I'll try to stay ahead of these games, but I don't like my chances. I'm going to skip the Army game, because we can't bet NY teams here in NY. So that'll help.
Hell, we might even lose power. We're getting a good amount of snow. Hopefully the GF doesn't want to go anywhere tomorrow, so I won't have to clear the driveway.
Military Bowl
Alright, after glancing through this one, it's a bit of a mess. As evidenced by the fact that Pitt has gone from -6 to -10.5 and the total has dropped from 59.5 to 52.2. Pitt is missing one of their top 2 LBs (Louis) and some depth at RB. ECU is missing... a lot. Starting with QB Hauser, who threw 408 of ECU's 423 passes this year. Absolutely no idea who's coming off the bench. Either the well-traveled (this is his 4th team in 6 years) Mike Wright, or true freshman Chaston Ditta. Wright did throw for over 2,000 yards over 2 seasons at Vanderbilt, so he has plenty of experience. The coaching staff may want to take a look at Ditta though. ECU is also missing their RB1 (Montgomery, 4.8 yards/carry). That may not be a bad thing, as RB2 (Gunn) averaged 5.7/carry. In the season finale, Montgomery had 17 carries for 53 yards. Gunn had 14 carries for 130 yards. ECU is also missing their starting LT (McCrimon) and their starting LG (Askew) missed the season finale and is questionable. After those guys, there is a big drop-off with the backups.
Obviously ECU would love to get the running game going to take some pressure off whoever is under Center. One small problem - Pitt only allows 2.8 yards/carry, 6th in the country. And here's the scary thing... as solid as Louis has been, the true freshman (Lindsey) who is starting in his place grades out as significantly better against the run.
Pitt does most of their damage through the air (70% of their yards) and most of that was from true Freshman Mason Heintschel, who took over as the starter in early October. Prior to that, Pitt was 2-2 (with wins over Duquesne and CMU). With Heintschel starting, Pitt was 6-2, with the losses to ND and Miami. Heintschel has been solid, completing 64% with 15 TDs and 7 INTs and averaging 7.6 yards/att. He does take a lot of sacks (30 in 306 dropbacks), including 14 in the last 3 games. ECU tied for 32nd in the country with 30 sacks, led by Zion Wilson with 7.
I don't have any feel for this one. Obviously Pitt should roll. But do they care? Last game of the season, they needed to beat Miami to go to the ACC Championship game. They were dominated, 38-7. Maybe they'll bounce back Saturday. Maybe they checked out after that game. I should stay off this one, but that's the coward's way out (or the intelligent decision. Tomato, tomahto.). I'll probably regret this, but I gotta take 10.5 from a team that might not show up.
ECU (+10.5) 2 units
ECU (ML) 1 to win 3 (because why the fuck not? It's only money.)
Hell, we might even lose power. We're getting a good amount of snow. Hopefully the GF doesn't want to go anywhere tomorrow, so I won't have to clear the driveway.
Military Bowl
Alright, after glancing through this one, it's a bit of a mess. As evidenced by the fact that Pitt has gone from -6 to -10.5 and the total has dropped from 59.5 to 52.2. Pitt is missing one of their top 2 LBs (Louis) and some depth at RB. ECU is missing... a lot. Starting with QB Hauser, who threw 408 of ECU's 423 passes this year. Absolutely no idea who's coming off the bench. Either the well-traveled (this is his 4th team in 6 years) Mike Wright, or true freshman Chaston Ditta. Wright did throw for over 2,000 yards over 2 seasons at Vanderbilt, so he has plenty of experience. The coaching staff may want to take a look at Ditta though. ECU is also missing their RB1 (Montgomery, 4.8 yards/carry). That may not be a bad thing, as RB2 (Gunn) averaged 5.7/carry. In the season finale, Montgomery had 17 carries for 53 yards. Gunn had 14 carries for 130 yards. ECU is also missing their starting LT (McCrimon) and their starting LG (Askew) missed the season finale and is questionable. After those guys, there is a big drop-off with the backups.
Obviously ECU would love to get the running game going to take some pressure off whoever is under Center. One small problem - Pitt only allows 2.8 yards/carry, 6th in the country. And here's the scary thing... as solid as Louis has been, the true freshman (Lindsey) who is starting in his place grades out as significantly better against the run.
Pitt does most of their damage through the air (70% of their yards) and most of that was from true Freshman Mason Heintschel, who took over as the starter in early October. Prior to that, Pitt was 2-2 (with wins over Duquesne and CMU). With Heintschel starting, Pitt was 6-2, with the losses to ND and Miami. Heintschel has been solid, completing 64% with 15 TDs and 7 INTs and averaging 7.6 yards/att. He does take a lot of sacks (30 in 306 dropbacks), including 14 in the last 3 games. ECU tied for 32nd in the country with 30 sacks, led by Zion Wilson with 7.
I don't have any feel for this one. Obviously Pitt should roll. But do they care? Last game of the season, they needed to beat Miami to go to the ACC Championship game. They were dominated, 38-7. Maybe they'll bounce back Saturday. Maybe they checked out after that game. I should stay off this one, but that's the coward's way out (or the intelligent decision. Tomato, tomahto.). I'll probably regret this, but I gotta take 10.5 from a team that might not show up.
ECU (+10.5) 2 units
ECU (ML) 1 to win 3 (because why the fuck not? It's only money.)
