NCAAF
Weather Report
Wednesday, December 31
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
Wednesday’s games
Reliaquest Bowl (@ Tampa)
Iowa vs
Vanderbilt (-5.5)
Iowa (8-4)
Iowa is 7-0 scoring 25+ points, 1-4 scoring 21 or less.
Hawkeyes are 2-4 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 85 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gronowski started 55 games at I-AA South Dakota State.
Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS as an underdog this year. .
In his career, Ferentz is 57-44 ATS as an underdog.
Iowa is 8-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Under is 3-1 in Iowa’s last four games.
Iowa lost three of its last four bowl games.
Big 18 non-conference underdogs are 4-4 ATS.
Big 18 teams are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in bowls this year.
Vanderbilt (9-2, 5-2)
Vandy scored 31+ points in nine of their 11 games.
Commodores allowed 30-34 points in their two losses.
Commodores have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Commodores have 139 returning starts on OL; lot of transfers.
Senior QB Pavia has started 36 college games
Vandy is 5-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
Under Lea, Vandy is 7-9 ATS as a favorite.
This year, Vandy is 8-0 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Vandy is 3-2 SU in its last five bowl games.
Over is 7-2 in Vandy’s last nine games.
SEC non-conference favorites are 17-23 ATS.
Last eight years, underdogs are 6-2 ATS in this bowl.
This year, SEC/Big 18 teams have split four games.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
Sun Bowl (@ El Paso)
Arizona State vs
Duke (-3.5)
Arizona State (8-4)
Five of ASU’s last six wins were by 5 or fewer points.
ASU is 8-0 when they score 24+ points, 0-4 when they don’t.
ASU has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Sun Devils have 76 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior backup QB Sims has 886 PY (7 TD’a, 5 INTs)
Sun Devils are 3-2 ATS as an underdog this year..
Under Dillingham, ASU is 11-9 ATS as an underdog.
This year, ASU is 4-4-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
ASU lost four of its last five bowl games.
Under is 8-3 in Sun Devils’ last eleven games.
Big X non-conference underdogs are 3-4 ATS.
Duke (8-5)
Duke is 1-4 when it scores less than 32 points.
Blue Devils are +16 in turnovers in wins, minus-8 in losses.
Duke gave up 467+ TY in four of last six games.
Blue Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Duke has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Mensah started 13 games at Tulane.
Duke is 5-3 ATS as a favorite.
Under Manny Diaz, Duke is 8-6 ATS as a favorite.
This year, Duke is 7-5 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Duke won four of its last five bowl games.
Over is 8-4 in their I-A games.
ACC non-conference favorites are 12-18 ATS.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
This year, Big X teams are 6-1 SU/ATS vs ACC opponents.
Underdogs are 4-2 ATS in last six Sun Bowls.
Citrus Bowl (@ Orlando)
Michigan vs
Texas (-7)
Michigan (9-3)
Wolverines hired a new coach last week.
Michigan won last five of its last six games.
Michigan was held to 13-13-9 points in losses (24-13/31-13/27-9)
Wolverines have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Michigan has 77 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Underwood has thrown for 2,166 yards (9 TDs/5 INTs).
Michigan is 0-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Michigan is 2-3 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Last four games, Michigan is minus-5 in turnovers.
Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
Big 18 non-conference underdogs are 4-4 ATS.
Michigan won its last three bowl games.
Big 18 teams are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in bowls this year.
Texas (9-3)
Texas has won six of their last seven games.
Longhorns were held to 7-21-10 points in their losses.
Longhorns have 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Longhorns have 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Manning has thrown for 2,553 yards (20 TD’s, 7 INT’s)
Texas is 3-6 ATS as a favorite this year.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 26-23 ATS as a favorite.
Texas is 3-5 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Texas is 2-3 SU in its last five bowl games.
Over is 3-2 in their last five games.
SEC non-conference favorites are 17-23 ATS.
Last year, Texas (-6.5) won 31-12 at Michigan.
This year, SEC/Big 18 teams have split four games.
Favorites are 4-2 ATS in last six Citrus Bowls.
Las Vegas Bowl
Nebraska vs
Utah (-14.5)
Nebraska (7-5)
Nebraska is 6-0 when it scores 28+ points, 1-5 if they don’t.
Nebraska lost its last two games, giving up 37-40 points.
Cornhuskers have 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Nebraska has 131 returning starts on offensive line.
Backup QB Lateef has 722 PY (4 TD’s, 0 INTs)
Nebraska is 2-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Under Rhule, Nebraska is 9-9-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his college career, Rhule is 36-22-1 ATS as an underdog.
Over is 8-2 in their last ten I-A games.
Big 18 non-conference underdogs are 4-4 ATS.
Nebraska is 3-2 SU in its last five bowl games.
Utah (10-2)
Utah’s longtime coach bolted to Michigan last week.
Utah won its last five games, scoring 47 points/game
Utes have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Utah has 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dampier started 12 games at New Mexico.
Utah is 7-4 ATS as a favorite this year.
Utes scored 31+ points in its wins, 10-21 in losses.
Utah ran ball for 226+ yards in 10 of their 12 games.
8 of their 10 wins were by 25+ points.
Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
Utah lost its last five bowl games (favored in 3 of the 5)
Big X non-conference favorites are 15-11 ATS
Big 18/Big X teams split four games this season.
Favorites covered four of last six Las Vegas Bowls.
Utah (-6.5) lost this game 14-7 two years ago.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
Cotton Bowl (@ Dallas)
Miami vs
Ohio State (-9.5)
Miami (11-2)
Miami won its last five games, giving up 8.8 points/game.
Miami beat Texas A&M 10-3 on December 20th.
Hurricanes are +11 in turnovers this season.
Miami is 5-1 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
Miami has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hurricanes have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Beck started 13 games for Georgia last year.
Under Cristobal, Miami is 6-5 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Cristobal is 33-31 ATS as an underdog.
Miami lost five of its last five six bowl games.
In his career, Cristobal is 4-5 SU in bowl games.
Miami is 13-22 ATS last 35 games coming off a win.
Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.
ACC non-divisional underdogs are 8-14 ATS.
Ohio State (12-1)
Buckeyes lost 13-10 to Indiana in Big 18 title game Dec 6th.
Ohio State’s last 11 wins were all by 18+ points.
Ohio State has 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Buckeyes have 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Sayin has 3,323 PY, with 31 TD’s, 6 INTs.
Under Day, OSU is 46-28-3 ATS as a favorite.
Ohio State is 3-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Buckeyes were even in turnovers in each of their last six games.
Under is 8-3 in their last eleven games.
OSU won last four bowl games, all by 14+ points.
Big 18 teams are 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS vs ACC teams this year.
Favorites are 8-2 ATS in last 10 Cotton Bowls.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.