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    The Limper NBA 2024-25 – Week 1

    To quiet the nerves of certain admins, I’ve revised the season results totals to reflect the start of this postings season, which was yesterday, not two weeks earlier. It was a goof. Sorry about that. I forgot to clear it. I’m old - what can I say. No “Best Bets” today – so far, but if the...
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    The Limper NBA 2024-25 – Week 1

    Okay, kids - I’m more than a month late to start, but until very lately the model’s projections have been too far off to even approximate reliability. I’ve waited to have a decent couple weeks behind a first posting, and it’s now or never. The trouble is easy to spot; teams just don’t play much...
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    The Limper NFL 2024-25 – Wild Card Week

    I cannot recall a worse ATS year for the model, with a paltry 49%-win rate. SU was a tad better than expected, hitting more than 73%, but it was still a disappointment. The O/U win rate at 56%, on the other hand, came out of nowhere, and I’ll keep it running for the playoffs. Below, I’ve added...
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    The Limper NFL 2024-25 – Week 18

    Not sure how to fix it, but the problem is apparent: the model’s margins of victory are not good enough. It can and does predict straight-up winners, but it likes too many losers (dogs), and that doesn’t bring home the bacon. Got a lot of work to do, but that will have to wait for next summer...
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