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  1. JustFootball

    No idea why I'm posting this

    As my handle implies, I am pretty much all about football. But...for what it's worth.... I often think back to Billy Blastoff. My take from his picks was to note lines that really made no sense and then bet contrarian. Yesterday, Tenn and Baylor both fit (ranked lower than opponent but favored)...
  2. JustFootball

    Anybody else watching this game?

    Ok, I'm an idiot for buying into the revenge angle/line movement and taking some action on Montana State. But what in the name of sense was that half of football? I assume that Montana State did not get to this position by completely vacating the middle of the field on defense or by not being...
  3. JustFootball

    College football today is a joke

    Texas State covered that game three times (teased) and lost the cover three times within a span of 5 minutes. Between the bullsh*t Miss TD at 1:27 4q last night and this... Texas State "D" absolutely ghosted on two of the final three NTexas possessions. Where are the coaches? Do they hold anyone...
  4. JustFootball

    Another resource for tracking who is playing (or not) in each bowl game

    https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/2024-college-football-bowl-opt-outs-transfer-portal-updates-injury-tracker
  5. JustFootball

    Big push for USF

    Line has moved from +2.5 to -1.5 where I shop. fwiw, i'm taking a 5x "holiday flyer" on the Bulls, tracking the line movement and factoring in all of the below. Maybe the USF QB is playing? Anyway, found this on Action sports. Their writeups have been very helpful and their picks pretty solid...
  7. JustFootball

    Did I follow all of these with bets? Of course not.

    Off to a pretty good start in a certain sports network's regular football bowl contest. Picks 1 is straight up and Picks 2 is ATS. Sure, I made bets aligned with most of these but not all. Just another note to myself about overthinking instead of just going with gut. Merry Christmas all you...
  8. JustFootball

    Weird prop

    Just fyi--something similar happened a few weeks back--a Chris Godwin rushing prop: [3010103] TOTAL o½+450 (CHRIS GODWIN RUSHING YARDS vrs CHRIS GODWIN RUSHING YARDS) I put a single unit on it for fun...and it hit. I believe he rushed for 2 yards. Today, I see this one: Oct 20 NFL [47130089]...
  9. JustFootball

    Army Temple 1Q

    Just as part of my look at tonight's game, I noticed that Temple has been outscored--just in the first quarter-- by a total of 37 points (40-3) in their first four games this year. That number is inflated by their game against Oklahoma (outscored by 17). But first quarters show a pretty clear...
  10. JustFootball

    Message for Kickserv

    Hi Kick. Sorry, didn't see another way to reach out to you. I sent an email several days ago but not sure you received? Just let me know--(replying to the email would be great) thanks!
  11. JustFootball

    Baltimore weather

    As expected, no wind and very little, if any, rain--more like drizzle at worst. In short, weather will not be a factor at all today.
  13. JustFootball

    One prop I like for early game

    JAN 21 MU [895315] TOTAL O4½-140 (TOTAL SACKS (TB/DET) VRS TOTAL SACKS (TB/DET)) USDTICKET # 175612159 I think 5 sacks is very doable. I see Aidan having one or two by himself and Bowles showed against Eagles they can bring it--3 sacks of Hurts. Eagles were bad against blitz all year, but Goff...
  14. JustFootball

    Another question about rollover fulfillment

    This feels to me like the book (which I am not naming here so as to not seem like I'm trying to make trouble for them) is just making up rules as they go along in trying to delay or diminish my rollover fulfillment ($30,000). Back in May, following other disputes over my fulfillment, I started...
  15. JustFootball

    Why would womens NCAA championship be excluded from teasers?

    Just got reply from Betagame that the women's champ game this afternoon is not able to be included in teasers. Not a huge deal, but curious whether anybody else has had a similar experience with other books? Not sure why one basketball game would be different from another in terms of using as a...
  16. JustFootball

    North tx

    I have not seen this team play one game this year. They are supposedly known for their defense? :mj07:Wisc might put up 100 if they wanted to.
  17. JustFootball

    Interesting stats

    First, I do not consider myself a good capper of hoops. I mostly tail some key folks here and very much appreciate the great runs so far. Especially this time of year, I do find value in reversion to mean regarding shooting percentage. Just fyi, here are the shooting %s for each of today's teams...
  19. JustFootball

    Would appreciate a little clarification/guidance

    I was asking my book about a withdrawal and the matter of rollovers came up. Here is a portion of their last email. It does not make any sense to me--seems as if they are double-dipping on the rollover requirement? ​​​​​​"Deposit on August 4th 2022 for $1K, you got the following bonus 100% free...
  20. JustFootball

    Welcome your thoughts

    The Richmond Fordham line jumped out at me. Granted, I had zero success with this strategy about a week ago (lines that seem way off) but I have to raise the same question with this line. How is an 11 and 12 team (Spiders) giving 5 (up from 4') to an 18 and 4 team? Seems like Vegas is asking for...
  21. JustFootball

    A few lines that jumped out to me

    From the same line of thinking as the MD/Mich game the other night, here are three suspect lines: Duke-- You've got an unranked 13-5 team giving 6 (still getting more love--up from 5?) to 15-3 (Miami), which is also ranked #17, Give me Duke for 3x, esp with the Cameron vibe (Duke 9-0 at home)...
  22. JustFootball

    MD Mich

    Would love to hear other thoughts on this, and I play college hoops very infrequently. But this Maryland line caught my eye. Just 18 days ago, Mich put a whooping on the Terps 81-46. Other than wins over Illinois fairly early in season and OSU, not much to brag about, and they just got handled...
  23. JustFootball

    Chips EMich dumpster fire

    Bet a little on this game based on consensus posts and action-- but what the *&^*$#@ is up with the Chips qb Bauer? Who is this guy? Looks more like a bad high school qb and McElwain seems intent on keeping him involved. Just curious if this is a typical Chips offensive performance (no passing...
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