Lots of live dogs this week:
MINNESOTA +6.5--this is the trendy dog but everything supports it. GB always underperforms on turf/domes, esp. in Minny. Minny actually has the edge in rushing, rush ypc, rush defense andr rush yoc. GB is +14 in T/O and Minny is -16 so they are due for a few breaks.
GB/Minn OVER 49.5--GB doesn't stop the run (4.9 ypc against) and Minny doesn't stop the pass (pass eff. rating 103).
KC -3 (-115)--the key here is the defensive improvement the last two weeks for KC. They've been playing the cover 2 and giving the dink pass to the opponent. Buff can score but can't stop anyone. The over is the logical play but the high # and the recent KC improvement is enough to make me pass the total.
Balt +4.5--defensive minded dog not only could win but we win w/either a 3 or 4 pt loss. And Miami has now scored exactly 10 pts in their last 3.
Carolina +9--with Dungy or Gruden, it doesn't matter. Never lay more than 4 with Tampa. Again, a defensive minded dog.
Seattle +5--this is a Northcoast angle play. Home dogs who won the previous week on the road and facing a team who was at home the previous week are 88-44 ATS (1990-2001).
Detroit +3--Detroit usually plays respectable at home. In fact they've won 3 straight at home and covered all 4 home games. For the Jets to win they must force T/O. Have to take the home doggie here.
OAKLAND -3.5--public play but who cares. This revenge is real and New England is in their 3rd straight road game. They won huge in the Bledsoe Bowl then had a furious comeback to win at Chicago last week. Gannon looks like the best QB in the AFC.
NE/Oak OVER 47.5--definitely looking for a shootout here. There's no snow this time.
Chicago +10--The Bears have lost 7 in a row but arguably could've/should've won the last 2. 6 pass interference calls against Philly kept numerous Eagle drives alive and then last week the D fell asleep at the wheel in the 4th quarter. I'm guessing Bulger will NEVER duplicate last week's game in his NFL career. Often a young QB has a giant game then a big falloff the next week.
Ariz/Philly Under 37.5--Cards lack firepower w/out Boston and Jenkins
Dall/Indy Under 40--this number is a joke. Must be based on the Colts 1999 stats.
N
MINNESOTA +6.5--this is the trendy dog but everything supports it. GB always underperforms on turf/domes, esp. in Minny. Minny actually has the edge in rushing, rush ypc, rush defense andr rush yoc. GB is +14 in T/O and Minny is -16 so they are due for a few breaks.
GB/Minn OVER 49.5--GB doesn't stop the run (4.9 ypc against) and Minny doesn't stop the pass (pass eff. rating 103).
KC -3 (-115)--the key here is the defensive improvement the last two weeks for KC. They've been playing the cover 2 and giving the dink pass to the opponent. Buff can score but can't stop anyone. The over is the logical play but the high # and the recent KC improvement is enough to make me pass the total.
Balt +4.5--defensive minded dog not only could win but we win w/either a 3 or 4 pt loss. And Miami has now scored exactly 10 pts in their last 3.
Carolina +9--with Dungy or Gruden, it doesn't matter. Never lay more than 4 with Tampa. Again, a defensive minded dog.
Seattle +5--this is a Northcoast angle play. Home dogs who won the previous week on the road and facing a team who was at home the previous week are 88-44 ATS (1990-2001).
Detroit +3--Detroit usually plays respectable at home. In fact they've won 3 straight at home and covered all 4 home games. For the Jets to win they must force T/O. Have to take the home doggie here.
OAKLAND -3.5--public play but who cares. This revenge is real and New England is in their 3rd straight road game. They won huge in the Bledsoe Bowl then had a furious comeback to win at Chicago last week. Gannon looks like the best QB in the AFC.
NE/Oak OVER 47.5--definitely looking for a shootout here. There's no snow this time.
Chicago +10--The Bears have lost 7 in a row but arguably could've/should've won the last 2. 6 pass interference calls against Philly kept numerous Eagle drives alive and then last week the D fell asleep at the wheel in the 4th quarter. I'm guessing Bulger will NEVER duplicate last week's game in his NFL career. Often a young QB has a giant game then a big falloff the next week.
Ariz/Philly Under 37.5--Cards lack firepower w/out Boston and Jenkins
Dall/Indy Under 40--this number is a joke. Must be based on the Colts 1999 stats.
N
