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  1. Smitty

    NFL Sat 1/10 - Playoffs

    I bet GB +4.5/Under 51.5. Let's hit that sweet middle!!
  2. Smitty

    How is this NOT a Playoff Game of the Year wager???

    I bet this at 39.5 shortly after the lines came out. Biggest NFL bet I've made this year. Be careful... something stupid will probably happen to push it over the total. Like, the game will go to OT tied 13-13 and both teams will score a TD in OT.
  3. Smitty

    CHAMPIONSHIP!!!!

    i think you got the wrong Carson. :) Whichever Carson is at QB for Miami, I agree. EXCEPT... championship games have a tendency to end up going over. I'll look to hit the 1H Under harder.
  4. Smitty

    CFB Fri 1/9 *Game of the Year*

    the question is... who was betting Oregon hard enough to drop the line? maybe we just give "the sharps" a little bit too much credit sometimes.
  5. Smitty

    CHAMPIONSHIP!!!!

    No surprise, after what we just witnessed, but DK is showing this....
  7. Smitty

    CFB Fri 1/9 *Game of the Year*

    Hard to imagine it will drop to 7. i may just wait and sell a couple points to -9.5. Not sure when the 1H lines will come out, but I'm already thinking the first half Under will be a good play.
  8. Smitty

    Semis

    just saw the live #.... so they're saying 140 yards is still a LOCK. i'm worrying for nothing.
  9. Smitty

    Semis

    And... of course Indiana is still throwing the ball. WTF??????
  10. Smitty

    Semis

    he was so damn good at JMU. and to turn indiana around in just 2 years? fucking crazy how good of a job he's done. and just think... with this success, now he's going to start getting some top recruits.
  11. Smitty

    To the Championship…

    just saw indiana at -310 to win the NC. that might translate to a spread just a hair over 7.
  13. Smitty

    To the Championship…

    speaking of saban... it's no coincidence that the HC of the 4 teams in the semis all spent time on saban's staff. so, i asked this in junior's thread, too, but whaddya think that line will be in the final? it's at miami's home field. and i still think indiana might "only" be -7. i don't see...
  14. Smitty

    Semis

    dude, i was trying to find some NIL details a couple weeks ago... obviously, the numbers are closely-guarded secrets... but the estimate for one qb, i think he was in the ACC, but not Beck.... was $8M. if that's anywhere close to accurate... this shit is INSANE.
  15. Smitty

    Semis

    yeah, that's what i'm hoping/expecting. wouldn't mind seeing RB3 Martin get some carries. he averaged 6.3/carry during the season. just realized... i "only" need 75 more yards. oh, fuck yeah.
  16. Smitty

    CFB Fri 1/9 *Game of the Year*

    we're getting way ahead of ourselves, but.... whaddya think? considering it's at miami's home field.... indiana -7? would they really go that high? and, yeah, i'm pretty much on the hoosiers no matter the line.
  17. Smitty

    Semis

    This is a perfect reminder of why I don't play live bets more. It feels like trying to time the stock market... it's a fool's errand. How the fuck is Indiana supposed to pick up 140 yards rushing if Oregon keeps giving them a short field???
  19. Smitty

    To the Championship…

  20. Smitty

    Semis

    Alright, I grabbed a little Oregon +10.5. Won't break my heart if Indiana blows 'em out. If I waited one more minute, would have gotten a much better price/line. Oh well, go Hoosiers.
  21. Smitty

    Semis

    i know why i don't do it. because i hate watching the games live. i mean, there's no way around it on saturday when there's 20 games on simultaneously. but when there's one game and i can pause it and then FF through commercials and between plays... that works for me. cuts out a lot of...
  22. Smitty

    Friday

    Only note I have on that... Morton was TERRIBLE. If he played like that, they would have struggled to beat Oregon St, much less Oregon. GL whatever you go with (especially if you stick with the Hoosiers!). This line movement is not bolstering my confidence, that's for sure.
  23. Smitty

    Jord BOWL plays

    I mean, they are at least better than Notre Dame.
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