CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL BEST BETS/ NOTES/NEWS/GOSSIP !
- Thread starter Cnotes53
- Start date
- Sep 10, 2018
- 20,204
- 30
- 48
NCAAB
Tuesday, December 16
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Trend Report
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Tuesday, December 16
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Trend Report
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Tuesday, December 16
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIP at DUKE | 06:00 PM | LIP +33.0***** | +500 |
| DART at HC | 06:00 PM | U 147.5 | +500 |
| SHU at MASSL | 06:00 PM | SHU -3.0 U 153.0***** | +500 +500 |
| TOL at MSU | 06:30 PM | TOL +23.0***** | +500 |
| FIU at MIA | 07:00 PM | MIA -22.0 | +500 |
| M-OH at WRST | 07:00 PM | M-OH +1.0***** | +500 |
| LOU at TENN | 07:00 PM | TENN -3.0***** | +500 |
| CAN at URI | 07:00 PM | URI -22.0 | +500 |
| RID at DEL | 07:00 PM | DEL -9.0***** | +500 |
| SCAR at CLEM | 07:00 PM | U 142.5***** | +500 |
| DEP at SJU | 07:00 PM | SJU -19.5***** | +500 |
| BEL at EVAN | 07:00 PM | BEL -8.5***** | +500 |
| TST at MVSU | 07:00 PM | TST -14.5***** | +500 |
| NCAT at UNCG | 07:00 PM | UNCG -6.0***** | +500 |
| MRST at GT | 07:30 PM | GT -6.5 | +500 |
| ORU at MOSU | 08:00 PM | MOSU -5.0***** | +500 |
| ETSU at UNC | 08:00 PM | U 151.5***** | +500 |
| BUT at CONN | 08:30 PM | BUT +15.0***** | +500 |
| QNC at ARK | 09:00 PM | QNC +24.0***** O 171.5***** | +500 +500 |
| PAC at BYU | 09:00 PM | PAC +23.5***** | +500 |
| TOWS at KU | 09:00 PM | KU -15.5***** | +500 |
| SOU at CBU | 10:00 PM | O 154.5***** | +500 |
| MTST at CP | 10:00 PM | CP +3.0***** | +500 |
| UCSD at LMU | 11:30 PM | UCSD -1.0***** | +500 |
CNOTES COLLEGE HOOPS DECEMBER BEST BETS !
12/16/2025.............10 - 9 - 0.................55..00%............+ 0.50
12/15/2025...............6 - 3 - 0..................66.66%............+ 13.50
12/14/2025..............3 - 10 - 0................23.07%.............- 40.00
12/132025.............17.- 18 - 0................48.52%..............- 14.00
12/12/2025................4 - 3 - 0................57.14%..............+ 3.50
12/11/2025................4 - 6 - 0................40.00%..............- 13.00
12/10/2025................8 - 5 - 0................61.53................+ 12.50
12/09/2025................6 - 5 - 1................54.54%..............+ 2.50
12/08/2025................2 - 3 - 0................40.00%..............- 6.50
12/07/2025...............10 - 4 - 0...............71.42%...............+ 28.00
12/06/2025...............8 - 18 - 0...............30.76%...............- 59.00
12/05/2025................8 - 5 - 0...............61.53%...............+ 12.50
12/04/2025................3 - 3 - 0...............50.00%...............- 1.50
12/03/2025................5 - 6 - 0...............45.45%...............- 8.00
12/01/2025................6 - 4 - 0...............60.00%...............+ 8.00
TOTALS...............100 - 102 - 1...............49.50%..............- 61.00
12/16/2025.............10 - 9 - 0.................55..00%............+ 0.50
12/15/2025...............6 - 3 - 0..................66.66%............+ 13.50
12/14/2025..............3 - 10 - 0................23.07%.............- 40.00
12/132025.............17.- 18 - 0................48.52%..............- 14.00
12/12/2025................4 - 3 - 0................57.14%..............+ 3.50
12/11/2025................4 - 6 - 0................40.00%..............- 13.00
12/10/2025................8 - 5 - 0................61.53................+ 12.50
12/09/2025................6 - 5 - 1................54.54%..............+ 2.50
12/08/2025................2 - 3 - 0................40.00%..............- 6.50
12/07/2025...............10 - 4 - 0...............71.42%...............+ 28.00
12/06/2025...............8 - 18 - 0...............30.76%...............- 59.00
12/05/2025................8 - 5 - 0...............61.53%...............+ 12.50
12/04/2025................3 - 3 - 0...............50.00%...............- 1.50
12/03/2025................5 - 6 - 0...............45.45%...............- 8.00
12/01/2025................6 - 4 - 0...............60.00%...............+ 8.00
TOTALS...............100 - 102 - 1...............49.50%..............- 61.00
Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Top seven teams in country in 2-point FG% defense:
38.7%— Michigan
39.9%— Duke
40.3%— North Carolina
40.6%— Cal-Irvine
42.4%— Syracuse/Seton Hall
42.6%— Indiana
Quote of the Day
“We’re all frustrated. Joe (Lacob) is frustrated. I’m frustrated. Steph and [Draymond Green], everybody’s frustrated. This is kind of how the league works. I hate when people are going to post private emails. Imagine if everyone’s emails were just publicly posted, how tough that would be to live our lives. Joe supports me 100 percent. I support him. We have a great connection. We’ve had so much continuity here. Our stable environment in our organization is one of our strengths.”
Steve Kerr, after the Warriors slipped to 13-14 this year
Wednesday’s quiz
When was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball?
Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.
Monday’s quiz
First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, all QB’s.
Marvin Harrison Jr was the 4th player taken in the 2024 Draft.
***************************************
Trojans led 13-7 at halftime- their only TD was scored by the defense.
Troy in second half: 31 plays, 81 yards, two turnovers.
WR Johnson caught six passes for 101 yards for Jax State.
Troy State had won their last 79 games when they led after the third quarter.
— Knicks 124, Spurs 113
Knicks outscored San Antonio 35-19 in fourth quarter.
OG Anunoby scored 28 points for New York.
Knicks win the third annual NBA Cup.
— Teams that won the first two NBA Cup tournaments:
2023- Lakers finished 47-35, lost in first round of the real playoffs
2024- Bucks finished 48-34, lost in first round of the real playoffs
— St John’s 79, DePaul 66
Red Storm shot 10-22 on arc, DePaul 7-25
Blue Demons are 8-4 this year, 1-3 vs top 100 teams, but…….
…..since 2008, DePaul is 56-264 in Big East conference games.
— UConn 79, Butler 60
UConn lead 39-25 at halftime.
Huskies out-rebounded Butler, 47-29
UConn has won 7 in a row, is 11-1 (lost 71-67 to Arizona)
— Tennessee 83, Louisville 62
Louisville’s PG Brown didn’t play, and it showed.
Tennessee shot 62.9% inside the arc, snapped 3-game skid.
Louisville is 9-2, losing road games at Arkansas/Tennessee.
— Dayton 97, Florida State 69
Dayton was 40-47 on foul line; they shot 64.3% inside arc.
Flyers are forcing turnovers 24.4% of time (#3 in country)
Seminoles have lost five in a row, giving up 96.8 ppg.
— Clemson 68, South Carolina 61
Teams combined to shoot 9-40 on the arc.
Clemson is 9-3, 3-1 vs top 100 teams.
Gamecocks are 0-4 vs top 100 teams (all four losses by 7 or less points)
— Missouri State 63, Oral R0berts 62
Missouri State shot 57.7% inside the arc.
Oral Roberts shot 33.3% inside the arc.
Just second win for Bears, in their 7th game vs D-I teams. (5-5 overall)
— Former Alabama football coach Nick Saban is now a part-owner of the NHL’s Nashville Predators.
— Famous birthdays, December 17th:
Ernie Hudson, 80
Eugene Levy, 79
Bill Pullman, 72
Bob Ojeda, 68
Albert King, 66
Claire Forlani, 54
Chase Utley, 47
Buddy Hield, 33
Daniel Vogelbach, 33
Caden Dana, 22
— Washington Commanders QB Jayden Daniels (left elbow) is done for the year; he’s thrown for 1,262 yards in seven games this season, after leading Washington to a 12-5 record last year.
— Colts QB, 44-year old Philip Rivers has 10 kids (ten!!!); by playing this month, he’s extended his family’s NFL-paid for health insurance thru August 2031.
— When the NFL schedule came out last spring, wonder if the Dolphins howled about having to play a night game in Pittsburgh on December 14th?
— Texas Longhorns QB Arch Manning will be back in Austin next fall; he’s thrown for 2,553 yards this year for the 9-3 Longhorns, with 20 TD’s, 7 INTs.
— Minimum salary in major league baseball? $760,000.
— Major league players have a pension plan:
Full pensions comes with 10 years of service; if it isn’t claimed until age 62, it is worth $265,000 a year. Players can start collecting at age 45, but those payoffs would be lower.
Every 43 days spent on a big league roster earns a player credit.
The plan bumps up every year with a 1.8% cost of living increase.
— San Francisco Giants signed P Adrian Houser for two years, $22M. Houser was 8-5, 3.31 in 21 starts last year, for the White Sox/Rays.
— World Baseball Classic will happen in couple months; Dominican Republic has a very impressive lineup:
OF- Juan Soto, Julio Rodriguez, Fernando Tatis
1B- Vladimir Gurerrero
2B- Ketel Marte
SS- Geraldo Perdomo
3B- Jose Ramirez
C- Manier Diaz
DH- Junior Caminero
P- Sandy Alcantara
Top seven teams in country in 2-point FG% defense:
38.7%— Michigan
39.9%— Duke
40.3%— North Carolina
40.6%— Cal-Irvine
42.4%— Syracuse/Seton Hall
42.6%— Indiana
Quote of the Day
“We’re all frustrated. Joe (Lacob) is frustrated. I’m frustrated. Steph and [Draymond Green], everybody’s frustrated. This is kind of how the league works. I hate when people are going to post private emails. Imagine if everyone’s emails were just publicly posted, how tough that would be to live our lives. Joe supports me 100 percent. I support him. We have a great connection. We’ve had so much continuity here. Our stable environment in our organization is one of our strengths.”
Steve Kerr, after the Warriors slipped to 13-14 this year
Wednesday’s quiz
When was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball?
Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.
Monday’s quiz
First three picks in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, all QB’s.
Marvin Harrison Jr was the 4th player taken in the 2024 Draft.
***************************************
Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….
— Jacksonville State 17, Troy State 13Trojans led 13-7 at halftime- their only TD was scored by the defense.
Troy in second half: 31 plays, 81 yards, two turnovers.
WR Johnson caught six passes for 101 yards for Jax State.
Troy State had won their last 79 games when they led after the third quarter.
— Knicks 124, Spurs 113
Knicks outscored San Antonio 35-19 in fourth quarter.
OG Anunoby scored 28 points for New York.
Knicks win the third annual NBA Cup.
— Teams that won the first two NBA Cup tournaments:
2023- Lakers finished 47-35, lost in first round of the real playoffs
2024- Bucks finished 48-34, lost in first round of the real playoffs
— St John’s 79, DePaul 66
Red Storm shot 10-22 on arc, DePaul 7-25
Blue Demons are 8-4 this year, 1-3 vs top 100 teams, but…….
…..since 2008, DePaul is 56-264 in Big East conference games.
— UConn 79, Butler 60
UConn lead 39-25 at halftime.
Huskies out-rebounded Butler, 47-29
UConn has won 7 in a row, is 11-1 (lost 71-67 to Arizona)
— Tennessee 83, Louisville 62
Louisville’s PG Brown didn’t play, and it showed.
Tennessee shot 62.9% inside the arc, snapped 3-game skid.
Louisville is 9-2, losing road games at Arkansas/Tennessee.
— Dayton 97, Florida State 69
Dayton was 40-47 on foul line; they shot 64.3% inside arc.
Flyers are forcing turnovers 24.4% of time (#3 in country)
Seminoles have lost five in a row, giving up 96.8 ppg.
— Clemson 68, South Carolina 61
Teams combined to shoot 9-40 on the arc.
Clemson is 9-3, 3-1 vs top 100 teams.
Gamecocks are 0-4 vs top 100 teams (all four losses by 7 or less points)
— Missouri State 63, Oral R0berts 62
Missouri State shot 57.7% inside the arc.
Oral Roberts shot 33.3% inside the arc.
Just second win for Bears, in their 7th game vs D-I teams. (5-5 overall)
— Former Alabama football coach Nick Saban is now a part-owner of the NHL’s Nashville Predators.
— Famous birthdays, December 17th:
Ernie Hudson, 80
Eugene Levy, 79
Bill Pullman, 72
Bob Ojeda, 68
Albert King, 66
Claire Forlani, 54
Chase Utley, 47
Buddy Hield, 33
Daniel Vogelbach, 33
Caden Dana, 22
— Washington Commanders QB Jayden Daniels (left elbow) is done for the year; he’s thrown for 1,262 yards in seven games this season, after leading Washington to a 12-5 record last year.
— Colts QB, 44-year old Philip Rivers has 10 kids (ten!!!); by playing this month, he’s extended his family’s NFL-paid for health insurance thru August 2031.
— When the NFL schedule came out last spring, wonder if the Dolphins howled about having to play a night game in Pittsburgh on December 14th?
— Texas Longhorns QB Arch Manning will be back in Austin next fall; he’s thrown for 2,553 yards this year for the 9-3 Longhorns, with 20 TD’s, 7 INTs.
— Minimum salary in major league baseball? $760,000.
— Major league players have a pension plan:
Full pensions comes with 10 years of service; if it isn’t claimed until age 62, it is worth $265,000 a year. Players can start collecting at age 45, but those payoffs would be lower.
Every 43 days spent on a big league roster earns a player credit.
The plan bumps up every year with a 1.8% cost of living increase.
— San Francisco Giants signed P Adrian Houser for two years, $22M. Houser was 8-5, 3.31 in 21 starts last year, for the White Sox/Rays.
— World Baseball Classic will happen in couple months; Dominican Republic has a very impressive lineup:
OF- Juan Soto, Julio Rodriguez, Fernando Tatis
1B- Vladimir Gurerrero
2B- Ketel Marte
SS- Geraldo Perdomo
3B- Jose Ramirez
C- Manier Diaz
DH- Junior Caminero
P- Sandy Alcantara
- Sep 10, 2018
- 20,204
- 30
- 48
NCAAB
Wednesday, December 17
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Trend Report
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Wednesday, December 17
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Trend Report
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Wednesday, December 17
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| CREI at XAV | 06:30 PM | XAV -3.0 | +500 |
| UCSB at GB | 07:00 PM | U 142.5***** | +500 |
| YSU at RMU | 07:00 PM | YSU +2.0 | +500 |
| OAK at NKU | 07:00 PM | O 164.0****** | +500 |
| LONG at WAKE | 07:00 PM | O 163.5***** | +500 |
| SIE at UVM | 07:00 PM | UVM -2.5 | +500 |
| BING at PITT | 07:00 PM | U 136.0***** | +500 |
| ALST at CIN | 07:00 PM | O 145.5***** | +500 |
| RICH at ELON | 07:00 PM | O 161.5***** | +500 |
| CIT at COFC | 07:00 PM | CIT +17.5 | +500 |
| CHAT at BELL | 07:00 PM | U 147.0***** | +500 |
| LT at TULN | 07:30 PM | TULN -4.0 O 140.5***** | +500 +500 |
| WOF at WICH | 07:30 PM | O 143.5***** | +500 |
| KENN at MTU | 07:30 PM | KENN +3.5 | +500 |
| HBU at NICH | 07:30 PM | U 138.5***** | +500 |
| JMU at ODU | 08:00 PM | JMU -2.5***** | +500 |
| WEB at UVU | 08:00 PM | U 148.0***** | +500 |
| ARST at TXST | 08:30 PM | TXST +4.5 O 152.5***** | +500 +500 |
| UNT at SCU | 09:00 PM | SCU -12.0***** | +500 |
| PRST at COLO | 09:00 PM | O 150.0***** | +500 |
CNOTES COLLEGE HOOPS DECEMBER BEST BETS !
12/17/2025...............5 - 10 - 0...............33.33%.............- 25.00
12/16/2025.............10 - 9 - 0.................55..00%............+ 0.50
12/15/2025...............6 - 3 - 0..................66.66%............+ 13.50
12/14/2025..............3 - 10 - 0................23.07%.............- 40.00
12/132025.............17.- 18 - 0................48.52%..............- 14.00
12/12/2025................4 - 3 - 0................57.14%..............+ 3.50
12/11/2025................4 - 6 - 0................40.00%..............- 13.00
12/10/2025................8 - 5 - 0................61.53................+ 12.50
12/09/2025................6 - 5 - 1................54.54%..............+ 2.50
12/08/2025................2 - 3 - 0................40.00%..............- 6.50
12/07/2025...............10 - 4 - 0...............71.42%...............+ 28.00
12/06/2025...............8 - 18 - 0...............30.76%...............- 59.00
12/05/2025................8 - 5 - 0...............61.53%...............+ 12.50
12/04/2025................3 - 3 - 0...............50.00%...............- 1.50
12/03/2025................5 - 6 - 0...............45.45%...............- 8.00
12/01/2025................6 - 4 - 0...............60.00%...............+ 8.00
TOTALS...............105 - 112 - 1...............48.38%..............- 86.00
12/17/2025...............5 - 10 - 0...............33.33%.............- 25.00
12/16/2025.............10 - 9 - 0.................55..00%............+ 0.50
12/15/2025...............6 - 3 - 0..................66.66%............+ 13.50
12/14/2025..............3 - 10 - 0................23.07%.............- 40.00
12/132025.............17.- 18 - 0................48.52%..............- 14.00
12/12/2025................4 - 3 - 0................57.14%..............+ 3.50
12/11/2025................4 - 6 - 0................40.00%..............- 13.00
12/10/2025................8 - 5 - 0................61.53................+ 12.50
12/09/2025................6 - 5 - 1................54.54%..............+ 2.50
12/08/2025................2 - 3 - 0................40.00%..............- 6.50
12/07/2025...............10 - 4 - 0...............71.42%...............+ 28.00
12/06/2025...............8 - 18 - 0...............30.76%...............- 59.00
12/05/2025................8 - 5 - 0...............61.53%...............+ 12.50
12/04/2025................3 - 3 - 0...............50.00%...............- 1.50
12/03/2025................5 - 6 - 0...............45.45%...............- 8.00
12/01/2025................6 - 4 - 0...............60.00%...............+ 8.00
TOTALS...............105 - 112 - 1...............48.38%..............- 86.00
Thursday’s 6-pack:
Week 16 NFL spreads:
— Rams @ Seattle (-1.5)
— Eagles (-6.5) @ Washington
— Packers @ Chicago (-1.5)
— Jets @ New Orleans (-4.5)
— Bills (-10.5) @ Cleveland
— Chiefs (-3) @ Tennessee
Quote of the Day
“I want to meet all of them. Every coach who gets the opportunity to come here, I want to have conversations throughout the process with them. I’m going to be here for that whole time.”
Titans rookie QB Cam Ward, talking about the team’s coaching search
Thursday’s quiz
Which major league baseball team drafted Tom Brady as a catcher?
Wednesday’s quiz
2000 was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball, when Michigan State won
Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.
******************************************
— 10 of the last 13 national champs were #1 seeds:
Exceptions:
2014 UConn was a 7-seed
2016 Villanova was a 2-seed
2023 UConn was a 4-seed
— National champs come from the elite leagues:
5- Big East
3- ACC
2- SEC
2- Big X
1- AAC (UConn in 2014)
0- Big 18
— National champs come from big leagues; they generally play cheesy non-conference schedules. Five of last six national champs played a non-conference slate outside the top 200.
— Making shots seems like a big deal; 10 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 40 in eFG% (eFG% is FG%, only 3-pointers count as 1.5 baskets made).
Defense seems important; 9 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 50 in eFG% defense.
— 9 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 40 in offensive rebounding %age.
— The last 13 national champs all won the first game in their conference tournament; however, 5 of the 13 national champs went WL in their conference tournament.
5 of the also 13 national champs won their conference tournament.
— Only 3 of the last 13 national champs played a tempo in top 100; 6 of 13 were outside top 200
— Stats that don’t seem to matter much:
None of the last 11 national champs were in the top 100 in % of points scored on foul line; there are fewer fouls called in the NCAA’s, you have to be able to play through contact.
— Only 2 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 200 in bench minutes; last one was North Carolina in 2017. TV timeouts are longer in NCAA’s, fewer fouls are cools, making depth less important.
— We’ll tuck this away until March, then identify teams we think fit the bill of a champ.
— Famous birthdays, December 18th:
Steven Spielberg, 79
Brad Pitt, 62
Charles Oakley, 62
Don Beebe, 61
Rachel Griffiths, 58
Christina Aguilera, 45
Chris Carter, 39
Byron Buxton, 32
Ronald Acuna, 28
Brandon Marsh, 28
Joey Cantillo, 26
Jayden Daniels, 25
— NFL divisional trends:
AFC East
Non-divisional underdogs 12-8 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 9-7 ATS
AFC North
Non-divisional underdogs 8-15 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 7-10 ATS
AFC South
Non-divisional underdogs 15-8 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 7-5 ATS
AFC West
Non-divisional underdogs 8-6 ATS
Non-divisional road favorites 1-9 ATS
NFC East
Home teams 5-2 ATS divisional games
Non-divisional underdogs 8-12 ATS
NFC North
Non-divisional home favorites 11-5 ATS
Non-divisional underdogs 5-8 ATS
NFC South
Underdogs 8-1 ATS divisional games
Non-divisional favorites 3-7 ATS
NFC West
Non-divisional favorites 19-8 ATS
Divisional home underdogs 0-4 ATS
Week 16 NFL spreads:
— Rams @ Seattle (-1.5)
— Eagles (-6.5) @ Washington
— Packers @ Chicago (-1.5)
— Jets @ New Orleans (-4.5)
— Bills (-10.5) @ Cleveland
— Chiefs (-3) @ Tennessee
Quote of the Day
“I want to meet all of them. Every coach who gets the opportunity to come here, I want to have conversations throughout the process with them. I’m going to be here for that whole time.”
Titans rookie QB Cam Ward, talking about the team’s coaching search
Thursday’s quiz
Which major league baseball team drafted Tom Brady as a catcher?
Wednesday’s quiz
2000 was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball, when Michigan State won
Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.
******************************************
Thursday’s Den: NFL trends, and NCAA Tournament trends……..
Was wondering if there are any trends that could identify teams that will win March Madness this year, so I broke down the last 13 teams that won the national title.— 10 of the last 13 national champs were #1 seeds:
Exceptions:
2014 UConn was a 7-seed
2016 Villanova was a 2-seed
2023 UConn was a 4-seed
— National champs come from the elite leagues:
5- Big East
3- ACC
2- SEC
2- Big X
1- AAC (UConn in 2014)
0- Big 18
— National champs come from big leagues; they generally play cheesy non-conference schedules. Five of last six national champs played a non-conference slate outside the top 200.
— Making shots seems like a big deal; 10 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 40 in eFG% (eFG% is FG%, only 3-pointers count as 1.5 baskets made).
Defense seems important; 9 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 50 in eFG% defense.
— 9 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 40 in offensive rebounding %age.
— The last 13 national champs all won the first game in their conference tournament; however, 5 of the 13 national champs went WL in their conference tournament.
5 of the also 13 national champs won their conference tournament.
— Only 3 of the last 13 national champs played a tempo in top 100; 6 of 13 were outside top 200
— Stats that don’t seem to matter much:
None of the last 11 national champs were in the top 100 in % of points scored on foul line; there are fewer fouls called in the NCAA’s, you have to be able to play through contact.
— Only 2 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 200 in bench minutes; last one was North Carolina in 2017. TV timeouts are longer in NCAA’s, fewer fouls are cools, making depth less important.
— We’ll tuck this away until March, then identify teams we think fit the bill of a champ.
— Famous birthdays, December 18th:
Steven Spielberg, 79
Brad Pitt, 62
Charles Oakley, 62
Don Beebe, 61
Rachel Griffiths, 58
Christina Aguilera, 45
Chris Carter, 39
Byron Buxton, 32
Ronald Acuna, 28
Brandon Marsh, 28
Joey Cantillo, 26
Jayden Daniels, 25
— NFL divisional trends:
AFC East
Non-divisional underdogs 12-8 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 9-7 ATS
AFC North
Non-divisional underdogs 8-15 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 7-10 ATS
AFC South
Non-divisional underdogs 15-8 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 7-5 ATS
AFC West
Non-divisional underdogs 8-6 ATS
Non-divisional road favorites 1-9 ATS
NFC East
Home teams 5-2 ATS divisional games
Non-divisional underdogs 8-12 ATS
NFC North
Non-divisional home favorites 11-5 ATS
Non-divisional underdogs 5-8 ATS
NFC South
Underdogs 8-1 ATS divisional games
Non-divisional favorites 3-7 ATS
NFC West
Non-divisional favorites 19-8 ATS
Divisional home underdogs 0-4 ATS
- Sep 10, 2018
- 20,204
- 30
- 48
NCAAB
Thursday, December 18
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Trend Report
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Thursday, December 18
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Trend Report
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Thursday, December 18
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCAR at APP | 06:30 PM | APP -5.5**** | +500 |
| SIUE at EIU | 06:30 PM | EIU +6.0 | +500 |
| AMER at VCU | 07:00 PM | O 155.0***** | +500 |
| WCU at UGA | 07:00 PM | UGA -34.0 | +500 |
| RAD at WM | 07:00 PM | O 171.5****** | +500 |
| FUR at MAN | 07:00 PM | FUR -10.0***** | +500 |
| BRAD at INST | 07:00 PM | INST +4.0***** | +500 |
| TEM at DAV | 07:00 PM | DAV -5.5***** | +500 |
| WIN at UND | 08:00 PM | WIN -12.0 | +500 |
| ORU at TCU | 08:00 PM | O 146.5***** | +500 |
| GAST at GASO | 08:00 PM | GASO -9.5 | +500 |
| DRKE at MURR | 08:00 PM | MURR -6.0***** | +500 |
| ULL at USM | 08:30 PM | USM -12.5 | +500 |
| UALR at USI | 08:30 PM | UALR +2.0***** | +500 |
| UTM at TNST | 08:30 PM | UTM +2.0***** | +500 |
| WIU at LINW | 08:30 PM | WIU +12.5***** | +500 |
| ILST at SIU | 09:00 PM | ILST +2.5***** | +500 |
| PEPP at LBSU | 10:00 PM | LBSU -3.5 | +500 |
CNOTES COLLEGE HOOPS DECEMBER BEST BETS !
12/18/2025...............6 - 6 - 0..................50.00%............- 3.00
12/17/2025...............5 - 10 - 0...............33.33%.............- 25.00
12/16/2025.............10 - 9 - 0.................55..00%............+ 0.50
12/15/2025...............6 - 3 - 0..................66.66%............+ 13.50
12/14/2025..............3 - 10 - 0................23.07%.............- 40.00
12/132025.............17.- 18 - 0................48.52%..............- 14.00
12/12/2025................4 - 3 - 0................57.14%..............+ 3.50
12/11/2025................4 - 6 - 0................40.00%..............- 13.00
12/10/2025................8 - 5 - 0................61.53................+ 12.50
12/09/2025................6 - 5 - 1................54.54%..............+ 2.50
12/08/2025................2 - 3 - 0................40.00%..............- 6.50
12/07/2025...............10 - 4 - 0...............71.42%...............+ 28.00
12/06/2025...............8 - 18 - 0...............30.76%...............- 59.00
12/05/2025................8 - 5 - 0...............61.53%...............+ 12.50
12/04/2025................3 - 3 - 0...............50.00%...............- 1.50
12/03/2025................5 - 6 - 0...............45.45%...............- 8.00
12/01/2025................6 - 4 - 0...............60.00%...............+ 8.00
TOTALS...............111 - 118 - 1...............48.47%..............- 89.00
12/18/2025...............6 - 6 - 0..................50.00%............- 3.00
12/17/2025...............5 - 10 - 0...............33.33%.............- 25.00
12/16/2025.............10 - 9 - 0.................55..00%............+ 0.50
12/15/2025...............6 - 3 - 0..................66.66%............+ 13.50
12/14/2025..............3 - 10 - 0................23.07%.............- 40.00
12/132025.............17.- 18 - 0................48.52%..............- 14.00
12/12/2025................4 - 3 - 0................57.14%..............+ 3.50
12/11/2025................4 - 6 - 0................40.00%..............- 13.00
12/10/2025................8 - 5 - 0................61.53................+ 12.50
12/09/2025................6 - 5 - 1................54.54%..............+ 2.50
12/08/2025................2 - 3 - 0................40.00%..............- 6.50
12/07/2025...............10 - 4 - 0...............71.42%...............+ 28.00
12/06/2025...............8 - 18 - 0...............30.76%...............- 59.00
12/05/2025................8 - 5 - 0...............61.53%...............+ 12.50
12/04/2025................3 - 3 - 0...............50.00%...............- 1.50
12/03/2025................5 - 6 - 0...............45.45%...............- 8.00
12/01/2025................6 - 4 - 0...............60.00%...............+ 8.00
TOTALS...............111 - 118 - 1...............48.47%..............- 89.00
Friday’s 6-pack:
2025 luxury taxes in baseball, 2025:
$168,657,856— Dodgers
$86,194,127— Mets
$60,205,499— Bronx
$48,112,313— Phillies
$10,000,000— Padres, Blue Jays
$1,105,612— Astros
Quote of the Day
“We have a 3.0 GPA, that’s wonderful…..if we were running a daycare. We run a competitive basketball program. We’ve got a lot of casual personalities on this team.”
NC State basketball coach Will Wade
Friday’s quiz
What southern city hosts the Independence Bowl every year?
Thursday’s quiz
In 1995, Montreal Expos drafted Tom Brady as a catcher.
Wednesday’s quiz
2000 was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball, when Michigan State won.
*********************************************
Rams led 30-14 with 9:00 left in the game.
Seahawks ran a punt back 58 yards for a TD to start the comeback.
Seattle went 3-for-3 on two-point conversions.
Smith-Njigba caught 8 passes for 96 yards, all after halftime.
Stafford threw for 457 yards, three TD’s.
Nucua caught 12 passes for 225 yards, two TD’s.
Rams outgained Seattle 581-415.
Seattle takes over first place in the NFC West.
— Miami Dolphins are giving rookie QB Quinn Ewers his first career start this week, at home against Cincinnati; they’re stuck with Tua Tagovailoa for now— his upcoming cap hits:
2025- $39.1M
2026- $56.4M
2027- $53.4M
2028- $65.8M
Dolphins’ front office has a major headache here.
— San Diego Padres signed P Michael King for three years, $75M; he was 5-3, 3.44 in 15 starts last year, after being 13-9, 2.95 in 30 starts in 2024.
— President, general manager, manager of the Washington Nationals are all 35 or younger.
— World Series shares were announced; a full share got the Dodgers players/coaches $484,748 apiece. 82 full shares, 12.5 partial shares were given out.
— Famous birthdays, December 19th:
Tim Reid, 81
Elaine Joyce, 80
Kevin McHale, 68
Jennifer Beals, 62
Arvydas Sabonis, 61
Randall McDaniel, 61
Joe Slusarski, 59
Tom Gugliotta, 56
Alyssa Milano, 53
Warren Sapp, 53
Jake Plummer, 51
Rafael Soriano, 46
— Arkansas State 34, Missouri State 28
Arkansas State led this game 24-7 at halftime.
Missouri State was 8-15 on third down, Ark State 2-11.
Ark State QB Raynor threw for 288 yards, three TD’s.
Both teams had over 100 yards in penalties.
— Missouri QB Beau Pribula is going in the transfer portal, will skip Mizzou’s bowl game against Virginia in the Gator Bowl. In 10 games, Pribula completed 67.4% of his passes for 1,941 yards with 11 TD’s, 9 INT’s. He also ran for 297 yards with six TDs. Pribula spent his first two years in college at Penn State
— TCU QB Josh Hoover is going in the transfer portal, will skip TCU’s bowl game against USC. Hoover has been TCU’s starting quarterback since midway through the 2023 season, throwing for 439 yards and four TD’s in his first start against BYU. In 2024, he set a school record with 3,949 passing yards. He’s not going pro this year; he’ll transfer somewhere, make a lot of $$$ in his last year of college eligibility.
— Texas Longhorns fired their defensive coordinator, hired Will Muschamp to replace him; Muschamp was the Texas defensive coordinator from 2008-10. He was 56-51 as a head coach at Florida, South Carolina.
— Movie of the Day: Margin Call (2011)— This movie is pretty intense, about people at an investment bank over a 24-hour period during the early stages of the 2008 financial crisis.
Kevin Spacey, Demi Moore, Jeremy Irons, Mary McDonnell, Stanley Tucci— good cast.
— Bradley 108, Indiana State 99, 3OTs
Bradley led by 13 early on, trailed by 4 in the third OT.
Indiana State was 30-43 on foul line, Bradley 17-27.
Bradley’s bench outscored the Sycamores’ bench, 47-19
— Illinois State 75, Southern Illinois 68
Salukis led 35-30 at halftime.
Illinois State shot 68.8% inside the arc.
Redbirds are 9-3, shooting 57.3% inside the arc (#54)
— Murray State 81, Drake 72
Racers were 26-31 on foul line, Drake 17-23.
Murray won its last five games, scoring 91.4 ppg.
Racers are rebounding 37.9% of their missed shots (#39)
— Southern Miss 62, Louisiana 54
Southern Miss was 26-39 on foul line, Ragin’ Cajuns 10-13.
Golden Eagles won despite shooting 31.3% from the floor.
Louisiana is 1-11, has lost its last ten games.
— Long Beach State 81, Pepperdine 78
Pepperdine shot 74.2% inside the arc and still lost.
Waves committed 18 turnovers, Long Beach had only nine.
Sixth loss in last seven games for Pepperdine.
2025 luxury taxes in baseball, 2025:
$168,657,856— Dodgers
$86,194,127— Mets
$60,205,499— Bronx
$48,112,313— Phillies
$10,000,000— Padres, Blue Jays
$1,105,612— Astros
Quote of the Day
“We have a 3.0 GPA, that’s wonderful…..if we were running a daycare. We run a competitive basketball program. We’ve got a lot of casual personalities on this team.”
NC State basketball coach Will Wade
Friday’s quiz
What southern city hosts the Independence Bowl every year?
Thursday’s quiz
In 1995, Montreal Expos drafted Tom Brady as a catcher.
Wednesday’s quiz
2000 was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball, when Michigan State won.
*********************************************
Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….
— Seattle 38, Rams 37 OTRams led 30-14 with 9:00 left in the game.
Seahawks ran a punt back 58 yards for a TD to start the comeback.
Seattle went 3-for-3 on two-point conversions.
Smith-Njigba caught 8 passes for 96 yards, all after halftime.
Stafford threw for 457 yards, three TD’s.
Nucua caught 12 passes for 225 yards, two TD’s.
Rams outgained Seattle 581-415.
Seattle takes over first place in the NFC West.
— Miami Dolphins are giving rookie QB Quinn Ewers his first career start this week, at home against Cincinnati; they’re stuck with Tua Tagovailoa for now— his upcoming cap hits:
2025- $39.1M
2026- $56.4M
2027- $53.4M
2028- $65.8M
Dolphins’ front office has a major headache here.
— San Diego Padres signed P Michael King for three years, $75M; he was 5-3, 3.44 in 15 starts last year, after being 13-9, 2.95 in 30 starts in 2024.
— President, general manager, manager of the Washington Nationals are all 35 or younger.
— World Series shares were announced; a full share got the Dodgers players/coaches $484,748 apiece. 82 full shares, 12.5 partial shares were given out.
— Famous birthdays, December 19th:
Tim Reid, 81
Elaine Joyce, 80
Kevin McHale, 68
Jennifer Beals, 62
Arvydas Sabonis, 61
Randall McDaniel, 61
Joe Slusarski, 59
Tom Gugliotta, 56
Alyssa Milano, 53
Warren Sapp, 53
Jake Plummer, 51
Rafael Soriano, 46
— Arkansas State 34, Missouri State 28
Arkansas State led this game 24-7 at halftime.
Missouri State was 8-15 on third down, Ark State 2-11.
Ark State QB Raynor threw for 288 yards, three TD’s.
Both teams had over 100 yards in penalties.
— Missouri QB Beau Pribula is going in the transfer portal, will skip Mizzou’s bowl game against Virginia in the Gator Bowl. In 10 games, Pribula completed 67.4% of his passes for 1,941 yards with 11 TD’s, 9 INT’s. He also ran for 297 yards with six TDs. Pribula spent his first two years in college at Penn State
— TCU QB Josh Hoover is going in the transfer portal, will skip TCU’s bowl game against USC. Hoover has been TCU’s starting quarterback since midway through the 2023 season, throwing for 439 yards and four TD’s in his first start against BYU. In 2024, he set a school record with 3,949 passing yards. He’s not going pro this year; he’ll transfer somewhere, make a lot of $$$ in his last year of college eligibility.
— Texas Longhorns fired their defensive coordinator, hired Will Muschamp to replace him; Muschamp was the Texas defensive coordinator from 2008-10. He was 56-51 as a head coach at Florida, South Carolina.
— Movie of the Day: Margin Call (2011)— This movie is pretty intense, about people at an investment bank over a 24-hour period during the early stages of the 2008 financial crisis.
Kevin Spacey, Demi Moore, Jeremy Irons, Mary McDonnell, Stanley Tucci— good cast.
— Bradley 108, Indiana State 99, 3OTs
Bradley led by 13 early on, trailed by 4 in the third OT.
Indiana State was 30-43 on foul line, Bradley 17-27.
Bradley’s bench outscored the Sycamores’ bench, 47-19
— Illinois State 75, Southern Illinois 68
Salukis led 35-30 at halftime.
Illinois State shot 68.8% inside the arc.
Redbirds are 9-3, shooting 57.3% inside the arc (#54)
— Murray State 81, Drake 72
Racers were 26-31 on foul line, Drake 17-23.
Murray won its last five games, scoring 91.4 ppg.
Racers are rebounding 37.9% of their missed shots (#39)
— Southern Miss 62, Louisiana 54
Southern Miss was 26-39 on foul line, Ragin’ Cajuns 10-13.
Golden Eagles won despite shooting 31.3% from the floor.
Louisiana is 1-11, has lost its last ten games.
— Long Beach State 81, Pepperdine 78
Pepperdine shot 74.2% inside the arc and still lost.
Waves committed 18 turnovers, Long Beach had only nine.
Sixth loss in last seven games for Pepperdine.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 20,204
- 30
- 48
NCAAB
Friday, December 19
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Trend Report
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Friday, December 19
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Trend Report
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Friday, December 19
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| HALL at PROV | 06:30 PM | HALL -1.5***** | +500 |
| MSM at DREX | 07:00 PM | DREX -4.5***** | +500 |
| EMU at AKR | 07:00 PM | AKR -15.5***** U 156.5***** | +500 +500 |
| LAS at HP | 07:00 PM | HP -13.5***** O 148.5***** | +500 +500 |
| NORF at JKST | 07:30 PM | JKST +5.5***** | +500 |
| TLSA at WKU | 07:30 PM | TLSA -2.5***** U 157.5***** | +500 +500 |
| ALCN at BAY | 08:00 PM | ALCN +34.5***** | +500 |
| VILL at WIS | 08:00 PM | VILL +4.5***** | +500 |
| BEL at UCI | 09:00 PM | BEL +1.5***** | +500 |
| AC at BYU | 09:30 PM | U 145.5***** | +500 |
| FAU at SMC | 10:00 PM | FAU +13.5***** | +500 |
| UNA at LMU | 10:00 PM | LMU -9.5***** | +500 |
| USD at UCSD | 10:00 PM | UCSD -14.5***** | +500 |
| MORG at CAL | 10:00 PM | MORG +26.5***** | +500 |
| CP at UCLA | 10:00 PM | CP +24.5***** | +500 |
| WASH at SEA | 11:30 PM | O 149.5***** | +500 |
CNOTES COLLEGE HOOPS DECEMBER BEST BETS !
12/19/2025.............9 - 10 - 0.................47.36%............- 10.00
12/18/2025...............6 - 6 - 0..................50.00%............- 3.00
12/17/2025...............5 - 10 - 0...............33.33%.............- 25.00
12/16/2025.............10 - 9 - 0.................55..00%............+ 0.50
12/15/2025...............6 - 3 - 0..................66.66%............+ 13.50
12/14/2025..............3 - 10 - 0................23.07%.............- 40.00
12/132025.............17.- 18 - 0................48.52%..............- 14.00
12/12/2025................4 - 3 - 0................57.14%..............+ 3.50
12/11/2025................4 - 6 - 0................40.00%..............- 13.00
12/10/2025................8 - 5 - 0................61.53................+ 12.50
12/09/2025................6 - 5 - 1................54.54%..............+ 2.50
12/08/2025................2 - 3 - 0................40.00%..............- 6.50
12/07/2025...............10 - 4 - 0...............71.42%...............+ 28.00
12/06/2025...............8 - 18 - 0...............30.76%...............- 59.00
12/05/2025................8 - 5 - 0...............61.53%...............+ 12.50
12/04/2025................3 - 3 - 0...............50.00%...............- 1.50
12/03/2025................5 - 6 - 0...............45.45%...............- 8.00
12/01/2025................6 - 4 - 0...............60.00%...............+ 8.00
TOTALS...............120 - 128 - 1...............48.38%..............- 99.00
12/19/2025.............9 - 10 - 0.................47.36%............- 10.00
12/18/2025...............6 - 6 - 0..................50.00%............- 3.00
12/17/2025...............5 - 10 - 0...............33.33%.............- 25.00
12/16/2025.............10 - 9 - 0.................55..00%............+ 0.50
12/15/2025...............6 - 3 - 0..................66.66%............+ 13.50
12/14/2025..............3 - 10 - 0................23.07%.............- 40.00
12/132025.............17.- 18 - 0................48.52%..............- 14.00
12/12/2025................4 - 3 - 0................57.14%..............+ 3.50
12/11/2025................4 - 6 - 0................40.00%..............- 13.00
12/10/2025................8 - 5 - 0................61.53................+ 12.50
12/09/2025................6 - 5 - 1................54.54%..............+ 2.50
12/08/2025................2 - 3 - 0................40.00%..............- 6.50
12/07/2025...............10 - 4 - 0...............71.42%...............+ 28.00
12/06/2025...............8 - 18 - 0...............30.76%...............- 59.00
12/05/2025................8 - 5 - 0...............61.53%...............+ 12.50
12/04/2025................3 - 3 - 0...............50.00%...............- 1.50
12/03/2025................5 - 6 - 0...............45.45%...............- 8.00
12/01/2025................6 - 4 - 0...............60.00%...............+ 8.00
TOTALS...............120 - 128 - 1...............48.38%..............- 99.00
