So far, Favorites are 5-6 ATS, but 10-1 SU. So much for just picking the winner and you'll know the ATS winner...
Bowl favorites of 7 to 13.5 points are 0-4 ATS this year, 1-9 ATS overall since last year and 15-34 ATS since 1999!!! This is a significant trend IMO and comes into play again today. This also makes sense as teams getting a lot of points typically play with a chip on their shoulder.
This means Utah +8.5 is the play! Utah is AN AMAZING 17-2 ATS their last 19 games as an UNDERDOG!!! I like the Utes as they will be thrilled to playing a solid Ga Tech team. Brett Ratliff only has one start for Utah, but he was solid running for 112 yards and passing for another 240. Ganther is a solid 1,000 yard rusher for the Utes and Utah finally has all their wideouts healthy lead by Brent Casteel. Ga Tech doesn't have the same firepower with the inconsistent Ball (48% completion %) @ QB. Utah's all conference DB Eric Weddle should be able to guard Calvin Johnson. Utah also doesn't EVER lack size and will be at least as strong as Ga Tech in the pits.
I also like Oklahoma +3.5 as they really improved towards the end of the season. Oklahoma's first 3 opponents were TCU, Tulsa, and UCLA. These teams didn't look really intimidating before the season, but that is one tough schedule and OU started 1-2 in non-conference. OU had unrealistic expectations bringing in Romar and with a very inexperienced offensive line. Oklahoma won 5 of their final 6 games with the only loss being questionable @ Texas Tech.
Oklahoma scored 33 PPG in their last 5 games and Bomar completed 60% of his passes in his final 3 games. Peterson broke the 100-yard barrier in his last 4 games and ran for 237 in his final game vs. Okie State.
I also feel Oklahoma is the best defense Oregon has faced all season. OU had 40 sacks which was #4 nationally. They should get plenty of pressure on the fairly inexperienced Dixon or Leaf.
Oklahoma has to control the ball as Oregon was +11 in turnover margin while the Sooners were even. I think the difference in this game is a healthy Peterson vs. an average defense. He should have a big game and the Sooners should win!
I can't think of a PAC-10 team that played good defense this year.
Comments are Welcome and Appreciated. I don't mind hearing reasons for the other side :clap:
Bowl favorites of 7 to 13.5 points are 0-4 ATS this year, 1-9 ATS overall since last year and 15-34 ATS since 1999!!! This is a significant trend IMO and comes into play again today. This also makes sense as teams getting a lot of points typically play with a chip on their shoulder.
This means Utah +8.5 is the play! Utah is AN AMAZING 17-2 ATS their last 19 games as an UNDERDOG!!! I like the Utes as they will be thrilled to playing a solid Ga Tech team. Brett Ratliff only has one start for Utah, but he was solid running for 112 yards and passing for another 240. Ganther is a solid 1,000 yard rusher for the Utes and Utah finally has all their wideouts healthy lead by Brent Casteel. Ga Tech doesn't have the same firepower with the inconsistent Ball (48% completion %) @ QB. Utah's all conference DB Eric Weddle should be able to guard Calvin Johnson. Utah also doesn't EVER lack size and will be at least as strong as Ga Tech in the pits.
I also like Oklahoma +3.5 as they really improved towards the end of the season. Oklahoma's first 3 opponents were TCU, Tulsa, and UCLA. These teams didn't look really intimidating before the season, but that is one tough schedule and OU started 1-2 in non-conference. OU had unrealistic expectations bringing in Romar and with a very inexperienced offensive line. Oklahoma won 5 of their final 6 games with the only loss being questionable @ Texas Tech.
Oklahoma scored 33 PPG in their last 5 games and Bomar completed 60% of his passes in his final 3 games. Peterson broke the 100-yard barrier in his last 4 games and ran for 237 in his final game vs. Okie State.
I also feel Oklahoma is the best defense Oregon has faced all season. OU had 40 sacks which was #4 nationally. They should get plenty of pressure on the fairly inexperienced Dixon or Leaf.
Oklahoma has to control the ball as Oregon was +11 in turnover margin while the Sooners were even. I think the difference in this game is a healthy Peterson vs. an average defense. He should have a big game and the Sooners should win!
I can't think of a PAC-10 team that played good defense this year.
Comments are Welcome and Appreciated. I don't mind hearing reasons for the other side :clap:
