NFL 2025: down 56% of bankroll, which was a propositional 10 grand. Spare a dime?
Speaking of propositional, could have been laid daily, for that kind of outlay.
Some of you lucky @#$% probably do it somewhat cheaper (money ain't everything; save it).
Happy holidays and enjoy whatever each to their own you cherish.
I have seen evidence that my curse might be gone. Now it's just a matter of navigating my own questionable handicapping and my even worse betting strategies. I turned a mild plus on the straight bets last week, and broke even on all player props despite the greedy parlay action there. I was beaten like a rented mule on the teaser and (side) parlay action. Totals are over my head, and most of my unders as well.
Some limited notes for the week:
--Wash to start JJohnson at QB(sucks)
--Min JMason dbt--Ty Chandler activated may be running
--Min vg pass defense(3rd)
--LAC's best run-defending linebacker Denzel Perryman is out(susp)
--DHenry Q? (should play); Packers fine w/lions L
--Chance Rain (balt@GB)
--@Bengals----Likely Rain/medium wind
--seat@Car----Slight Chance Rain
--DK Metcalf suspended
--pit@Clev--Definite Rain/medium wind
--no@Ten----Chance Rain Showers/medium wind
--ne@Jets----Chance Rain/cold
--nyg@LVR----TE Bowers OUT
--Bills need this more w/LAC W sat
--phil@Buff--Definite Rain Showers
--chi@SF----GKittle Q (""mild"" ankle sprain)
--mon rams@ Atl----D.Adams dbt
There are some major player props not yet listed. Examples, that I've sought, include things such as TJ Hockenson (TE Min) props, Gainwell (Pit RB) yards props of any kind, and a couple of other longer shots that I hope to revisit if the sun rises. I guess it's early. Christmas escape rocks.
Holding off, for now, on leans for texans, seahawks, saints, Bills and 49ers. Two dogs/evens, and three potentially competitive fave lines (good God on saints@Titans line, aye?).
===
Bengals -7 -116 116/100
steelers -3 -114 114/100
buccaneers -5.5 -110 220/200
jaguars -6.5 -102 102/100
giants -112 224/200
=776(5)
T3/10 cowboys pk / lions@Vikings ov33 / Chiefs +23.5 -130 130/100
T3/10 cowboys pk / texans +11 / steelers +7 -130 65/50
T3/10 lions@Vikings ov33 / seahawks@Panthers un52.5 / Bills +9 -130 65/50
T2/6 cowboys -2.5 / texans +8 -130 65/50
T2/6 lions -1.5 / Bengals -1 -130 130/100 (currently -161 on moneyline parlay)
=455(5)
Commanders Jacory Croskey-Merritt anytime TD +230 50/115
Commanders Jacory Croskey-Merritt ov28.5 rushing yards -115 115/100
Chargers Omarion Hampton ov58.5 rushing yards -118 118/100
Steelers Kenneth Gainwell anytime TD +180 75/135
---
P2 Cowboys Javonte Williams ov67.5 rushing yards -115 /
/ Lions Jameson Williams ov63.5 receiving yards -125 <+236> 50/118.26
P2 Cowboys George Pickens ov78.5 receiving yards -115 /
/ Lions Jameson Williams anytime TD +135 <+339> 50/169.67
P2 Cowboys George Pickens ov5.5 receptions -110 /
/ Lions Jameson Williams ov4.5 receptions +115 <+310> 75/232.84
P2 Cowboys CeeDee Lamb ov77.5 receiving yards -115 /
/ Bengals Ja'Marr Chase ov89.5 receiving yards -115 <+249> 50/124.76
P2 Cowboys CeeDee Lamb ov5.5 receptions -125 /
/ Lions Jameson Williams ov4.5 receptions +115 <+287> 75/215.25
P2 Lions Jameson Williams anytime TD +135 /
/ Chargers Omarion Hampton anytime TD +130 <+440> 50/220.25
P2 Vikings Justin Jefferson ov61.5 receiving yards -115 /
/ Chargers Omarion Hampton ov75.5 rushing + receiving yards -110 <+257> 50/128.46
=758(11)
I was expecting to play more of those player props straight, but unmentionables interfered.
Last look before submit suggests that I dig Lions' Jameson Williams this week. My condolences to his family.
Some notes on player props:
--Cowboys Javonte Williams ov67.5 rushing yards -115 (done in 4 of past 7, 6 of past 9)
--Cowboys George Pickens ov78.5 receiving yards -115 (done in 8 of past 12)
----Cowboys George Pickens ov5.5 receptions -110 (done in 6 of past 8)
--Cowboys CeeDee Lamb ov77.5 receiving yards -115 (done in 7 of 12 played)
----Cowboys CeeDee Lamb ov5.5 receptions -125 (done in 4 str & 8 of 12 played)
--Commanders Jacory Croskey-Merritt anytime TD +230 (scored in each of past 2 after an 8-game drought)
----*Commanders Jacory Croskey-Merritt ov28.5 rushing yards -115 (done in 9of15; should be utilized well, here, barring any risk of injury, and has long-run of 10+ yards in 5 straight)
--*Lions Jameson Williams ov63.5 receiving yards -125 (done in 4 straight and 7of past8)
----**Lions Jameson Williams ov4.5 receptions +115 (done in 4 straight and 6ofL10 w/2 4's just missing)
----Lions Jameson Williams anytime TD +135 (has 7 on season in 15G, scoring in 5 of past8)
--Vikings Justin Jefferson ov61.5 receiving yards -115 (done in only 1(last@NYG) of past 8, after 6 straight prior)
--*Bengals Ja'Marr Chase ov89.5 receiving yards -115 (done in 2 straight and 3 of last 4)
--*Chargers Omarion Hampton anytime TD +130 (rookie has scored in 2 of 3 since his return from injury, has been quite solid since (longs of 18,26,18 in those), and stated that this is the best he's felt all season)
----Chargers Omarion Hampton ov58.5 rushing yards -118 (done in past 2, with the prior a 56 in first return from injury, the ot loss to Eagles)
----Chargers Omarion Hampton ov75.5 rushing + receiving yards -110 (only targeted 5 times in 3 since his return, for 25 yards receiving, but was seriously involved in passing game pre-injury, with the 3 games before seeing him catching 17 of 18 targets for 122 yards receiving)
--*Steelers Kenneth Gainwell anytime TD +180 (has 7 in his 15 games, scoring in 2 of past 3 (1 rush, 1 recept))
----mgm and pinnacle refuse to release early yardage lines, here; Steelers' RB Jaylen Warren (also not listed presently) came on in last, after a bit of a drought, but Browns will not curtail Gainwell yardage even with the mystical options; good article out there on Steelers diverse strategy over past 3 games--depending on opponent and player availability--but I can't find it (was espn, pretty sure)
omg, I hate watching Chiefs without Mahomes. Ironically, one of the few times was 2019 when I think that Rodgers was out and Malik Willis ended up getting his first action. Dude looked good in relief vs Bears, and likely gets home start vs Ravens. Lamar? Goofy fuckin' season. Crazy year.
Happy holidays and I hope the best for all.
Good Luck.
Speaking of propositional, could have been laid daily, for that kind of outlay.
Some of you lucky @#$% probably do it somewhat cheaper (money ain't everything; save it).
Happy holidays and enjoy whatever each to their own you cherish.
I have seen evidence that my curse might be gone. Now it's just a matter of navigating my own questionable handicapping and my even worse betting strategies. I turned a mild plus on the straight bets last week, and broke even on all player props despite the greedy parlay action there. I was beaten like a rented mule on the teaser and (side) parlay action. Totals are over my head, and most of my unders as well.
Some limited notes for the week:
--Wash to start JJohnson at QB(sucks)
--Min JMason dbt--Ty Chandler activated may be running
--Min vg pass defense(3rd)
--LAC's best run-defending linebacker Denzel Perryman is out(susp)
--DHenry Q? (should play); Packers fine w/lions L
--Chance Rain (balt@GB)
--@Bengals----Likely Rain/medium wind
--seat@Car----Slight Chance Rain
--DK Metcalf suspended
--pit@Clev--Definite Rain/medium wind
--no@Ten----Chance Rain Showers/medium wind
--ne@Jets----Chance Rain/cold
--nyg@LVR----TE Bowers OUT
--Bills need this more w/LAC W sat
--phil@Buff--Definite Rain Showers
--chi@SF----GKittle Q (""mild"" ankle sprain)
--mon rams@ Atl----D.Adams dbt
There are some major player props not yet listed. Examples, that I've sought, include things such as TJ Hockenson (TE Min) props, Gainwell (Pit RB) yards props of any kind, and a couple of other longer shots that I hope to revisit if the sun rises. I guess it's early. Christmas escape rocks.
Holding off, for now, on leans for texans, seahawks, saints, Bills and 49ers. Two dogs/evens, and three potentially competitive fave lines (good God on saints@Titans line, aye?).
===
Bengals -7 -116 116/100
steelers -3 -114 114/100
buccaneers -5.5 -110 220/200
jaguars -6.5 -102 102/100
giants -112 224/200
=776(5)
T3/10 cowboys pk / lions@Vikings ov33 / Chiefs +23.5 -130 130/100
T3/10 cowboys pk / texans +11 / steelers +7 -130 65/50
T3/10 lions@Vikings ov33 / seahawks@Panthers un52.5 / Bills +9 -130 65/50
T2/6 cowboys -2.5 / texans +8 -130 65/50
T2/6 lions -1.5 / Bengals -1 -130 130/100 (currently -161 on moneyline parlay)
=455(5)
Commanders Jacory Croskey-Merritt anytime TD +230 50/115
Commanders Jacory Croskey-Merritt ov28.5 rushing yards -115 115/100
Chargers Omarion Hampton ov58.5 rushing yards -118 118/100
Steelers Kenneth Gainwell anytime TD +180 75/135
---
P2 Cowboys Javonte Williams ov67.5 rushing yards -115 /
/ Lions Jameson Williams ov63.5 receiving yards -125 <+236> 50/118.26
P2 Cowboys George Pickens ov78.5 receiving yards -115 /
/ Lions Jameson Williams anytime TD +135 <+339> 50/169.67
P2 Cowboys George Pickens ov5.5 receptions -110 /
/ Lions Jameson Williams ov4.5 receptions +115 <+310> 75/232.84
P2 Cowboys CeeDee Lamb ov77.5 receiving yards -115 /
/ Bengals Ja'Marr Chase ov89.5 receiving yards -115 <+249> 50/124.76
P2 Cowboys CeeDee Lamb ov5.5 receptions -125 /
/ Lions Jameson Williams ov4.5 receptions +115 <+287> 75/215.25
P2 Lions Jameson Williams anytime TD +135 /
/ Chargers Omarion Hampton anytime TD +130 <+440> 50/220.25
P2 Vikings Justin Jefferson ov61.5 receiving yards -115 /
/ Chargers Omarion Hampton ov75.5 rushing + receiving yards -110 <+257> 50/128.46
=758(11)
I was expecting to play more of those player props straight, but unmentionables interfered.
Last look before submit suggests that I dig Lions' Jameson Williams this week. My condolences to his family.
Some notes on player props:
--Cowboys Javonte Williams ov67.5 rushing yards -115 (done in 4 of past 7, 6 of past 9)
--Cowboys George Pickens ov78.5 receiving yards -115 (done in 8 of past 12)
----Cowboys George Pickens ov5.5 receptions -110 (done in 6 of past 8)
--Cowboys CeeDee Lamb ov77.5 receiving yards -115 (done in 7 of 12 played)
----Cowboys CeeDee Lamb ov5.5 receptions -125 (done in 4 str & 8 of 12 played)
--Commanders Jacory Croskey-Merritt anytime TD +230 (scored in each of past 2 after an 8-game drought)
----*Commanders Jacory Croskey-Merritt ov28.5 rushing yards -115 (done in 9of15; should be utilized well, here, barring any risk of injury, and has long-run of 10+ yards in 5 straight)
--*Lions Jameson Williams ov63.5 receiving yards -125 (done in 4 straight and 7of past8)
----**Lions Jameson Williams ov4.5 receptions +115 (done in 4 straight and 6ofL10 w/2 4's just missing)
----Lions Jameson Williams anytime TD +135 (has 7 on season in 15G, scoring in 5 of past8)
--Vikings Justin Jefferson ov61.5 receiving yards -115 (done in only 1(last@NYG) of past 8, after 6 straight prior)
--*Bengals Ja'Marr Chase ov89.5 receiving yards -115 (done in 2 straight and 3 of last 4)
--*Chargers Omarion Hampton anytime TD +130 (rookie has scored in 2 of 3 since his return from injury, has been quite solid since (longs of 18,26,18 in those), and stated that this is the best he's felt all season)
----Chargers Omarion Hampton ov58.5 rushing yards -118 (done in past 2, with the prior a 56 in first return from injury, the ot loss to Eagles)
----Chargers Omarion Hampton ov75.5 rushing + receiving yards -110 (only targeted 5 times in 3 since his return, for 25 yards receiving, but was seriously involved in passing game pre-injury, with the 3 games before seeing him catching 17 of 18 targets for 122 yards receiving)
--*Steelers Kenneth Gainwell anytime TD +180 (has 7 in his 15 games, scoring in 2 of past 3 (1 rush, 1 recept))
----mgm and pinnacle refuse to release early yardage lines, here; Steelers' RB Jaylen Warren (also not listed presently) came on in last, after a bit of a drought, but Browns will not curtail Gainwell yardage even with the mystical options; good article out there on Steelers diverse strategy over past 3 games--depending on opponent and player availability--but I can't find it (was espn, pretty sure)
omg, I hate watching Chiefs without Mahomes. Ironically, one of the few times was 2019 when I think that Rodgers was out and Malik Willis ended up getting his first action. Dude looked good in relief vs Bears, and likely gets home start vs Ravens. Lamar? Goofy fuckin' season. Crazy year.
Happy holidays and I hope the best for all.
Good Luck.
