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    running rebels???

    i'm posting this at tipoff because its my first ncaa hoops play of the season. not too sure about how this season will go, and i have no real insight to offer on this game so i sure as hell wouldn't want anyone to follow this play. no real reason to like the rebels - they just got smoked by dd...
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    louisville @ nc state +3

    nc state +3: can't recall the last time i posted a play on the wolfpack, as i usually try to stay away from recommending a play on them because of my built in bias. today i'm willing to make an exception. just 11 days ago nc state was riding high after 3 straight acc victories. at 14-4, they...
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    san diego state @ fresno state

    fresno state +7-: ah where to start on this one - yes, its ugly but real value here imo. these teams just played two weeks ago in san diego where the aztecs claimed a nine point win. the bulldogs consider san diego their biggest rival, and are usually focused when they play. fresno gets a little...
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    portland state @ montana

    montana -7: griz off to a better than expected start sitting atop early big sky standings at 4-1. vikings playing second road game in three day, fourth in last two weeks, had lost three in a row until big upset saturday in bozeman, beating montana state by one on a last second buzzer beater in a...
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    app st @ troy +12-

    lots of moving parts here: *troy is 5-6 and needs this win for bowl eligibility *troy just got hosed 53-3 last weekend to louisiana, the other sun belt conference leader, in clearly their worst performance of the year. *this is senior night for troy, and they have 17 seniors on the team...
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    monday ncaa hoops

    here's a few plays i put in earlier today that are derived from an analysis of differences between expected lines and actual lines. kind of convoluted but it is similar to the approach used by our old buddy billy blastoff and his "q factor". i can only hope it works as well. you'll notice some...
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    hey jack check my montana state thread below

    i get a blue screen when i try to view it. another corruption issue???
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    montana st -7 vs tennessee tech

    this game is in fleming gym on the campus of unc-g, as part of the spartan invitational tournament. last night mon st beat uncg in their own gym on a buzzer beater from half court. trust me when i tell you the spartans are a tough out in that gym. friday night the bobcats knocked off app st...
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    la tech @ marshall

    "However, there are rumors circulating about Smith?s availability for this game. No official sources have revealed if Smith will play or not, but the line has moved from Marshall -2.5 to Marshall -5.0 over the past day or two. A shift that significant suggests something could be up. If there?s...
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    vmi @ ecu -8

    second year pirate coach joe dooley did pretty well recruiting last year and definitely upgraded his roster. keydets a perennial socon cellar dweller, never known for stellar road play. they return several starters off a bad team, but none averaged more than 10 ppg. dooley reignited some...
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    ecu +105

    ecu homecoming and bulls' qb nursing shoulder and wrist issues, won't be a threat downfield. glta
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    Unc @ ga tech + 10-

    On the road to a poker tournament and posting this from my phone so bear with me. To me this game appears to be a gross overreaction to last week, when carolina was sky high at home playing clemson and shoulda/coulda beat the tigers but for coaching staff blunders, and ga tech posted 0 offensive...
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    temple @ ecu +11-

    while we're at it, lets look at the pirates catching 11- in dowdy-ficklen stadium thursday night. ecu is rebuilding this year under new coach mike houston, who has shown me something since coming to greenville, recruiting, putting together a quality staff, and overall just going about fixing all...
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    ncaa under system

    ok friends here we go. system is to play under any total where either team scored more than 49 their last game (teams off a bye are fine, i misspoke earlier) and now play a conference opponent. system holds through the end of november. kenmans tweak limits plays to under 60 but i'm still tolling...
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    ncaa tournament picks

    i'll put all the tourney picks in this thread, these picks are all system plays, based upon power ratings and early line moves. villanova -4- yale +6- kentucky -21 montana +15 nortrheastern +6- glta
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    rutgers now -1-?

    whats up with that? anybody else see this in the last half hour? rutgers happens to come up as a play in a system ive been tracking.
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    iowa @ nebraska

    today's headscratcher has iowa laying a point in lincoln while my power numbers make the huskers 4.5 point favorites. lots of moving parts here as both of these teams have been in freefall lately, tim miles is on his way out at nebraska, and the huskers evidently will be down 3 players today...
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    fau @ marshall

    can anyone enlghten me on why marshall is a 7 point favorite over fau today? i have the herd about a bucket better. makes me feel like i should lay the points.
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    ncaa hoops system under construction

    in the never ending quest for that picking system with long term reliability, i have been tracking plays based upon a combination of power ratings and line movement. the theory behind this system is similar to that used by our former poster billy blastoff without the mystery of the "Q" factor...
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    iowa at purdue

    purdue is giving 10 points to iowa at home. does anyone recall an unranked team giving 10 to a ranked team? that has to bve a first. opened at -8 and has moved to 10 with around 70% of the action on iowa. hawkeye, reddsfan i want to pull the trigger on purdue but i need some of your insight first.
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