CNOTES 2025-2026 FOOTBALL SCHEDULE + NEWS, NOTES BEST BETS !

Cnotes53

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Friday’s 6-pack:
2025 luxury taxes in baseball, 2025:
$168,657,856— Dodgers
$86,194,127— Mets
$60,205,499— Bronx
$48,112,313— Phillies
$10,000,000— Padres, Blue Jays
$1,105,612— Astros

Quote of the Day
“We have a 3.0 GPA, that’s wonderful…..if we were running a daycare. We run a competitive basketball program. We’ve got a lot of casual personalities on this team.”
NC State basketball coach Will Wade

Friday’s quiz
What southern city hosts the Independence Bowl every year?

Thursday’s quiz
In 1995, Montreal Expos drafted Tom Brady as a catcher.

Wednesday’s quiz
2000 was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball, when Michigan State won.

*********************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

— Seattle 38, Rams 37 OT
Rams led 30-14 with 9:00 left in the game.
Seahawks ran a punt back 58 yards for a TD to start the comeback.
Seattle went 3-for-3 on two-point conversions.
Smith-Njigba caught 8 passes for 96 yards, all after halftime.
Stafford threw for 457 yards, three TD’s.
Nucua caught 12 passes for 225 yards, two TD’s.
Rams outgained Seattle 581-415.
Seattle takes over first place in the NFC West.

— Miami Dolphins are giving rookie QB Quinn Ewers his first career start this week, at home against Cincinnati; they’re stuck with Tua Tagovailoa for now— his upcoming cap hits:
2025- $39.1M
2026- $56.4M
2027- $53.4M
2028- $65.8M
Dolphins’ front office has a major headache here.

— San Diego Padres signed P Michael King for three years, $75M; he was 5-3, 3.44 in 15 starts last year, after being 13-9, 2.95 in 30 starts in 2024.
— President, general manager, manager of the Washington Nationals are all 35 or younger.

— World Series shares were announced; a full share got the Dodgers players/coaches $484,748 apiece. 82 full shares, 12.5 partial shares were given out.

Famous birthdays, December 19th:
Tim Reid, 81
Elaine Joyce, 80
Kevin McHale, 68
Jennifer Beals, 62
Arvydas Sabonis, 61
Randall McDaniel, 61
Joe Slusarski, 59
Tom Gugliotta, 56
Alyssa Milano, 53
Warren Sapp, 53
Jake Plummer, 51
Rafael Soriano, 46

— Arkansas State 34, Missouri State 28
Arkansas State led this game 24-7 at halftime.
Missouri State was 8-15 on third down, Ark State 2-11.
Ark State QB Raynor threw for 288 yards, three TD’s.
Both teams had over 100 yards in penalties.

— Missouri QB Beau Pribula is going in the transfer portal, will skip Mizzou’s bowl game against Virginia in the Gator Bowl. In 10 games, Pribula completed 67.4% of his passes for 1,941 yards with 11 TD’s, 9 INT’s. He also ran for 297 yards with six TDs. Pribula spent his first two years in college at Penn State

— TCU QB Josh Hoover is going in the transfer portal, will skip TCU’s bowl game against USC. Hoover has been TCU’s starting quarterback since midway through the 2023 season, throwing for 439 yards and four TD’s in his first start against BYU. In 2024, he set a school record with 3,949 passing yards. He’s not going pro this year; he’ll transfer somewhere, make a lot of $$$ in his last year of college eligibility.

— Texas Longhorns fired their defensive coordinator, hired Will Muschamp to replace him; Muschamp was the Texas defensive coordinator from 2008-10. He was 56-51 as a head coach at Florida, South Carolina.

Movie of the Day: Margin Call (2011)— This movie is pretty intense, about people at an investment bank over a 24-hour period during the early stages of the 2008 financial crisis.
Kevin Spacey, Demi Moore, Jeremy Irons, Mary McDonnell, Stanley Tucci— good cast.

— Bradley 108, Indiana State 99, 3OTs
Bradley led by 13 early on, trailed by 4 in the third OT.
Indiana State was 30-43 on foul line, Bradley 17-27.
Bradley’s bench outscored the Sycamores’ bench, 47-19

— Illinois State 75, Southern Illinois 68
Salukis led 35-30 at halftime.
Illinois State shot 68.8% inside the arc.
Redbirds are 9-3, shooting 57.3% inside the arc (#54)

— Murray State 81, Drake 72
Racers were 26-31 on foul line, Drake 17-23.
Murray won its last five games, scoring 91.4 ppg.
Racers are rebounding 37.9% of their missed shots (#39)

— Southern Miss 62, Louisiana 54
Southern Miss was 26-39 on foul line, Ragin’ Cajuns 10-13.
Golden Eagles won despite shooting 31.3% from the floor.
Louisiana is 1-11, has lost its last ten games.

— Long Beach State 81, Pepperdine 78
Pepperdine shot 74.2% inside the arc and still lost.
Waves committed 18 turnovers, Long Beach had only nine.
Sixth loss in last seven games for Pepperdine.
 

Cnotes53

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Week 16 NFL spreads:
— Jaguars @ Denver (-3.5)
— Falcons (-3) @ Arizona
— Raiders @ Houston (-14.5)
— Steelers @ Detroit (-7)
— Patriots @ Baltimore (-3)
— 49ers (-5.5) @ Indianapolis

Quote of the Day
“My guess is most of the teams will not allow their pitchers to do it. That would be my guess.”
Reds manager Terry Francona, on whether teams will let their pitchers use the new challenge system when the season starts. Only pitchers, catchers, hitters can challenge pitches.

Saturday’s quiz
On the old TV show Seinfeld, what well-known actor played George Costanza’s father?

Friday’s quiz
Shreveport, LA hosts the Independence Bowl every year.

Thursday’s quiz
In 1995, Montreal Expos drafted Tom Brady as a catcher.

*****************************************

Saturday’s Den: Random notes on a very windy night…….

— Alabama 34, Oklahoma 24
Oklahoma led 17-0 early in the second quarter.
Alabama tied game on a pick-6 1:18 before halftime.
Sooners QB Matter threw for 307 yards, but the pick-6 was costly.
Crimson Tide advances to play Indiana in the next round of the playoffs.

— NC State 31, Memphis 7
Wolfpack’s first four drives: 16 plays, 144 yards, 21 points.
NC State led 31-7 at the half; rest of game was scoreless.
Memphis lost its last four games, after an 8-1 start.
Favorites are 6-2 ATS in last eight Gasparilla Bowls.

— Western Michigan 41, Kennesaw State 6
WMU scored on a 65-yard TD run on first play of theme.
Broncos ran ball 43 times for 303 yards (7 yards/carry)
Jalen Buckley ran ball for 174 yards and a TD.
Kershawn Fisher scored on a 47-yard fumble return.

— There was a three-way trade in baseball Friday:
Pirates acquired 2B Brandon Lowe, OF Jake Mangum, P Mason Montgomery
Astros acquired P Mike Burrows
Rays acquired OF Jacob Melton, P Anderson Brito

— Baltimore Orioles acquired P Shane Baz from division rival Tampa Bay; Orioles sent prospects to the Rays:
OF Slater de Brun
C Caden Borine
OF Austin Over
P Michael Fornet
Baz isn’t a free agent until after the 2028 season.

— NBA All-Star Game this year is going to be US vs the World; they’re trying to make the game more competitive. Hopefully this won’t make the game too competitive, but it should be more fun to watch this year.

— Baylor, Memphis, Miami are three college basketball teams who have totally new rosters this season. Baylor is 8-2, Memphis 4-6 (but they did upset Baylor), Miami is 10-2, albeit vs schedule #313.

Famous birthdays, December 20th:
Dick Wolf, 79 (producer of Law and Order)
Cecil Cooper, 76
Jenny Agutter, 73
Tom Newberry, 63
Rich Gannon, 60
James Shields, 44
David Wright, 43
Jonah Hill, 42
De’Aaron Fox, 28
The great actor John Hillerman was born on this day in 1932.

— Villanova 76, Wisconsin 66, OT
Villanova led by 15 early in second half.
Wisconsin committed 16 turnovers, Wildcats only 8.
Villanova is 9-2, 1-2 vs top 100 teams.

— San Diego 82, Cal-San Diego 80
Toreros banked in a 3-pointer with 0:00.5 left for the win.
Toreros were a 13-point underdog.
San Diego led by 15 with 13:49 left in the game.
Cal-San Diego shot 66.7% inside arc, only 8-26 on the arc.

— Seton Hall 72, Providence 67
11-1 Seton Hall wins Big East opener; they played non-conference schedule #304
Providence is 7-6, 0-6 vs teams in the top 100.
Seton Hall plays Villanova Tuesday, which should be interesting.

— College sports has become minor league sports:
USC’s best player Rodney Rice is out for the year with an injured shoulder; Trojans then added Kam Woods to replace Rice. Woods has had an interesting career:
2020-21- Troy State
2021-22- Northwest Florida CC (won a national title there)
2022-23- North Carolina A&T
2023-24- NC State
2024-25- Robert Morris (scored 14.9 ppg)
2025-26- USC……..Mr Woods should write a book someday.

— Seattle 70, Washington 66
Impressive win for the Redhawks, who just moved up to the WCC.
Washington led by 9 early in the second half.
Teams combined to shoot 4-37 on the arc.
10-2 Seattle’s two losses were by a total of five points (Cal Poly/UCSB)

— Tulsa 82, Western Kentucky 81
Hilltoppers led 37-30 at halftime.
Tulsa has won eight in a row, is 11-1- they’re shooting 40.9% on arc (#5)
Tulsa shot 65% inside the arc.

— Louisville has a player, Isaac McKneely, who has an interesting stat line:
foul shots: 10-12
2-point shots: 8-14
3-point shots: 31-80
If you’re guarding this guy, you shouldn’t play help defense; McKneely’s only job is to shoot 3’s, can’t leave him alone on the arc.
 

Udog

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NFL
Weather Report

Saturday, December 20


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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 16

Saturday’s games
Eagles
(-7) @ Commanders
Eagles (9-5)
Eagles lost of their last four games.
Philly is 6-0 when they score more than 21 points.
Eagles are 3-5 when they allow more than 20 points.
QB Hurts is 60-28 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 62-28 as an NFL coach.


Eagles are 7-5 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite.
Philly is 13-7 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Five of last six games, Eagles stayed under their team total.
Last two games, Eagles outgained opponents, 752-350.
Eagles are 4-12-1 ATS in last 17 NFC East road games.


Commanders (4-10)
QB Daniels (left elbow) is OFY; backup Mariota will start.
Commanders are 1-8 SU/2-7 ATS in their last nine games.
Washington is 0-9 when it allows more than 24 points.
QB Mariota is 37-45 as an NFL starter.
Quinn is 64-59 as an NFL coach.


Last nine games, Commanders are minus-12 in turnovers.
Commanders are 1-5 in games decided by 9 or fewer points.
Opponents’ over/under total: over 9-4 last thirteen games.
Washington is 23-16-1 ATS in last 40 games coming off a win.
Washington is 5-7-1 ATS last 13 NFC East home games.


Eagles won 12 of last 15 series games.
Eagles are 6-2 SU/4-3-1 ATS in last eight visits to Washington.
Over is 8-3 in last eleven meetings.


Packers @ Bears (-1.5)
Packers (9-4-1)
Packers won/covered their last five games.
Green Bay is 9-1-1 when it scores 23+ points, 0-3 otherwise.
Green Bay is 4-4-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
QB Love is 28-21-1 as an NFL starter
LaFleur is 79-42-1 as an NFL head coach.


Packers are 18-8 ATS last 26 games as a road underdog.
Packers are 6-9-1 ATS last 16 games coming off a loss.
Green Bay is 5-2 ATS in last seven NFC North road games.
Last five games, Green Bay is +4 in turnovers.
Packers converted 46 of last 88 third down plays.


Bears (10-4)
Bears won six of seven, 10 of last 12 games.
Bears are 10-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-3 scoring less.
In wins, Chicago was +23 in turnovers; minus-3 in losses.
Ben Johnson is 10-4 as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams is 15-16 as an NFL starter.


Chicago is 6-2 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
Chicago is 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Bears are 8-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
Bears are 6-1 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
Chicago is 3-12-1 ATS in last 16 NFC North home games.


Bears (+6) lost 28-21 at Green Bay, two weeks ago.
Green Bay won 13 of last 14 series games.
Packers are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in last six visits to Chicago.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
 

Cnotes53

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Saturday, December 20

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
PHI at WAS05:00 PMWAS +7.0*****
O 44.5*****
+500 +500
GB at CHI08:20 PMCHI -1.0*****
U 46.5*****
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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CNOTES DECEMBER NFL BEST BETS !

12/20/2025...............3 - 1 - 0...........75.00%...............+9.50
12/18/2025...............1 - 1 - 0...........50.00%...............- 0.50
12/15/2025...............1 - 1 - 0............50.00%..............- 0.50
12/14/2025...............8 - 7 - 0............53.33%..............+ 1.50
12/11/2025...............1 - 1 - 0............50.00%..............- 0.50
12/08/2025...............2 - 0 - 0...........100.00%..............+ 10.00
12/07/2025...............4 - 8 - 0............33.33%..............- 24.00
12/04/2025...............0 - 2 - 0.............00.00%..............- 11.00
12/01/2025...............1 - 1 - 0.............50.00%..............- 0.50


TOTALS..................21 -22 - 0.............48.83%...............- 16.00
 

Cnotes53

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
Teams getting fewest %age of their points on 3-point shots:
17.2%— Southern Illinois
18.7%— Southern Miss
18.9%— Texas State
19.3%— Cal-Bakersfield
19.8%— Louisiana Tech
21.2%— Lindenwood

Quote of the Day
“To know what they’ve been through, and know the direction that they could have gone; they came here for some guys that looked like they left them, and they were able to battle through that. And for them to get the outcome that they deserve was awesome.”
Ole Miss football coach Pete Golding

Sunday’s quiz
Who was the Eagles’ QB, last time they won the NFC East in consecutive years?

Saturday’s quiz
On the old TV show Seinfeld, Jerry Stiller played George Costanza’s father.

Friday’s quiz
Shreveport, LA hosts the Independence Bowl every year.

***********************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……

— Bears 22, Packers 16 OT
Green Bay led 16-6 with 3:00 left in regulation
Bears recovered an onside kick to set up the game-tying score.
46-yard TD pass in OT from Williams to Moore ended the game.
Green Bay QB Love (concussion) was knocked out of the game.
Packers ran the ball 44 times for 192 yards.
Green Bay backup QB Willis was 9-11/121 yards off the bench.
Chicago overcame 10 penalties for 105 yards.
Bears lead NFC North by 1.5 games with two weeks left.
Pet Peeve of the Day: If Malik Willis got hurt in this game, Green Bay didn’t have a #3 QB to put in the game. This is stupid; every team should have a #3 QB available who can play when the top two QB’s are hurt. This seems obvious.

— Eagles 29, Commanders 18
Eagles clinch NFC East for second year in a row.
First time since 2004 NFC East has a repeat champ.
Eagles ran ball 34 times for 207 yards.
Philly outgained Washington 385-220.
Commanders are 1-8 SU/2-7 ATS in their last nine games.
Washington is 4-11 this year, after going 12-5 last year.
Eagles won 13 of last 16 games vs Washington.
Only nine of Philly’s 66 plays came on third down.

— Miami 10, Texas A&M 3
Game was scoreless at halftime.
Miami drove 86 yards, scored game’s only TD with 1:44 left.
Aggies outgained Miami 326-278, but had 3 turnovers (minus-2)
Miami plays Ohio State in next round, New Year’s Eve in Dallas.

— Ole Miss 41, Tulane 10
First two Ole Miss drives: 7 plays, 135 yards, 14 points.
Rebels averaged 10.2 yards per pass attempt.
First four Ole Miss drives in 3rd quarter: 26 plays, 177 yards, 24 points.
Rebels play Georgia next, New Year’s Day in the Sugar Bowl.


— Oregon 51, James Madison 34
Oregon led 34-6 at halftime.
Ducks ran ball 26 times for 201 yards.
JMU QB Barnett threw for 273 yards, two TD’s.
Ducks play Texas Tech next, January 1st in the Orange Bowl.

— College basketball Upsets of the Day:
Loyola Chi (+16) 80, Santa Clara 78
Jacksonville State (+11.5) 81, East Tennessee State 75
Liberty (+10.5) 64, Dayton 61
Georgia State (+9.5) 70, Appalachian State 63
Texas Tech (+8.5) 82, Duke 81
Denver (+8.5) 82, Northern Colorado 79

— Texas Tech 82, Duke 81

Duke led by 17 with 16;31 left to play.
Red Raiders shot 69.4% inside the arc.
Tech is 10-3 against schedule #19.
Duke is 11-1, against schedule #47.
— Kentucky 78, St John’s 66
St John’s led 32-25 at halftime.
Only second win in six top 100 games for Kentucky.
Wildcats out-rebounded St John’s 39-28
Red Storm shot only 37.5% inside the arc.

— North Carolina 71, Ohio State 70
Tar Heels scored winning basket with 0:07 left.
Caleb Wilson scored 20 points, had 15 rebounds for UNC.
North Carolina shot 55.6% inside the arc.

— Houston 94, Arkansas 85
Houston led 40-19 midway thru first half.
Cougars shot 56.8% inside arc, scored 1.28 points/possession.
Houston is 11-1, 4-1 vs top 100 teams (lost by 3 to Tennessee)

Famous birthdays, December 21st:
Josh Mostel, 79
Samuel L Jackson, 77
Dave Kingman, 77
Dennis Boutsikaris, 73
Ray Romano, 69
Andy Van Slyke, 65
Roger McDowell, 65
Michelle Hurd, 59
Kiefer Sutherland, 59
LaTroy Hawkins, 53
Mike Alstott, 52
Kendall Graveman, 35
Michael Brockers, 35
Cooper Flagg, 19

— Purdue 88, Auburn 60
Purdue shot 12-26 on arc, scored 1.35 points/possession.
Boilermakers are 11-1 vs schedule #31.
Auburn is 8-4; all four losses were against top 10 teams.

— Nevada 81, Boise State 66
Nevada shot 58.3% inside arc, scored 1.3 points/possession.
Wolf Pack has won five in a row, is 9-3 this season.
Nevada is getting 27% of points on foul line (#9 in country)

— UNLV 84, Fresno State 72
Rebels outscored Fresno 28-12 over the last 9:19 of the game.
UNLV shot 73.1% inside the arc.
Rebels are 5-6, with three losses to teams outside the top 200.

— Northern Illinois 74, Central Michigan 73
Chippewas led by 20 with 14:30 left in the game.
Huskies were 25-34 on foul line, Central Michigan 7-13.
Both teams shot over 60% inside the arc.

— Virginia Tech 82, Elon 81 OT
Elon of the CAA led by 19 late in the first half.
Tech is 11-2, 4-2 vs top 100 teams; they’ve played schedule #181.
Hokies are 3-0 in overtime games this season.
 

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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 16

Sunday’s games
Jets
@ Saints (-6.5)
Jets (3-11)
Jets lost four of last five games, losing last two, 34-10/48-20.
Jets are 0-9 when they score less than 27 points.
Last six games, Jets gained 169-245-282-269-207-284 TY.
Undrafted rookie QB Cook is 0-1 as an NFL starter.
Aaron Glenn is 3-11 as a head coach.


Jets are 5-10-1 ATS last 16 games as a road underdog
Jets are 12-18-1 ATS last 31 games coming off a loss.
Jets have four losses by more than 13 points.
Jets are minus-17 in turnovers this season.
Jets are 7-20-1 ATS in last 28 games vs NFC teams.


Saints (4-10)
Saints are 3-2 in last five games, after a 1-8 start.
Saints are +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-11 in losses.
Saints gained less than 300 yards in seven of last nine games
26-year old rookie QB Shough is 3-3 as an NFL starter.
Kellen Moore is 4-10 as a head coach.


Saints are 8-10 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite.
Saints are 8-13 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
In eight of last 10 games, Saints ran ball for less than 100 yards.
Saints are 2-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Saints are 7-11 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC teams.


Saints won four of last five series games.
Jets are 1-2 SU/2-1 ATS in last three visits to New Orleans.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Bills (-10.5) @ Browns
Bills (10-4)
Bills won six of their last eight games.
Buffalo scored 26+ points in wins, 20-14-13-19 in losses.
Buffalo is +8 in turnovers in wins, minus-8 in losses.
QB Allen is 93-44 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 102-56 as an NFL head coach.


Bills are 14-12 ATS last 26 games as a road favorite.
Bills are 15-16-1 ATS in last 32 games coming off a win.
Buffalo is 10-0 when they score more than 20 points.
Last six games, Buffalo is minus-3 in turnovers.
Bills gave up 246 rushing yards in last week’s win at Foxboro.
Under is 5-2 in their road games.


Browns (3-11)
Cleveland lost three in row, nine of its last 11 games.
Browns are 0-11 when they allow more than 10 points.
Last four games, Browns are minus-7 in turnovers.
Rookie QB Sanders is 1-3 as an NFL starter
Stefanski is 44-59 as a head coach.


Browns are 2-9 SU/3-8 ATS in last 11 games.
Browns are 10-7-1 ATS last 18 games as a home underdog.
Cleveland is 8-15 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
Last two weeks, Browns ran ball for 61-50 yards.
Under is 4-2 in Cleveland’s home games.


Buffalo won five of last seven series games.
Bills lost three of their last four visits to Cleveland.
Under is 5-3 in last eight meetings.


Chiefs (-3) @ Titans
Chiefs (6-8)
Chiefs are out of playoffs for first time since 2014
Chiefs are 6-3 giving up 20 or less points, 0-5 giving up 21+.
Chiefs are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five road games.
Backup QB Minshew is 17-29 as an NFL starter.
Andy Reid is 307-171-1 as an NFL head coach


Chiefs are 17-23-1 ATS last 41 games as a road favorite.
Chiefs are 18-27 ATS last 45 games coming off a loss.
Chiefs held seven of last nine opponents under 100 yards rushing. /
Last seven games, Chiefs team total: under 6-0-1.
Under is 8-1 in last nine Kansas City games.


Titans (2-12)
Tennessee lost eight of its last nine games.
Titans covered four of their last six games.
Interim coach McCoy was 28-38 coaching Chargers from 2013-16.
Rookie QB Ward is 2-12 as an NFL starter.
Titans are 0-7 SU/3-4 ATS at home this season.


Last week was only third time TY Titans gained 300+ yards.
Titans are 8-17 ATS in last 25 games as an underdog.
Tennessee is 6-17-1 ATS last 24 games coming off a loss.
Titans held three of last five foes under 80 yards rushing.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.


Titans won five of last seven series games.
Chiefs lost their last two visits to Nashville, 27-3/35-32.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.


Chargers @ Cowboys (-1.5)
Chargers (10-4)
Chargers won three in row, six of their last seven games.
Chargers were held under 300 TY in three of last four games.
Bolts are 6-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
QB Herbert is 41-44 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 69-33-1 as an NFL head coach.


Chargers are 2-4 ATS last six games as a road underdog.
Chargers are 14-11-1 ATS in last 26 games vs NFC teams.
Bolts are 9-1 when they allow 21 or fewer points.
Chargers are +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-5 in losses.
Chargers are 11-7 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.


Cowboys (6-7-1)
Dallas lost its last two games, allowing 44-34 points.
Last six games, Dallas is minus-8 in turnovers
Dallas is minus-11 in turnovers in losses, +3 in wins.
QB Prescott is 84-58-1 as an NFL starter.
Brian Schottenheimer is 6-7-1 as a head coach.


Cowboys are 11-7 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite.
Dallas is 5-0-1 scoring 33+ points, 1-7 otherwise.
Cowboys are 5-9 ATS last 14 games coming off a loss.
Over is 5-2 in their home games this year.
Last eight games, Dallas’ team total: over 6-2-1
NFC East non-divisional home teams are 8-11 ATS


Teams split their last six series games.
Chargers won their last threevisits to Dallas.
Under is 3-0 in last three meetings.
Brian Schottenheimer’s dad Marty coached Chargers from 2002-06.


Vikings (-2.5) @ Giants
Vikings (6-7)
Vikings have won consecutive games for first time this year.
Last two games, Minnesota scored 31-34 points.
Vikings are 1-8 when they score less than 27 points.
McCarthy is 4-4 as an NFL starter.
O’Connell is 40-26 as an NFL head coach.


Vikings are 10-2-3 ATS last 15 games as a road favorite.
Last six games, Vikings are minus-9 in turnovers.
Vikings are 15-8-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
Five of last six Minnesota games stayed under the total.
Last six games, Vikings are minus-9 in turnovers.
NFL North non-divisional favorites are 15-11 ATS


Giants (2-12)
Giants lost their last eight games (3-5 ATS)
Giants allowed 18-17 points in wins, 21+ points in losses.
Giants have fired their head coach, a few assistants
Rookie QB Dart is 2-7 as an NFL starter.
OC Kafka is the interim coach, is also calling plays.


Giants are 5-9 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
Giants are 21-20 ATS in last 41 games coming off a loss.
Eight of Giants’ last ten games went over the total.
Giants are +4 in turnovers in wins, minus-10 in losses.
NFC East non-divisional underdogs are 8-12 ATS


Minnesota won five of last six series games.
Vikings are 4-1 SU/ATS in last five trips to New Jersey.
Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.


Buccaneers (-3) @ Panthers
Buccaneers (7-7)
Tampa Bay lost six of its last eight games, after a 5-1 start.
Tampa Bay lost last two games by total of five points.
Bucs are 5-0 when they allow less than 24 points.
Mayfield is 59-63 as an NFL starter, 27-24 with the Bucs.
Bowles is 61-75 as a head coach, 35-34 with Tampa Bay.


Tampa Bay is 9-11 ATS last 20 games as a road favorite.
Bucs are 12-7-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Bucs are 9-5 ATS in last 14 NFC South road games.
Bucs are 5-4 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Under is 5-2 in Tampa Bay’s road games this year.


Panthers (7-7)
Carolina is 5-1 when they score 27+ points, 2-6 when they don’t
Panthers are 6-2 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Carolina is +6 in turnovers in wins, minus-7 in losses
QB Young is 13-28 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 12-19 as a head coach.


Panthers are 4-2 SU at home this season.
Carolina is 8-5 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite.
Carolina is 2-4 when it allows more than 24 points.
Five of last seven games, Panthers gained less than 285 yards.
Carolina is 7-3-1 ATS in last 11 NFC South home games.

These teams are tied for first atop the NFC South.
Tampa Bay won four in row, 10 of last 11 series games.
Bucs are 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in last six visits to Charlotte.
These teams play again in two weeks, in Tampa


Bengals (-4.5) @ Dolphins
Bengals (4-10)
Bengals lost 10 of their last 12 games.
Bengals are 1-7 when they score less than 31 points.
Bengals are 3-4 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Burrow is 46-34-1 as an NFL starter.
Taylor is 55-64-1 as a head coach.


Bengals are 1-3 ATS as a favorite this year.
Cincinnati is 12-7 ATS last 19 games as home favorites.
Bengals are 9-7 ATS last 16 games coming off a loss.
Bengals are +7 in turnovers in wins, minus-12 in losses.
AFC North non-divisional favorites are 7-10 ATS


Dolphins (6-8)
Miami won four of last five games, after a 2-7 start.
Miami allowed 27+ points in all eight losses.
Dolphins are 6-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
Rookie QB Ewers gets his first NFL start.
Tagovailoa has been benched, for now.
McDaniel is 33-33 as a head coach.


Miami is 10-6 ATS last 16 games as a home underdog.
Miami is 12-7-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Dolphins were held under 300 TY in two of last three games.
Dolphins are 3-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Last five games, Miami is +6 in turnovers.


Teams split last six series games.
Home team won/covered all six games.
Bengals are 0-3 SU/ATS in last three visits to Miami.
Under is 5-1-1 in last seven meetings.


Jaguars @ Broncos (-3.5)
Jaguars (10-4)
Jacksonville won their last five games, giving up 14.4 ppg
Jaguars are 10-1 if they allow fewer than 31 points.
Jacksonville has five wins by more than 13 points.
QB Lawrence is 33-43 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 10-4 as an NFL head coach.


Jaguars are 4-3 ATS as an underdog this year,
Jaguars are 19-14 ATS in last 33 games coming off a win.
Jaguars held four of last five opponents under 300 total yards.
Last three games, Jaguars are +6 in turnovers.
Jaguars gave ip 31+ points in three of their four losses.


Broncos (12-2)
Broncos won their last 11 games, last six by 8 or less points.
Seven of their last ten wins were by 4 or fewer points.
Denver ran for less than 100 yards in 4 of last 5 games.
QB Nix is 22-10 as an NFL starter.
Payton is 191-116 as an NFL head coach, 30-19 with Denver.


Denver is 11-7 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite.
Underdogs covered their last six games.
Denver is 11-8 ATS in last 19 games coming off a win.
Over is 3-0 in their last three games.
AFC West non-divisional favorites are 8-17 ATS.


Broncos won four of last five series games.
Jaguars won three of last four visits to Denver.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.


Falcons (-3) @ Cardinals
Falcons (5-9)
Atlanta lost seven of its last nine games.
Falcons are 2-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Atlanta is 2-9 when it allows more than 14 points.
QB Cousins is 86-80-2 as an NFL starter, 9-10 with Falcons.
Morris is 34-56 as a head coach.


Atlanta is 3-8-1 ATS last 12 games as a road favorite (0-2 TY).
Falcons are 5-13 ATS last 18 games coming off a win.
Atlanta went over its team total in six of its last seven games.
Falcons allowed 27+ points in five of their last six games.
Over is 6-1 in last seven Atlanta games.


Cardinals (3-11)
Cardinals lost six in row, 11 of last 12 games.
Last five games, Arizona ran ball for 36-55-95-51-72 yards.
Cardinals are 0-8 when they allow more than 22 points.
Brissett is 20-42 as an NFL starter.
Gannon is 15-33 as an NFL head coach.


Last six games, Arizona gave up 37.8 ppg.
Cardinals are 1-3 ATS as a home underdog TY.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 21-15 ATS as an underdog.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 8-7 ATS as a home underdog.
Arizona is 24-19 ATS in last 43 games coming off a loss.


Atlanta won six of last nine series games.
Falcons are 0-4 SU/ATS in last four visits to Arizona.
Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.


Raiders @ Texans (-14.5)
Raiders (2-12)
Raiders lost eight games in a row, 12 of last 13.
Raiders allowed 13-10 points in their wins
Last six games, Raiders gained only 168 yards/game.
QB Geno Smith is 42-56 as an NFL starter.
Carroll is 183-143-1 as an NFL head coach.


Raiders are 12-19-2 ATS last 33 games as an underdog.
Raiders are 5-10 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
Las Vegas has eight losses by 11+ points this season.
Raiders are 13-18-1 ATS in last 32 games coming off a loss.
AFC West non-divisional underdogs are 8-6 ATS.


Texans (9-5)
Houston won its last six games (5-1 ATS).
Texans are 8-0 when they score 20+ points.
Texans held 10 of 14 opponents under 300 TY.
Stroud is 27-20 as an NFL starter.
Ryans is 31-21 in as an NFL head coach.


Houston is 9-16-1 ATS last 26 games as a home favorite.
Texans are 14-10-1 ATS last 25 games coming off a win.
Houston is 5-0 in games decided by 10+ points, 4-5 in games decided by 8 or less.
AFC South non-divisional favorites are 7-5 ATS
Last eleven games, Texans are +17 in turnovers.


Raiders won four of last six series games.
Raiders are 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS in last five visits to Houston.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.


Steelers @ Lions (-7)
Steelers (8-6)
Steelers won their last two games, scoring 27-28 points.
Pittsburgh is 7-0 when it allows less than 25 points.
Steelers are +14 in turnovers in wins, minus-6 in losses.
Rodgers is 172-102-1 as an NFL starter
Tomlin is 199-124-2 as a head coach.


Steelers are 20-14 ATS last 34 games as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh is 3-4 ATS as an underdog this year.
Steelers are 18-13-1 ATS last 32 games coming off a win.
Steelers rare 11-8 ATS in last 19 games vs NFC teams.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.


Lions (8-6)
Detroit is 4-5 in its last seven games, after a 4-1 start.
Lions are 1-5 when they score less than 34 points.
Detroit was held to 13-17-24-9-24-34 points in its losses.
QB Goff is 93-63-1 as an NFL starter, 51-36-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 55-43-1 as an NFL head coach.
.
Lions are 18-11 ATS last 29 games as a home favorite.
Detroit is 6-3 ATS as a favorite this year.
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Lions are 11-1 ATS last 12 games coming off a loss.
Last 13 games, Lions are +10 in turnovers.
Detroit is 16-8 ATS last 24 games vs AFC teams.


Pittsburgh is 5-0-1 SU in last six series games.
Steelers won 20-15/28-20 in last two visits to Detroit.
Over is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Patriots @ Ravens (-3)
Patriots (11-3)
Patriots had their 10-game win streak snapped last week.
Last five games, Patriots scored 29 points/game.
Opponents’ team total: under 10-2 last 12 games
QB Maye is 14-12 as an NFL starter.
Vrabel is 67-51 as an NFL head coach.


Patriots are 3-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
NE is 9-8-1 ATS last 18 games as a road underdog.
Patriots held six of nine foes under 300 total yards.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Patriots are 11-16 ATS in last 27 games coming off a loss.


Ravens (7-7)
Baltimore won six of its last eight games, after a 1-5 start.
Baltimore is 0-6 when they allow more than 19 points.
Ravens are minus-14 in turnovers in losses, +10 in wins.
QB Jackson is 79-34 as an NFL starter
John Harbaugh is 192-122 as an NFL head coach.


Ravens are 2-5 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Ravens are 15-21 ATS last 36 games as a home favorite
Ravens are 16-14 ATS last 30 games coming off a win.
Last three games, Baltimore converted only 14-46 third down plays.
Under is 7-2 in their last eight games.


Teams split last six series games.
Patriots split their last four visits to Baltimore.
Over is 5-1 in last six meetings.
 

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Sunday, December 21

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MIN at NYG01:00 PMMIN -2.5-*****+500
CIN at MIA01:00 PMCIN -4.5*****
O 48.5*****
+500 +500
NYJ at NO01:00 PMNO -6.0*****+500
TB at CAR01:00 PMCAR +3.0*****+500
BUF at CLE01:00 PMU 41.0*****+500
LAC at DAL01:00 PMLAC +1.0*****+500
KC at TEN01:00 PMTEN +3.0
O 37.5*****
+500 +500
ATL at ARI04:05 PMARI +3.0*****
O 48.5*****
+500 +500
JAC at DEN04:05 PMJAC +3.5*****
O 47.0*****
+500 +500
LV at HOU04:25 PMLV +14.0*****+500
PIT at DET04:25 PMDET -7.5*****+500
NE at BAL08:20 PMBAL -3.0*****
U 48.5*****
+500 +500
 

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CNOTES DECEMBER NFL BEST BETS !

12/21/2025...............8 - 7 - 0...........53.33%................+ 1.50
12/20/2025...............3 - 1 - 0...........75.00%...............+9.50
12/18/2025...............1 - 1 - 0...........50.00%...............- 0.50
12/15/2025...............1 - 1 - 0............50.00%..............- 0.50
12/14/2025...............8 - 7 - 0............53.33%..............+ 1.50
12/11/2025...............1 - 1 - 0............50.00%..............- 0.50
12/08/2025...............2 - 0 - 0...........100.00%..............+ 10.00
12/07/2025...............4 - 8 - 0............33.33%..............- 24.00
12/04/2025...............0 - 2 - 0.............00.00%..............- 11.00
12/01/2025...............1 - 1 - 0.............50.00%..............- 0.50

TOTALS..................29 -29 - 0.............50.00%...............- 14.50
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
Week 17 NFL spreads:
— Cowboys (-5.5) @ Washington
— Lions (-6) @ Minnesota
— Broncos (-12.5) @ Kansas City
— Texans @ Chargers (-1.5)
— Ravens @ Green Bay (-2.5)
— Steelers (-4.5) @ Cleveland

Quote of the Day
“You got to be able to choke someone out. We didn’t do that.”
Oregon football coach Dan Lanning; his Ducks led James Madison 34-6 at the half, wound up winning, 51-34.

Monday’s quiz
Which former NFL quarterback is the all-time leader in passing yardage for the Missouri Tigers?

Sunday’s quiz
Donovan McNabb was the Eagles’ QB, last time they won the NFC East in consecutive years.

Saturday’s quiz
On the old TV show Seinfeld, Jerry Stiller played George Costanza’s father.

******************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..

— Panthers 23, Buccaneers 20
Just 2nd win for Carolina in their last 12 games vs Tampa Bay.
QB Young threw for 191 yards, two TD’s.
Panthers kicked a 48-yard FG with 2:20 left for the winning score.
Carolina now leads the NFC South by a game, with two weeks left.
Tampa Bay lost seven of its last nine games, after a 5-1 start.
Buccaneers lost their last three games by total of eight points.
Tampa Bay was 8-14 on third down, Carolina 6-12.
These teams play again in two weeks, in Tampa.

— Patriots 28, Ravens 24
New England has won 12 of last 13 games; they’re in playoffs.
Ravens led this game 24-13 in the fourth quarter.
QB Maye threw for 380 yards, two TD’s.
Patriots in 4th quarter: 22 plays, 181 yards, 14 points.
QB Jackson hurt his back in the second quarter, didn’t return.
RB Henry ran for 128 yards, 2 TD’s, but only had 18 carries.
Patriots outgained Baltimore, 453-330.
Ravens need two wins and Steelers to lose to Cleveland to win AFC North.

— Steelers 29, Lions 24
Detroit had two TD’s negated by offensive interference in last 0:30 of game.
Lions ran ball only 12 times, for 15 yards.
Steelers won their last three games, scoring 27-28-29 points.
Pittsburgh is 8-0 when it allows less than 25 points.
Steelers ran ball 27 times for 230 yards.
Game was 10-10 at half; Steelers got a safety in third quarter, led 12-10.
RB Warren carried ball 14 times for 143 yards, two TD’s.
Steelers WR Metcalf punched a fan in stands; he’ll hear from the league.

— Jaguars 34, Broncos 20
Jacksonville won their last six games, giving up 15.3 ppg.
Jaguars were 8-15 on third down, Denver 5-14.
QB Lawrence threw for 279 yards, 3 TD’s, also ran for a TD.
Right now, Jaguars are the #3-seed in the AFC.
Loss ends Denver’s 11-game winning streak.
QB Nix threw for 352 yards, but only one TD.
Broncos lead Chargers by a game in AFC West; they play in Week 18
Underdogs covered Denver’s last seven games.

— Titans 26, Chiefs 9
Backup QB Minshew tore his ACL, like Mahomes did last week.
#3 QB Oladokun was 11-16/111 passing, leading Chiefs to three FG’s.
Chiefs are 1-5 SU/ATS in last five road games.
Titans outgained Kansas City, 376-133.
Tennessee’s win snaps an 11-game home losing streak.
QB Ward threw for 228 yards and two TD’s.
Titans were 9-17 on third down, Kansas City 1-9.
Tennessee ran ball 40 times for 164 yards.

— Saints 29, Jets 6
Rookie QB Shough threw for 308 yards and a TD.
Saints are 4-2 in last six games, after a 1-8 start.
New Orleans outgained the Jets, 412-195.
Saints made 6 of 7 FG’s, scored two TD’s on 11 drives.
Jets first three drives: 18 plays, 88 yards, two FG’s.
Jets rest of game: 47 plays, 78 yards, two turnovers.
Jets lost their last three games, by 24-28-23 points.
Jets are 0-10 when they score less than 27 points.

Famous birthdays, December 22nd:
Hector Elizondo, 89
Steve Carlton, 81
Dave Robisch, 76
Lonnie Smith, 70
Glenn Wilson, 67
Jason Lane, 49
Jacob Stallings, 36
Tyler Gilbert, 32

— Bills 23, Browns 20
Buffalo’s first three drives: 21 plays, 209 yards, 20 points.
Buffalo rest of the game: 30 plays, 48 yards, 3 points.
RB Cook ran for 117 yards, two TD’s.
Right now, Bills are the #6-seed in the AFC.
Cleveland turned ball over on three of its first six drives.
Cleveland was 8-14 on third down, Buffalo 2-8.
Cleveland lost four in row, 10 of its last 12 games.
Browns are 0-12 when they allow more than 10 points.

— Chargers 34, Cowboys 17
Chargers outgained Dallas 452-340, converted 7-11 on 3rd down.
QB Herbert threw for 300 yards, two TD’s.
Chargers won four in row, seven of their last eight games.
Chargers are 10-1 when they allow 21 or fewer points.
Dallas in first half: 32 plays, 216 yards, 17 points.
Dallas in second half: 25 plays, 131 yards, no points.
Cowboys lost their last three games, giving up 44-34-34 points.
Cowboys are 1-8 when they score less than 33 points.

— Vikings 16, Giants 13
QB McCarthy hurt his right hand just before halftime, didn’t return.
Total yardage in an ugly game: Vikings 240, Giants 141
Minnesota won its last three games, giving up 13 ppg.
Vikings converted 7-12 on third down, Giants 141
Giants’ only TD was a defensive score 0:17 before halftime.
Giants had only 13 passing yards; their first 15 plays were runs.
Giants lost their last nine games (3-6 ATS)
Giants are 5-10 ATS last 15 games as a home underdog.

— Bengals 45, Dolphins 21
QB Burrow threw for 309 yards, four TD’s.
Cincinnati led 17-14 at halftime.
Bengals’ first 4 drives in second half: 21 plays, 174 yards, 28 points.
Cincinnati was 6-12 on third down, +3 in turnovers.
Miami turned ball over on 3 of first 4 drives in third quarter.
Rookie QB Ewers threw for 260 yards with two INTs in his first NFL start.
Dolphins are 0-9 when they allow 27+ points.
Miami is minus-16 in turnovers in losses, +11 in wins.

— Falcons 26, Cardinals 19
RB Robinson ran ball for 76 yards, had 92 receiving yards.
Robinson is first Falcon since 1999 with 2,000+ yards from scrimmage,
Atlanta is 3-2 in last five games, after a 3-7 start.
QB Cousins is 87-80-2 as an NFL starter, 10-10 with Falcons.
Arizona led this game 10-0 late in first quarter.
Cardinals lost seven in row, 12 of last 13 games.
Arizona is 0-9 when they allow more than 22 points.
Cardinals are 1-4 ATS as a home underdog TY.

— Texans 23, Raiders 21
Houston won its last seven games (5-2 ATS)
Texans are game behind Jacksonville in AFC South.
Right now, Texans are #7-seed in the AFC.
Houston is 9-0 when they score 20+ points.
First score of day was a 31-yard pick-6 by Texans 4:17 into game.
Raiders outgained Houston 315-270; they ran ball for 145 yards,
Raiders have lost nine games in a row, 13 of last 14.
RB Jeanty ran ball for 128 yards and a TD.
 

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NFL
Weather Report

Monday, December 22


54K2tsc.png





NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 16

Monday’s game
49ers
(-5.5) @ Colts
49ers (10-4)
49ers won last four games, by 19-11-18-13 points.
49ers allowed 26-30-26-42 points in losses, 24 or less in wins.
In their four losses, 49ers were minus-8 in turnovers.
Purdy is 32-16 as an NFL starter.
Shanahan is 88-70 as an NFL head coach


49ers are 5-0 ATS as a road favorite this year.
49ers are 12-6-1 ATS last 19 games as a road favorite
49ers’ last five wins were all by 10+ points.
49ers are 7-12 ATS in last 19 games vs AFC teams.
49ers are 3-11 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.


Colts (8-6)
Indy lost five of last six games, after a 7-1 start.
Colts didn’t give up a TD last week, still lost 18-16 at Seattle
Colts are 8-0 scoring 29+ points (20-20-20-16-19-16 in losses)
Rivers is 139-114 as an NFL starter- he played LW for first time since 2020.
Steichen is 25-23 SU as a head coach


Colts are 5-1 SU at home this season.
Colts are 7-6 ATS last 13 games as a home underdog.
Under Steichen, Colts are 13-11 ATS as an underdog.
Last four games, Colts gained 255-281-285-215 total yards.
Colts are 6-13 ATS in last 19 games vs NFC teams.


Colts won last five series games (4-1 ATS)
49ers are 1-2 SU/2-1 ATS in last three visits to Indiana.
Over is 3-3 in last six meetings.
 

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Monday, December 22

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
SF at IND08:15 PMSF -4.5*****
U 46.0*****
+500 +500
 

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CNOTES DECEMBER NFL BEST BETS !

12//22/2025.............. 1 - 1 - 0..........50.00..................- 0.50
12/21/2025...............8 - 7 - 0...........53.33%................+ 1.50
12/20/2025...............3 - 1 - 0...........75.00%...............+9.50
12/18/2025...............1 - 1 - 0...........50.00%...............- 0.50
12/15/2025...............1 - 1 - 0............50.00%..............- 0.50
12/14/2025...............8 - 7 - 0............53.33%..............+ 1.50
12/11/2025...............1 - 1 - 0............50.00%..............- 0.50
12/08/2025...............2 - 0 - 0...........100.00%..............+ 10.00
12/07/2025...............4 - 8 - 0............33.33%..............- 24.00
12/04/2025...............0 - 2 - 0.............00.00%..............- 11.00
12/01/2025...............1 - 1 - 0.............50.00%..............- 0.50


TOTALS..................30 -30 - 0.............50.00%...............- 15.00
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 17 NFL spreads:
— Buccaneers (-5.5) @ Miami
— Seahawks (-7.5) @ Carolina
— Cardinals @ Cincinnati (-7)
— Giants @ Las Vegas (-1.5)
— Eagles @ Buffalo (-1.5)
— Bears @ San Francisco (-3)

Quote of the Day
“I try to do the job, not try to keep the job. My focus has been for the last 18 years here and the last 41 years in coaching is to try to do the best job I can today and fight as hard as I can so the guys have the best chance to be successful today.”
Ravens coach John Harbaugh

Tuesday’s quiz
Who coached the Baltimore Ravens before John Harbaugh?
(Hint: He won a Super Bowl)

Monday’s quiz
Former NFL quarterback Chase Daniel is the all-time leader in passing yardage for the Missouri Tigers.

Sunday’s quiz
Donovan McNabb was the Eagles’ QB, last time they won the NFC East in consecutive years.

******************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

— 49ers 48, Colts 27
49ers’ first four drives: 33 plays, 239 yards, 24 points.
San Francisco outgained the Colts, 440-312.
49ers won their last five games, all by 11+points.
TE Kittle caught seven passes for 115 yards and a TD.
Colts scored TDs on first two drives, but in between fumbled away a kickoff.
49ers were 7-11 on third down, Colts 5-1o.
Indy lost six of last seven games, after a 7-1 start.
44-year old QB Rivers threw for 277 yards, two TD’s.

— Steelers WR DK Metcalf got suspended two games for getting into a confrontation with a fan in Detroit Sunday; the suspension costs him $555,555 in salary.

— Kansas City Chiefs are moving from Missouri to Kansas; they’ll start playing in a new $3B domed stadium in 2031. The stadium is expected to seat 65,000 fans, about 10,000 less fans than Arrowhead Stadium, where the Chiefs have played since 1972.

— Washington State 34, Utah State 21
QB Eckhaus threw for 334 yards, three TD’s.
Coogs outgained Utah State 628-254.
Wazzu ran ball 41 times for 255 yards.
Starting next year, these teams will be rivals in the Pac-12.

— NFL divisional trends:
AFC East

Non-divisional underdogs 13-10 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 9-8 ATS

AFC North
Non-divisional underdogs 10-15 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 8-11 ATS

AFC South
Non-divisional underdogs 17-10 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 7-6 ATS

AFC West
Non-divisional underdogs 10-6 ATS
Non-divisional road favorites 1-10 ATS

NFC East
Home teams 6-3 ATS divisional games
Non-divisional underdogs 8-13 ATS

NFC North
Non-divisional favorites 15-11 ATS
Non-divisional underdogs 5-8 ATS

NFC South
Underdogs 8-1 ATS divisional games
Non-divisional favorites 4-8 ATS

NFC West
Non-divisional favorites 20-8 ATS
Divisional home underdogs 0-4 ATS

Famous birthdays, December 23rd:
Jerry Koosman, 83
Susan Lucci, 79
Jack Ham, 77
Joan Severance, 67
Paul Shirley, 48
Victor Martinez, 47
Hanley Ramirez, 42
Mitch Haniger, 35

— Boston Red Sox acquired 1B Willson Contreras from St Louis, in exchange for P Hunter Dobbins and two other pitching prospects. Contreras hit .257 with a .791 OPS last year; he figures to benefit from playing half his games in Fenway Park.

— A’s acquired 2B Jeff McNeil from the Mets, in exchange for a very young pitching prospect. McNeil won a batting title in 2022, but has slacked off the last two years, while playing in more of a utility role. Hopefully playing every day will boost his production.

— Japanese slugger Munetaka Murakami got a 2-year deal worth $34M from the White Sox; he is expected to mostly DH and also play some first base.

— P Paul Blackburn signed for one year, $2M with Bronx; he has some incentives if he pitches a lot of innings. He had knee/shoulder issues last year with the Mets.

— USC/Notre Dame won’t be playing college football the next two years; Notre Dame is going to play BYU instead. USC didn’t want to play Notre Dame later in the year, so their agreement went up in smoke.

— There have been 30 coaching changes in I-A football so far this season, a little less than 25% of all the jobs there are.

— Of the 74 referees who have worked NBA games this season, 56 of them have also spent some time in their career working in the G-League.
 

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NFL

Week 17


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, December 25

Dallas VS Washington

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas' last 6 games.
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games against Washington.
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Washington.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas' last 5 games on the road.
Washington is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games.
Washington is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games against Dallas.

Detroit VS Minnesota
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games.
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Detroit is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games against Minnesota.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games against Detroit.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 15 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit.

Denver VS Kansas City
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games.
Denver is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games.
Denver is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games against Kansas City.
Kansas City is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 10 games.
Kansas City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games against Denver.

Saturday, December 27

Houston VS Los Angeles

Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 16 games.
Houston is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games.
Houston is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games against LA Chargers.
LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers' last 6 games.
LA Chargers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers' last 7 games against Houston.

Baltimore VS Green Bay
Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
Baltimore is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
Baltimore is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against Green Bay.
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
Green Bay is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Green Bay's last 12 games.
Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Green Bay is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home.

Sunday, December 28

Seattle VS Carolina

Seattle is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games.
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Carolina.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Carolina's last 8 games against Seattle.
Carolina is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games at home.
Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle.

Arizona VS Cincinnati
Arizona is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games.
Arizona is 0-7 SU in its last 7 games.
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Cincinnati.
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games.
Cincinnati is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games against Arizona.

New Orleans VS Tennessee
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New Orleans' last 11 games.
New Orleans is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games.
New Orleans is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games against Tennessee.
Tennessee is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 9 games.
Tennessee is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games.
Tennessee is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games at home.

Pittsburgh VS Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Pittsburgh is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games against Cleveland.
Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games against Cleveland.
Cleveland is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games.
Cleveland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home.

Jacksonville VS Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games.
Jacksonville is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
Jacksonville is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games against Indianapolis.
Indianapolis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
Indianapolis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis' last 6 games against Jacksonville.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis' last 5 games at home.

Tampa Bay VS Miami
Tampa Bay is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games.
Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
Tampa Bay is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games against Miami.
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games against Miami.
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games against Tampa Bay.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay.

New England VS New York
New England is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 9 games.
New England is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games.
New England is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games against NY Jets.
NY Jets is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of NY Jets' last 20 games.
NY Jets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Jets' last 7 games against New England.

New York VS Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Giants' last 10 games.
NY Giants is 0-9 SU in its last 9 games.
NY Giants is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Las Vegas.
NY Giants is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Las Vegas.
Las Vegas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas' last 6 games.
Las Vegas is 0-9 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas' last 10 games against NY Giants.

Philadelphia VS Buffalo
Philadelphia is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games.
Philadelphia is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Buffalo.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games.
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Buffalo is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.

Chicago VS San Francisco
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games.
Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
Chicago is 7-13 ATS in its last 20 games against San Francisco.
San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games.
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games against Chicago.

Monday, December 29

Los Angeles VS Atlanta

LA Rams is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams' last 5 games.
LA Rams is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games.
LA Rams is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Atlanta.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games.
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games against LA Rams.
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home.

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Cnotes53

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
— Villanova 64, Seton Hall 56- Wildcats shot 10-23 on arc in Big East opener.
— St John’s 85, Harvard 59- Red Storm out-rebounded Harvard, 39-22.
— Cal-Bakersfield 64, Idaho 63- Roadrunners won despite being 3-8 on foul line.
— Campbell 102, Green Bay 79- Camels shot 14-24 on arc, scored a ridiculous 1.54 ppp
— UCLA 97, Cal-Riverside 65- Bruins are 10-3, but only 3-3 vs top 100 teams.
— UCF 85, Florida Atlantic 80- 11-1 Knights were down 14 in the first half.

Quote of the Day
“No one felt worse than I did after that game. And I think it’s important to continue to move forward and realize that it’s what happened. It would be crazy of me to deny the truth of what happened and to live in this reality where if I tried to block it out, I don’t think that’s doing any good.”
Chargers QB Justin Herbert; Chargers play Houston this week

Wednesday’s quiz
In an episode of the old TV show Magnum PI, which actor, who played one of the more popular villains in the Batman TV show, played a jewel thief whose daughter was also a jewel thief?

Tuesday’s quiz
Brian Billick coached the Baltimore Ravens before John Harbaugh.

Monday’s quiz
Former NFL quarterback Chase Daniel is the all-time leader in passing yardage for the Missouri Tigers.

***************************************

Wednesday’s Den: 20 of my favorite non-sports movies…….

20) The Gambler (2014)— Remake of a James Caan movie from the mid-70’s. College professor (Mark Wahlberg) seems to have an excellent life, but he has a huge gambling problem which drags him down. John Goodman plays one of the people he owes money to; he is very good in this. Jessica Lange plays the gambler’s mother, Brie Larson is his student/girlfriend.

19) Moon Over Parador (1988)— Richard Dreyfuss is an actor who is hired to stand in for the dictator of a Latin American country who suddenly dies. Jonathan Winters is a weird CIA agent whose wife is Polly Holliday, who played Flo in the old TV series Alice.
Sonia Braga, Raul Julia, Sammy Davis Jr and Dana Delany are all in this movie.

18) The Verdict (1982)— Paul Newman is a ambulance-chasing lawyer who started drinking too much when his marriage ended; he is handed a winning case that should be lucrative, but winning it is easier said than done. His friend is played by Jack Warden, one of my all-time favorites.
James Mason, Bruce Willis are also in this movie, which is a little dated now; no cellphones. The lawyer plays a pinball machine in the bar he frequents, but it is a very good movie.

17) Double Jeopardy (1999)— Unjustly jailed for her husband’s murder, a woman does six years in jail, until she gets paroled and realizes that the husband isn’t dead, so she sets out to find him and her son, who it turns out have moved to New Orleans.
Ashley Judd is the woman, Tommy Lee Jones is her parole officer, Bruce Greenwood is the grifter husband, Roma Maffia is a woman in jail who advises the woman on the best way to get paroled. Movie is a little intense, but it is very good.

16) Autumn in New York (2000)— Mostly a sad movie about a terminally ill young woman who falls for an aging playboy who owns a restaurant; when he finds out she is very ill, the playboy tries everything he can do to find a doctor who can help her get better.
Winona Ryder is the young woman, Richard Gere is the playboy, JK Simmons is the surgeon. Anthony LaPaglia, Jill Hennessy, Sherry Stringfield, Vera Farmiga are also in the movie, which is very good, but you’ll need a handkerchief.

15) Searching for Bobby Fischer (1993)— Joe Mantegna plays a sportswriter who realizes that his 7-year old son is a chess prodigy; no one knows how/why. The parents hire a chess teacher and he begins to win tournaments, but then expectations get very high, and the kid’s interest begins to die down.
Excellent cast: Mantegna, Joan Allen is the mom, Ben Kingsley is the chess coach, Laurence Fishburne is a guy who plays speed chess in the park and who also coaches the kid. William H Macy, David Paymer, Josh Mostel are also in the movie, which is very good.

14) Good Will Hunting (1997)— A janitor at MIT can do complicated math problems better than the professors can, but he also has a criminal record, and has to get counseling for that. Robin Williams is great as the counselor, Matt Damon is the smart guy.
Ben Affleck is one of the smart guy’s friends, Minnie Driver is the smart guy’s girlfriend, but the scenes with Wiliams/Damon are epic. One of Robin Williams’ finest roles.

13) Dave (1993)— Guy who looks just like the President runs a temp job service in Washington; when the real president has a stroke while screwing around with his mistress, the guy (Kevin Kline) is hired as the stand-in president. Sigourney Weaver is the First Lady.
Frank Langella/Kevin Dunn are in the President’s cabinet, Ving Rhames is a Secret Service agent who protects the President. Charles Grodin is great in his smaller role as a friend of the look-alike, who wins up help balancing the country’s budget.

12) Begin Again (2013)— Down-and-out music executive stumbles into a Manhattan bar and discovers a young singer who can resurrect his career.
Keira Knightley is the singer, Adam Levine is her boyfriend, a popular musician who screws around on her and gets the boot. Mark Ruffalo is the music executive, and James Corden kind of steals the show as the singer’s old friend from back in England.
Hailee Steinfeld (Mrs Josh Allen these days) plays Ruffalo’s daughter, Catherine Keener is his wife. Rob Morrow, CeeLo Green are also in this movie, mostly a nice movie.

10) The Big Short (2015)— Group of investors bet against the US mortgage market in 2006-07 and are surprised to find out that the market is flawed/corrupt.
One investor is an eccentric ex-doctor who controls billions of dollars and basically risks it all to make even more money, but it it is going to take time, and the people whose money he works with are not terribly patient.
Christian Bale, Ryan Gosling, Steve Carell, Marisa Tomei are all in this movie. Michael Lewis wrote the book, same guy who wrote Moneyball.

9) Absence of Malice (1981)— Sally Field plays a reporter who investigates a liquor wholesaler who is suspected of a murder- his father had been a mobster. There is no evidence that the son is guilty, but the authorities want to pressure him into giving them information.
The wholesaler has an iron-clad excuse that guarantees his innocence, but he won’t use it because he’d have to tell the authorities that a female friend of his had an abortion and 45 years ago, that wasn’t something you wanted to be known.
The wholesaler turns the tables on the authorities and makes them look incompetent.
Paul Newman is the wholesaler; with Sally Field, Willard Brimley, an intense, very good movie.

8) Leap of Faith (1992)— Steve Martin plays a traveling preacher whose bus breaks down, stranding his crew in a drought-stricken Kansas town. Miracles ensue. Liam Neeson, Debra Winger, Philip Seymour Hoffman and Meat Loaf are all in this cast.
The preacher is a fraud, but people come out and give him a lot of money; the town where his bus breaks down is going through a drought— people want to know is he can make it rain.
There is one great scene near the end of the movie where kid who had been crippled in a car accident wants the preacher to heal his legs. It makes the movie worth watching.

7) Fabulous Baker Boys (1989)— Two piano-playing brothers have an act that is struggling, so they hire a beautiful singer to join the show, and they suddenly become more popular.
Jeff/Beau Bridges are the brothers, Michelle Pfeiffer is the singer; when one brother and the singer start messing around, tensions run high, even though the group is doing very well on stage.
Very good movie, but then again, I’d watch a movie if it was Michelle Pfeiffer reading names out of the phone book.

6) Molly’s Game (2017)— Young woman runs high stakes poker games for celebrities/rich guys, but when members of the Russian mob enter the game, things get complicated. This is a true story, and as we’re learning nowadays, real life is often stranger than fiction.
This movie comes after the book was written; Jessica Chastain plays Molly, Idris Elba is her lawyer, Kevin Costner has a smaller role as her demanding father.

5) Lost In Translation (2003)— Bill Murray plays a washed-up actor who is in Tokyo getting paid $2M to do a whiskey commercial. He meets Scarlett Johansson in the hotel bar and they become friends.
Apparently every American visiting Tokyo stays in the same hotel; the actor/woman, whose husband is a photographer who largely ignores her, they become friends and go out to dinner and have probing conversations, all platonic.
It is a nice movie with a vague but I think happy ending.

4) Rounders (1998)— Law student decides he’d rather play high stakes poker than finish law school. The scenes with Matt Damon and his law professor (Martin Landau) are excellent. Same guys who wrote this movie wrote the great Showtime series Billions.
Edward Norton is excellent as a grifter/degenerate gambler who often tries to cheat at cards; he gets himself and the law student beaten up. John Malkovich is a Russian who runs the poker room where a lot of the games are played. John Turturro plays Joey Knish, a veteran gambler who grinds out a living the hard way, but he does it.
This is a very good movie.

3) The Bodyguard (1992)— Whitney Houston is a famous singer with a contract on her head; Kevin Costner is the ex-Secret Service hired to protect her.
Protecting a famous singer is a lot different than protecting a politician; there is tension between the singer/bodyguard, but when the singer’s young son almost gets murdered, she listens to the bodyguard and they wind up OK.
Lot of good music in this movie; when Whitney Houston passed way in real life, Kevin Costner spoked at her memorial service.

2) Last Vegas (2013)— Four old friends get together in Las Vegas for the bachelor party of the one bachelor in group (Michael Douglas) who is marrying a woman 40 years younger than him. It is Douglas, Robert Deniro, Morgan Freeman, Kevin Kline. Mary Steenburgen plays a singer in a Las Vegas bar who crosses paths with the friends.

Morgan Freeman’s character won $87,000 playing blackjack in this movie; in The Hangover, the one guy wins $85,000 playing blackjack, so on one of my trips to Las Vegas, I sat down at a table and suggested that blackjack must be an easy game, since so many people win a lot of money in the movies. I got a dirty look, a scowl and I shut up and was glad to break even.

1) A Few Good Men (1992)— Tom Cruise, Demi Moore, Jack Nicholson ate the stars; Kevin Bacon, Kiefer Sutherland, Kevin Pollak, JT Walsh as supporting actors is pretty strong.

A military lawyer tries to prove that two Marines charged with murdering a fellow Marine were simply following their commander’s orders. The last scene, with Jack Nicholson on the witness stand, is tremendous.
 
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