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[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Friday, January 2

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Friday’s games
Armed Forces Bowl (@ Ft Worth, TX)
Rice vs Texas State (-16.5)
Rice (5-7)
Rice lost six of its last eight games.
Owls gave up 56-52 points in their last two games.
Rice has 3 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Owls have 56 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Jenkins has run for 539 yards, thrown for 1,025 yards.


Rice is 4-5 ATS as an underdog this year.
One of Owls’ wins was 14-12 (+10.5) at Louisiana of Sun Belt.
Owls were held under 300 TY in four of last six games.
Rice is 8-7-1 ATS in last 16 non-conference games.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
Rice lost three of its last four bowl games.
AAC non-conference underdogs are 15-13 ATS


Texas State (6-6)
Texas State won its last three games, scoring 41-31-49 points.
Bobcats scored 30+ points in 10 of their 12 games.
Five of their six wins are by 17+ points.
Texas State has 3 starters back on offense, 2 on defense.
Texas State has 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Jackson has 3,049 PY (18 TD’s, 7 INTs)


Texas State scored 30+ points in four of their six losses.
Under Kinne, Bobcats are 11-14 ATS as a favorite.
This year, Texas State is 2-5 ATS as a favorite.
Five of Bobcats’ last seven games went over the total.
Texas State won its two bowl games, 45-21/30-28.
Sun Belt non-conference favorites are 6-10 ATS.


Texas State (-3.5) beat Rice 45-21 in a bowl two years ago.
Underdogs covered four of last five Texas Bowls.
This year, AAC teams are 6-3 SU/5-4 ATS vs Sun Belt opponents.


Liberty Bowl (@ Memphis)
Navy (-7) vs Cincinnati
Navy (10-2)
Navy was held to 17-10 points in its two losses.
Middies are 5-0 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Navy has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Middies have 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Horvath has 13 career starts (1,040 RY, 1,390 PY).


Under Newberry, Navy is 9-12 ATS as a favorite.
Navy is 2-3 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Navy is 2-6 ATS as a favorite this year.
Middies ran for 200+ yards in 10 of their 12 games.
Navy won four of its last five bowl games.
Over is 7-4 in their I-A games.
AAC non-conference favorites are 9-9 ATS.


Cincinnati (7-5)
Cincinnati lost last four games, giving up 36.5 ppg
Cincinnati is 1-5 when they score less than 34 points.
Bearcats have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bearcats have 81 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby has 19 career starts.


Problem vs Navy: Cincy allowed 228+ YR in four of last six games.
Cincinnati is 2-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
Under Satterfield, Cincinnati is 6-10-1 ATS as an underdog.
This year, Bearcats are 4-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
Cincinnati lost its last three bowls, last of which was in 2022.
Over is 6-4 in their I-A games.
Big X non-conference underdogs are 4-5 ATS.


Cincinnati won last two series games, 27-20/20-10 (2021/2022)
Underdogs covered eight of last nine Liberty Bowls.
AAC/Big X teams split four meetings this year.


Holiday Bowl (@ San Diego)
Arizona vs SMU (-1.5)
Arizona (9-3)
Arizona is 7-0 when they allow less than 31 points.
Wildcats gave up 39-33-31 points in their losses.
Arizona has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Wildcats have 84 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Fifita has 21 career starts


Arizona is 2-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
In his career, Brennan is 28-27-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Brennan is 0-3 SU in bowl games.
This year, Arizona is 5-4 ATS in games with single digit spread.
Under is 4-1 in Arizona’s last five games.
Arizona is 3-2 in its last five bowls (average total, 69.2)
Big X non-conference underdogs are 5-5 ATS.


SMU (8-4)
SMU won six of its last eight games.
SMU is 1-3 in games decided by less than 11 points.
SMU is 1-2 when they score less than 28 points.
Mustangs have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mustangs have 117 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Jennings started 13 times the last two years.


Mustangs are 30-10 SU the last three years.
This year, Mustangs are 12-8 ATS as a home favorite.
This year, Mustangs are 3-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
SMU lost its last five bowl games.
Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.
ACC non-conference favorites are 13-23 ATS.


Underdogs are 6-2 ATS in last eight Holiday Bowls.
This year, ACC teams are 2-6 SU/1-7 ATS vs Big X teams.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.


Duke’s Mayo Bowl (@ Charlotte, NC)
Mississippi State (-3) vs Wake Forest
Mississippi State (5-7)
Miss State lost seven of its last eight games, after a 4-0 start.
Last five games, Bulldogs gave up 45-35-41-49-38 points.
Bulldogs have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bulldogs have 91 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Shapen has 27 career starts.


This year, Bulldogs are 2-0 ATS as a favorite.
Under Lebby is 4-1 ATS as a favorite.
Bulldogs are 5-3 ATS in games with single digit spread.
Bulldogs lost three of their last five bowl games.
Four of Miss State’s last five games went over the total.
SEC non-conference favorites are 18-23 ATS.


Wake Forest (8-3, 4-3)
Wake Forest won three in row, six of last seven games.
Deacons allowed 34-30-42 points in its three losses.
Deacons have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Wake Forest has 86 returning starts on offensive line.
QB Ashford played previously at Auburn, South Carolina.


This year, Wake is 4-3 ATS as an underdog.
This year, Wake is 5-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
Deacons are 6-2 ATS in last eight games overall.
Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.
Wake Forest won three of its last five bowl games
ACC non-conference underdogs are 9-14 ATS.


This year, ACC teams are 6-6 SU/7-5 ATS vs SEC opponents.
Last 10 years, favorites are 6-3-1 ATS in this bowl.
These teams haven’t met in the last six years.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season

NCAAF

Bowl Season

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Trend Report
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Arizona VS SMU
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games.
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games played on a Friday.
Southern Methodist is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Southern Methodist's last 10 games.
Southern Methodist is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
Southern Methodist is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.

Wake Forest VS Mississippi State
Wake Forest is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Wake Forest's last 10 games.
Wake Forest is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
Wake Forest is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Mississippi State is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 5 games.
Mississippi State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
Mississippi State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.


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[Cnotes53]

Friday, January 2​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
RICE at TXST	01:00 PM	TXST -18.5***** U 55.5	+500 +500
NAVY at CIN	04:30 PM	NAVY -7.5***** U 55.5*****	+500 +500
ARIZ at SMU	08:00 PM	ARIZ +1.5***** O 51.5*****	+500 +500
WAKE at MSST	08:00 PM	WAKE +3.0***** U 53.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU THE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !

01/02/2026..............5 - 1 - 0...............83.33%...........+ 19.50
01/01/2026..............3 - 3 - 0...............50.00%............- 1.50

TOTALS...................8 - 4 - 0................66.66%...........+ 18.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
Six highest-paid NBA players, in the 1985-86 season (40 years ago):
$2.5M— Magic Johnson, Lakers
$2,140,000— Moses Malone, 76ers
$2,030,000— Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Lakers
$1.8M— Larry Bird, Celtics
$1.6M— Jack Sikma, Sonics
$1,485,000— Julius Erving, 76ers

Quote of the Day
“In order to get better at basketball, you have to play basketball.”
Kelvin Sampson

Saturday’s quiz
Which current NFL head coach had more rushing yards than Bo Jackson in his NFL playing career?

Friday’s quiz
Max Scherzer is the only major league pitcher ever to pitch in a World Series for four different teams.

Thursday’s quiz
Marvin Lewis was the Cincinnati Bengals’ coach, before Zac Taylor.

**************************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….​

— Word of the Day: Polarizing- Something/someone who divides people into sharply opposing factions. I bring this up now that Ole Miss is in the semi-finals of the college football playoff, after Lane Kiffin built a good program, then bolting on his team before the playoff, to go to SEC rival and make more money.
By the way, the two wins by Ole Miss in the playoffs have earned Kiffin another $500,000 in bonus money, which LSU is paying him.

— Here is Kiffin’s career timeline:
1994-96- was a backup QB at Fresno State.
1997-98- student assistant coach at Fresno State (his father wouldn’t let him quit playing, unless he became a student assistant coach).
1999- grad assistant at Colorado State
2000- defensive quality control coach, Jacksonville Jaguars
2001- tight ends coach, USC
2002-03- wide receivers coach, USC
2004- pass game coordinator, USC
2005-06- offensive coordinator, USC
2007-08- head coach, Oakland Raiders
2009- head coach, Tennessee Vols
2010-13- head coach, USC
2014-16- offensive coordinator, Alabama
2017-19- head coach, Florida Atlantic
2020-25- head coach, Ole Miss
Going to be very interesting to see how he does with LSU.

— Wake Forest 43, Mississippi State 29
Down 3-0 in first quarter, Wake ran kickoff back 100 yards for a TD.
Deacons scored on TD passes of 64-62 yards.
Wake Forest won four in row, seven of last eight games.
Miss State lost eight of its last nine games, after a 4-0 start.

— SMU 24, Arizona 19
Mustangs led 24-0 at halftime.
SMU survived three turnovers (minus-2), being outgained 441-392.
SMU won seven of its last nine games.

— Navy 35, Cincinnati 13
Navy ran the ball 51 times for 241 yards.
Navy won five of last six bowl games.
Cincinnati lost its last five games overall, giving up 37.8 ppg


Bobcats QB Jackson threw for 173 yards, 3 TDs, also ran for a TD.
Texas State’s lead was only 10-7 at halftime.
Bobcats outgained Rice, 436-195.

— Famous birthdays, January 3rd:
Victoria Principal, 76
Mel Gibson, 70
Jim Everett, 63
AJ Burnett, 48
David Tyree, 45
Eli Manning, 44
Doug McDermott, 33
Dallas Goedert, 30

— College conferences’ bowl records SU/ATS:

AAC- 5-4/4-5

ACC- 8-4/6-6

Big X- 5-3/5-3

Big 18- 9-4/8-5

Conference USA- 4-3/4-3

MAC- 2-3/3-2

Mountain West- 2-5/3-4

SEC- 4-9/4-9

Sun Belt 4-6/5-5

— The four head coaches whose teams are all alive in the college football playoff? At one time or another, they were all an assistant coach under Nick Saban.

— Tennessee Vols’ punter Jackson Ross is a 26-year old Australian who used to play tennis, and then got paid to play Australian Rules Football.

— Friday, 3,753 college/minor league football players entered the transfer portal, roughly 27 players for every I-A team in the country.

— Last two years, Cincinnati Bengals have lost six games when they scored 34+ points; in the history of the NFL, only two other teams have ever lost three games like that in the same year- 1985 Chargers, 2002 Chiefs.

— Biggest upset in bowl game history? Back in 1998, Idaho (+17) upset Southern Mississippi 42-38 in the Humanitarian Bowl.

— Gonzaga 80, Seattle 72 OT
Seattle led by 13 with 12:30 left in the game.
Redhawks are 12-4, but 1-2 in their first year in the WCC.
Gonzaga is 15-1; their only loss was against Michigan, by 40.
This is Gonzaga’s last year in the WCC; they’ll be in the Pac-12 next year.

— Nebraska 58, Michigan State 56
Cornhuskers are 14-0 for the first time ever, vs schedule #140.
Nebraska shot 13-37 on the arc, only 5-20 inside the arc.

Spartans shot 34% from the floor.
— Washington State 78, LMU 76
Lions led by 14 midway thru the first half.
Wazzu shot 56.2% inside the arc, 10-23 outside the arc.

— Manhattan 80, Quinnipiac 79
Jaspers trailed by 18 with 16:37 left in the game.
Manhattan is in bottom 5 in country on the defensive boards.
Both teams are 3-1 in the MAAC.

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
Unbeaten college basketball teams:
15-0— Miami OH
14-0— Arizona
14-0— Iowa State
14-0— Nebraska
14-0— Vanderbilt
13-0— Michigan

Quote of the Day
“Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.”
George Santayana

Sunday’s quiz
Who is the all-time leader in receiving yards for the Rams?

Saturday’s quiz
In his NFL playing career, Chargers’ coach Jim Harbaugh had more rushing yards than Bo Jackson; Harbaugh had 2,787 rushing yards, Bo Jackson 2,782.

Friday’s quiz
Max Scherzer is the only major league pitcher ever to pitch in a World Series for four different teams.

*************************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Saturday……​

— Buccaneers 16, Panthers 14
This game was played in a rainy quagmire in Tampa.
Both teams are now 8-9, tied for first in NFC South.
If Atlanta wins Sunday, it creates a 3-way tie; Carolina would advance
If New Orleans wins Sunday, Tampa Bay would advance.
Tampa Bay was 8-15 on third down, Carolina 1-8 (2-2 on 4th down)
Panthers ran the ball 14 times for only 19 yards.
Chase McLaughlin kicked field goals of 29-36-48 yards.
Just second win in last nine games for the Buccaneers.

— Seahawks 13, 49ers 3
Seattle wins NFC West, gets a first round bye in the playoffs.
Seahawks outgained San Francisco 361-173.
Seattle ran for 180 yards, didn’t score TD in three trips to red zone.
K Myers was only 2-4 on field goals; he had made 18 in a row coming in.
49ers will be #6-seed if Rams win Sunday, #5-seed if Arizona wins.
49ers’ first three drives: 12 plays, 39 yards, no points.
Seattle’s first four drives: 34 plays, 187 yards, 10 points.
Seahawks were 6-13 on third down, San Francisco 2-9.

— College Basketball Upsets of the Day:
Providence (+12) 77, St John’s 71
Mississippi State (+9.5) 101, Texas 98
Cal-Bakersfield (+9.5) 81, Cal-Davis 79
Georgia State (+8.5) 89, Coastal Carolina 71
James Madison (+8.5) 78, Arkansas State 74
Monmouth (+8.5) 62, Towson 48
Western Carolina (+8.5) 80, Furman 77 OT
There were 18 teams that won Saturday, after trailing by 10+ points. Lot of comebacks.

— SEC basketball
Alabama 89, Kentucky 74
Crimson Tide led 50-34 at halftime.
Alabama shot 15-38 on the arc; Kentucky was 4-19.
Alabama is 11-3; they’ve played the toughest schedule in country so far.
Arkansas 86, Tennessee 75
Vols led by 5 with 12:29 left in the game.
Arkansas was 29-33 on foul line, Tennessee 12-23
Acuff had 29 points, 4 assists for the Razorbacks.

Georgia 104, Auburn 100 OT
Georgia shot 63.9% inside the arc.
Dawgs have won seven games in a row, are 13-1, vs schedule #321.
Georgia’s only loss was in OT to Clemson, on a neutral floor.
KenPom has four SEC teams ranked in the country’s top 30.
Going into Saturday, Bracketology had SEC getting 9 teams in NCAA’s.

— Big X
BYU 83, Kansas State 73
Freshman AJ Dybansas had 24 points, 8 rebounds, 7 turnovers.
K-State shot 3-21 on the arc.
BYU has won 10 in a row, is 13-1 against schedule #51.
Central Florida 81, Kansas 75
Knights have won 11 in a row, are a very quiet 12-1 team.
UCF is #5 team in country on the offensive boards.
Kansas star Peterson had 26 points in 23:00; only third game he’s played since November 11th.

Houston 67, Cincinnati 60
Bearcats led by 10 early in the second half.
Freshman G Flemings had 19 points, 6 assists, 5 steals.
Cougars have won seven in a row, are 13-1 vs schedule #106.
KenPom has five Big X teams ranked in the country’s top 20.
Going into Saturday, Bracketology had Big X getting 8 teams in NCAA’s.

— Big East
Providence 77, St John’s 71
Red Storm led 15-2 early on, 39-32 at halftime.
6-9 senior Ejiofor was 14-23 on foul line. One guy; 23 foul shots.
First win for Providence in seven games vs top 100 teams.

Villanova 85, Butler 67
Villanova shot 67.6% inside the arc.
Butler is 1-3 in Big East games, giving up 90.8 ppg.
Villanova has won five in a row, is 12-2 vs schedule #49.
KenPom has only three Big East teams ranked in the country’s top 40.
Going into Saturday, Bracketology had Big East getting 5 teams in NCAA’s.

— Big 18
Iowa 74, UCLA 61
Hawkeyes led 38-14 early in the game.
6-4 senior Stirtz scored 27 points, had 5 assists.
Iowa shot 66.7% inside the arc, scored 1.19 ppp.
KenPom has six Big 18 teams ranked in the country’s top 25.
Going into Saturday, Bracketology had Big 18 getting 10 teams in NCAA’s.
— ACC

SMU 97, North Carolina 83
Game was 39-39 at halftime; SMU scored 58 points in 2nd half.
SMU shot 14-27 on the arc, scored 1.40 ppp.
Mustangs are 12-2 (5-2 vs top 100 teams) vs schedule #88.

Duke 91, Florida State 87
Duke was 23-25 on foul line, Seminoles 11-16.
Florida State shot 61% inside arc; they led by 4 points early in second half.
Duke is 13-1; their only loss was 82-81 to #20 Texas Tech.
KenPom has four ACC teams ranked in the country’s top 30.
Going into Saturday, Bracketology had ACC getting 8 teams in NCAA’s.

— Famous birthdays, January 4th:
Dyan Cannon, 89
Charlie Manuel, 82
Dave Foley, 63
Ted Lilly, 50
Eric Weddle, 41
Scott Sizemore, 41
Kevin Pillar, 37
Kris Bryant, 34
Michael Lorenzen, 32
Reynaldo Lopez, 32
Derrick Henry, 32
Victor Wembanyama, 32

— Charlotte 104, Wichita State 100, 2OTs
Wichita led by 18 in 2nd half, by 5 with 0:19 left in regulation.
Charlotte was 29-38 on foul line, scored 1.39 ppp.
Charlotte is 7-8; their last two wins were in overtime.

— Ohio U 68, Eastern Michigan 67
Eagles led 35-15 early on, 32-15 at halftime.
Ohio U outscored them 53-35 in second half.
Bobcats have won 7 of last 8 games, after a 1-6 start.

— Bowling Green 101, UMass 100 OT
Falcons trailed by 7 with 0:54 left in regulation.
6-2 senior Campbell was 20-27 on the foul line, scored 47 points.
Bowling Green is 8-4 vs D-I teams (schedule #283).

— Toronto Blue Jays signed 3B Kazuma Okamoto to a 4-year, $60M contract; down the road, he is seen as more of a 1B than 3B, but with Vladimir Guerrero entrenched at 1B, seems like he’ll be a 3B or DH for now.

 

[Udog]

Monday’s 6-pack:
NFL playoff schedule for this week:
Saturday 4:30- Rams (-9.5) @ Carolina
Saturday 8:00- Packers (-1.5) @ Chicago
Sunday 1:00- Bills (-1.5) @ Jacksonville
Sunday 4:30- 49ers @ Philadelphia (-3.5)
Sunday 8:00- Chargers @ New England (-3.5)
Monday 8:15- Texans (-3) @ Pittsburgh

Quote of the Day
“I was not pleased with the offense today. We can’t dig ourselves in a hole like that. I was disappointed with the offense as a whole. I let those guys know that. And we’ll be better for it.”
Bears coach Ben Johnson

Monday’s quiz
What college basketball program has made the NCAA Tournament the most times (32) without ever making it to a Final Four?

Sunday’s quiz
Isaac Bruce is the all-time leader in receiving yards for the Rams.

Saturday’s quiz
In his NFL playing career, Chargers’ coach Jim Harbaugh had more rushing yards than Bo Jackson; Harbaugh had 2,787 rushing yards, Bo Jackson 2,782.

***************************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Steelers 26, Ravens 24
Ravens missed a 44-yard FG at the gun; Steelers win AFC North.
Steelers drove 65 yards, took lead for good on 26-yard TD pass with 0:55 left.
Baltimore lost four of its last six games, after a 5-0 streak.
Ravens miss playoffs for only second time in last eight years.
Baltimore led this game 1o-3 at halftime.
Steelers in second half: 40 plays, 237 yards, 23 points.
Pittsburgh won three of its last four games.
Steelers host Houston in first round of playoffs next Monday.

Falcons 19, Saints 17
Atlanta’s win made Carolina Panthers NFC South champs.
Panthers host the Rams Saturday in first round of the playoffs.
After the game, Falcons fired both their coach and GM.
Raheem Morris went 8-9/8-9 in his two years coaching Atlanta.
Last 2 years. Falcons were 12-10 when QB Cousins plays, 4-8 when didn’t
Atlanta’s first TD in this game came on a 5-yard drive, after a blocked punt.
New Orleans outgained the Falcons, 340-208.
Saints wound up 5-4 this year when rookie QB Shough started.

Jaguars 41, Titans 7
Jacksonville clinches AFC South, their third playoff spot in last 18 years.
Jaguars won their last eight games, scoring 33.6 ppg
Tennessee QB Ward hurt his shoulder early on, threw only three passes.
Jaguars host Buffalo in first round of the playoffs Sunday.
Titans are 9-19 ATS in last 28 games as an underdog.
Up 14-7, Jaguars broke game open with a 58-yard pick-6.
Jacksonville K Little booted a 67-yard FG at the halftime gun.
Liam Coen has an impressive 13-4 in his first year as Jaguars’ coach.

Broncos 19, Chargers 3
Denver clinches #1-seed in AFC and a bye next week.
Broncos won 13 of their last 14 games.
Chargers sat out #1 QB Herbert, who has broken left hand.
Chargers’ first five drives: 19 plays, 51 yards, 4 punts, one INT
Denver is in playoffs for second year in row, after an 8-year absence.
Broncos’ only TD of the day came on a 45-yard pick-6 in first quarter.
Chargers travel to Foxboro to play the Patriots Sunday night.
Jim Harbaugh is 72-34-1 as an NFL coach, 23-12 with the Bolts.

Patriots 38, Dolphins 10
RB Stevenson had 9 touches for 153 yards, three TD’s
Patriots swept Miami for the first time since 2016.
New England hosts the Chargers Sunday night in Foxboro.
Patriots outgained Miami, 457-180.
Miami allowed 27+ points in all 10 of its losses this year.
Dolphins went 15-19 last two years; they were 20-16 McDaniel’s first two years.
Miami hasn’t won a playoff game since 2000.
Rookie QB Ewers was 16-23/137 in his first road start; he left late with an injury.

Rams 37, Cardinals 20
Arizona led this game 20-16 with 3:51 left in third quarter.
From that point on, Rams ran 24 plays for 217 yards, three TD’s.
QB Stafford threw for 259 yards, four TD’s.
Rams go to Carolina for a playoff game late Saturday afternoon.
Rams are 9-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
This was Sean McVay’s 100th win (100-62) as a head coach.
Rams have made the playoffs in seven of his nine years as coach.
Before McVay came to the Rams, they missed playoffs 12 years in a row.

Raiders 14, Chiefs 12
Daniel Carlson kicked a 60-yard FG with 0:08 left for the win.
Chiefs had kicked FG’s with 3:33/1:01 left to grab a 21-11 lead.
Despite the win, Raiders own the first pick in April’s NFL Draft.
There were no TD’s in this game; both teams kicked four FG’s.
Chiefs ended a dismal season 6-11, losing their last six games.
#4 QB Buechele averaged 6.3 yards/pass attempt, was an improvement.
This was the Raiders’ first win since October 12 vs Tennessee.
Total yardage: Raiders 204, KC 168. Teams were combined 7-33 on 3rd down.

— Famous birthdays, January 5th:
Robert Duvall, 95
Rick Mount, 79
Jim Gantner, 73
Alex English, 72
Bob Dernier, 69
Steve Fuller, 69
Joe Cribbs, 68
Clancy Brown, 67
Danny Jackson, 63
Bradley Cooper, 51
Warrick Dunn, 51
Nori Aoki, 44

Texans 38, Colts 30
Houston kicked a 43-yard FG with 0:12 left for the win.
Texans scored TD on a fumble return on ensuing kickoff for final margin.
QB Stroud, other Houston starters, didn’t play most of second half.
Texans visit Pittsburgh in the playoffs next Monday night.
Rookie QB Leonard threw for 270 yards, two TD’s in his first NFL start.
WR Pierce caught four passes for 132 yards, two TD’s.
Colts are 8-3 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.
Houston goes into the playoffs on a nine-game win streak.

Commanders 24, Eagles 17
Washington outscored Philly 14-0 in fourth quarter.
Eagles rested QB Hurts, RB Barkley, several other starters.
Commanders led 10-7 at halftime after Moody kicked a 56-yard FG.
This was only second win in last 12 games for Washington.
Commanders led 10-7 at halftime after Moody kicked a 56-yard FG.
Washington was 6-for-11 on 3rd down behind 39-year old backup QB Johnson.
Philly was penalized nine times for 123 yards in this game.
Eagles host San Francisco in playoffs next week at 4:30 Sunday

Lions 19, Bears 16
Detroit kicked 42-yard FG at the gun to end their season 9-8.
Lions led 16-0 after the third quarter.
Detroit’s first three drives: 36 plays, 197 yards, 13 points.
Lions scored only one touchdown, were 4-5 kicking field goals.
Chicago kept the #2-seed, hosts Green Bay in playoffs Saturday night.
Bears lost 28-21 at Lambeau in Week 14, beat Packers 22-16 in Week 16.
Bears’ first five drives: 30 plays, 107 yards, no points.
Bears in fourth quarter: 22 plays, 158 yards, 16 points.

Giants 34, Cowboys 17
Giants win clinched the Raiders having the #1-pick in draft.
Giants won last two games, after a nine-game losing skid.
Giants were 8-14 on third down, Dallas 2-8.
Rookie QB Dart threw for 230 yards, finished his rookie season 4-8.
Giants beat Cowboys for first time in last 10 meetings.
Giants led this game 16-10 at halftime.
Dallas used backup QB Milton in second half.
Cowboys had consecutive losing seasons for first time since 2000-02.

Browns 20, Bengals 18
Cleveland kicked a 49-yard FG at the gun for the win.
Browns scored two defensive TD’s in first 16:00 of this game.
Bengals missed the PAT after their first two touchdowns.
Cincinnati outgained the Browns 364-200; turnovers were a killer.
Bengals were 1-8 when they scored less than 31 points.
QB Burrow threw for 236 yards, three TD’s.
Browns were 8-26 the last two years; will Watson play QB next year?
Bengals missed playoffs last three years, going 24-26.

Vikings 16, Packers 3
Green Bay kicked FG on last play to avoid being shut out.
#3 QB Tune is 0-2 as an NFL starter, losing 27-0/16-3.
Packers get QB Love back Saturday for a playoff game in Chicago.
Green Bay lost its last four games, after a 9-3-1 start.
Minnesota won its last five games to finish season 9-8
QB McCarthy got hurt (again), didn’t finish the game.
Vikings outgained Green Bay 363-121 in this game.
WR Jefferson caught eight passes for 101 yards.

Bills 35, Jets 8
Game was 21-0 at half; not a spunky effort by the Jets.
Jets are 0-6 SU/1-5 ATS last five visits to Buffalo.
Buffalo won five of six, eight of their last eleven games overall.
Bills visit Jacksonville for a playoff game Sunday afternoon.
Jets are first team EVER not to intercept a pass all season.
Jets lost their last five games, giving up 34-48-29-42-35 points.
Jets were 0-12 when they score less than 27 points.
Jets are 5-11-1 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog

 

[Udog]

Bowl Season

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season

NCAAF

Bowl Season

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Miami-FL VS Ole Miss
Miami-FL is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami-FL's last 5 games.
Miami-FL is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
Miami-FL is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Ole Miss is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ole Miss' last 6 games.
Ole Miss is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games.
Ole Miss is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.

Oregon VS Indiana
Oregon is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
Oregon is 8-0 SU in its last 8 games.
Oregon is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 5 games against an opponent in the East Division division.
Indiana is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
Indiana is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
Indiana is 11-0 SU in its last 11 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games played on a Friday.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season

FCS Championship Game

MONTANA STATE VS ILLINOIS STATE ODDS, GAME TIME​

• Game Day: Monday, January 5, 2026
• Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
• Location: Nashville, TN
• Stadium: FirstBank Stadium
• Favorite: Montana State Bobcats
• Underdog: Illinois State Redbirds
• Over/under: 57.0
• Point Spread: Montana State (-10)

HOW TO WATCH MONTANA STATE VS ILLINOIS STATE​

• TV Channel: ESPN

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR MONTANA STATE VS ILLINOIS STATE​

Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 94.288; Illionis State 80.860
Dunkel Line & Total: Montana State by 13 1/2; 63
Vegas Line & Total: Montana State by 10; 57
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (-10); Over

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Bowl Season

 

[Udog]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
— Las Vegas fired Pete Carroll as coach, after only one year with the Raiders.
— Cardinals fired coach Jonathan Gannon, who was 15-36 in three years.
— Browns fired coach Kevin Stefanski; he was 46-58 in six years in Cleveland.
— Nebraska 72, Ohio State 69- Nebraska is in top 10 for first time since 1966.
— Rutgers 88, Oregon 85 OT- Rutgers was 30-34 on foul line; Oregon 12-16.
— Columbia 104, Cornell 99- Cornell led by 9 with 10:31 left in the game.

Quote of the Day
“Not good enough. We didn’t get in. We underachieved. So, not good. I’d give myself a freaking F.”
Lions coach Dan Campbell

Tuesday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, Martin Sheen plays President Bartlet; what state is President Bartlet from?

Monday’s quiz
BYU Cougars have made the NCAA Tournament the most times (32) without ever making it to a Final Four.

Sunday’s quiz
Isaac Bruce is the all-time leader in receiving yards for the Rams.

************************************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Playoff trends for the 14 teams in this year’s playoffs

Postseason trends for all 14 teams in the playoffs:

AFC
— Denver Broncos
Lost Wild Card game last year, their first playoff game since 2015.

Sean Payton is 9-9 in playoff games, won Super Bowl 16 years ago.
QB Nix lost his one playoff game, 31-7 to Buffalo.

Denver is 9-3 in last 12 home playoff games.
Overall, Broncos are 3-5 in Super Bowls.

— New England Patriots
Patriots are in playoffs for first time in four years.
New England’s last win in a playoff game: 2018.

Mike Vrabel is 2-3 in playoff games (0-2 in home games)
QB Maye will be playing in his first NFL playoff game.

New England is 6-5 in Super Bowls.

— Jacksonville Jaguars
Jaguars are in playoffs for first time since 2022, third time in last 18 years.

Liam Coen will be coaching in his first NFL playoff game.
QB Lawrence is 1-1 in playoff games.

Overall, Jacksonville is 8-8 in playoff games, 4-1 at home.
Jaguars have never made it to the Super Bowl.

— Pittsburgh Steelers
Steelers are in playoffs for third year in row, fifth time in last six years.
Pittsburgh lost its last five playoff games; their last playoff win? 2017

Mike Tomlin is 8-11 in playoff games; he won Super Bowl in 2008
QB Rodgers is 11-10 in playoff games; he won Super Bowl in 2010.

Steelers lost three of last four home playoff games.
Pittsburgh is 6-2 in Super Bowls.

— Houston Texans
Texans are in playoffs for the third year in a row.
Houston has been in playoffs eight times:
6-2 in their first playoff game of a season, 0-6 in second one.

DeMeco Ryans is 2-2 in playoff games.
QB Stroud is 2-2 in playoff games.

Houston is 6-2 in home playoff games, 0-6 on the road.
Texans haven’t made it to a Super Bowl.

— Buffalo Bills
Bills are in the playoffs for the seventh year in a row.
Buffalo lost its last eight road playoff games; last road playoff win? 1992

Sean McDermott is 7-7 in playoff games.
QB Allen is 7-6 in playoff games.
Buffalo is 0-4 in Super Bowls.

Since 2020, Bills are 0-4 vs Chiefs in playoffs, 7-1 vs everyone else.

— Los Angeles Chargers
Chargers are in playoffs for third time in four years.

Jim Harbaugh is 5-4 in playoff games, 0-1 in Super Bowl.
QB Herbert is 0-2 in playoff games.
Chargers lost their only Super Bowl, in 1994.

Since 2008, Chargers are 3-6 in playoff games.
Chargers’ last home playoff game was in 2009.

Famous birthdays, January 6th:
Harold Jackson, 80
Howie Long, 66
Sean Landeta, 64

Norm Charlton, 63
Kate McKinnon, 42
AJ Hawk, 42

Ndamukong Suh, 39
Kevin Gausman, 35
Jameis Winston, 32

NFC
— Seattle Seahawks
Seahawks are in playoffs for first time in three years.

Macdonald is coaching in his first playoff game.
QB Darnold lost his only playoff game, 27-9 to the Rams

Seahawks are 1-2 in Super Bowls.
Seahawks won 10 of their last 11 home playoff games.
Since losing Super Bowl to New England in 2014, Seattle is 3-6 in playoff games.

— Chicago Bears
Bears are in playoffs for first time since 2020.
Chicago’s last playoff win? 2010

Ben Johnson is coaching in his first playoff game.
QB Williams is playing in his first playoff game.

Chicago split its two Super Bowls, winning in 1985.

In Super Bowl era, Bears are 2-6 in road playoff games.
Chicago is 3-5 in last eight home playoff games.

— Philadelphia Eagles
Eagles are in playoffs for fifth year in row, 8th time in nine years.
Philadelphia has won two Super Bowls, including last year’s.

Nick Sirianni is 6-3 in playoff games, 1-1 in Super Bowls.
QB Hurts is 6-3 in playoff games.

Eagles are 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in last five home playoff games.
Eagles lost five of their last six road playoff games.
Overall, Eagles are 2-3 in the Super Bowl.

— Carolina Panthers
Carolina is in playoffs for first time since 2017.

Dave Canales is coaching in his first playoff game.
QB Young is playing in his first playoff game.

Panthers are 4-3 in road playoff games.
Panthers are 5-2 in home playoff games.
Carolina lost both its Super Bowls.

— Los Angeles Rams
Rams are in playoffs for 7th time in McVay’s nine years as coach.

Sean McVay is 8-5 in playoff games, 1-1 in Super Bowl.
QB Stafford is 5-5 in playoff games.

Rams won their last four home playoff games.
Rams are 6-3 ATS in their last nine playoff games.
Rams are 4-4 SU in last eight road playoff games, 2-3 in Super Bowls.

— San Francisco 49ers
49ers are in playoffs for fifth time in last seven years.

Kyle Shanahan is 6-4 in playoff games, 0-2 in Super Bowls
QB Purdy is 4-2 in playoff games.

Last six times 49ers were in playoffs, they went WWL

San Francisco won its last seven home playoff games.
49ers are 5-3 in last eight road playoff games

San Francisco is 5-3 in Super Bowls; their last win? 1994.

— Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is in playoffs for sixth time in last seven years.
Packers are the #7-seed for third year in a row.

Matt LaFleur is 3-5 in playoff games
QB Love is 1-2 in playoff games.

Since 2014, Packers are 3-6 in road playoff games.
Packers lost their last three home playoff games.
Green Bay is 4-1 in Super Bowls (last win, 2010)

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Some teams forcing lot of turnovers this year:
1- Iowa State 25% of possessions
4- Dayton 24.3%
5- Houston 23.9%
6- Iowa 23.3%
7- Seton Hall 22.7%
8- Utah State 22.7%

Quote of the Day
“Throughout what I firmly believe is a Hall of Fame coaching career, John has delivered a Super Bowl championship to Baltimore and served as a steadfast pillar of humility and leadership…….we fully understand the expectations of our fans and everyone in the Ravens organization. Finding another strong leader and partner who will reflect these high standards is paramount.”
Ravens owner Steve Bisciotti

Wednesday’s quiz
When the Ravens won the Super Bowl in 2012, who was their QB?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, Martin Sheen plays President Bartlet, who was from New Hampshire.

Monday’s quiz
BYU Cougars have made the NCAA Tournament the most times (32) without ever making it to a Final Four.

************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..​

— Baltimore Ravens fired coach John Harbaugh after 18 years; Harbaugh was 190-124 as Ravens’ coach, 13-11 in playoff games- they won the Super Bowl in 2012.
Ravens made the playoffs six of the last eight years, would have gotten there again this year had their rookie kicker made a 44-yard field goal at the end of Sunday’s game in Pittsburgh.
Something to tuck away: Jim Harbaugh’s Chargers play at Baltimore next fall.

— There were 63 Venezuelan-born ballplayers in the major leagues last year; five of them are on my fantasy team. The chaos in Venezuela could screw up this spring’s World Baseball Classic; there is still enough time for all the major leaguers to get back here in time for spring training and the WBC.

— Philadelphia Phillies hired Don Mattingly as bench coach; his son Preston is the Phiilies’ general manager. Mattingly was bench coach with the Blue Jays the last three years.

— Texas Tech poached QB Brendan Sorsby from the Cincinnati Bearcats, are apparently paying him $5M next year.

— One wish for next football season; Pete Carroll in a TV booth somewhere, think he would provide good energy and a lot of knowledge.

— Famous birthdays, January 7th:
Erin Gray, 76
David Caruso, 70
Brian Baldinger, 65
Ron Rivera, 63
Nicolas Cage, 62
Todd Day, 56
Frank Menechino, 55
Francisco Rodriguez, 44
Jhoulys Chacin, 38
Dean Kremer, 30
Ozzie Albies, 29
Lamar Jackson, 29

— Detroit Lions fired offensive coordinator John Morton after only one season; Detroit went 9-8 this year, missed the playoffs for first time in three years.Lions scored 28.3 ppg; they scored 33.2 ppg last year, when Ben Johnson was the OC.

— Washington Commanders let both their coordinators go, a year after they played in the NFC title game. OC Kliff Kingsbury should’t be unemployed very long. Washington’s defense finished last in yards allowed, 27th in points given up, so firing the DC was expected.
QB Jayden Daniels played four full games; Washington was 5-12 this year, after going 12-5 LY.

— New Jersey Jets had only four takeaways all season, are the first NFL team EVER not to intercept a pass all season. Jets wound up minus-19 in turnovers.

— Dallas Cowboys fired DC Matt Eberflus; next season Dallas will have their fourth different DC in four years. Cowboys traded their best defensive player to Green Bay before the season, then went 7-9-1, 1-8 when they scored less than 30 points. Dallas allowed the most points in the league, were 30th in yards allowed.

— Movie of the Day: Tequila Sunrise (1988)- A retired drug dealer in Los Angeles tries to go straight but his past and his underworld connections bring him into the focus of the DEA, the Mexican feds and the Mexican drug cartels.
Mel Gibson is the dealer, Michelle Pfeiffer runs the restaurant where he eats, Kurt Russell and JT Walsh are cops trying to bust drug dealers. Raul Julia is an old friend of the dealer.
Good movie; I found it the other day on YouTube.

— Nebraska’s basketball team is 15-0; they’re ranked in top 10 for the first time since 1966.

— Texas A&M 90, Auburn 88
Auburn hit 3-pointer at buzzer that was waved off after a replay review.
Auburn led by 16 points with 13:29 left in the game.
Texas A&M shot 61.3% inside the arc.
Aggies have won won five in row, 10 of last 11 games.

— Kansas 104, TCU 100, OT
TCU led by 9 with 1:14 left in the game.
Kansas was 30-40 on foul line, Horned Frogs 15-24.
Jayhawks avoided their first 0-2 start in league play since 1991.

— Wisconsin 80, UCLA 72
Badgers led 33-13 midway thru first half.
UCLA shot 1-17 on the arc, 15-23 on foul line.
Bruins are 1-4 on the road, with only win at Washington.

— Duke 84, Louisville 73
Louisville led by 12 late in the first half.
Duke outscored Cardinals 46-26 in second half.
Blue Devils shot 64.7% inside the arc.

— South Carolina 78, LSU 68
Gamecocks led this game 43-15 in the first half.
Carolina shot 12-21 from the arc.
6-4 junior Strong scored 30 points in 25:00

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Some teams getting highest %age of their points on 3-point shots:
45.2%— Cornell
42.6%— Idaho
42.5%— Dartmouth
41.5%— Florida State
41.3%— Alabama
41.3%— Cleveland State

Quote of the Day
“John Harbaugh’s the best coach I know, the best coach I’ve ever seen. I’m his brother, so I might be biased. As I told him, whatever team he goes to is going to be formidable; just hope its in the NFC.”
Jim Harbaugh

Thursday’s quiz
Of the 14 teams in the NFL playoffs, how many starting QBs were first round draft picks?
Hint: It isn’t 14.

Wednesday’s quiz
When the Ravens won the Super Bowl in 2012, Joe Flacco was their QB.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, Martin Sheen plays President Bartlet, who was from New Hampshire.

*************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….​

— Vanderbilt 96, Alabama 90
Vandy was 35-50 on foul line, Alabama 29-38; lot of fouls.
Crimson Tide was 9-40 on the arc, 17-30 inside arc.
Commodores are 15-0, one of six unbeaten teams in the country.

— UConn 103, Providence 98 OT
Providence led by 11 with 3:12 left in regulation.
UConn shot 18-32 on the arc; Friars were 14-24.
Silas Demery had 23 points, 15 assists for UConn

— Saint Louis 71, VCU 62
Saint Louis outscored VCU 10-0 over last 2:30 of the game.
VCU only shot 28.6% from the floor, at home.
Billikens are 14-1; they lost by a point to Stanford.

— Creighton 76, Villanova 72
Bluejays shot 62.9% inside the arc.
Villanova led by 10 points in the first half.
Creighton is 4-1 in Big East; they’re 6-5 in non-league games.

— Marquette 66, Xavier 65
Golden Eagles snapped a six-game losing skid.
Marquette out-rebounded Xavier, 47-34
Xavier shot 31.4% inside arc, 11-24 on the arc.

— Clemson 74, SMU 70
Clemson never trailed; they’re 13-3, 3-0 in ACC games.
Tigers have #25 eFG% defense in country.
SMU is 12-3, 1-3 on road, with only win at Mississippi State

— Arkansas 94, Ole Miss 87
Arkansas shot 14-30 on arc, scored 1.30 ppp.
Arkansas won its last three games, scoring 97.7 ppg
Razorbacks are 12-3; all three losses are to teams in top 12 in country.

— BYU 104, Arizona State 76
Cougars shot 70% inside arc, 14-31 on the arc, scored 1.34 ppp.
BYU scored 59 points in the second half.
Arizona State lost its last four games, giving up 91.8 ppg.

— Famous birthdays, January 8th:
Bruce Sutter, 73
Calvin Natt, 69
Mark Herrmann, 67
Jason Giambi, 55
Billy Joe Hobert, 55
Mike Cameron, 53
Jeff Francouer, 42
Jeff Hoffman, 33
Chris Paddack, 30
Jhoan Duran, 28

— More and more, college basketball teams prefer that all their shots either be layups or 3-pointers; 15-foot jumpers are pretty much frowned upon.
These are the teams whose 2-point shots are the shortest in the country:
Saint Louis
Texas A&M
Marquette
George Washington
South Florida
St Thomas

— One thing about college basketball the next few weeks; this is Gonzaga’s last year to beat the tar out of WCC opponents- they’re moving up to the new/improved Pac-12 next year.

— In-game interviews with coaches are useless; none of them ever say anything, they’re mainly spouting cliches and trying to get back to their bench.

— Colorado Rockies signed P Michael Lorenzen for one year, $8M; Lorenzen was 7-11, 4.64 in 26 starts for the Royals last year. Colorado will be his 7th big league team.

— Three of 14 teams in the Atlantic 14 are nicknamed the Rams; VCU, Rhode Island, Fordham all have Ram mascots.

— Random observation: NFL kickers are way better than they used to be. Jaguars’ Cam Little has made field goals of 67, 68 yards this year; he made a 70-yarder in an exhibition game.

— Indianapolis Colts ran a successful fake punt last week, then on the very next play, they kept the punt team on the field and ran another fake punt. Other team was so confused they got a penalty for having too many men on the field.

— Matt Campbell is the new football coach at Penn State; he’s already poached 19 players from Iowa State, his old team.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Bowl Season

NCAAF

Bowl Season

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, January 8

Miami-FL VS Ole Miss
Miami-FL is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami-FL's last 5 games.
Miami-FL is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
Miami-FL is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Ole Miss is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ole Miss' last 6 games.
Ole Miss is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games.
Ole Miss is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.

Friday, January 9

Oregon VS Indiana
Oregon is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
Oregon is 8-0 SU in its last 8 games.
Oregon is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 5 games against an opponent in the East Division division.
Indiana is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
Indiana is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
Indiana is 11-0 SU in its last 11 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games played on a Friday.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Bowl Season

Thursday’s game

Miami (-3.5) vs Ole Miss
Miami (12-2)
Miami won its last six games, giving up 9.7 points/game.
Miami won its two playoff games, 10-3/24-14.
Hurricanes are +12 in turnovers this season.
Miami is 6-1 ATS this year in games with a single digit spread.
Miami has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hurricanes have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Beck started 13 games for Georgia last year.

This year, Miami is 6-4 ATS as a favorite.
Under Cristobal, Miami is 16-20 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Cristobal is 41-50-2 ATS as a favorite.
Miami lost five of its last seven six bowl games.
In his career, Cristobal is 5-5 SU in bowl games.
Miami is 14-22 ATS last 36 games coming off a win.
Under is 8-3 in their last ten games.
ACC non-conference favorites are 12-23 ATS.

Ole Miss (12-1)
Coach Kiffin bolted to LSU; some of his assistants are still coaching Ole Miss.
Rebels won last six I-A games, scoring 36 ppg
Rebels have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Rebels have 78 returning starts on offensive line.
QB Chambliss has 3,660 PY passing yards (21 TD’s, 3 INT’s).

Rebels are 2-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
Rebels are 13-9 ATS last 22 games as an underdog
Ole Miss is 5-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
Only Ole Miss loss: 43-35 at Georgia.
Ole Miss won its last four bowl games, scoring 38-52-41-39 points.
Under is 6-4 in last ten Ole Miss I-A games.
This year, SEC teams are 2-7 SU in bowls vs non-SEC teams.

This season, ACC teams are 7-6 SU/8-5 ATS vs SEC opponents.
ACC underdogs are 6-3 ATS vs SEC opponents.
Favorites are 6-2 ATS in last eight Fiesta Bowls.

Friday’s game

Oregon vs Indiana (-3.5)
Oregon (12-1)
Oregon won last eight games, giving up 15.1 ppg.
Ducks only loss: 30-20 at home to Indiana October 11.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Ducks have 124 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Moore started 5 games at UCLA in 2023.

Ducks won their two playoff games, 51-34/23-0.
Oregon is 2-0 ATS as an underdog this year.
In his career, Lanning is 5-0 ATS as an underdog.
Ducks are 3-2 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Over is 3-2 in their last five games.
Oregon won four of its last five bowl games,

Indiana (14-0)
Hoosiers have only three wins by less than 10 points.
Last four games, Indiana outscored opponents 138-23.
Indiana scored 30+ points in seven of last nine games.
Hoosiers have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
You’re reading armadillosports.com
Hoosiers have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Mendoza started 19 games at California.

Indiana is 6-5 ATS as a favorite this year.
Hoosiers are 4-1 ATS in games with a single digit spread.
Indiana is +18 in turnovers this season.
Indiana won its two playoff games, 13-10/38-3.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

Indiana (+6.5) won 30-20 at Oregon October 11.
Indiana outgained the Ducks, 326-281
Underdogs are 6-2 ATS in last eight Peach Bowls.

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday, January 8​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
MIA at MISS	07:30 PM	MIA -3.5***** U 52.5*****	+500 +500

Friday, January 9​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
ORE at IU	07:30 PM	ORE +3.5***** O 48.5*****	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU THE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !

01/08/2026..............1 - 1 - 0...............50.00%...........- 0.50
01/02/2026..............5 - 1 - 0...............83.33%...........+ 19.50
01/01/2026..............3 - 3 - 0...............50.00%............- 1.50

TOTALS...................9 - 5 - 0................64.28%...........+ 17.50

 

[Udog]

Friday’s 6-pack:
Some teams getting highest %age of their points on foul shots:
26.7%— Nevada
26.5%— Tulane
26.5%— USC
26.5%— Campbell
26.5%— Cal-Bakersfield
26.0%— Tarleton State

Quote of the Day
“He’s hungry, he’s driven, he’s a great human being. And all he wants to do is see is teammates have success. Carson Beck, I cant say enough good things about him. Absolutely awesome.”
Miami Hurricanes coach Mario Cristobal

Friday’s quiz
Who was the host of the excellent game show, The Newlywed Game?

Thursday’s quiz
Of the 14 teams in the NFL playoffs, 12 of their starting QBs were first round draft picks; Jalen Hurts was a 2nd round pick, Brock Purdy was a 7th round pick.

Wednesday’s quiz
When the Ravens won the Super Bowl in 2012, Joe Flacco was their QB.

*****************************************************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

— Miami 31, Ole Miss 27
Miami drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:18 left.
Hurricanes ran 88 plays from scrimmage, Ole Miss 60.
Miami converted 11-19 third down plays, Rebels 2-10.
Miami will play the Indiana-Oregon winner for the national title January 19.

— All four semi-final teams in the College Football Playoff have Australian punters.

— Miami Dolphins fired coach Mike McDaniel, who was 35-35 in four years coaching the Dolphins- he went 20-16 the first two years, 15-19 the last two, missing playoffs the last two seasons. Curious to see who they hire as their next coach; that person will be Miami’s ninth head coach since the last time they won a playoff game, in 2000.

QB Tua Tagovailoa is a $$$ problem; Miami can’t cut him this year, or he would be a $99.2 dead cap hit, a huge number, so they’ll have to keep him, at least for another year.

— Tampa Bay Buccaneers kept head coach Todd Bowles, but they fired seven assistant coaches, which means that next year, Baker Mayfield will have his sixth different offensive coordinator in the last six years.

— Miami Marlins traded P Edward Cabrera to the Cubs, for OF prospect Owen Caissie and two lesser outfield prospects. Cabrera was 8-7, 3.53 in 26 starts for the Marlins last year.

— In the NBA, Atlanta Hawks traded G Trae Young to Washington Wizards, for CJ McCollum and Corey Kispert. Young is averaging 19.3 ppg this year, first time in the last seven years he is scoring less than 20 points/game.

— Random trivia; Jets were the only NFL team this season to start the same five offensive linemen in every game.

— Famous birthdays, January 9th
ML Carr, 75
JK Simmons, 71
Otis Nixon, 67
Stan Javier, 62
Joely Richardson, 61

David Costabile, 59
Chad Johnson, 48
Michael Beasley, 37
Marcus Peters, 33
Kerris Dorsey, 29

— Cal-Davis 93, UCSB 86
Gauchos led 33-15 midway thru the first half.
Cal-Davis shot 65.4% inside arc, scored 1.31 ppp
6 of the 8 guys who played for Cal-Davis scored in double figures.

— Gonzaga 89, Santa Clara 77
Game was tied 37-37 at halftime.
Graham Ike scored 34 points, had 11 rebounds.
Gonzaga shot 65.1% inside the arc.
Zags won 52 of their last 56 games against Santa Clara.

— Northridge 95, Cal Poly 90
Cal Poly led by 14 with 12:49 left in the game.
Matadors’ PG Davis scored 23 points, had 15 assists.
Cal Poly shot 16-44 on arc, 13-26 inside arc.

— Portland 90, Pacific 89 OT
Portland outscored Pacific 9-3 in last 0:22 of overtime.
Pilots shot 13-23 outside the arc.
First win in five WCC games for Portland.

— LMU 84, San Francisco 82, 2OT
McBride had 18 points in 38:00 for LMU; he didn’t start.
LMU had 50 points in paint, San Francisco had 26.
Ryan Beasley scored 32 points for USF.

— Tennessee-Martin 76, Morehead State 68
Morehead led by 16 late in the first half.
Tennessee-Martin shot 58.6% inside the arc.
Skyhawks are 12-4, with wins at Bradley, at UNLV

— Ohio State 72, Oregon 62
All five OSU starters scored between 10-14 points.
Buckeyes are shooting 61% inside the arc (#9) this year.
Ducks are struggling, off to an 8-8 start, 1-4 in the league.

— In the NBA, Bulls-Heat game was postponed because of condensation on the floor; it will be made up down the road. During the delay before they postponed the game, the Bulls’ mascot stood at half court, flung the ball over his head with his back to the basket and swished it. Pretty impressive.

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday, January 9​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
ORE at IU	07:30 PM	ORE +3.5***** O 48.5*****	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS THRU THE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME !

01/09/2026..............1 - 1 - 0...............50.00%...........- 0.50
01/08/2026..............1 - 1 - 0...............50.00%...........- 0.50
01/02/2026..............5 - 1 - 0...............83.33%...........+ 19.50
01/01/2026..............3 - 3 - 0...............50.00%............- 1.50

TOTALS..................10 - 6 - 0................62.50%...........+ 17.00