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    NFL totals

    NE/Buffalo OVER 47--not yet sold on Buffalo's defensive improvement the past few weeks; Miami w/Fiedler and Detroit. Balt/Atl UNDER 41--Falcons D has given up over 14 pts only 3 times this season. Balt gave up 31 last week thanks to the offense's 5 turnovers. I look for them to take care of...
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    FSU/Wake finish

    This was a tough one to take. FSU is trying to kill the clock, and with the whole world knowing FSU is going to run, Wake still can't tackle them. How do you run 4 times for 60 yards against a 9 man front?
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    NCAA totals

    Minnesota/Ohio State UNDER 45 Boston Coll/Notre Dame OVER 41 Texas AM/Okla State OVER 48.5 Colorado/Oklahoma UNDER 47
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    Thursdays plays

    No write ups, just 2 plays. Washington -2 Portland/Sacra UNDER 191
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    Power Ratings Week 9

    First off, these are about 80% mathematical and only around 20% judgemental. Just cause team A beats team B last week it doesn't automatically put team A ahead of team B. 1. Philadelphia 96.5 2. Denver 96 Green Bay 96 4. Pittsburgh 95.5 5. San Fran 94.5 San Diego 94.5 Miami...
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    Foul play??

    It certainly sounds like it. 6 winning pick 6 tickets and they all go to the same guy. Singles Domedriver but uses everyone in the last two legs. Sounds more and more like this bet got thru the computer system after the Juvenile was run. If he wasn't so greedy, he probably could've gotten...
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    Last Man Standing/Suicide pool dilemma

    Teams used: Miami, San Diego, Denver, Philly, Indy, Tampa Bay, St. Louis and Buffalo Options: Green Bay--like them IF Favre starts but if he doesn't or goes out of the game early, it could be very risky. I have no trust in Doug Peterson. Weather might help GB here. Atlanta--think they are a...
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    Spurs/Lake Show

    UNDER 185.5 LA has a strong under trend w/Shaq out of the lineup. In the past two seasons they are 3 overs 11 unders when he doesn't play in a regular season game.
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    10/27 plays

    Chic/Minn OVER 44.5---QB efficiency rating against Chic defense: 103.5; rating against Minny defense: 100.8. Basically these teams can make Joe Average look like Joe Montana. NYJ -3--going to take the hint from last week. They were plus 4 in T/O last week. Cleve doesn't run or stop it. BUFF...
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    NCAA totals

    Georgia/Kentucky UNDER 51-surprised this # has gone up Nebraska/Tex AM OVER 43.5--A&M can score w/new QB USC/Oregon OVER 54.5--Nice D by Oregon last week. They have given up more passing yards with each week. They gave up over 550 last week TTech/Colo OVER 63--Only if rain/snow stays away...
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    Between race thread: Distaff

    Kind of surprised at the lack of action for SUmmer Colony; she's 7-1 right now according to Supertote.com. Farda Amiga had a badly made morning line of 12-1 but at 3-1 she offers no value. I'm not surprised at the lookwarm action on Azeri. Linemaker Mike Battaglia has been off all year at...
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    JT Snow

    Pretty impressive manuever near HP last night. To scoop Baker's kid up while touching home plate, all in one motion. Seemed surreal. Maybe they should make a minimum age for batboys. Could've been real ugly if Bell ran him over. 3 and a half years old obviously isn't old enough to handle...
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    Weather update

    I live in Mt. Prospect, which is right next to Arlington Heights so I'm about 5 miles from the track. A steady drizzle this morning; nothing hard but steady. They are calling for no rain tomorrow so the main track will probably be fast but it is possible it could be listed as good if the...
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    BC Turf

    Have to side with the Europeans again. They buy up all the top yearlings every year so its no shock that they've dominated the grass races in recent years. GOLAN is a deep closer and I think will be value in here; I suspect the horse that was 3rd in the Arc, HIGH CHAPARRAL, will go off as the...
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    BC Distaff

    Usually the chalkiest of the BC events, I'm going to go against the favorite Azeri. Casual fans will probably be all over her, with her 9 wins in 10 starts but she has a few negatives: her top figures were in the spring, and she's had a steady (although not huge) decline in her speed figures...
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    Breeders Cup Sprint

    Usually the most wide open race but may not be this season. Onlly a handful of horses, IMO, can win: ORIENTATE-faces lots of other speed but he dueled Squirtle Squirt into the ground w/21:2 and :44.1 fractions at Saratoga and won fairly easily. KONA GOLD--won this race in 2000 and was 2nd in...
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    Futures play & conspiracy theory

    Dallas OVER 55.5 wins Think the NBA would love to see this team make it to the Finals? They've gift-wrapped them a perfect schedule. I've only checked the first 5 teams alphabetically but its clear Dallas is getting some help here. Below are the number of back to backs for each team and the...
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    Arlington tendencies

    After 20 years of going to this track, I've seen enough races to make a few generalizations: 1. The 1 1/8 mile distance that will be used in the Juvenile races and the Distaff is very speed favoring. Many horses who tire going 1 mile at AP end up wiring when stretched out to 1 1/8 miles. The...
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    BC Juvenile

    Looks like a three horse race between Sky Mesa, Toccet and Vindication. A couple others like Kafwain and Wando could be sleepers. The best figures and pattern goes to Toccet, who won the Champagne w/a Beyer of 97. He doesn't need the lead and he has improved every race. The most visually...
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    10/20

    Buff/Mia UNDER 47.5- Lots of Ricky Williams and Buffalo will NOT be able to turn this into a shootout, no matter how hard they try. Caro/Atl UNDER 36--4th road game in 5 weeks for Caro. If Peete beat out Weinke, they must not trust him much. Caro's D has been very solid and Vick may be rusty...
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