04 Nov - 07 Nov

#cruncher · Nov 4, 2020

I?m having a hard time picking winners guys, so I thought I?d try to contribute in this fashion. Several teams have played only 1 or 2 games; so some of those ratings/numbers may look way off, and I actually deleted some of the predicted scores. I will update my lousy record later.

PS = Predicted Score (doesn?t include any home field advantage)
PRO = Predicted Rushing Offense
PPO = Predicted Passing Offense

RPR = Rushing-Passing Rating ? This is in points, and is computed by using the PRO and PPO for each team. It?s non scoring based and attempts to show how much better or worse the Road team is, and includes home field advantage (by subtracting 3 points from the road teams rating). No significance to using the road team, it was just easier to show this way. The rest of the columns should be pretty much self-explanatory.

If this doesn?t fit horizontally I?ll add a link and use a spreadsheet.

#cruncher · Nov 4, 2020

PS	PRO	PPO	RPR	ROT	SS	STK	TEAM	LINE	OV	L2	HM	AW	FV	DG	SO	SD

				285			Ball St	55.0
				286			Miami Ohio	-1.5

				287			E Michigan	62.5
				288			Kent St	-6.5

				289			W Michigan	55.5
				290			Akron	18.0

				291			Bowling Green	61.5
				292			Toledo	-22.0

				293			Buffalo	52.5
				294			N Illinois	11.0

				295			Ohio	60.0
				296			C Michigan	1.0

43	225	256	13	303	68	W1	Smu	64.5	72	68	70	75	75	68	37	33
22	139	220		304	63	L2	Temple	14.0	54	51	52	51	55	48	25	37

46	146	264	11	305	70	W1	Wyoming	51.0	82		89	76	76	89	31	19
13	42	282		306	67	L1	Colorado St	3.5	49			46		46	17	38

21	109	270	-14	307	90	L2	Utah St	55.0	60		59	62		60	10	40
40	166	299		308	66	W2	Nevada	-16.0	78		79	70		75	34	25

38	196	278	8	309	74	W2	Miami	58.5	85	79	87	80	87	80	33	22
25	144	244		310	75	L1	Nc State	9.5	76	71	82	68	82	68	32	34

	125	134	-4	311	65	W2	San Jose St	50.0	79		84	75	75	84	28	14
	151	109		312	53	W2	San Diego St	-9.5	85		80	84	82		36	7

32	225	212	19	313	64	W7	BYU	59.0	95	93	93	100	92	111	44	13
16	123	147		314	63	W2	Boise St	3.0	90		82	92	87		46	22

17	140	85	-5	315	76	L2	Air Force	41.5	77	69	82	66	66	82	25	24
21	179	51		316	64	W1	Army	-6.0	84	79	86	76	82	77	29	12

40	219	193	2	317	66	W1	Tulane	64.5	72	80	75	71	78	65	36	30
27	153	239		318	66	L2	E Carolina	4.5	63	67	58	62		60	31	37

29	116	317	7	319	76	L4	Pittsburgh	51.0	69	61	67	72	73	61	21	28
21	119	214		320	78	L1	Florida St	-2.0	63	66	70	53	55	61	19	37

11	92	174	-22	321	63	L1	S Alabama	56.5	63	67	63	64	60	66	25	25
33	181	227		322	63	W5	C Carolina	-17.0	88	102	86	84	99	76	40	17

27	213	225	-3	323	55	W5	Liberty	66.0	71	75	72	70	73	63	40	24
40	253	165		324	75	W1	Virginia Tech	-14.5	85	79	97	75	85	71	38	31

24	71	307	0	325	66	W1	Troy	51.5	74	73	70	76	76	71	33	25
17	167	137		326	60	W1	Ga Southern	3.0	70	74	72	64	65	71	26	19

18	74	279	-13	327	78	L1	Houston	58.0	76	68	77	75	83	70	33	35
37	192	200		328	69	W4	Cincinnati	-13.5	98	109	92	104	95		36	10

21	75	322	-18	329	70	L7	La Monroe	61.0	48	52	49	45	31	50	13	36
45	269	182		330	71	L1	Georgia St	-18.0	66	57	63	64	82	59	33	40

30	148	289	-6	331	71	L1	Louisville	63.0	71	82	77	64	68	76	29	30
35	206	236		332	81	W1	Virginia	-2.5	78	85	76	74	69	82	27	33

30	145	259	11	333	74	L1	Boston College	52.5	75	86	72	79	71	77	28	26
18	99	188		334	77	L4	Syracuse	14.0	65	68	62	63		62	19	33

34	170	270	5	335	70	L1	N Carolina	64.0	80	84	92	67	80		38	28
25	143	232		336	74	W1	Duke	10.5	73	83	75	67	75	67	26	29

34	220	217	17	337	70	W3	Tulsa	54.0	78	72	66	82	72	84	29	21
16	153	120		338	73	L2	Navy	10.5	60	61	53	61	50	63	22	37

23	196	200	15	339	64	L1	Michigan	55.5	75		64	85	75		37	26
26	89	182		340	70	W2	Indiana	3.0	81		75	81	81	75	33	25

	57	174	-30	341	73	L1	Rutgers	63.0	70		63	78		70	30	32
	159	288		342	64	W2	Ohio St	-37.5	91		88	88	88		45	21

22	164	230	-22	343	71	W1	Maryland	61.5	51		60	41		51	21	41
52	241	303		344	88	L2	Penn St	-25.0	84		84	79	79	84	27	33

20	65	227	-24	345	70	L3	Baylor	54.5	73	68	71	75	79	68	25	22
23	226	195		346	71	W1	Iowa St	-13.5	80	83	77	78	73	87	32	26

	147	250	-25	347	66	L2	Minnesota	62.5	53		54	52	52	54	31	44
	235	333		348	86	L2	Illinois	7.5	67		66	61		64	16	38

25	103	219	-13	349	72	W1	Michigan St	48.5	68		54	82	54	82	27	31
33	140	269		350	77	L2	Iowa	-7.0	78		80	69	75		20	23

7	93	126	-37	351	62	W2	Purdue	53.0	67		74	60	60	74	28	22
26	260	214		352	53	W1	Wisconsin	-8.0	94		91		91		45	7

				353			Ucla	57.5
				354			Colorado	6.0

				355			Arizona	55.5
				356			Utah	-14.0

				357			Arizona St	59.5
				358			Usc	-10.5

				359			Stanford	54.0
				360			Oregon	-10.5

				361			Washington St	63.5
				362			Oregon St	2.5

				363			Fresno St	56.5
				364			Unlv	11.5

				365			Washington	46.5
				366			California	-1.0

32	245	267	24	367	63	W2	Appalachian St	57.5	76	75	83	69	76		30	17
19	109	202		368	71	L5	Texas St	17.5	65	64	65	61	65	62	26	35

23	118	339	-15	369	76	L5	S Florida	65.0	51	52	45	56	42	54	16	41
46	187	359		370	73	L1	Memphis	-17.5	73	64	76	62	71	68	33	36

21	94	213	-34	371	79	L6	Kansas	66.5	49	42	54	44	68	45	16	46
54	239	306		372	75	W3	Oklahoma	-38.0	87	98	73	86	84		38	30

35	178	226	-12	373	80	L1	Texas Tech	61.5	70	68	73	65		70	31	41
40	218	259		374	79	W1	Tcu	-10.0	79	78	70	85	69	78	26	29

28	249	268	31	375	73	L1	Oklahoma St	51.0	86	83	86	87	86		30	16
14	83	174		376	67	L1	Kansas St	10.5	75	72	72	73	72	73	31	26

24	100	316	3	377	69	W1	W Virginia	58.5	75	80	82	64	76	73	26	20
28	126	218		378	73	W2	Texas	-7.0	87	88	88	75	83	85	40	29

	164	146	-17	379	97	L1	Nebraska	52.5	62			62		62	17	52
	209	214		380	61	W2	Northwestern	-3.5	85		92	71	92	71	32	12

26	74	298	-8	381	70	W1	Florida	52.0	83	81	87	79	83		42	29
33	146	270		382	77	W1	Georgia	-4.5	93	86	95	87	92	81	29	16

20	141	209	-5	383	72	L1	UTSA	49.5	65	59	64	67	57	67	22	29
23	130	247		384	54	W1	Rice	-5.0	69	3	55	77	55	77	32	20

37	266	203	12	385	67	L1	Charlotte	61.5	64	51	66	64	75	57	29	32
28	175	187		386	65	L2	Middle Tenn	4.5	55	56	45	57	39	54	24	37

11	90	144	-16	387	72	L4	Vanderbilt	48.0	46	37	38	70		46	12	38
27	44	342		388	78	L4	Mississippi St	-19.5	66	62	61	64	61	63	15	30

27	120	272	-28	389	74	L2	Arkansas St	63.5	60	49	58	61	57	63	28	43
45	295	258		390	71	W2	La Lafayette	-14.0	79	76	77	76	71	87	29	24

32	177	126	-6	391	66	L2	Florida Intl	51.5	63	63	52	75	52	75	31	34
21	85	297		392	64	L2	UTEP	-2.0	56	60		53		53	20	31

36	139	388	1	393	77	L1	New Mexico	61.5	60		60			60	21	38
37	177	295		394	73	L1	Hawaii	-16.5	72	72		69	55	82	21	25

12	89	213	-9	395	76	L3	W Kentucky	41.0	60	57	65	58	64	58	17	33
23	197	112		396	70	W1	Florida Atl	-7.5	77	81	76	72	76	72	18	13

44	159	249	-17	397	70	L3	Louisiana Tech	71.0	63	67	66	60	60	64	23	31
32	180	354		398	62	W1	North Texas	-1.5	52	57	41	72	43	51	35	48

31	164	256	10	399	72	W3	Texas A&M	55.5	73	77	73	73	69	79	30	29
26	118	192		400	70	L1	S Carolina	7.5	72	70	75	66	81	66	29	30

29	83	248	-3	401	71	W6	Clemson	51.0	99	83	91	114	99		46	18
17	139	162		402	63	W6	Notre Dame	6.0	91	97	85	94	88		35	10

27	194	179	-2	403	79	L3	Tennessee	53.5	68	57	67	69	70	66	22	33
30	134	264		404	75	L1	Arkansas	1.5	74	76	71	70		71	25	29

0	114	66	-40	405	71	L1	Massachusetts	57.5	30			30		30	0	41
46	309	148		406	69	W4	Marshall	-45.0	87	86	88	81	82	90	28	12

Samson · Nov 4, 2020

#cruncher said:
I?m having a hard time picking winners guys, so I thought I?d try to contribute in this fashion. Several teams have played only 1 or 2 games; so some of those ratings/numbers may look way off, and I actually deleted some of the predicted scores. I will update my lousy record later.

PS = Predicted Score (doesn?t include any home field advantage)
PRO = Predicted Rushing Offense
PPO = Predicted Passing Offense

RPR = Rushing-Passing Rating ? This is in points, and is computed by using the PRO and PPO for each team. It?s non scoring based and attempts to show how much better or worse the Road team is, and includes home field advantage (by subtracting 3 points from the road teams rating). No significance to using the road team, it was just easier to show this way. The rest of the columns should be pretty much self-explanatory.

If this doesn?t fit horizontally I?ll add a link and use a spreadsheet.

This is great.... does your model have a predicted outcome for the Nebraska vs nw game? Tyvm

#cruncher · Nov 4, 2020

Samson said:
This is great.... does your model have a predicted outcome for the Nebraska vs nw game? Tyvm

Yes, but it's totally unrealistic (41-21 NW). Nebraska has only played 1 game and it was against Ohio St! Need at least 2 and preferably 3 or more games before the scores have a chance to be somewhat realistic.

#cruncher · Nov 5, 2020

Last Wk	0	3	-3.48
Overall	7	17	-15.16

Football - 305 Wyoming -3 -116 buying -? for Game

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