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boomer1

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Texas by a million

Penn St +

I haven't played either yet, but will... Texas 3 or under is a 10x
I couldn’t agree more. I had Texas as a max play last week in a tough to play Starkville and will be on them big again this week. Vandy would not have survived Mizz if their QB would have stayed in. Can’t work today in Bham bc of rain so I’m digging into some games today.
 

Dog lover

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Manning has a concussion. Questionable right now. May clear protocol later in the week. Backup Carmichel is a transfer starter from Troy.
Waiting might be preferable.
Hook'em
 
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ripken8

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Manning has a concussion. Questionable right now. May clear protocol later in the week. Backup Carmichel is a transfer starter from Troy.
Waiting might be preferable.
Hook'em
Matthew Caldwell? Didn’t he throw the td in OT last game. Interesting to see if he’d be a downgrade from Manning. He’s not quite the athlete as Arch but I like him…
 

LonghornMM

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Jord, can you share your reasoning behind liking PSU? I think that OSU can name the score with them at home.

Manning being out and Caldwell getting the start might very well spark Texas. Manning is what is holding this team back IMO.
 
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Jord20

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Texas is a huge name that can't be properly valued this year. They stink and this low number at home is inviting more chasing on them. You're just 2024 FSU-ing it with them. Better options imo.
Disagreed.

And I won a shitload on them this week - and 2 weeks ago... faded them vs SJS... they have been fine to me.

We shall see - i think they do NOT stink, and are in fact better than now being priced
 

TurdofDoom

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Texas is a huge name that can't be properly valued this year. They stink and this low number at home is inviting more chasing on them. You're just 2024 FSU-ing it with them. Better options imo.
The range of outcomes for Texas is pretty broad. I suspect they rally next Friday but damn who knows. That O line is still pretty bad.
 

Bombs

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Disagreed.

And I won a shitload on them this week - and 2 weeks ago... faded them vs SJS... they have been fine to me.

We shall see - i think they do NOT stink, and are in fact better than now being priced

They stink. Would have made much more money just fading them all year. They luck boxed into that win/noncover for most last week and shouldn't have covered any lives you had. You are cloudy on this one. They are literally being kept alive by punt returns. Really bad team with bad QB play that can't run the ball.

I would say there is a zero percent chance they are priced below quality. Im not running to back Vandy here as they are likely top market value, but the idea Texas market is below true value isn't plausible by eye test or any statistical metrics.
 

Jord20

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They stink. Would have made much more money just fading them all year. They luck boxed into that win/noncover for most last week and shouldn't have covered any lives you had. You are cloudy on this one. They are literally being kept alive by punt returns. Really bad team with bad QB play that can't run the ball.

I would say there is a zero percent chance they are priced below quality. Im not running to back Vandy here as they are likely top market value, but the idea Texas market is below true value isn't plausible by eye test or any statistical metrics.
K
 
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