01.13.05 NCAA HOOPS

Master Capper

Emperior
Forum Member
Jan 12, 2002
9,104
11
0
Dunedin, Florida
Season 125-100-4 +26.1 units
Week 6-7 -0.7
1 to 3 unit plays
1 unit plays 113-98-3
2 unit plays 12-2-1


Well the good news from last night was that Rider cashes as a double play but damn my single plays sure went south last night!


Duke-2 (overnight)
I rarely get to play Duke since they are usually overpriced but I feel the two points is a good deal against a team that has really been in a terrible downward spiral since the beginning of the new year.


Pacific-4
Just my opinion but i feel Pacific is the best team in this league and Utah State has historically not been a strong traveling team compared to their dominance at home.

Portland-2
Pepperdine has the bigs to win this game but going with two theories here of: one playing against a team that has not played a road game in over a month and the second is the fade Pepper and SF on the road theory.

Niagara+5
Again we have possibly the best team in this league on the road and catching a nice amount of points. Hattan has owned this series but they are still trying to recover from the loss of a few vets from last year.

Idaho State+7
The Bengals have absolutely owned Sac State over the years winning around 85% of the games between the two teams. Sac State's three wins have come against such stellar opponets as Great Falls, Southern Utah and Utah Valley State so I just cannot pass getting seven points against a team that has not beat anyone all year.


Good Luck Cappers!!!!!
 

HoopsGuru

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 6, 2004
1,478
5
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looks like the duke money is overflowing into the books now. just saw olympic bump the line up to duke -5. i think it might be time to look into playing the wolf pack. duke is not a great team on the road and seem to struggle at state every year. think its a nice spot to take the home team and good value with them playing god awful recently.
 

Master Capper

Emperior
Forum Member
Jan 12, 2002
9,104
11
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Dunedin, Florida
Canadian Kid,

Actually the line is at 5 at both my joints, I am hoping it rises to 6 then I am going to shoot for a middle. Four is a little dicey at this point!
 

Master Capper

Emperior
Forum Member
Jan 12, 2002
9,104
11
0
Dunedin, Florida
Three Questions for anyone whom may feel like tossing out a reply:

1. Anyone know the status on the health of UCSB? Last game they played with seven players and with the big number out there tonight I was wondering if they were still so shorthanded? News on West Coast teams travels quite slow to this part of the country.

2. Anyone ever play moneyline parlays? I have never really tried it but was chatting with a solid capper and he said he has been hitting them all basketball season.

3. Anyone like both Arkansas teams outright tonight? A good source told me to play both teams but my numbers show the lines are quite true!~
 

HoopsGuru

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 6, 2004
1,478
5
0
i used to play moneyline parlays with about 3 favorites and did pretty good. however whenever i would take 4 or more teams i would always falter and question why i didnt' keep doing the 3 teamers that i was hitting. i suggest if you're gonna do it, stick with home teams. the road fav's were always the one's who burned me.
 

RIGHT SIDE

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 19, 2004
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Bay Area, California
HoopsGuru is RIGHT!! Stick with home teams for any types of parlays and teasers unless you are so sure! Road fav's have burned me more times than not in those situations.....


Oh..MC by the way, I'm on NCST for small. Just too much action going on Duke and NCST is tough at home. Maybe we can both win as I got +5.
 

UT-Longhorn

U.T. Texas Ex
Forum Member
Jul 13, 2002
6,461
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Texas
what kind of filter would you use to choose your 3 ML parlay plays? (besides being a home team and fav)
 

HoopsGuru

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 6, 2004
1,478
5
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i haven't played any ml parlays yet this year. i tend to start them when conf play gets into swing. other than taking home teams and favorites i generally look to take teams about 6-8 pt favorites. taking the dd fav's doesn't give much of a return and any team can win on any night.
 
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