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    The Limper NFL 2024-25 – Week 2

    After a shaky start, the model performed better than expected ATS, and as expected SU - but about as badly as could be in projected game totals/ (For the sake of your wallet don’t use those numbers wagering O/U.) This week’s projections reflect a complex of variables using a combination of last...
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    The Limper NFL 2024-25 – Week 1

    Generally speaking, the projections below are based on past performance of teams, players, injuries and matchups. The problem is that the algorithm used requires 3 full weeks of data in order to run. Therefore, in the past, I wouldn’t post at all until Week 4. However, several years ago I found...
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    The Limper NBA 2024 Playoffs – Week 7

    A ton of talk has gone on about how Boston cruised to the Finals and winning 64 games by destroying the far weaker Eastern Conference teams. Which is definitely true, at least in the playoffs thus far; and going 40-12 vs Eastern teams in the regular season makes a similar point. That said Boston...
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    The Limper NBA 2024 Playoffs – Week 6

    Slowly, the model is showing improvement. At least, it’s pulling away from Vegas’ straight-up results, now by 6%. ATS the model’s still struggling. However, sneaking up to a 50% win rate are the models’ totals’ results, with a total score variation (TSV) improvement last week, down to 9.6 pts...
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