NCAAF
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Saturday, December 20
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Saturday’s games
College football playoff
Miami @
Texas A&M (-3.5)
Miami (10-2)
Miami won its last four games, by 28-34-17-27 points.
Hurricanes are +9 in turnovers this season.
Miami is 4-1 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
Miami has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hurricanes have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Beck started 13 games for Georgia last year.
Under Cristobal, Miami is 5-5 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Cristobal is 32-31 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Cristobal is 19-22 ATS as a road underdog.
Miami lost its last five bowl games, giving up 31.8 ppg.
In his career, Cristobal is 3-5 SU in bowl games.
Miami is 12-22 ATS last 34 games coming off a win.
Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
ACC non-divisional road underdogs are 2-7 ATS.
Texas A&M (11-1)
Aggies lost their last game, 27-17 at Texas.
A&M scored 31+ points in 10 of its 11 wins.
Last five games, Aggies are minus-8 in turnovers.
Aggies have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
A&M has 156 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Reed started eight games last year.
Under Elko, A&M is 4-8 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Elko is 11-10 ATS as a home favorite.
Aggies are 4-12 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss
A&M is 4-3 ATS TY in games with a single digit spread.
A&M lost bowls the last two years, 31-23/35-31.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
SEC non-divisional home favorites are 12-18 ATS.
Miami (+3) beat Texas A&M 48-33 at home, in 2023.
LY, Favorites were 4-0 ATS in first round playoff games.
This year, SEC teams are 5-3 SU/4-4 ATS vs ACC opponents.
Tulane @
Ole Miss (-17.5)
Tulane (11-2)
Coach Sumrall’s dad passed away Thursday.
Tulane gave up 45-48 points in their two losses.
Tulane is 5-0 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Green Wave has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Green Wave has 93 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Retzlaff started 13 games at BYU last year.
Sumrall is 33-19-2 ATS overall as a head coach.
In his career, Sumrall is 6-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Tulane is 12-8 ATS in last 20 non-conference games.
Green Wave lost 3 of last 4 bowls (lost last two, 41-20/33-8)
Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.
AAC non-divisional road underdogs are 10-6 ATS.
Ole Miss (11-1)
Coach Kiffin bolted to LSU; some of his assistants have stuck around to help with this game..
Rebels won last four I-A games, scoring 34 ppg
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Rebels have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Rebels have 78 returning starts on offensive line.
QB Chambliss has 3,016 PY passing yards (18 TD’s, 3 INT’s).
Rebels are 28-21-2 ATS last 50 games as a favorite.
Rebels are 11-7-1 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.
Only Ole Miss loss: 43-35 at Georgia.
Ole Miss is 3-2 SU/ ATS in last five bowl games.
Under is 6-3 in last nine Ole Miss games.
SEC non-divisional home favorites are 12-18 ATS.
Ole Miss (-12) blasted Tulane 45-10 in September.
Rebels outgained Tulane 548-282 in that game.
Ole Miss is 8-0 SU/6-2 ATS in last eight series games.
Both coaches in this game bolted to other jobs.
This year, SEC teams are 5-2 SU/2-5 ATS vs AAC opponents.
LY, Favorites were 4-0 ATS in first round playoff games.
James Madison @
Oregon (-20.5)
James Madison (12-1)
JMU’s coach is leaving to coach UCLA.
JMU’s only loss was 28-14 at Louisville.
Dukes have 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Dukes have 29 returning I-A starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Bennett started 12 games last year.
This is JMU’s fourth season at I-A level.
Last three years, JMU is 3-0 ATS as a road underdog.
Since 2015, JMU is 6-4 ATS as an underdog.
JMU is 12-1 despite having a minus-1 turnover ratio.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Dukes split their two bowl games as a I-A team.
Sun Belt non-divisional road underdogs are 8-13 ATS.
Oregon (11-1)
Oregon won last six games, giving up 14.5 ppg.
Ducks only loss: 30-20 at home to Indiana.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Ducks have 124 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Moore started 5 games at UCLA in 2023.
Under Lanning, Ducks are 15-9 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 9-4 ATS in non-conference games.
Ducks are 21-11 ATS in last 32 games coming off a win.
Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.
Oregon lost three of its last five bowl games,
Big 18 non-divisional home favorites are 13-13 ATS.
These teams haven’t met in the last five years.
This year, Big 18 teams are 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS vs Sun Belt squads.
LY, Favorites were 4-0 ATS in first round playoff games.