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Cnotes53

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Saturday, December 27

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
PITT at ECU11:00 AMPITT -13.5*****
U 52.5*****
+500 +500
PSU at CLEM12:00 PMU 47.5*****+500
CONN at ARMY02:15 PMARMY -7.5*****+500
GT at BYU03:30 PMO 56.5*****+500
UNT at SDSU05:45 PMUNT -6.5*****
O 53.5*****
+500 +500
UVA at MIZZ07:30 PMUVA +4.0*****
U 44.5*****
+500 +500
LSU at HOU09:15 PMLSU +1.5+500
 

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CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !

12/27/2025.................6 - 3 - 0......................66.66%....................+ 13.50
12/26/2025.................2 - 4 - 0.......................33.33%....................- 12.00
12/24/2025.................1 - 1 - 0.......................50.00%....................- 0.50
12/23/2025.................4 - 1 - 0.......................80.00%....................+ 14 .50
12/20/2025.................1 - 4 - 0.......................20.00%....................- 17.00
12/19/2025.................1 - 3 - 0......................25.00%.....................- 11.50
12/18/2025.................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%....................- 11.00
12/17/2025.................4 - 0 - 0.....................100.00%....................+ 20.00
12/16/2025................ 0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%.....................- 11.00
12/13/2025..................2 - 3 - 0......................40.00%....................- 6.50
12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.....................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.....................+ 9.00

TOTALS.....................34 - 26 - 0......................56.66%......................+ 23.50
 

Cnotes53

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Monday’s 6-pack:
Spreads on Week 18 NFL games:
— Panthers @ Tampa Bay (-3)
— Seahawks (-1.5) @ San Francisco
— Colts @ Houston (-10)
— Cowboys (-4.5) @ NJ Giants
— Browns @ Cincinnati (-7)
— Saints @ Atlanta (-2.5)

Quote of the Day
“I hate that’s what people are saying or thinking. We’re not trying to lose. I’m trying to go out and do my best because I don’t know if I’m going to be here next year.”
Raiders defensive tackle Jonah Laulu, talking about tanking accusations

Monday’s quiz
Last time the Raiders played in a playoff game, who was their QB?

Sunday’s quiz
Mike McCarthy was coach of the Green Bay Packers, last time they won a Super Bowl.

Saturday’s quiz
In the history of the Boston Celtics, Paul Pierce has made the most 3-point shots.

********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…..

49ers 42, Bears 38
Purdy threw a pick-6 on the first play of the game.
49ers scored a TD on four of their next five drives.
Bears’ last four drives: 46 plays, 286 yards, 17 points.
Chicago had ball on SF’s 2-yard line on last play, but didn’t score.
49ers outgained Chicago, 496-440.
First game in NFL this year that both teams had 2 TD’s in first quarter.
49ers are 10-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
Seahawks @ 49ers next week is for the NFC West title.

Seahawks 27, Panthers 10
Seahawks won ten of their last eleven games.
Seattle ran ball 36 times for 163 yards.
Seattle in second half: 35 plays, 167 yards, 24 points.
Seahawks will be #1 seed in NFC if they beat 49ers next week.
This game was 3-3 at halftime.
Carolina in second half: 25 plays, 71 yards, 2 turnovers, 7 points.
Panthers @ Tampa Bay next week will decide NFC South title.
Carolina is 3-7 when they score less than 27 points.

Dolphins 20, Buccaneers 17
Rookie QB Ewers threw for 172 yards, two TD’s.
Miami was outgained 380-298; they were +3 in turnovers.
Dolphins are 7-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
Miami is 11-7 ATS last 18 games as a home underdog.
Tampa Bay lost four in row, seven of its last eight games.
Tampa Bay lost last four games by total of eleven points.
Bucs are 9-13 ATS last 22 games as a road favorite.
Panthers @ Tampa Bay next week, for NFC South title.

Browns 13, Steelers 6
Cleveland led 10-3 at halftime.
Steelers in 2nd half: 37 plays, 146 yards, no points.
Ravens-Steelers next week is for AFC North title.
Steelers have lost their last four visits to Cleveland.
Only TD of game was Sanders’ 28-yard pass to Fannin in 2nd quarter.
Pittsburgh averaged only 3.9 yards/pass attempt.
Browns are 12-7-1 ATS last 20 games as a home underdog.
Browns allowed 10-6-10-6 points in their four wins.

Patriots 42, Jets 10
QB Maye threw for 256 yards and five TD’s.
Patriots are 12-1 SU/10-3 ATS in their last 13 games.
Last seven games, Patriots scored 30.9 points/game.
Over is 8-2 in their last ten games.
Patriots’ first six drives: 47 plays, 391 yards, six TD’s.
New England outgained Jets 440-307, led 35-3 at halftime.
Jets lost their last four games, giving up 34-48-29-42 points.
Jets are 0-11 when they score less than 27 points.

Famous birthdays, December 29th:
Ted Danson, 78
Sean Payton, 62
Richie Sexson, 51
Jack Wilson, 48
Kate Moennig, 48
Laveranues Coles, 48
Clint Stoerner, 48
Julio Rodriguez, 25

Saints 34, Titans 26
Tennessee led this game 20-10 at halftime.
Saints in 2nd half: 28 plays, 334 yards, 24 points.
Saints are 5-2 in last seven games, after a 1-8 start.
26-year old rookie QB Shough is 5-3 as an NFL starter.
Titans are 9-18 ATS in last 27 games as an underdog.
Tennessee is 0-11 ATS last 11 games coming off a win.
Titans were 1-8 SU/4-5 ATS at home this season.
Over is 7-3 in Tennessee’s last ten games.

Jaguars 23, Colts 17
Jacksonville won its seventh game in a row.
Jaguars are 12-1 if they allow fewer than 31 points.
QB Lawrence threw for 263 yards, also ran for two TD’s.
Jaguars can clinch AFC South with win over Tennessee next week.
Colts are first team since 1995 to start a season 7-1, but miss the playoffs.
Colts led this game 10-7 at halftime.
Jaguars outgained Indianapolis 370-204.
Colts ran ball 22 times for only 69 yards.

Bengals 37, Cardinals 14
Bengals’ first five drives: 40 plays, 231 yards, 24 points.
QB Burrow threw for 305 yards, two TD’s.
Bengals scored 31+ points in their last five wins.
WR Chase is first player ever with 80+ catches, 1,000+ RY and 7+ TD catches in each of his first five years in the NFL.
Bengals outgained Arizona, 429-233.
Cardinals lost eight in row (1-7 ATS) , 13 of last 14 games.
Cardinals are 0-10 when they allow more than 22 points.
Last four weeks, Cardinals allowed 37 points/game.

Giants 34, Raiders 10
Raiders lost their 10th game in row, will probably get #1 pick in ’26 draft.
QB Smith sprained his ankle late in this game.
Raiders are 13-19-2 ATS last 34 games as an underdog.
Las Vegas has nine losses by 11+ points this season.
Giants first two drives: 11 plays, 34 yards, two punts.
Giants rest of game: 51 plays, 311 yards, 27 points.
2nd year in row Giants won in Week 17 to lose first pick in draft.
WR Robinson caught 11 passes for 113 yards.

Eagles 13, Bills 12
Buffalo scored TD with 0:05 left, went for 2 points but failed
Down 12-0, Bills scored TD with 5:11 left, but missed PAT
Philadelphia is now 7-3 this year in one-score games.
Eagles’ only TD came on a 45-yard drive in first quarter.
Philly is 15-7 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
Bills outgained the Eagles, 331-190.
Buffalo’s loss clinches AFC East for New England.
Right now, Buffalo is the #7-seed in the AFC.

— Northern Colorado 86, Colorado 81
Bears snapped a 13-game losing streak against Colorado.
Northern Colorado shot 11-21 on the arc.
Señor G Denker scored 33 points, had 8 rebounds, 8 assists.

— Saint Mary’s 78, Loyola Marymount 73
LMU led by a hoop with 4:43 left in the game.
Saint Mary’s shot 7-14 on arc, scored 1.31 ppp.
Gaels are 12-2, despite being experience team #333.

— San Francisco 67, Seattle 59
Seattle shot 32% inside arc, 4-17 outside arc.
USF has #38 eFG% defense ; they’ve won three games in row.
Seattle is 11-3, vs schedule #266.

— Charleston Southern 77, Richmond 72
Bad loss for Richmond, which is 10-3 vs schedule #345.
Spiders were 25-29 on foul line, Charleston Southern 15-23
Charleston Southern shot 10-37 on arc, 16-28 inside arc.

— Washington State 67, Portland 62
Portland led by 8 with 9:28 left in the game.
Portland shot 8-31 on the arc, 14-24 on foul line.
Wazzu won WCC opener, after going 4-8 in non-league games.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Monday’s game
Birmingham Bowl
Georgia Southern
(-8.5) vs Appalachian State
Georgia Southern (6-6)
Eagles won three of their last four games.
Eagles are 4-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
GSU has 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Eagles have 79 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB French has 2,753 PY, with 19 TD’s, 8 INTs


Georgia Southern is 3-1 ATS as a favorite TY.
Under Helton, Eagles are 12-5 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Helton is 38-29 ATS as a favorite.
TY, Georgia Southern is ATS in games with single digit spread.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Georgia Southern lost four of its last five bowl games.


Appalachian State (5-7)
App State lost five of its last six games, after a 4-2 start.
App State is 3-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
App State has 2 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
App State has 22 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Kohl has 1,812 PY (18 TD’s, 2 INTs.)


App State is 3-2 ATS as an underdog this year
App State is 12-6-1 ATS last 19 games as an underdog.
TY, App State is 5-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
Over is 6-4 in their last ten games.
App State won four of its last five bowl games.


These teams are both in the Sun Belt Conference.
Georgia Southern (+5) upset App State 25-23 November 6.
Eagles led 19-3 at halftime, hung on for the road win.
Teams split last six series games.
Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
 

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Bowl Season


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Trend Report
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Monday, December 29

Georgia Southern VS Appalachian State

Georgia Southern is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games.
Georgia Southern is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Georgia Southern is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games against Appalachian State.
Appalachian State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
Appalachian State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Appalachian State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Sun Belt conference.
Appalachian State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the East Division division.

Tuesday, December 30

Coastal Carolina VS LA Tech

Coastal Carolina is 7-13 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Coastal Carolina's last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Coastal Carolina's last 7 games played in December.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Coastal Carolina's last 5 games when playing as the underdog.
Louisiana Tech is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana Tech's last 6 games.
Louisiana Tech is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games against an opponent in the Sun Belt conference.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 7 games played in December.

Tennessee VS Illinois
Tennessee is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Tennessee's last 16 games.
Tennessee is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games.
Tennessee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Illinois is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois' last 6 games.
Illinois is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games.
Illinois is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games played in December.

USC VS TCU
Southern California is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern California's last 7 games.
Southern California is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern California's last 7 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.
Texas Christian is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games.
Texas Christian is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Texas Christian is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games played in December.
Texas Christian is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing as the underdog.

Wednesday, December 31

Iowa VS Vanderbilt

Iowa is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games.
Iowa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
Iowa is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Iowa is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games when playing as the underdog.
Vanderbilt is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games.
Vanderbilt is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games played in December.

Arizona State VS Duke
Arizona State is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona State's last 11 games.
Arizona State is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games.
Arizona State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Duke's last 14 games.
Duke is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
Duke is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games played in December.

Michigan VS Texas
Michigan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Michigan is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Michigan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games played in December.
Texas is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games.
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
Texas is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Texas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games played in December.

Nebraska VS Utah
Nebraska is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Nebraska's last 11 games.
Nebraska is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nebraska's last 5 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.
Utah is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games.
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.

Miami-FL VS Ohio State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami-FL's last 10 games.
Miami-FL is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Miami-FL is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Miami-FL is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games played in December.
Ohio State is 14-2-1 ATS in its last 17 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio State's last 5 games.
Ohio State is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games.
Ohio State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.

Thursday, January 1

Oregon VS Texas Tech

Oregon is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oregon's last 12 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.
Oregon is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games played in January.
Oregon is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games played on a Thursday.
Texas Tech is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas Tech's last 11 games.
Texas Tech is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 5 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.

Alabama VS Indiana
Alabama is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama's last 6 games.
Alabama is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama's last 5 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Indiana is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games.
Indiana is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
Indiana is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.

Ole Miss VS Georgia
Ole Miss is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ole Miss' last 5 games.
Ole Miss is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
Ole Miss is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against Georgia.
Georgia is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia's last 6 games.
Georgia is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Georgia's last 12 games against Ole Miss.

Friday, January 2

Rice VS Texas State

Rice is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rice's last 6 games.
Rice is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Rice's last 7 games against an opponent in the Sun Belt conference.
Texas State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas State's last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas State's last 6 games against an opponent in the American Conference conference.
Texas State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing as the favourite.

Navy VS Cincinnati
Navy is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Navy's last 12 games.
Navy is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games.
Navy is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games played on a Friday.
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Cincinnati is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games against an opponent in the American Conference conference.
Cincinnati is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games against an opponent in the West Division division.

Arizona VS SMU
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games.
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games played on a Friday.
Southern Methodist is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Southern Methodist's last 10 games.
Southern Methodist is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
Southern Methodist is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.

Wake Forest VS Mississippi State
Wake Forest is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Wake Forest's last 10 games.
Wake Forest is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
Wake Forest is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Mississippi State is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 5 games.
Mississippi State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
Mississippi State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Spreads on Week 18 NFL games:
— Chiefs (-5.5) @ Las Vegas
— Dolphins @ New England (-11.5)
— Commanders @ Philadelphia (-7.5)
— Lions @ Chicago (-2.5)
— Jets @ Buffalo (-7)
— Ravens (-3.5) @ Pittsburgh

Quote of the Day
“Health and winning, that’s it. There’s no way to predict. We’re going on the road, first round. All potential teams would be good, and we’ll get ourselves ready for that.”
Chargers coach Jim Harbaugh

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, four friends drive to Las Vegas in what car?

Monday’s quiz
Last time the Raiders played in a playoff game, Derek Carr was their QB.

Sunday’s quiz
Mike McCarthy was coach of the Green Bay Packers, last time they won a Super Bowl.

*****************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

I don’t care who wins individual awards; understood there are degenerates who bet on this stuff, but to me, it isn’t important.
I don’t give a rat’s ass who wins MVP.
I don’t care who wins Coach of the Year. In any sport.
It. does. not. matter.
I care about who makes the playoffs.
I care about who wins the Super Bowl……you know, team stuff.
Down the road, Hall of Fame inductions should not rely on how many MVP’s you won; stats and the eye test should determine who gets in the Hall of Fame. MVP voting is subjective.

— Falcons 27, Rams 24
Atlanta kicked a 51-yard FG with 0:21 left for the win.
Falcons had an early pick-6, led 21-0 at halftime.
Atlanta won its last three games, scoring 29-26-27 points.
Last two years, Falcons are 11-10 when Cousins is the QB, 4-8 when he isn’t.
Rams were minus-3 in turnovers, and lost a road game.
Week 13 at Carolina, Rams were minus-3 in turnovers, and lost a road game.
LA blocked a field goal for a TD and had a long kick return.
Bijan Robinson ran ball 22 times for 195 yards; he had 34 receiving yards.

— Georgia Southern 29, Appalachian State 10
Arnold carried ball 11 times for 152 yards.
Georgia Southern ran for 242 yards, outgained App State 413-379.
App State QB’s threw 4 INT’s, were minus-3 in turnovers.

Bowl records, by conference (SU/ATS):

AAC- 4-3/3-4

ACC- 4-4/3-5

Big X- 2-0/2-0

Big 18- 5-0/4-1

Conference USA- 3-3/3-3

MAC- 2-3/3-2

Mountain West- 2-5/3-4

SEC- 2-4/2-4

Sun Belt 3-5/4-4

— Do college football players enjoy going to bowl games in cold weather places?
Boise, Boston, New York City; I’m guessing Florida, Arizona, Las Vegas, New Orleans are much better options for bowls.

Famous birthdays, December 30:
Sandy Koufax, 90
Tracey Ullman, 66
Kerry Collins, 53
AJ Pierzynski, 49
Grant Balfour, 48
Dominic Raiola, 47
LeBron James, 41
Carson Wentz, 33
Drew Waters, 27

— Indiana State 81, Belmont 80 OT
Belmont led by 11 late in the first half.
Sycamores won despite going 13-26 on foul line.
Tyler Lunblade was 7-14 on arc, scored 26 points; for the season, he is 51-120 (42.5%) on the arc, 16-29 inside the arc. He doesn’t come inside the arc much.

— Murray State 84, Southern Illinois 81
Racers shot 63.3% inside arc, led 47-34 at halftime.
Murray State led by 20 with 2:13 left in first half.
Racers start four seniors, are 11-3, 3-0 in MVC, vs schedule #258.

— Bradley 76, Evansville 68
Evansville led 35-31 at halftime.
Bradley is forcing turnovers 22% of time (#15)
Bradley has won seven in a row, is 10-4 vs schedule #297.

— Charleston 72, Drexel 63
Drexel led 17-3 at the second TV timeout.
Charleston shot 66.7% inside the arc.
Jlynn Counter was 11-14 from floor, scored 29 points.

— Michigan State 114, Cornell 97
Spartans led 55-53 at halftime.
83-possession game, very fast tempo.
Michigan State was 29-43 on foul line, Cornell 18-23.

— Alabama 102, Yale 78
Alabama shot 22-54 on the arc, 12-23 inside arc, scored 1.48 ppp.
Alabama also had 21 offensive rebounds.
Yale is good; they’re 11-2- this was their first game in 19 days.

— Washington 74, Utah 65
Utah led 37-36 at halftime.
Washington shot 63.2% inside the arc.
Huskies are most experienced team in country; they have #9 eFG% defense.
 

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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Tuesday’s games
Independence Bowl
(@ Shreveport, LA)
Coastal Carolina
vs Louisiana Tech (-10)
Coastal Carolina (6-6)
Coastal lost last three games, giving up 45-51-59 points.
Chanticleers have five losses by 38+ points.
CCU is minus-8 in turnovers in its losses, +8 in wins.
Coastal has 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Coastal has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Hudson has 942 PY (4 TD’s, 5 INTs)


Chanticleers are 4-6 ATS as an underdog this year.
Coastal gave up 277+ rushing yards in four of last five games.
Coastal scored 38+ points four of their six wins.
Over is 8-1 in their last nine games.
Chanticleers split their four bowl games SU/ATS
This year, Sun Belt non-conference underdogs are 12-18 ATS
This year, Sun Belt teams are 3-5 SU/4-4 ATS in bowls.


Louisiana Tech (7-5)
Tech scored 30+ points in their six I-A wins.
Bulldogs are 1-5 when they score less than 30 points.
Tech has six wins by 10+ points.
Tech has 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Tech has 44 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Baker has 1,252 passing yards (5 TD, 3 INTs).


Tech is 4-3 ATS as a favorite this season.
Under Cumbie, Tech is 10-13 ATS as a favorite.
Tech is +10 in turnovers this year.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
This year, C-USA non-conference favorites are 4-1 ATS
Bulldogs lost their last two bowl games, 38-3/27-6.


This year, Sun Belt teams are 8-6 SU/7-7 ATS vs C-USA opponents.
Favorites won/covered last two Independence Bowls.
Louisiana Tech lost this game last year, 27-6 to Army.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.


Music City Bowl (@ Nashville)
Illinois vs Tennessee (-3.5)
Illinois (8-4)
Illinois won three of its last four games.
Illini is 2-4 when they allow 27+ points.
Illinois has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Illini has 193 returning starts on OL.
Senior QB Altmyer has 23 career starts.


This year, Illinois is 1-3 ATS as an underdog.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 18-12 ATS as an underdog.
This year, Illinois is 3-3-1 ATS in games with single digit spread.
This year, Big 18 non-conference underdogs are 4-4 ATS
Illinois lost three of its last four bowl games.
Under is 4-0 in last four Illinois games.


Tennessee (8-4)
Vols split their last six games, after a 5-1 start.
Vols allowed 33+ points in all four losses.
Tennessee has 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Vols have 46 returning starts on the offensive line;
Senior QB Aguilar started 24 games at Appalachian State.


This year, Tennessee is 3-6 ATS as a favorite.
Under Heupel, Vols are 24-18 ATS as a favorite.
This year, Vols are 3-4 ATS in games with single digit spread.
This year, SEC non-conference favorites are 17-22 ATS
Over is 7-4 in their I-A games.
Tennessee is 3-2 SU/ATS in its last five bowls.


These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
SEC teams are 2-1 SU/ATS vs Big 18 teams this year.
Favorites are 5-4 ATS in last nine Music City Bowls


Alamo Bowl (@ San Antonio)
USC
(-6.5) vs TCU
USC (10-3)
Trojans won four of their last five games,.
Trojans allowed 34-34-42 points in their three losses.
USC has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Trojans have 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Maiava started 15 games the last two years.


This year, USC is 4-6 ATS as a favorite.
This year, USC is 1-3 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
USC won its last two bowls, 42-28/35-31
In his career, Riley is 3-4 SU in bowl games.
Under is 5-2 in last seven USC games.
Big 18 non-conference favorites are 19-16 ATS this year.


TCU (8-4)
TCU scored 17-13-17 points in its last three games.
Horned Frogs are 5-0 when it scores 35+ points.
TCU has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Hoover started 19 games the last two years.


This year, TCU is 0-1-1 ATS as an underdog.
This year, TCU is 5-2-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
In his career, Dykes is 3-4 SU in bowl games.
TCU won three of its last four bowl games.
Under is 6-4 in last ten TCU games.
Big X non-conference underdogs are 3-4 ATS


These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
Underdogs are 7-3 in last ten Alamo Bowls.
Big 18/Big X teams split four games this season.
 

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Tuesday, December 30

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CCU at LT02:00 PMCCU +10.0*****
U 49.5*****
+500 +500
TENN at ILL05:30 PMILL +3.0*****
U 61.5*****
+500 +500
USC at TCU09:00 PMTCU +5.5*****
U 56.5*****
+500 +500
 
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CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !

12/30/2025.................5 - 1 - 0......................83.33%...................+ 19.50
12/27/2025.................6 - 3 - 0......................66.66%....................+ 13.50
12/26/2025.................2 - 4 - 0.......................33.33%....................- 12.00
12/24/2025.................1 - 1 - 0.......................50.00%....................- 0.50
12/23/2025.................4 - 1 - 0.......................80.00%....................+ 14 .50
12/20/2025.................1 - 4 - 0.......................20.00%....................- 17.00
12/19/2025.................1 - 3 - 0......................25.00%.....................- 11.50
12/18/2025.................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%....................- 11.00
12/17/2025.................4 - 0 - 0.....................100.00%....................+ 20.00
12/16/2025................ 0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%.....................- 11.00
12/13/2025..................2 - 3 - 0......................40.00%....................- 6.50
12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.....................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.....................+ 9.00

TOTALS.....................39 - 27 - 0......................59.09%......................+ 43.00
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
If the NFL Draft were tomorrow……
1- Raiders
2- Giants
3- Jets
4- Titans
5- Cardinals
6- Commanders

Quote of the Day
“Real simple. The rules be the rules, so if you put your name in the [NBA draft], I don’t care if you’re from Russia and you stay in the draft, you can’t play college basketball. Well, that’s only for American kids.’ What? If your name is in that draft and you got drafted, you can’t play because that’s our rule.”
John Calipari

Wednesday’s quiz
Which NFL team this season is the only team in the last 60 years to lose three games in a season when they didn’t punt in any of the games?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, four friends drive to Las Vegas in a silver Mercedes.

Monday’s quiz
Last time the Raiders played in a playoff game, Derek Carr was their QB.

*************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— Cincinnati Bengals are worth $5.5B, the least of any NFL team.
There are only four major league baseball teams worth more than the Bengals:
Cubs, Red Sox, Dodgers, Bronx.

— Louisiana Tech 23, Coastal Carolina 14
Chanticleers led 14-3 at halftime.
Coastal in second half: 41 plays, 107 yards, 3 turnovers.
La Tech in second half: 34 plays, 175 yards, 3 turnovers, 20 points.

— Illinois 30, Tennessee 28
Illinois drove 65 yards, kicked game-winning FG at the gun.
Tennessee had taken lead on 94-yard kick return with 4:58 left.
Illini ran for 221 yards, outgained Tennessee 417-278.

— TCU 30, USC 27 OT
TCU scored 10 points in last 4:24 to force overtime.
TCU scored TD on 3rd-and-20 play to win game in OT.
Underdogs are 8-3 ATS in last eleven Alamo Bowls.

— Former Eagles-49ers-Oregon-UCLA head coach Chip Kelly is the new offensive coordinator at Northwestern. Kelly was OC for the Raiders this year, at Ohio State last year. Football coaches move around a lot.

— Clemson fired offensive coordinator Garrett Riley, making him the scapegoat for the Tigers’ 7-6 season. Clemson was 26-14 in Riley’s three years there; he is the brother of USC head coach Lincoln Riley.

— Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert (left thumb) won’t play against Denver this week; Trey Lance (2-3 as an NFL starter) will get the nod.

Famous birthdays, December 31:
Anthony Hopkins, 88
Ben Kingsley, 82
Tim Matheson, 78
Bebe Neuwirth, 67
Rick Aguilera, 64
Bryon Russell, 55
Esteban Loaiza, 54
Brent Barry, 54
Heath Shuler, 54
Jason Campbell, 44

Movie of the Day: Hustle (2022)- A scout for the 76ers discovers a phenomenal streetball player while in Spain and sees the prospect as his opportunity to become an assistant coach. If you like basketball, this is an excellent movie.
Adam Sandler is the coach, Queen Latifah is his wife, Juancho Hernangomez is the player who gets discovered on a playground in Spain. There are a lot of NBA players/executives in this movie. The basketball workout scenes are well-done.

— Creighton 89, Butler 85
Bluejays shot 58.1% inside the arc, scored 1.23 ppp.
Butler had 21 offensive rebounds (#14 on offensive boards)
Creighton is 3-0 in the Big East, scoring 90.3 ppg.

— Oregon State 70, San Francisco 62
Good bounce back for Beavers (lost by 38 to Santa Clara Sunday)
San Francisco led 30-25 at halftime.
Oregon State was 11-23 on arc, Dons 4-21

— Seton Hall 79, Marquette 73
Marquette led by 6 with 2:50 left in the game.
Seton Hall out-rebounded Marquette, 51-33.
12-2 Pirates are #15 experience team; they’re forcing turnovers 23.1% of time (#8)

— Duquesne 89, Davidson 83, 2OT
Dukes shot 35.3% inside arc, 16-35 outside arc.
Duquesne out-rebounded Davidson, 53-39
6-2 senior Guinyard played 46:00, scored 24 points, had 6 assists.

Some baseball notes…….

— Last year, Houston Astros scored 4.23 runs/game, their worst mark since 2014; they missed the playoffs last year for the first time since 2016. Altuve-Alvarez were hampered by injuries last year; they need to be healthier and to score more runs this coming season.

— 2024 White Sox scored the fewest runs of any team since 1972; last year, they scored 140 more runs than they did the year before, and now they’ve added 1B Munetaka Murakami, so their offense figures to improve again.
Last three years, Chicago won 61-41-60 games, after going 81-81 in 2022.

— Last year, the 12 worst teams in on-base %age missed the playoffs; Rockies/Royals walked the fewest times in the major leagues. Adding Isaac Collins from Milwaukee figures to spruce up the Kansas City offense (his OBP% was .368).

— Orioles re-signed P Zach Eflin for one year, $10M; last year, Eflin was 6-5, 5.93 in 14 starts in a injury-hampered season. He had a 2.60 ERA in 2024, is 68-67, 4.28 in 188 career starts.
 

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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Wednesday’s games
Reliaquest Bowl
(@ Tampa)
Iowa
vs Vanderbilt (-5.5)
Iowa (8-4)
Iowa is 7-0 scoring 25+ points, 1-4 scoring 21 or less.
Hawkeyes are 2-4 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 85 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gronowski started 55 games at I-AA South Dakota State.


Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS as an underdog this year. .
In his career, Ferentz is 57-44 ATS as an underdog.
Iowa is 8-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Under is 3-1 in Iowa’s last four games.
Iowa lost three of its last four bowl games.
Big 18 non-conference underdogs are 4-4 ATS.
Big 18 teams are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in bowls this year.


Vanderbilt (9-2, 5-2)
Vandy scored 31+ points in nine of their 11 games.
Commodores allowed 30-34 points in their two losses.
Commodores have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Commodores have 139 returning starts on OL; lot of transfers.
Senior QB Pavia has started 36 college games


Vandy is 5-1 ATS as a favorite this year.
Under Lea, Vandy is 7-9 ATS as a favorite.
This year, Vandy is 8-0 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Vandy is 3-2 SU in its last five bowl games.
Over is 7-2 in Vandy’s last nine games.
SEC non-conference favorites are 17-23 ATS.


Last eight years, underdogs are 6-2 ATS in this bowl.
This year, SEC/Big 18 teams have split four games.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.


Sun Bowl (@ El Paso)
Arizona State vs Duke (-3.5)
Arizona State (8-4)
Five of ASU’s last six wins were by 5 or fewer points.
ASU is 8-0 when they score 24+ points, 0-4 when they don’t.
ASU has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Sun Devils have 76 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior backup QB Sims has 886 PY (7 TD’a, 5 INTs)


Sun Devils are 3-2 ATS as an underdog this year..
Under Dillingham, ASU is 11-9 ATS as an underdog.
This year, ASU is 4-4-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
ASU lost four of its last five bowl games.
Under is 8-3 in Sun Devils’ last eleven games.
Big X non-conference underdogs are 3-4 ATS.


Duke (8-5)
Duke is 1-4 when it scores less than 32 points.
Blue Devils are +16 in turnovers in wins, minus-8 in losses.
Duke gave up 467+ TY in four of last six games.
Blue Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Duke has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Mensah started 13 games at Tulane.


Duke is 5-3 ATS as a favorite.
Under Manny Diaz, Duke is 8-6 ATS as a favorite.
This year, Duke is 7-5 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Duke won four of its last five bowl games.
Over is 8-4 in their I-A games.
ACC non-conference favorites are 12-18 ATS.


These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
This year, Big X teams are 6-1 SU/ATS vs ACC opponents.
Underdogs are 4-2 ATS in last six Sun Bowls.


Citrus Bowl (@ Orlando)
Michigan
vs Texas (-7)
Michigan (9-3)
Wolverines hired a new coach last week.
Michigan won last five of its last six games.
Michigan was held to 13-13-9 points in losses (24-13/31-13/27-9)
Wolverines have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Michigan has 77 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Underwood has thrown for 2,166 yards (9 TDs/5 INTs).


Michigan is 0-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Michigan is 2-3 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Last four games, Michigan is minus-5 in turnovers.
Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
Big 18 non-conference underdogs are 4-4 ATS.
Michigan won its last three bowl games.
Big 18 teams are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in bowls this year.


Texas (9-3)
Texas has won six of their last seven games.
Longhorns were held to 7-21-10 points in their losses.
Longhorns have 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Longhorns have 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Manning has thrown for 2,553 yards (20 TD’s, 7 INT’s)


Texas is 3-6 ATS as a favorite this year.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 26-23 ATS as a favorite.
Texas is 3-5 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Texas is 2-3 SU in its last five bowl games.
Over is 3-2 in their last five games.
SEC non-conference favorites are 17-23 ATS.


Last year, Texas (-6.5) won 31-12 at Michigan.
This year, SEC/Big 18 teams have split four games.
Favorites are 4-2 ATS in last six Citrus Bowls.


Las Vegas Bowl
Nebraska
vs Utah (-14.5)
Nebraska (7-5)
Nebraska is 6-0 when it scores 28+ points, 1-5 if they don’t.
Nebraska lost its last two games, giving up 37-40 points.
Cornhuskers have 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Nebraska has 131 returning starts on offensive line.
Backup QB Lateef has 722 PY (4 TD’s, 0 INTs)


Nebraska is 2-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Under Rhule, Nebraska is 9-9-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his college career, Rhule is 36-22-1 ATS as an underdog.
Over is 8-2 in their last ten I-A games.
Big 18 non-conference underdogs are 4-4 ATS.
Nebraska is 3-2 SU in its last five bowl games.


Utah (10-2)
Utah’s longtime coach bolted to Michigan last week.
Utah won its last five games, scoring 47 points/game
Utes have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Utah has 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dampier started 12 games at New Mexico.


Utah is 7-4 ATS as a favorite this year.
Utes scored 31+ points in its wins, 10-21 in losses.
Utah ran ball for 226+ yards in 10 of their 12 games.
8 of their 10 wins were by 25+ points.
Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
Utah lost its last five bowl games (favored in 3 of the 5)
Big X non-conference favorites are 15-11 ATS


Big 18/Big X teams split four games this season.
Favorites covered four of last six Las Vegas Bowls.
Utah (-6.5) lost this game 14-7 two years ago.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.


Cotton Bowl (@ Dallas)
Miami
vs Ohio State (-9.5)
Miami (11-2)
Miami won its last five games, giving up 8.8 points/game.
Miami beat Texas A&M 10-3 on December 20th.
Hurricanes are +11 in turnovers this season.
Miami is 5-1 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
Miami has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hurricanes have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Beck started 13 games for Georgia last year.


Under Cristobal, Miami is 6-5 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Cristobal is 33-31 ATS as an underdog.
Miami lost five of its last five six bowl games.
In his career, Cristobal is 4-5 SU in bowl games.
Miami is 13-22 ATS last 35 games coming off a win.
Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.
ACC non-divisional underdogs are 8-14 ATS.


Ohio State (12-1)
Buckeyes lost 13-10 to Indiana in Big 18 title game Dec 6th.
Ohio State’s last 11 wins were all by 18+ points.
Ohio State has 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Buckeyes have 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Sayin has 3,323 PY, with 31 TD’s, 6 INTs.


Under Day, OSU is 46-28-3 ATS as a favorite.
Ohio State is 3-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Buckeyes were even in turnovers in each of their last six games.
Under is 8-3 in their last eleven games.
OSU won last four bowl games, all by 14+ points.


Big 18 teams are 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS vs ACC teams this year.
Favorites are 8-2 ATS in last 10 Cotton Bowls.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.
 

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Wednesday, December 31

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
IOWA at VAN12:00 PMIOWA +4.0*****
O 45.5
+500 +500
ASU at DUKE02:00 PMASU +3.0*****
O 47.5*****
+500 +500
MICH at TEX03:00 PMMICH +7.0*****
U 48.5*****
+500 +500
NEB at UTAH03:30 PMNEB +14.5*****
U 50.5
+500 +500
MIA at OSU07:30 PMMIA +9.5*****
O 40.5*****
+500 +500
 

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CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !

12/21/2025.................3 - 4 - 1......................42.85%...................- 7.00
12/30/2025.................5 - 1 - 0......................83.33%...................+ 19.50
12/27/2025.................6 - 3 - 0......................66.66%....................+ 13.50
12/26/2025.................2 - 4 - 0.......................33.33%....................- 12.00
12/24/2025.................1 - 1 - 0.......................50.00%....................- 0.50
12/23/2025.................4 - 1 - 0.......................80.00%....................+ 14 .50
12/20/2025.................1 - 4 - 0.......................20.00%....................- 17.00
12/19/2025.................1 - 3 - 0......................25.00%.....................- 11.50
12/18/2025.................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%....................- 11.00
12/17/2025.................4 - 0 - 0.....................100.00%....................+ 20.00
12/16/2025................ 0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%.....................- 11.00
12/13/2025..................2 - 3 - 0......................40.00%....................- 6.50
12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.....................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.....................+ 9.00

TOTALS....................42 - 31 - 1......................57.57%......................+ 36.00
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
New Orleans Saints’ career leaders in passing yards:
68,010— Drew Brees
21,734— Archie Manning
19,156— Aaron Brooks
14,630— Bobby Hebert
10,622— Jim Everett
7,490— Billy Kilmer

Quote of the Day
“We don’t want to be in the spot we are in now, so something’s got to change. Whether it’s players we have continuing to improve and get better and play championship-caliber football or bringing in guys that will or whatever it may be. Obviously, something has to [change].”
Bengals’ QB Joe Burrow

Thursday’s quiz
Who was the Cincinnati Bengals’ coach, before Zac Taylor?

Wednesday’s quiz
This year’s Green Bay Packers are the only team in the last 60 years to lose three games in a season when they didn’t punt in any of the games.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie The Hangover, four friends drive to Las Vegas in a silver Mercedes.

********************************************

Thursday’s Den: Happy New Year, everyone……..

Happy New Year!!! Thanks for reading; hope 2026 is fun for all of us.
The one thing I’d really like to see this year is for everyone to be nicer to each other; just because we may disagree on some stuff, let’s be civil about it.

— Duke 42, Arizona State 39
Duke scored game-winning TD with 2:10 left.
QB Mensah threw for 327 yards, four TD’s.
Arizona State QB Sims threw for 375 yards, 3 TD’s.
ASU gained 619 yards, but was minus-2 in turnovers.

— Iowa 34, Vanderbilt 27
Hawkeyes led 14-3 at halftime.
Vandy QB Pavia threw for 347 yards, 2 TD’s.
Big 18 teams are 7-3 SU/6-4 ATS in bowl games.
SEC teams are 3-6 SU/ATS in bowl games.

— Texas 41, Michigan 27
Game was tied 17-17 at halftime.
Texas in second half: 26 plays, 224 yards, 24 points.
Longhorns ran ball 33 times for 235 yards (7.1 yards/carry)
QB Manning threw for 221 yards, ran for 155 more.

— Utah 44, Nebraska 22
QB Dampier threw for 310 yards, two TD’s.
Nebraska’s first two drives: 20 plays, 157 yards, 14 points.
Nebraska rest of game: 45 plays, 186 yards, 8 points.
Utah ran ball 45 times for 225 yards (5 yards/carry).

— Miami 24, Ohio State 14
Hurricanes were a 7.5-point underdog.
Up 7-0, Miami scored on a 72-yard pick-6 to break game open.
Ohio State ran ball 24 times for only 45 yards.
Miami plays the Ole Miss-Georgia winner in the next round of the playoff.

— Iowa coach Kirk Ferentz has had 94 players taken in the NFL Draft, the most of any current college head coach.

Famous birthdays, January 1st:
Frank Langella, 88
Bob Brudzinski, 70
LaMarr Hoyt, 70
Fernando Tatis Sr, 50
Tiago Splitter, 40
Dallas Keuchel, 37
Jason Pierre-Paul, 36
Trumaine Johnson, 35
Tyler Higbee, 32
LaMonte Wade, 31

College conferences’ bowl records SU/ATS:

AAC- 4-3/3-4

ACC- 6-4/4-6

Big X- 4-1/5-0

Big 18- 6-4/5-5

Conference USA- 4-3/4-3

MAC- 2-3/3-2

Mountain West- 2-5/3-4

SEC- 3-6/3-6

Sun Belt 3-6/4-5

Movie of the Day: 21 (2008)- Six MIT students form a card counting team and go to Las Vegas to win a lot of money. Kevin Spacey is the professor who trains the group; Laurence Fishburne is a casino employee who isn’t fond of card counters.
Jeffrey Ma, who the movie’s main character is based on, plays a blackjack dealer in some of the scenes. This movie was inspired by real people, real events.

— Virginia Tech 95, Virginia 85, 3OTs
Tech was 28-41 on the foul line, Virginia 11-15.
Ben Hammond scored 30 points for Tech; he didn’t start.
Cavaliers fall to 11-2; they were 10-45 on the arc.

— Villanova 71, DePaul 66
Villanova shot 28.6% inside arc, 10-23 outside arc.
Wildcats were 21-31 on foul line, Blue Demons 7-12.
DePaul is 0-3 in Big East, scoring 62 ppg.
Since 2007-08, DePaul is 56-276 in conference games.

— Clemson 64, Syracuse 61
Clemson shot 57.5% inside the arc.
Syracuse was 20-24 on foul line, Tigers 6-12.
Clemson is 11-3, 4-2 vs top 100 teams.

— Wichita State 75, UAB 70
Blazers led 40-24 late in the first half.
Shockers shot 9-20 on the arc, UAB 3-12.
Wichita is #14 team in country on offensive boards.

— VCU 89, St Bonaventure 82
Bonnies led by 7 with 8:10 left in the game.
Rams were 26-28 on foul line, St Bonaventure 14-15.
6-3 soph Hill scored 19 points in 26:00 off the bench.

— Creighton has a 6-4 guard, Austin Swartz, who is scoring 9.5 ppg in 18.4 minutes/game; what is unusual is that in his 239:00 on the floor, he’s only taken two foul shots. 29-74 on the arc, 18-33 inside the arc, 1-2 on the foul line. Very unusual.
 

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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Orange Bowl
(@ Miami)
Texas Tech
vs Oregon (-2.5)
Texas Tech (12-1)
Texas Tech scored 34+ points in 11 of its 12 wins.
Tech’s only loss: 26-22 at Arizona State.
Red Raiders have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
Red Raiders have 138 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Morton has started 20 games.


Tech’s last game was December 6th.
Red Raiders are 11-1 ATS this season.
Tech is 1-0 ATS as an underdog this year.
Under McGuire, Red Raiders are 8-8 ATS as an underdog.
Tech is 2-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Under is 8-3 in Tech’s last ten games.
Big X non-conference underdogs are 4-4 ATS.


Oregon (11-1)
Oregon won last seven games, giving up 17.6 ppg.
Ducks only loss: 30-20 at home to Indiana.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Ducks have 124 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Moore started 5 games at UCLA in 2023.


Ducks beat James Madison 51-34 on December 20th.
Oregon is 6-5 ATS as a favorite this year.
Ducks are 2-2 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Oregon won three of its last four bowl games,
Big 18 non-conference favorites are 19-18 ATS this year.


Oregon (-6) won 38-30 at Texas Tech two years ago.
Favorites won/covered four of last five Orange Bowls.
This year, Big X teams are 3-2 SU/ATS vs Big 18 opponents.


Rose Bowl (@ Pasadena, CA)
Indiana
(-7.5) vs Alabama
Indiana (13-0)
Hoosiers have only three wins by less than 10 points.
Indiana scored 30+ points in six of last eight games.
Hoosiers have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Hoosiers have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Mendoza started 19 games at California.


Indiana is 5-5 ATS as a favorite this year.
Hoosiers are 3-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Indiana is +17 in turnovers this season.
Indiana lost its last seven bowl games; last bowl win? 1991.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Big 18 non-conference favorites are 19-18 ATS this year.


Alabama (11-3)
Alabama is 4-1 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Alabama was held to 17-21-7 points in its three losses.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Simpson threw 25 passes last year.


Alabama is 2-3 when it allows more than 21 points.
Under DeBoer, Alabama is 3-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, DeBoer is 7-2 as an underdog.
Crimson Tide lost three of its last five bowl games.
Alabama is 3-2-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
Nine of last 11 Alabama games stayed under the total.
SEC non-conference underdogs are 4-3 ATS


Supposed to be rainy and around 60 for this game.
This year, SEC/Big 18 teams have split six games.
Underdogs are 5-2 ATS in last seven Rose Bowls.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.


Sugar Bowl (@ New Orleans)
Ole Miss
vs Georgia (-6.5)
Ole Miss (12-1)
Coach Kiffin bolted to LSU; some of his assistants are still coaching Ole Miss.
Rebels won last five I-A games, scoring 35.4 ppg
Rebels have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Rebels have 78 returning starts on offensive line.
QB Chambliss has 3,298 PY passing yards (19 TD’s, 3 INT’s).


Rebels are 1-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
Rebels are 12-9 ATS last 21 games as an underdog
OleMiss is 4-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
Only Ole Miss loss: 43-35 at Georgia.
Ole Miss won its last three bowl games, scoring 38-52-41 points.
Under is 7-3 in last nine Ole Miss games.


Georgia (12-1)
Georgia won last nine games, allowing 10-3-9-7 points in last four.
Dawgs’ only loss was 24-21 at home to Alabama.
Dawgs have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Georgia has 35 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Stockton has three career starts.


In his career, Smart is 45-52-1 ATS as a favorite.
Georgia is 6-6 ATS as a favorite this year.
Dawgs are 5-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
Six of last eight Georgia games stayed under the total.
Georgia is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS last six bowl games.


Georgia (-7.5) beat Ole Miss 43-35 at home October 18.
Dawgs are 10-2 SU/8-4 ATS last 12 games against the Rebels.
Under is 6-4 in last ten Sugar Bowls.
 

Cnotes53

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Thursday, January 1

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ORE at TTU12:00 PMTTU +2.5*****
U 50.5*****
+500 +500
ALA at IU04:00 PMALA +7.0*****
U 47.5*****
+500 +500
MISS at UGA08:00 PMMISS +5.5*****
U 55.5*****
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !

01/01/2026................3 - 3 - 0......................50.00%...................- 1.50



*************************************************************************************************************************
CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !

12/31/2025.................3 - 4 - 1......................42.85%...................- 7.00
12/30/2025.................5 - 1 - 0......................83.33%...................+ 19.50
12/27/2025.................6 - 3 - 0......................66.66%....................+ 13.50
12/26/2025.................2 - 4 - 0.......................33.33%....................- 12.00
12/24/2025.................1 - 1 - 0.......................50.00%....................- 0.50
12/23/2025.................4 - 1 - 0.......................80.00%....................+ 14 .50
12/20/2025.................1 - 4 - 0.......................20.00%....................- 17.00
12/19/2025.................1 - 3 - 0......................25.00%.....................- 11.50
12/18/2025.................0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%....................- 11.00
12/17/2025.................4 - 0 - 0.....................100.00%....................+ 20.00
12/16/2025................ 0 - 2 - 0......................00.00%.....................- 11.00
12/13/2025..................2 - 3 - 0......................40.00%....................- 6.50
12/06/2025..................9 - 2 - 0......................81.81%.....................+ 36.00
12/05/2025..................4 - 1 - 0......................66.66%.....................+ 9.00

TOTALS....................42 - 31 - 1......................57.57%......................+ 36.00
 

Udog

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Friday’s 6-pack:
Average home attendance last baseball season
:
49,536– Dodgers
42,434— Padres
42,408— Bronx
41,672— Phillies
39,755— Mets
37,359— Cubs

Quote of the Day
“They only lasting fuel is routine, and you only get a routine by dragging yourself on the days when you have no motivation. Over and over…….the only thing that works long term is showing up for yourself, even when you don’t want to. Brute force.”
Arnold Schwarzenegger

Friday’s quiz
Who is the only major league pitcher ever to pitch in a World Series for four different teams?

Thursday’s quiz
Marvin Lewis was the Cincinnati Bengals’ coach, before Zac Taylor.

Wednesday’s quiz
This year’s Green Bay Packers are the only team in the last 60 years to lose three games in a season when they didn’t punt in any of those games.

**********************************************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

— Handicapping Week 18 of the NFL is tougher than normal; some teams aren’t playing their starters because they’re in playoffs next week. Eagles are sitting Jalen Hurts and some of their other starters, Chargers are sitting Justin Herbert, Jordan Love is sitting out for Green Bay.

— Houston Astros made a splash in free agency Thursday, signing P Tatsuya Imai to a three-year contract worth $54M, plus some other incentives. He replaces free agent Framber Valdez, who won 57 games for the Astros the last four years.

Ole Miss 39, Georgia 34
Georgia led this game 21-12 at halftime.
Ole Miss QB Chambliss threw for 362 yards, two TD’s.
Total yardage: Ole Miss 473, Georgia 343
Rebels move on to play Miami in the next round of the playoff.

Ole Miss QB Trinidad Chambliss played for D-II Ferris State last year, leading them to a national title. How was somebody this good playing Division II ball?

Indiana 38, Alabama 3
Hoosiers win their first bowl game since 1991.
Indiana outgained Alabama, 407-193.
Alabama ran the ball 17 times for only 23 yards.
Indiana moves on to play Oregon next; they beat the Ducks 30-20 in October.

Alabama was a 7,5-point underdog, the biggest underdog they’ve been since 2008.

Oregon 23, Texas Tech 0
Tech came into this game scoring 42.5 ppg.
Oregon led this game 6-0 at halftime.
Tech gained only 215 yards, had four turnovers.
Ducks move on to play Indiana in the next round.

— Miami Dolphins hired Hall of Fame quarterback Troy Aikman as a consultant in their search for a new general manager, which is a little odd, seeing how Dan Marino already works for the team. He is an advisor; this isn’t a permanent job.

Dolphins haven’t won a playoff game since 2000; ownership wanted a voice from the outside to provide a different perspective.

Famous birthdays, January 2nd:
Calvin Hill, 79
Mike Newlin, 77
Jim Essian, 74
Edgar Martinez, 62

David Cone, 62
Christy Turlington, 57
Dax Shepard, 51
Kirk Hinrich, 46

Kate Bosworth, 43
Kyle Stowers, 27
Aaron Wiggins, 27
Fernando Tatis Jr, 26

College conferences’ bowl records SU/ATS:
AAC- 4-3/3-4
ACC- 6-4/4-6
Big X- 5-1/5-1

Big 18- 9-4/8-5
Conference USA- 4-3/4-3
MAC- 2-3/3-2

Mountain West- 2-5/3-4
SEC- 4-8/4-8
Sun Belt 3-6/4-5

— NCAA Tournament is still a couple months away, but ESPN’s Bracketology has these teams as the #1-4 seeds, if the tournament were this week:
#1-seeds: Michigan, UConn, Arizona, Iowa State
#2-seeds: Vanderbilt, Duke, Gonzaga, Purdue
#3-seeds: Houston, Michigan State, Alabama, BYU
#4-seeds: Louisville, Kansas, Illinois, Nebraska

— Vanderbilt guard Frankie Collins torn a meniscus in his knee and is out indefinitely; he is a senior who is scoring 7.8 ppg and 4.7 assists/game.

— ESPN’s fantasy football posted the players who were on the highest %age of teams that won their league’s championship this year:

29.1%- Puka Nucua
25.2%- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
23.8%- Bijan Robinson
22.4%- Trey McBride
20.1%- Christian McCaffrey

— Before the Cotton Bowl, Ohio State practiced in an indoor practice facility at Highland Park High School, where Matthew Stafford/Clayton Kershaw went to school.

You read that right; a high school in Texas has an indoor practice facility for its football team.

— Last five years, number of pitchers who started 30+ games:
2021- 41
2022- 43
2023- 44
2024- 51
2025- 53

— New Orleans Saints have won four games in a row, for the first time since 2020.
 
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