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  1. axp59

    How to find value

    IMHO, this is one of the most overlooked element in many handicapper's routine. Handicapping games is more than picking the right side. Since there are only two sides to every action, one can actually use a coin to pick a side. That's an entirely different strategy I could cover at another time...
  2. axp59

    102810 value

    <TABLE style="WIDTH: 337pt; BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse" border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=451 x:str><COLGROUP><COL style="WIDTH: 128pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 6253" width=171><COL style="WIDTH: 23pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 1133" width=31><COL...
  3. axp59

    102710 values

    <TABLE style="WIDTH: 343pt; BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse" border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=457 x:str><COLGROUP><COL style="WIDTH: 136pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 6619" width=181><COL style="WIDTH: 23pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 1133" width=31><COL...
  4. axp59

    102610 values

    <TABLE style="WIDTH: 456pt; BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse" border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=608 x:str><COLGROUP><COL style="WIDTH: 122pt; mso-width-source: userset; mso-width-alt: 5961" span=2 width=163><COL style="WIDTH: 48pt" span=2 width=64><COL style="WIDTH: 116pt; mso-width-source...
  5. axp59

    NBA SAT 122609 early thoughts - value hunting

    Back on the road again. card has 2 dog plays: MEM +8.5 PHI +7 Gauge the numbers for value. I'm locked at these numbers since I'll be driving today. BOL fellas.
  7. axp59

    NBA WED 121609 early thoughts - value hunting

    I won't be around WED. This is my bet sheet for 121609. It's easy to figure out. You can almost tell what games to look out for. I've always preached about knowing what numbers to look for before the books release theirs. This is the sheet I use to spot overnight plays. Merry XMas. I'm...
  8. axp59

    NBA MON 121409 early thoughts - value hunting

    With what's out now...anyone else liking OKC +10.5? I'm not seeing much else but that could change by tomorrow. :shrug:
  9. axp59

    NBA SUN 121309 early thoughts - value hunting

    Sunday is my day of rest and will be busy with church and bible study. I've locked in one play but I'll give you guys a couple of very strong leans. BOL :mj23: :mj23: :mj23: woof woof LAC +6 Leans: MEM +7 CLE/OKC O191
  10. axp59

    NCAAFB 2009-10 Bowl Season early thoughts - value hunting

    Any thoughts on: [202] FRESNO ST -12 1U [212] NEVADA -14? 3U [233] AIR FORCE +4? 3U [264] GEORGIA TECH -4 1U likely play NAVY against Mizzou for 1U. :thinking: :thinking: :thinking: :thinking: thanks
  11. axp59

    NBA TUE 120809 early thoughts - value hunting

    Greetings, First, I just checked my mail across the street for the first time in a few weeks. I'm sorry, I wasn't ignoring anyone, I've been very busy. I just took a few to answer all those emails. :) This one looks off and I locked for small money but could be 1U by tomorrow. NBA [510]...
  13. axp59

    NBA SAT 120509 early thoughts - value hunting

    Greetings, Nice week thus far I'd say. I'm at a holiday family/friends reunion in the Berkshires and ran into some old friends. In this circle, you can throw a dart blind-folded and hit a capper. Well, just for fun, someone suggested an NBA pool for the evening. Sides only pick 5 of 9 and...
  14. axp59

    NBA FRI 112009 early thoughts - value hunting

    Looks a bit high [512] TOTAL u194?-110 (WASHINGTON vrs OKLAHOMA CITY) these look a bit off also [517] DENVER -8?-110 [518] TOTAL u209-110 (DENVER vrs LA CLIPPERS)
  15. axp59

    How to find value - a primer - a must

    I?m confusing even the seasoned cappers when I start posting value. Understanding value is a must for anyone that wants to make money in this business. My examples below use -110 juice and I use $110 amount for bets just to make it simple. When I post my values on my threads, I use $1.1 just...
  16. axp59

    NBA THU 111909 early thoughts - value hunting

    Phoenix - 6 at New Orleans 218 nothing good can come out of betting on this game initial lean NOH and Over Utah 202 at San Antonio -8 the side need a little more study but I have a good lean on the over for now. Chicago 191 at L.A. Lakers -9.5 Leaning CHI at this number but the O/U is a...
  17. axp59

    NBA WED 111809 early thoughts - value hunting

    Big Beautiful Board TUE. No early plays since I want the economy of this board to dictate where I place my money. I'm hoping for some serious value since there might be a few square actions. First thought: PHO/DEN/UTA where do we stack these teams against each other? according to the books...
  19. axp59

    Looking for Griffin8s

    Bro, we haven't chatted in a while but I wanted to tell you I placed a flag on Veteran's day to honor your grandfather's memory. Spent most of the week ( USMC BDay and Veteran's Day) and the weekend doing lunches and dinners with WWII vets like your grandfather. The state of our Corps is...
  20. axp59

    NBA TUE 111709 early thoughts - value hunting

    These looked a little funny so I locked 'em in. :rolleyes: :rolleyes: :rolleyes: [711] TOTAL o219 (TORONTO vrs DENVER) [712] DENVER -8 [713] TOTAL o197? (CHICAGO vrs SACRAMENTO) I'm waiting for some info on GS/CLE. I'm looking to play both side and O/U on this one. action only for...
  21. axp59

    NBA WED 110409 early thoughts - value hunting

    12-4 YTD 10 games on the board. if you got early thoughts, throw 'em out there so we can break the games down. I'm about to do my pre-cap routine to try and spot some whacked numbers. as a reminder: I won't be around much WED, I'm extremely busy but I'll pop in occasionally when I have...
  22. axp59

    NBA TUE 110309 early thoughts - value hunting

    Lines are coming as the West coast is waking up. I'll cap what I can. BOL
  23. axp59

    Week one complete

    I've collected a week's worth of notes and I'm ready to proceed with the analysis. It was nice to cash along the way but the primary focus of the exercise was to gather information and get into the routine again. In the past, as some of my older friends know, I've spent this time making sys...
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