atwater, 59
Julia Roberts, 58
Terrell Davis, 53
Jarrett Jack, 42

— New Mexico Lobos are 4-0 at home for the first time since 1962.

— Good news: Vanderbilt’s football team is in the top 10 for the first time since 1941.
Bad news: big $$$ teams are going to be coming after coach Clark Lea, much like they did for James Franklin back when he was winning at Vanderbilt.

— Lakers’ start Luka Doncic is out at least a week; he has a left finger sprain and a lower left leg contusion. He scored 92 points in his first two games this season, but now he is hurt.

— Baltimore Orioles hired Craig Albernaz as their new manager; he was associate manager for the Cleveland Guardians the last couple years. Albernaz managed two years in the low minor leagues, after a nine-year career as a minor league catcher, mostly with Tampa Bay.

— Los Angeles Angels only gave their new manager Kurt Suzuki a one-year contract; there is speculation that there may not be a 2027 season because of labor issues, so if that happens, will be interesting to see if they take care of Suzuki for 2027, or let him go elsewhere.

— RIP to the great actress June Lockhart, who passed away over the weekend, at age 100.
Best known for starring roles in Lassie and Lost In Space, she also appeared in one of the better episodes of Magnum PI in that show’s first season, with Jose Ferrer. Overall, she had 179 acting credits.
RIP, ma’am.

 

[Udog]

WEEK 13

 

[Udog]

NFL

Week 13

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Trend Report
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Thursday, November 27

Green Bay VS Detroit
Green Bay is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games.
Green Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
Green Bay is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games against Detroit.
Green Bay is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against Detroit.
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
Detroit is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games.
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Detroit is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Green Bay.

Kansas City VS Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 6 games.
Kansas City is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
Kansas City is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road.
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas' last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas' last 8 games against Kansas City.
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home.
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City.

Cincinnati VS Baltimore
Cincinnati is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games.
Cincinnati is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games.
Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Baltimore.
Baltimore is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Baltimore's last 12 games.
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 6 games against Cincinnati.

Friday, November 28

Chicago VS Philadelphia
Chicago is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games.
Chicago is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games.
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Philadelphia.
Chicago is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
Philadelphia is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games against Chicago.
Philadelphia is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home.

Sunday, November 30

Jacksonville VS Tennessee
Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
Jacksonville is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Tennessee.
Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against Tennessee.
Tennessee is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games.
Tennessee is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games.
Tennessee is 0-10 SU in its last 10 games at home.

Houston VS Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games.
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Houston is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games against Indianapolis.
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Indianapolis.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis' last 6 games.
Indianapolis is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indianapolis' last 11 games against Houston.
Indianapolis is 8-0 SU in its last 8 games at home.

New Orleans VS Miami
New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans' last 7 games.
New Orleans is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games.
New Orleans is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
Miami is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games.
Miami is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games.
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home.

Atlanta VS New York
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Atlanta's last 20 games.
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against NY Jets.
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against NY Jets.
NY Jets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of NY Jets' last 18 games.
NY Jets is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets' last 6 games against Atlanta.

Arizona VS Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games.
Arizona is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games.
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games against Tampa Bay.
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road.
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games.
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games against Arizona.

Minnesota VS Seattle
Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games.
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Seattle.
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games.
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games against Minnesota.

Las Vegas VS Los Angeles
Las Vegas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas' last 7 games.
Las Vegas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against LA Chargers.
LA Chargers is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers' last 6 games.
LA Chargers is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers' last 7 games against Las Vegas.

Buffalo VS Pittsburgh
Buffalo is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games.
Buffalo is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games.
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games against Buffalo.
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home.

Denver VS Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games.
Denver is 8-0 SU in its last 8 games.
Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against Washington.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games on the road.
Washington is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games.
Washington is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games against Denver.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games at home.

Monday, December 1

New York VS New England
NY Giants is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Giants' last 7 games.
NY Giants is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games.
NY Giants is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games against New England.
New England is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 6 games.
New England is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New England's last 12 games against NY Giants.



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[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 13